: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 10-26-25 14:07 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 17 1 35.00
2 Middlebury 16 1 15.00
3 Colby 14 3 10.00
4 Haverford 14 5 10.00
5 St John Fisher 18 0 10.00
6 Bates 7 9 5.00
7 Stevens 15 4 5.00
8 Union 13 4 5.00
9 Wesleyan 13 5 5.00
10 Adrian 10 6 0.00
11 Albion 4 11 0.00
12 Albright 5 12 0.00
13 Alfred 6 10 0.00
14 Alfred State 4 9 0.00
15 Allegheny 5 12 0.00
16 Alma 3 8 0.00
17 Alvernia 4 13 0.00
18 Amherst 11 5 0.00
19 Anderson (IN) 6 6 0.00
20 Anna Maria 2 14 0.00
21 Arcadia 8 8 0.00
22 Augustana (IL) 5 10 0.00
23 Aurora 11 7 0.00
24 Averett 5 6 0.00
25 Babson 14 3 0.00
26 Baldwin Wallace 10 9 0.00
27 Bard 1 13 0.00
28 Beloit 7 7 0.00
29 Berry 12 7 0.00
30 Bethany 2 13 0.00
31 Bowdoin 6 9 0.00
32 Brevard 7 8 0.00
33 Bridgewater 10 9 0.00
34 Bridgewater State 14 5 0.00
35 Brockport 9 9 0.00
36 Buffalo State 12 7 0.00
37 Cal Lutheran 7 10 0.00
38 Calvin 11 6 0.00
39 Canton 7 9 0.00
40 Capital 10 6 0.00
41 Carroll 13 3 0.00
42 Carthage 13 4 0.00
43 Castleton 4 13 0.00
44 Catholic 8 9 0.00
45 Cedar Crest 5 7 0.00
46 Centenary (NJ) 5 8 0.00
47 Centre 7 8 0.00
48 Chapman 6 10 0.00
49 Chatham 11 6 0.00
50 Chicago 12 4 0.00
51 Christopher Newport 8 11 0.00
52 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 12 7 0.00
53 Clark 6 11 0.00
54 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
55 Coast Guard 10 6 0.00
56 Colby-Sawyer 11 7 0.00
57 Colorado College 18 3 0.00
58 Concordia-Wisconsin 5 10 0.00
59 Connecticut College 7 8 0.00
60 Cornell College 7 8 0.00
61 Cortland 11 7 0.00
62 Curry 4 13 0.00
63 Dean 8 9 0.00
64 Delaware Valley 6 11 0.00
65 Denison 13 4 0.00
66 DePauw 7 9 0.00
67 DeSales 15 3 0.00
68 Dickinson 6 11 0.00
69 Drew 5 10 0.00
70 Eastern 2 12 0.00
71 Eastern Connecticut 13 6 0.00
72 Eastern Mennonite 6 10 0.00
73 Edgewood 10 8 0.00
74 Elizabethtown 8 7 0.00
75 Elmhurst 5 8 0.00
76 Elms 2 11 0.00
77 Emerson 5 11 0.00
78 Emmanuel (MA) 14 6 0.00
79 Endicott 14 4 0.00
80 Farmingdale State 9 7 0.00
81 FDU-Florham 4 10 0.00
82 Ferrum 7 8 0.00
83 Fitchburg State 2 15 0.00
84 Framingham State 10 9 0.00
85 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
86 Franklin & Marshall 17 2 0.00
87 Fredonia 8 9 0.00
88 Geneseo 12 7 0.00
89 George Fox 14 4 0.00
90 Gettysburg 16 3 0.00
91 Gordon 2 14 0.00
92 Goucher 5 10 0.00
93 Greensboro 5 10 0.00
94 Grove City 12 5 0.00
95 Guilford 5 12 0.00
96 Gwynedd Mercy 4 13 0.00
97 Hamilton 6 8 0.00
98 Hamline 6 9 0.00
99 Hanover 2 8 0.00
100 Hartford 13 6 0.00
101 Hartwick 7 8 0.00
102 Hendrix 5 7 0.00
103 Hilbert 1 11 0.00
104 Hood 7 10 0.00
105 Hope 13 5 0.00
106 Huntingdon 3 9 0.00
107 Husson 7 7 0.00
108 Illinois Tech 2 15 0.00
109 Illinois Wesleyan 8 9 0.00
110 Immaculata 3 13 0.00
111 Ithaca 13 6 0.00
112 John Carroll 15 2 0.00
113 Johnson & Wales 13 5 0.00
114 Kalamazoo 4 11 0.00
115 Kean 4 9 0.00
116 Keene State 11 7 0.00
117 Kenyon 7 9 0.00
118 Keuka 4 10 0.00
119 Kings 5 9 0.00
120 La Roche 13 1 0.00
121 Lake Forest 14 4 0.00
122 Lasell 12 6 0.00
123 Lawrence 1 12 0.00
124 Lebanon Valley 13 6 0.00
125 Lewis & Clark 11 6 0.00
126 Linfield 8 8 0.00
127 Lycoming 8 7 0.00
128 Lynchburg 12 6 0.00
129 Maine Maritime 11 2 0.00
130 Maine-Farmington 3 9 0.00
131 Manhattanville 5 10 0.00
132 Marian (WI) 5 12 0.00
133 Marietta 5 12 0.00
134 Maritime 10 7 0.00
135 Mary Washington 10 7 0.00
