: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:44 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 17 1 30.00
2 Colby 14 3 20.00
3 St John Fisher 18 0 20.00
4 Haverford 14 5 10.00
5 Middlebury 16 1 10.00
6 Stevens 15 4 10.00
7 Adrian 10 6 0.00
8 Albion 4 11 0.00
9 Albright 5 12 0.00
10 Alfred 6 10 0.00
11 Alfred State 4 9 0.00
12 Allegheny 5 12 0.00
13 Alma 3 8 0.00
14 Alvernia 4 13 0.00
15 Amherst 11 5 0.00
16 Anderson (IN) 6 6 0.00
17 Anna Maria 2 14 0.00
18 Arcadia 8 8 0.00
19 Augustana (IL) 5 10 0.00
20 Aurora 11 7 0.00
21 Averett 5 6 0.00
22 Babson 14 3 0.00
23 Baldwin Wallace 10 9 0.00
24 Bard 1 13 0.00
25 Bates 7 9 0.00
26 Beloit 7 7 0.00
27 Berry 12 7 0.00
28 Bethany 2 13 0.00
29 Bowdoin 6 9 0.00
30 Brevard 7 8 0.00
31 Bridgewater 10 9 0.00
32 Bridgewater State 14 5 0.00
33 Brockport 9 9 0.00
34 Buffalo State 12 7 0.00
35 Cal Lutheran 7 10 0.00
36 Calvin 11 6 0.00
37 Canton 7 9 0.00
38 Capital 10 6 0.00
39 Carroll 13 3 0.00
40 Carthage 13 4 0.00
41 Castleton 4 13 0.00
42 Catholic 8 9 0.00
43 Cedar Crest 5 7 0.00
44 Centenary (NJ) 5 8 0.00
45 Centre 7 8 0.00
46 Chapman 6 10 0.00
47 Chatham 11 6 0.00
48 Chicago 12 4 0.00
49 Christopher Newport 8 11 0.00
50 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 12 7 0.00
51 Clark 6 11 0.00
52 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
53 Coast Guard 10 6 0.00
54 Colby-Sawyer 11 7 0.00
55 Colorado College 18 3 0.00
56 Concordia-Wisconsin 5 10 0.00
57 Connecticut College 7 8 0.00
58 Cornell College 7 8 0.00
59 Cortland 11 7 0.00
60 Curry 4 13 0.00
61 Dean 8 9 0.00
62 Delaware Valley 6 11 0.00
63 Denison 13 4 0.00
64 DePauw 7 9 0.00
65 DeSales 15 3 0.00
66 Dickinson 6 11 0.00
67 Drew 5 10 0.00
68 Eastern 2 12 0.00
69 Eastern Connecticut 13 6 0.00
70 Eastern Mennonite 6 10 0.00
71 Edgewood 10 8 0.00
72 Elizabethtown 8 7 0.00
73 Elmhurst 5 8 0.00
74 Elms 2 11 0.00
75 Emerson 5 11 0.00
76 Emmanuel (MA) 14 6 0.00
77 Endicott 14 4 0.00
78 Farmingdale State 9 7 0.00
79 FDU-Florham 4 10 0.00
80 Ferrum 7 8 0.00
81 Fitchburg State 2 15 0.00
82 Framingham State 10 9 0.00
83 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
84 Franklin & Marshall 17 2 0.00
85 Fredonia 8 9 0.00
86 Geneseo 12 7 0.00
87 George Fox 14 4 0.00
88 Gettysburg 16 3 0.00
89 Gordon 2 14 0.00
90 Goucher 5 10 0.00
91 Greensboro 5 10 0.00
92 Grove City 12 5 0.00
93 Guilford 5 12 0.00
94 Gwynedd Mercy 4 13 0.00
95 Hamilton 6 8 0.00
96 Hamline 6 9 0.00
97 Hanover 2 8 0.00
98 Hartford 13 6 0.00
99 Hartwick 7 8 0.00
100 Hendrix 5 7 0.00
101 Hilbert 1 11 0.00
102 Hood 7 10 0.00
103 Hope 13 5 0.00
104 Huntingdon 3 9 0.00
105 Husson 7 7 0.00
106 Illinois Tech 2 15 0.00
107 Illinois Wesleyan 8 9 0.00
108 Immaculata 3 13 0.00
109 Ithaca 13 6 0.00
110 John Carroll 15 2 0.00
111 Johnson & Wales 13 5 0.00
112 Kalamazoo 4 11 0.00
113 Kean 4 9 0.00
114 Keene State 11 7 0.00
115 Kenyon 7 9 0.00
116 Keuka 4 10 0.00
117 Kings 5 9 0.00
118 La Roche 13 1 0.00
119 Lake Forest 14 4 0.00
120 Lasell 12 6 0.00
121 Lawrence 1 12 0.00
122 Lebanon Valley 13 6 0.00
123 Lewis & Clark 11 6 0.00
124 Linfield 8 8 0.00
125 Lycoming 8 7 0.00
126 Lynchburg 12 6 0.00
127 Maine Maritime 11 2 0.00
128 Maine-Farmington 3 9 0.00
129 Manhattanville 5 10 0.00
130 Marian (WI) 5 12 0.00
131 Marietta 5 12 0.00
132 Maritime 10 7 0.00
133 Mary Washington 10 7 0.00
134 Marymount 17 2 0.00
135 Marywood 9 8 0.00
