: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:29 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Middlebury 21 0 20.80
2 Wesleyan 18 3 15.20
3 Tufts 17 3 13.20
4 Salisbury 20 0 12.80
5 Amherst 13 5 5.20
6 Trinity 14 6 4.40
7 Gettysburg 14 7 3.20
8 York 16 5 3.20
9 Christopher Newport 16 7 2.80
10 Denison 19 2 2.80
11 Franklin & Marshall 11 9 1.60
12 Messiah 15 6 1.60
13 TCNJ 18 3 1.60
14 Washington & Lee 15 5 1.60
15 Haverford 14 7 1.20
16 William Smith 17 3 1.20
17 Williams 12 8 1.20
18 Chicago 11 6 0.00
19 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 13 6 0.00
20 Pomona Pitzer 17 2 0.00
21 Scranton 15 5 0.00
22 Swarthmore 13 5 0.00
23 Colby 9 8 0.00
24 Colorado College 16 4 0.00
25 Hamilton 5 10 0.00
26 Rowan 15 5 0.00
27 Stevens 16 5 0.00
28 Washington College 10 7 0.00
29 Adrian 10 5 0.00
30 Albertus Magnus 4 12 0.00
31 Albion 2 11 0.00
32 Albright 8 9 0.00
33 Alfred 5 8 0.00
34 Alfred State 9 5 0.00
35 Allegheny 4 9 0.00
36 Alma 1 10 0.00
37 Alvernia 3 14 0.00
38 Anna Maria 1 15 0.00
39 Arcadia 13 4 0.00
40 Augustana (IL) 8 8 0.00
41 Aurora 12 8 0.00
42 Babson 11 7 0.00
43 Baldwin Wallace 12 3 0.00
44 Bard 1 13 0.00
45 Bates 7 9 0.00
46 Berry 5 9 0.00
47 Bethany 6 8 0.00
48 Bowdoin 6 9 0.00
49 Brevard 3 11 0.00
50 Bridgewater 9 9 0.00
51 Bridgewater State 9 11 0.00
52 Brockport 12 6 0.00
53 Buffalo State 9 8 0.00
54 Cal Lutheran 3 12 0.00
55 Calvin 11 4 0.00
56 Canton 5 9 0.00
57 Capital 3 8 0.00
58 Carroll 15 3 0.00
59 Carthage 16 4 0.00
60 Castleton 6 10 0.00
61 Catholic 10 8 0.00
62 Cedar Crest 6 9 0.00
63 Centenary (NJ) 4 8 0.00
64 Centre 6 7 0.00
65 Chapman 9 6 0.00
66 Chatham 12 4 0.00
67 Clark 3 12 0.00
68 Clarkson 10 8 0.00
69 Coast Guard 14 3 0.00
70 Colby-Sawyer 14 5 0.00
71 Concordia-Wisconsin 7 9 0.00
72 Connecticut College 3 11 0.00
73 Cornell College 5 11 0.00
74 Cortland 15 5 0.00
75 Curry 4 12 0.00
76 Dean 3 13 0.00
77 Delaware Valley 5 12 0.00
78 DePauw 6 11 0.00
79 DeSales 13 6 0.00
80 Dickinson 7 11 0.00
81 Drew 9 7 0.00
82 Eastern 3 10 0.00
83 Eastern Connecticut 9 7 0.00
84 Eastern Mennonite 2 13 0.00
85 Edgewood 8 11 0.00
86 Elizabethtown 8 8 0.00
87 Elmhurst 4 11 0.00
88 Elms 3 14 0.00
89 Emerson 4 13 0.00
90 Emmanuel (MA) 15 5 0.00
91 Endicott 15 5 0.00
92 Farmingdale State 9 10 0.00
93 FDU-Florham 6 8 0.00
94 Ferrum 1 0 0.00
95 Fitchburg State 8 10 0.00
96 Framingham State 8 11 0.00
97 Franklin 1 7 0.00
98 Fredonia 9 9 0.00
99 Geneseo 11 8 0.00
100 Geneva College 2 12 0.00
101 George Fox 13 4 0.00
102 Goucher 5 10 0.00
103 Greensboro 5 9 0.00
104 Grove City 15 4 0.00
105 Guilford 6 9 0.00
106 Gwynedd Mercy 2 13 0.00
107 Hamline 10 6 0.00
108 Hanover 3 8 0.00
109 Hartford 11 7 0.00
110 Hartwick 7 10 0.00
111 Hood 7 8 0.00
112 Hope 15 4 0.00
113 Huntingdon 5 8 0.00
114 Husson 11 5 0.00
115 Illinois Tech 5 12 0.00
116 Illinois Wesleyan 6 11 0.00
117 Immaculata 5 12 0.00
118 Ithaca 12 6 0.00
119 John Carroll 9 7 0.00
120 Johnson & Wales 10 8 0.00
121 Kalamazoo 10 8 0.00
122 Kean 5 8 0.00
123 Keene State 8 10 0.00
124 Kenyon 9 8 0.00
125 Keuka 2 12 0.00
126 Kings 2 13 0.00
127 La Roche 5 5 0.00
128 Lake Forest 11 5 0.00
129 Lasell 13 4 0.00
130 Lawrence 2 11 0.00
131 Lebanon Valley 9 8 0.00
132 Lewis & Clark 11 7 0.00
133 Linfield 5 11 0.00
134 Lycoming 4 11 0.00
135 Lynchburg 10 7 0.00