136 Marymount 17 2 0.00
137 Marywood 9 8 0.00
138 Massachusetts Maritime 4 10 0.00
139 Massachusetts-Boston 6 11 0.00
140 Massachusetts-Dartmouth 9 8 0.00
141 McDaniel 6 10 0.00
142 Merchant Marine 13 2 0.00
143 Meredith 17 3 0.00
144 Messiah 12 5 0.00
145 Methodist 12 7 0.00
146 Misericordia 6 11 0.00
147 MIT 13 7 0.00
148 Mitchell 1 11 0.00
149 Montclair State 9 7 0.00
150 Moravian 10 7 0.00
151 Mount Aloysius 7 7 0.00
152 Mount Holyoke 4 12 0.00
153 Mount St Joseph 3 8 0.00
154 Mount St Mary (NY) 8 10 0.00
155 Mount St Vincent 2 8 0.00
156 Mount Union 14 4 0.00
157 MSOE 6 12 0.00
158 Muhlenberg 12 5 0.00
159 Muskingum 6 10 0.00
160 Nazareth 11 8 0.00
161 Neumann 8 8 0.00
162 New England College 6 11 0.00
163 New Paltz 13 5 0.00
164 Nichols 13 5 0.00
165 North Central (IL) 9 7 0.00
166 Norwich 15 3 0.00
167 Oberlin 8 9 0.00
168 Occidental 9 9 0.00
169 Oglethorpe 7 9 0.00
170 Ohio Northern 10 8 0.00
171 Ohio Wesleyan 11 6 0.00
172 Old Westbury 1 9 0.00
173 Oneonta 7 10 0.00
174 Oswego 15 2 0.00
175 Otterbein 2 14 0.00
176 Pacific 3 12 0.00
177 Pfeiffer 2 11 0.00
178 Piedmont 13 5 0.00
179 Plattsburgh 3 12 0.00
180 Plymouth State 15 3 0.00
181 Pomona Pitzer 17 2 0.00
182 Potsdam 7 8 0.00
183 Puget Sound 3 12 0.00
184 Ramapo 5 8 0.00
185 Randolph 2 13 0.00
186 Randolph-Macon 14 5 0.00
187 Redlands 12 6 0.00
188 Regis (MA) 9 9 0.00
189 Rhode Island College 1 10 0.00
190 Rhodes 10 7 0.00
191 RIT 11 5 0.00
192 Rivier 8 6 0.00
193 Roanoke 12 7 0.00
194 Rochester 4 12 0.00
195 Roger Williams 10 7 0.00
196 Rowan 15 3 0.00
197 RPI 9 7 0.00
198 Sage 3 11 0.00
199 Salem State 8 9 0.00
200 Salisbury 14 4 0.00
201 Salve Regina 5 11 0.00
202 Scranton 13 5 0.00
203 Sewanee 17 0 0.00
204 Shenandoah 13 7 0.00
205 Simmons 7 8 0.00
206 Skidmore 6 10 0.00
207 Smith 10 8 0.00
208 Southern Maine 13 6 0.00
209 Southern Virginia 10 8 0.00
210 Southwestern 2 15 0.00
211 Spalding 4 12 0.00
212 Springfield 14 4 0.00
213 St Benedict 11 5 0.00
214 St Joseph (CT) 4 13 0.00
215 St Josephs (LI) 6 6 0.00
216 St Josephs College (ME) 12 6 0.00
217 St Lawrence 7 10 0.00
218 St Marys (IN) 5 9 0.00
219 St Marys (MD) 7 7 0.00
220 St Vincent 3 11 0.00
221 Stevenson 11 7 0.00
222 Stockton 11 6 0.00
223 Suffolk 6 10 0.00
224 SUNY Poly 1 13 0.00
225 Susquehanna 9 9 0.00
226 Swarthmore 10 7 0.00
227 TCNJ 14 4 0.00
228 Thiel 9 5 0.00
229 Thomas 1 10 0.00
230 Transylvania 7 9 0.00
231 Trine 11 4 0.00
232 Trinity 8 8 0.00
233 U New England 8 9 0.00
234 Ursinus 7 11 0.00
235 Utica 7 9 0.00
236 Vassar 10 6 0.00
237 Virginia Wesleyan 9 9 0.00
238 Warren Wilson 4 4 0.00
239 Washington & Jefferson 10 5 0.00
240 Washington & Lee 16 4 0.00
241 Washington College 7 10 0.00
242 Wellesley 1 14 0.00
243 Wentworth Tech 5 11 0.00
244 Western Connecticut 16 2 0.00
245 Western New England 5 11 0.00
246 Westfield State 6 11 0.00
247 Westminster (PA) 11 6 0.00
248 Wheaton (MA) 8 9 0.00
249 Whitman 11 5 0.00
250 Whitworth 6 7 0.00
251 Widener 8 10 0.00
252 Willamette 9 7 0.00
253 William Peace 2 9 0.00
254 William Smith 12 4 0.00
255 Williams 7 9 0.00
256 Wilson 3 10 0.00
257 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 11 7 0.00
258 Wisconsin-La Crosse 10 6 0.00
259 Wisconsin-River Falls 12 5 0.00
260 Wisconsin-Stevens Point 3 14 0.00
261 Wisconsin-Stout 7 6 0.00
262 Wittenberg 4 11 0.00
263 Wooster 16 2 0.00
264 Worcester State 13 6 0.00
265 York 16 3 0.00