: Probability Men's Division III

            UPDATED: 05-28-26 09:31 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 22 1 28.00
2 Bowdoin 19 2 11.20
3 Babson 18 3 8.80
4 RIT 19 5 8.00
5 Stevens 18 3 5.60
6 Wesleyan 14 5 5.60
7 Gettysburg 12 5 4.00
8 Amherst 8 8 2.40
9 Middlebury 9 8 2.40
10 Washington & Lee 16 6 2.40
11 Christopher Newport 18 4 2.00
12 Ithaca 11 7 2.00
13 St Lawrence 12 7 2.00
14 York 20 2 2.00
15 Bates 12 6 1.60
16 Hamilton 9 8 1.60
17 Salisbury 17 4 1.60
18 St John Fisher 17 3 1.60
19 Trinity 6 9 1.60
20 Williams 8 10 1.60
21 Connecticut College 5 9 1.20
22 Cortland 15 6 0.00
23 Dickinson 15 4 0.00
24 Lynchburg 17 4 0.00
25 Nazareth 12 7 0.00
26 RPI 9 8 0.00
27 Union 8 12 0.00
28 Adrian 3 12 0.00
29 Albertus Magnus 3 11 0.00
30 Albion 12 7 0.00
31 Albright 3 13 0.00
32 Alfred 7 9 0.00
33 Alfred State 7 8 0.00
34 Allegheny 6 10 0.00
35 Alma 3 10 0.00
36 Alvernia 8 8 0.00
37 Anna Maria 1 14 0.00
38 Arcadia 12 7 0.00
39 Augustana 3 12 0.00
40 Aurora 13 4 0.00
41 Averett 1 14 0.00
42 Baldwin Wallace 14 5 0.00
43 Beloit 5 10 0.00
44 Benedictine (IL) 11 6 0.00
45 Berry 6 8 0.00
46 Bethany 1 15 0.00
47 Bridgewater 10 8 0.00
48 Brockport 4 12 0.00
49 Cairn 2 9 0.00
50 Calvin 13 4 0.00
51 Canton 1 8 0.00
52 Capital 8 9 0.00
53 Carroll 3 12 0.00
54 Carthage 9 9 0.00
55 Castleton 2 13 0.00
56 Catholic 13 6 0.00
57 Centenary (LA) 10 4 0.00
58 Centre 10 3 0.00
59 Chatham 14 4 0.00
60 Clark 1 14 0.00
61 Clarkson 8 6 0.00
62 Coast Guard 5 10 0.00
63 Cobleskill 1 4 0.00
64 Colby 3 10 0.00
65 Colorado College 11 3 0.00
66 Concordia-Wisconsin 19 2 0.00
67 Cornell College 3 12 0.00
68 Curry 3 12 0.00
69 Dean College 8 7 0.00
70 Delaware Valley 1 14 0.00
71 Delhi 5 8 0.00
72 Denison 7 9 0.00
73 DePauw 6 9 0.00
74 DeSales 8 10 0.00
75 Drew 7 9 0.00
76 Dubuque 6 10 0.00
77 Earlham 1 12 0.00
78 Eastern 5 13 0.00
79 Eastern Connecticut 4 8 0.00
80 Edgewood 4 12 0.00
81 Elizabethtown 9 10 0.00
82 Elmhurst 15 4 0.00
83 Elmira 2 5 0.00
84 Emerson 4 11 0.00
85 Emmanuel (MA) 6 9 0.00
86 Endicott 14 4 0.00
87 Farmingdale State 12 4 0.00
88 FDU-Florham 8 9 0.00
89 Franciscan 8 9 0.00
90 Franklin & Marshall 7 8 0.00
91 Geneseo 12 6 0.00
92 Goucher 7 10 0.00
93 Greensboro 12 5 0.00
94 Grove City 14 8 0.00
95 Guilford 2 12 0.00
96 Gwynedd Mercy 7 6 0.00
97 Hampden-Sydney 10 9 0.00
98 Hanover 7 8 0.00
99 Hartford 11 6 0.00
100 Hartwick 5 11 0.00
101 Haverford 9 7 0.00
102 Heidelberg 5 11 0.00
103 Hendrix 2 10 0.00
104 Hilbert 3 5 0.00
105 Hiram 6 11 0.00
106 Hood 8 7 0.00
107 Hope 20 1 0.00
108 Huntingdon 7 9 0.00
109 Husson 12 5 0.00
110 Illinois Tech 7 11 0.00
111 Illinois Wesleyan 11 7 0.00
112 Immaculata 12 6 0.00
113 John Carroll 3 8 0.00
114 Johnson & Wales 4 8 0.00
115 Juniata 1 15 0.00
