: Probability Women's Division I

            UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:45 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Middlebury 23 0 22.80
2 Salisbury 20 1 14.00
3 Wesleyan 19 4 13.20
4 Tufts 17 4 9.20
5 Trinity 14 6 5.60
6 William Smith 17 3 5.60
7 Washington & Lee 15 5 3.20
8 Bowdoin 6 9 2.40
9 Denison 19 2 2.40
10 TCNJ 18 3 2.40
11 Gettysburg 14 7 2.00
12 York 16 5 2.00
13 Amherst 13 5 1.60
14 Muhlenberg 11 5 1.60
15 Scranton 15 5 1.60
16 Williams 12 8 1.60
17 Christopher Newport 16 7 1.20
18 Franklin & Marshall 11 9 1.20
19 Haverford 14 7 1.20
20 Stevens 16 5 1.20
21 Hamilton 5 10 0.00
22 Messiah 15 6 0.00
23 Chicago 11 6 0.00
24 Colby 9 8 0.00
25 MIT 16 4 0.00
26 Pomona Pitzer 17 2 0.00
27 Rowan 15 5 0.00
28 Washington College 10 7 0.00
29 Adrian 10 5 0.00
30 Albertus Magnus 4 12 0.00
31 Albion 2 11 0.00
32 Albright 8 9 0.00
33 Alfred 5 8 0.00
34 Alfred State 9 5 0.00
35 Allegheny 4 9 0.00
36 Alma 1 10 0.00
37 Alvernia 3 14 0.00
38 Anna Maria 1 15 0.00
39 Arcadia 13 4 0.00
40 Augustana (IL) 8 8 0.00
41 Aurora 12 8 0.00
42 Babson 11 7 0.00
43 Baldwin Wallace 12 3 0.00
44 Bard 1 13 0.00
45 Bates 7 9 0.00
46 Berry 5 9 0.00
47 Bethany 6 8 0.00
48 Brevard 3 11 0.00
49 Bridgewater 9 9 0.00
50 Bridgewater State 9 11 0.00
51 Brockport 12 6 0.00
52 Buffalo State 9 8 0.00
53 Cal Lutheran 3 12 0.00
54 Calvin 11 4 0.00
55 Canton 5 9 0.00
56 Capital 3 8 0.00
57 Carroll 15 3 0.00
58 Carthage 16 4 0.00
59 Castleton 6 10 0.00
60 Catholic 10 8 0.00
61 Cedar Crest 6 9 0.00
62 Centenary (NJ) 4 8 0.00
63 Centre 6 7 0.00
64 Chapman 9 6 0.00
65 Chatham 12 4 0.00
66 Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 13 6 0.00
67 Clark 3 12 0.00
68 Clarkson 10 8 0.00
69 Coast Guard 14 3 0.00
70 Colby-Sawyer 14 5 0.00
71 Colorado College 16 4 0.00
72 Concordia-Wisconsin 7 9 0.00
73 Connecticut College 3 11 0.00
74 Cornell College 5 11 0.00
75 Cortland 15 5 0.00
76 Curry 4 12 0.00
77 Dean 3 13 0.00
78 Delaware Valley 5 12 0.00
79 DePauw 6 11 0.00
80 DeSales 13 6 0.00
81 Dickinson 7 11 0.00
82 Drew 9 7 0.00
83 Eastern 3 10 0.00
84 Eastern Connecticut 9 7 0.00
85 Eastern Mennonite 2 13 0.00
86 Edgewood 8 11 0.00
87 Elizabethtown 8 8 0.00
88 Elmhurst 4 11 0.00
89 Elms 3 14 0.00
90 Emerson 4 13 0.00
91 Emmanuel (MA) 15 5 0.00
92 Endicott 15 5 0.00
93 Farmingdale State 9 10 0.00
94 FDU-Florham 6 8 0.00
95 Ferrum 1 0 0.00
96 Fitchburg State 8 10 0.00
97 Framingham State 8 11 0.00
98 Franklin 1 7 0.00
99 Fredonia 9 9 0.00
100 Geneseo 11 8 0.00
101 Geneva College 2 12 0.00
102 George Fox 13 4 0.00
103 Goucher 5 10 0.00
104 Greensboro 5 9 0.00
105 Grove City 15 4 0.00
106 Guilford 6 9 0.00
107 Gwynedd Mercy 2 13 0.00
108 Hamline 10 6 0.00
109 Hanover 3 8 0.00
110 Hartford 11 7 0.00
111 Hartwick 7 10 0.00
112 Hood 7 8 0.00
113 Hope 15 4 0.00
114 Huntingdon 5 8 0.00
115 Husson 11 5 0.00
116 Illinois Tech 5 12 0.00
117 Illinois Wesleyan 6 11 0.00
118 Immaculata 5 12 0.00
119 Ithaca 12 6 0.00
120 John Carroll 9 7 0.00
121 Johnson & Wales 10 8 0.00
122 Kalamazoo 10 8 0.00
123 Kean 5 8 0.00
124 Keene State 8 10 0.00
125 Kenyon 9 8 0.00
126 Keuka 2 12 0.00
127 Kings 2 13 0.00
128 La Roche 5 5 0.00
129 Lake Forest 11 5 0.00
130 Lasell 13 4 0.00
131 Lawrence 2 11 0.00
132 Lebanon Valley 9 8 0.00
133 Lewis & Clark 11 7 0.00
134 Linfield 5 11 0.00
135 Lycoming 4 11 0.00
