: Probability Men's Division III

            UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 18 0 30.00
2 Christopher Newport 16 3 20.00
3 Bowdoin 13 3 10.00
4 Endicott 13 3 10.00
5 RIT 18 1 10.00
6 RPI 14 3 10.00
7 Wesleyan 12 5 10.00
8 Adrian 11 7 0.00
9 Albertus Magnus 5 10 0.00
10 Albion 11 8 0.00
11 Albright 1 16 0.00
12 Alfred 6 9 0.00
13 Alfred State 7 6 0.00
14 Allegheny 8 9 0.00
15 Alma 6 7 0.00
16 Alvernia 7 9 0.00
17 Amherst 10 5 0.00
18 Anderson (IN) 3 11 0.00
19 Anna Maria 4 11 0.00
20 Arcadia 12 7 0.00
21 Aurora 14 5 0.00
22 Averett 4 13 0.00
23 Babson 13 5 0.00
24 Baldwin Wallace 14 5 0.00
25 Bates 9 7 0.00
26 Beloit 4 11 0.00
27 Benedictine (IL) 6 12 0.00
28 Berry 4 9 0.00
29 Bethany 7 9 0.00
30 Brevard 2 12 0.00
31 Bridgewater 5 12 0.00
32 Brockport 8 9 0.00
33 Bryn Athyn 3 7 0.00
34 Calvin 6 10 0.00
35 Canton 1 11 0.00
36 Capital 6 10 0.00
37 Carroll 5 8 0.00
38 Carthage 11 5 0.00
39 Castleton 3 12 0.00
40 Catholic 9 10 0.00
41 Centenary (LA) 5 5 0.00
42 Centre 9 7 0.00
43 Chatham 13 6 0.00
44 Clark 9 6 0.00
45 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
46 Coast Guard 9 6 0.00
47 Cobleskill 2 7 0.00
48 Colby 3 10 0.00
49 Colorado College 8 6 0.00
50 Concordia-Wisconsin 12 8 0.00
51 Connecticut College 7 8 0.00
52 Cornell College 4 11 0.00
53 Cortland 17 2 0.00
54 Curry 2 14 0.00
55 Dean College 12 4 0.00
56 Delaware Valley 4 12 0.00
57 Delhi 11 5 0.00
58 Denison 13 6 0.00
59 DePauw 5 9 0.00
60 DeSales 10 10 0.00
61 Dickinson 13 5 0.00
62 Drew 10 7 0.00
63 Dubuque 11 7 0.00
64 Earlham 6 7 0.00
65 Eastern 9 9 0.00
66 Eastern Connecticut 6 8 0.00
67 Edgewood 4 11 0.00
68 Elizabethtown 11 7 0.00
69 Elmhurst 13 3 0.00
70 Emerson 2 12 0.00
71 Emmanuel (MA) 10 8 0.00
72 Farmingdale State 16 1 0.00
73 FDU-Florham 10 6 0.00
74 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
75 Franklin & Marshall 11 6 0.00
76 Geneseo 11 7 0.00
77 Gettysburg 13 4 0.00
78 Gordon 1 11 0.00
79 Goucher 9 8 0.00
80 Greensboro 5 12 0.00
81 Grove City 13 7 0.00
82 Guilford 5 13 0.00
83 Gwynedd Mercy 6 10 0.00
84 Hamilton 7 8 0.00
85 Hampden-Sydney 12 6 0.00
86 Hanover 10 3 0.00
87 Hartford 9 6 0.00
88 Hartwick 9 7 0.00
89 Haverford 9 7 0.00
90 Heidelberg 4 12 0.00
91 Hendrix 4 11 0.00
92 Hilbert 4 6 0.00
93 Hiram 3 14 0.00
94 Hood 9 5 0.00
95 Hope 11 5 0.00
96 Huntingdon 4 9 0.00
97 Husson 8 7 0.00
98 Illinois Tech 8 9 0.00
99 Illinois Wesleyan 14 2 0.00
100 Immaculata 14 5 0.00