116 Kalamazoo 5 9 0.00
117 Kean 7 11 0.00
118 Keene State 9 7 0.00
119 Kenyon 10 7 0.00
120 Keuka 5 11 0.00
121 Kings 3 11 0.00
122 LaGrange 2 8 0.00
123 Lake Forest 11 7 0.00
124 Lasell 9 8 0.00
125 Lawrence 7 10 0.00
126 Lebanon Valley 13 5 0.00
127 Lycoming 3 12 0.00
128 Maine Maritime 10 5 0.00
129 Manhattanville 7 9 0.00
130 Marietta 6 9 0.00
131 Maritime 10 9 0.00
132 Mary Washington 8 9 0.00
133 Marymount 9 8 0.00
134 Marywood 6 11 0.00
135 Massachusetts Maritime 16 3 0.00
136 Massachusetts-Boston 11 8 0.00
137 McDaniel 5 11 0.00
138 MCLA 5 6 0.00
139 Merchant Marine 11 6 0.00
140 Messiah 9 6 0.00
141 Methodist 8 9 0.00
142 Misericordia 9 7 0.00
143 MIT 9 8 0.00
144 Montclair State 11 3 0.00
145 Moravian 9 7 0.00
146 Morrisville 8 7 0.00
147 Mount St Mary (NY) 4 11 0.00
148 Mount St Vincent 6 11 0.00
149 Mount Union 9 8 0.00
150 MSOE 13 6 0.00
151 Muhlenberg 10 8 0.00
152 Muskingum 7 10 0.00
153 New England College 3 11 0.00
154 New Paltz 3 12 0.00
155 Nichols 8 10 0.00
156 North Central 3 13 0.00
157 Norwich 8 8 0.00
158 Oberlin 12 6 0.00
159 Oglethorpe 2 11 0.00
160 Ohio Northern 14 7 0.00
161 Ohio Wesleyan 10 7 0.00
162 Oneonta 10 8 0.00
163 Oswego 9 5 0.00
164 Otterbein 8 8 0.00
165 Penn College 13 5 0.00
166 Pfeiffer 15 3 0.00
167 Piedmont 9 8 0.00
168 Pitt-Bradford 11 6 0.00
169 Plattsburgh 8 6 0.00
170 Plymouth State 7 9 0.00
171 Potsdam 10 5 0.00
172 Purchase 1 11 0.00
173 Randolph 3 14 0.00
174 Randolph-Macon 13 5 0.00
175 Regis (MA) 4 9 0.00
176 Rhodes 13 7 0.00
177 Rivier 17 1 0.00
178 Roanoke 14 6 0.00
179 Roger Williams 9 10 0.00
180 Sage 3 9 0.00
181 Salem State 8 7 0.00
182 Salve Regina 9 6 0.00
183 Scranton 14 7 0.00
184 Sewanee 12 6 0.00
185 Shenandoah 5 13 0.00
186 Skidmore 10 6 0.00
187 Southern Maine 3 12 0.00
188 Southern Virginia 9 8 0.00
189 Southwestern 7 10 0.00
190 Spalding 3 12 0.00
191 Springfield 10 6 0.00
192 St Joseph (CT) 13 3 0.00
193 St Josephs (LI) 4 9 0.00
194 St Josephs (ME) 9 9 0.00
195 St Marys (MD) 12 7 0.00
196 St Vincent 10 7 0.00
197 Stevenson 8 10 0.00
198 Stockton 12 5 0.00
199 SUNY Poly 6 10 0.00
200 Susquehanna 9 10 0.00
201 Swarthmore 11 8 0.00
202 Thiel 2 13 0.00
203 Thomas 7 8 0.00
204 Transylvania 12 5 0.00
205 Trine 14 5 0.00
206 U of New England 6 11 0.00
207 Ursinus 5 10 0.00
208 Utica 7 10 0.00
209 Vassar 6 9 0.00
210 Virginia Wesleyan 11 7 0.00
211 Wabash 3 12 0.00
212 Warren Wilson 1 8 0.00
213 Washington & Jefferson 6 11 0.00
214 Washington College 12 6 0.00
215 Wentworth 8 8 0.00
216 Western Connecticut 15 4 0.00
217 Western New England 13 7 0.00
218 Westminster (PA) 12 7 0.00
219 Wheaton 9 6 0.00
220 Widener 3 13 0.00
221 Wilkes 5 12 0.00
222 William Peace 8 9 0.00
223 Wilmington (OH) 5 11 0.00
224 Wittenberg 1 15 0.00
225 Wooster 12 6 0.00