136 Lynchburg 10 7 0.00
137 Maine Maritime 8 5 0.00
138 Maine-Farmington 4 11 0.00
139 Manhattanville 6 9 0.00
140 Marian (WI) 3 13 0.00
141 Marietta 6 8 0.00
142 Maritime 2 9 0.00
143 Mary Washington 10 8 0.00
144 Marymount 8 8 0.00
145 Marywood 10 7 0.00
146 Massachusetts Maritime 1 12 0.00
147 Massachusetts-Boston 6 12 0.00
148 Massachusetts-Dartmouth 4 13 0.00
149 McDaniel 5 11 0.00
150 Merchant Marine 11 4 0.00
151 Meredith 17 5 0.00
152 Methodist 13 6 0.00
153 Misericordia 9 8 0.00
154 Montclair State 6 8 0.00
155 Moravian 12 6 0.00
156 Morrisville 5 8 0.00
157 Mount Aloysius 4 6 0.00
158 Mount Holyoke 8 7 0.00
159 Mount St Mary (NY) 8 6 0.00
160 Mount St Vincent 3 9 0.00
161 Mount Union 11 6 0.00
162 MSOE 9 11 0.00
163 Muskingum 5 11 0.00
164 Nazareth 4 14 0.00
165 Neumann 9 8 0.00
166 New England College 9 7 0.00
167 New Paltz 12 6 0.00
168 Nichols 6 7 0.00
169 North Carolina Wesleyan 2 9 0.00
170 North Central (IL) 4 9 0.00
171 Norwich 14 4 0.00
172 Oberlin 10 7 0.00
173 Occidental 6 9 0.00
174 Oglethorpe 5 10 0.00
175 Ohio Northern 9 9 0.00
176 Ohio Wesleyan 9 7 0.00
177 Old Westbury 2 10 0.00
178 Oneonta 10 6 0.00
179 Oswego 13 5 0.00
180 Otterbein 10 7 0.00
181 Pacific 7 8 0.00
182 Pacific Lutheran 2 13 0.00
183 Pfeiffer 10 6 0.00
184 Piedmont 10 8 0.00
185 Plattsburgh 2 13 0.00
186 Plymouth State 8 10 0.00
187 Potsdam 3 12 0.00
188 Puget Sound 3 12 0.00
189 Ramapo 5 11 0.00
190 Randolph 1 12 0.00
191 Randolph-Macon 13 6 0.00
192 Redlands 8 7 0.00
193 Regis (MA) 4 10 0.00
194 Rhode Island College 1 12 0.00
195 Rhodes 14 4 0.00
196 RIT 10 7 0.00
197 Rivier 8 10 0.00
198 Roanoke 10 9 0.00
199 Rochester 12 6 0.00
200 Roger Williams 9 9 0.00
201 RPI 6 9 0.00
202 Sage 2 10 0.00
203 Salem State 8 6 0.00
204 Salve Regina 8 9 0.00
205 Sewanee 13 4 0.00
206 Shenandoah 13 7 0.00
207 Simmons 5 10 0.00
208 Skidmore 7 10 0.00
209 Smith 10 8 0.00
210 Southern Maine 14 5 0.00
211 Southern Virginia 8 7 0.00
212 Southwestern 1 13 0.00
213 Spalding 7 9 0.00
214 Springfield 11 7 0.00
215 St Benedict 6 7 0.00
216 St John Fisher 16 5 0.00
217 St Joseph (CT) 10 8 0.00
218 St Josephs (LI) 7 9 0.00
219 St Josephs College (ME) 17 4 0.00
220 St Lawrence 9 7 0.00
221 St Marys (IN) 8 6 0.00
222 St Marys (MD) 7 11 0.00
223 St Vincent 5 7 0.00
224 Stevenson 9 8 0.00
225 Stockton 11 6 0.00
226 Suffolk 8 10 0.00
227 SUNY Poly 3 12 0.00
228 Susquehanna 9 9 0.00
229 Swarthmore 13 5 0.00
230 Sweet Briar 1 13 0.00
231 Thomas 4 8 0.00
232 Transylvania 10 8 0.00
233 Trine 5 8 0.00
234 U New England 6 8 0.00
235 Union 14 7 0.00
236 Ursinus 8 9 0.00
237 Utica 11 7 0.00
238 Vassar 7 8 0.00
239 Virginia Wesleyan 9 8 0.00
240 Warren Wilson 5 6 0.00
241 Washington & Jefferson 9 6 0.00
242 Wellesley 4 11 0.00
243 Wentworth Tech 5 10 0.00
244 Western Connecticut 14 4 0.00
245 Western New England 9 8 0.00
246 Westfield State 9 9 0.00
247 Westminster (PA) 8 8 0.00
248 Wheaton (MA) 11 7 0.00
249 Whitman 13 7 0.00
250 Whitworth 7 9 0.00
251 Widener 10 8 0.00
252 Wilkes 6 8 0.00
253 Willamette 7 10 0.00
254 Wilson 7 10 0.00
255 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 8 6 0.00
256 Wisconsin-La Crosse 13 5 0.00
257 Wisconsin-River Falls 15 4 0.00
258 Wisconsin-Stevens Point 6 8 0.00
259 Wisconsin-Stout 4 9 0.00
260 Wittenberg 4 13 0.00
261 Wooster 17 3 0.00
262 Worcester State 13 7 0.00