136 Maine Maritime 8 5 0.00
137 Maine-Farmington 4 11 0.00
138 Manhattanville 6 9 0.00
139 Marian (WI) 3 13 0.00
140 Marietta 6 8 0.00
141 Maritime 2 9 0.00
142 Mary Washington 10 8 0.00
143 Marymount 8 8 0.00
144 Marywood 10 7 0.00
145 Massachusetts Maritime 1 12 0.00
146 Massachusetts-Boston 6 12 0.00
147 Massachusetts-Dartmouth 4 13 0.00
148 McDaniel 5 11 0.00
149 Merchant Marine 11 4 0.00
150 Meredith 17 5 0.00
151 Methodist 13 6 0.00
152 Misericordia 9 8 0.00
153 MIT 16 4 0.00
154 Montclair State 6 8 0.00
155 Moravian 12 6 0.00
156 Morrisville 5 8 0.00
157 Mount Aloysius 4 6 0.00
158 Mount Holyoke 8 7 0.00
159 Mount St Mary (NY) 8 6 0.00
160 Mount St Vincent 3 9 0.00
161 Mount Union 11 6 0.00
162 MSOE 9 11 0.00
163 Muhlenberg 11 5 0.00
164 Muskingum 5 11 0.00
165 Nazareth 4 14 0.00
166 Neumann 9 8 0.00
167 New England College 9 7 0.00
168 New Paltz 12 6 0.00
169 Nichols 6 7 0.00
170 North Carolina Wesleyan 2 9 0.00
171 North Central (IL) 4 9 0.00
172 Norwich 14 4 0.00
173 Oberlin 10 7 0.00
174 Occidental 6 9 0.00
175 Oglethorpe 5 10 0.00
176 Ohio Northern 9 9 0.00
177 Ohio Wesleyan 9 7 0.00
178 Old Westbury 2 10 0.00
179 Oneonta 10 6 0.00
180 Oswego 13 5 0.00
181 Otterbein 10 7 0.00
182 Pacific 7 8 0.00
183 Pacific Lutheran 2 13 0.00
184 Pfeiffer 10 6 0.00
185 Piedmont 10 8 0.00
186 Plattsburgh 2 13 0.00
187 Plymouth State 8 10 0.00
188 Potsdam 3 12 0.00
189 Puget Sound 3 12 0.00
190 Ramapo 5 11 0.00
191 Randolph 1 12 0.00
192 Randolph-Macon 13 6 0.00
193 Redlands 8 7 0.00
194 Regis (MA) 4 10 0.00
195 Rhode Island College 1 12 0.00
196 Rhodes 14 4 0.00
197 RIT 10 7 0.00
198 Rivier 8 10 0.00
199 Roanoke 10 9 0.00
200 Rochester 12 6 0.00
201 Roger Williams 9 9 0.00
202 RPI 6 9 0.00
203 Sage 2 10 0.00
204 Salem State 8 6 0.00
205 Salve Regina 8 9 0.00
206 Sewanee 13 4 0.00
207 Shenandoah 13 7 0.00
208 Simmons 5 10 0.00
209 Skidmore 7 10 0.00
210 Smith 10 8 0.00
211 Southern Maine 14 5 0.00
212 Southern Virginia 8 7 0.00
213 Southwestern 1 13 0.00
214 Spalding 7 9 0.00
215 Springfield 11 7 0.00
216 St Benedict 6 7 0.00
217 St John Fisher 16 5 0.00
218 St Joseph (CT) 10 8 0.00
219 St Josephs (LI) 7 9 0.00
220 St Josephs College (ME) 17 4 0.00
221 St Lawrence 9 7 0.00
222 St Marys (IN) 8 6 0.00
223 St Marys (MD) 7 11 0.00
224 St Vincent 5 7 0.00
225 Stevenson 9 8 0.00
226 Stockton 11 6 0.00
227 Suffolk 8 10 0.00
228 SUNY Poly 3 12 0.00
229 Susquehanna 9 9 0.00
230 Sweet Briar 1 13 0.00
231 Thomas 4 8 0.00
232 Transylvania 10 8 0.00
233 Trine 5 8 0.00
234 U New England 6 8 0.00
235 Union 14 7 0.00
236 Ursinus 8 9 0.00
237 Utica 11 7 0.00
238 Vassar 7 8 0.00
239 Virginia Wesleyan 9 8 0.00
240 Warren Wilson 5 6 0.00
241 Washington & Jefferson 9 6 0.00
242 Wellesley 4 11 0.00
243 Wentworth Tech 5 10 0.00
244 Western Connecticut 14 4 0.00
245 Western New England 9 8 0.00
246 Westfield State 9 9 0.00
247 Westminster (PA) 8 8 0.00
248 Wheaton (MA) 11 7 0.00
249 Whitman 13 7 0.00
250 Whitworth 7 9 0.00
251 Widener 10 8 0.00
252 Wilkes 6 8 0.00
253 Willamette 7 10 0.00
254 Wilson 7 10 0.00
255 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 8 6 0.00
256 Wisconsin-La Crosse 13 5 0.00
257 Wisconsin-River Falls 15 4 0.00
258 Wisconsin-Stevens Point 6 8 0.00
259 Wisconsin-Stout 4 9 0.00
260 Wittenberg 4 13 0.00
261 Wooster 17 3 0.00
262 Worcester State 13 7 0.00