136 Massachusetts Maritime 4 10 0.00
137 Massachusetts-Boston 6 11 0.00
138 Massachusetts-Dartmouth 9 8 0.00
139 McDaniel 6 10 0.00
140 Merchant Marine 13 2 0.00
141 Meredith 17 3 0.00
142 Messiah 12 5 0.00
143 Methodist 12 7 0.00
144 Misericordia 6 11 0.00
145 MIT 13 7 0.00
146 Mitchell 1 11 0.00
147 Montclair State 9 7 0.00
148 Moravian 10 7 0.00
149 Mount Aloysius 7 7 0.00
150 Mount Holyoke 4 12 0.00
151 Mount St Joseph 3 8 0.00
152 Mount St Mary (NY) 8 10 0.00
153 Mount St Vincent 2 8 0.00
154 Mount Union 14 4 0.00
155 MSOE 6 12 0.00
156 Muhlenberg 12 5 0.00
157 Muskingum 6 10 0.00
158 Nazareth 11 8 0.00
159 Neumann 8 8 0.00
160 New England College 6 11 0.00
161 New Paltz 13 5 0.00
162 Nichols 13 5 0.00
163 North Central (IL) 9 7 0.00
164 Norwich 15 3 0.00
165 Oberlin 8 9 0.00
166 Occidental 9 9 0.00
167 Oglethorpe 7 9 0.00
168 Ohio Northern 10 8 0.00
169 Ohio Wesleyan 11 6 0.00
170 Old Westbury 1 9 0.00
171 Oneonta 7 10 0.00
172 Oswego 15 2 0.00
173 Otterbein 2 14 0.00
174 Pacific 3 12 0.00
175 Pfeiffer 2 11 0.00
176 Piedmont 13 5 0.00
177 Plattsburgh 3 12 0.00
178 Plymouth State 15 3 0.00
179 Pomona Pitzer 17 2 0.00
180 Potsdam 7 8 0.00
181 Puget Sound 3 12 0.00
182 Ramapo 5 8 0.00
183 Randolph 2 13 0.00
184 Randolph-Macon 14 5 0.00
185 Redlands 12 6 0.00
186 Regis (MA) 9 9 0.00
187 Rhode Island College 1 10 0.00
188 Rhodes 10 7 0.00
189 RIT 11 5 0.00
190 Rivier 8 6 0.00
191 Roanoke 12 7 0.00
192 Rochester 4 12 0.00
193 Roger Williams 10 7 0.00
194 Rowan 15 3 0.00
195 RPI 9 7 0.00
196 Sage 3 11 0.00
197 Salem State 8 9 0.00
198 Salisbury 14 4 0.00
199 Salve Regina 5 11 0.00
200 Scranton 13 5 0.00
201 Sewanee 17 0 0.00
202 Shenandoah 13 7 0.00
203 Simmons 7 8 0.00
204 Skidmore 6 10 0.00
205 Smith 10 8 0.00
206 Southern Maine 13 6 0.00
207 Southern Virginia 10 8 0.00
208 Southwestern 2 15 0.00
209 Spalding 4 12 0.00
210 Springfield 14 4 0.00
211 St Benedict 11 5 0.00
212 St Joseph (CT) 4 13 0.00
213 St Josephs (LI) 6 6 0.00
214 St Josephs College (ME) 12 6 0.00
215 St Lawrence 7 10 0.00
216 St Marys (IN) 5 9 0.00
217 St Marys (MD) 7 7 0.00
218 St Vincent 3 11 0.00
219 Stevenson 11 7 0.00
220 Stockton 11 6 0.00
221 Suffolk 6 10 0.00
222 SUNY Poly 1 13 0.00
223 Susquehanna 9 9 0.00
224 Swarthmore 10 7 0.00
225 TCNJ 14 4 0.00
226 Thiel 9 5 0.00
227 Thomas 1 10 0.00
228 Transylvania 7 9 0.00
229 Trine 11 4 0.00
230 Trinity 8 8 0.00
231 U New England 8 9 0.00
232 Union 13 4 0.00
233 Ursinus 7 11 0.00
234 Utica 7 9 0.00
235 Vassar 10 6 0.00
236 Virginia Wesleyan 9 9 0.00
237 Warren Wilson 4 4 0.00
238 Washington & Jefferson 10 5 0.00
239 Washington & Lee 16 4 0.00
240 Washington College 7 10 0.00
241 Wellesley 1 14 0.00
242 Wentworth Tech 5 11 0.00
243 Wesleyan 13 5 0.00
244 Western Connecticut 16 2 0.00
245 Western New England 5 11 0.00
246 Westfield State 6 11 0.00
247 Westminster (PA) 11 6 0.00
248 Wheaton (MA) 8 9 0.00
249 Whitman 11 5 0.00
250 Whitworth 6 7 0.00
251 Widener 8 10 0.00
252 Willamette 9 7 0.00
253 William Peace 2 9 0.00
254 William Smith 12 4 0.00
255 Williams 7 9 0.00
256 Wilson 3 10 0.00
257 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 11 7 0.00
258 Wisconsin-La Crosse 10 6 0.00
259 Wisconsin-River Falls 12 5 0.00
260 Wisconsin-Stevens Point 3 14 0.00
261 Wisconsin-Stout 7 6 0.00
262 Wittenberg 4 11 0.00
263 Wooster 16 2 0.00
264 Worcester State 13 6 0.00
265 York 16 3 0.00