101 Ithaca 10 9 0.00
102 John Carroll 9 8 0.00
103 Johnson & Wales 7 9 0.00
104 Juniata 3 14 0.00
105 Kalamazoo 6 7 0.00
106 Kean 14 5 0.00
107 Keene State 8 10 0.00
108 Kenyon 10 6 0.00
109 Keuka 3 12 0.00
110 Kings 2 13 0.00
111 La Roche 1 11 0.00
112 LaGrange 2 7 0.00
113 Lake Forest 10 8 0.00
114 Lasell 14 5 0.00
115 Lawrence 4 11 0.00
116 Lebanon Valley 7 10 0.00
117 Lycoming 6 9 0.00
118 Lynchburg 13 6 0.00
119 Maine Maritime 10 5 0.00
120 Manhattanville 5 12 0.00
121 Marian (WI) 1 12 0.00
122 Marietta 8 8 0.00
123 Maritime 8 8 0.00
124 Mary Washington 9 8 0.00
125 Marymount 11 6 0.00
126 Marywood 9 9 0.00
127 Massachusetts Maritime 9 7 0.00
128 Massachusetts-Boston 14 5 0.00
129 McDaniel 4 13 0.00
130 MCLA 2 9 0.00
131 Merchant Marine 10 6 0.00
132 Messiah 6 11 0.00
133 Methodist 12 7 0.00
134 Middlebury 9 8 0.00
135 Misericordia 8 9 0.00
136 MIT 7 8 0.00
137 Montclair State 8 8 0.00
138 Moravian 9 7 0.00
139 Morrisville 2 10 0.00
140 Mount St Mary (NY) 5 9 0.00
141 Mount St Vincent 5 10 0.00
142 Mount Union 12 5 0.00
143 MSOE 10 7 0.00
144 Muhlenberg 10 9 0.00
145 Muskingum 5 12 0.00
146 Nazareth 13 6 0.00
147 Neumann 4 13 0.00
148 New England College 7 9 0.00
149 New Paltz 6 11 0.00
150 Nichols 3 14 0.00
151 North Central 7 6 0.00
152 Norwich 4 11 0.00
153 Oberlin 11 5 0.00
154 Oglethorpe 2 11 0.00
155 Ohio Northern 15 4 0.00
156 Ohio Wesleyan 15 3 0.00
157 Oneonta 9 10 0.00
158 Oswego 10 5 0.00
159 Otterbein 9 7 0.00
160 Penn College 14 5 0.00
161 Pfeiffer 14 3 0.00
162 Piedmont 10 5 0.00
163 Pitt-Bradford 5 7 0.00
164 Plattsburgh 6 8 0.00
165 Plymouth State 11 5 0.00
166 Potsdam 8 7 0.00
167 Purchase 3 12 0.00
168 Randolph 1 16 0.00
169 Randolph-Macon 12 8 0.00
170 Regis (MA) 2 10 0.00
171 Rhodes 13 4 0.00
172 Rivier 16 1 0.00
173 Roanoke 13 6 0.00
174 Roger Williams 9 8 0.00
175 Rosemont 5 7 0.00
176 Sage 5 12 0.00
177 Salem State 8 8 0.00
178 Salisbury 19 0 0.00
179 Salve Regina 12 6 0.00
180 Scranton 11 8 0.00
181 Sewanee 11 7 0.00
182 Shenandoah 8 11 0.00
183 Skidmore 8 7 0.00
184 Southern Maine 1 14 0.00
185 Southern Virginia 7 9 0.00
186 Southwestern 7 7 0.00
187 Springfield 10 7 0.00
188 St John Fisher 15 4 0.00
189 St Joseph (CT) 9 8 0.00
190 St Josephs (LI) 3 9 0.00
191 St Josephs (ME) 7 9 0.00
192 St Lawrence 11 6 0.00
193 St Marys (MD) 9 7 0.00
194 St Vincent 9 8 0.00
195 Stevens 15 3 0.00
196 Stevenson 14 5 0.00
197 Stockton 9 10 0.00
198 SUNY Poly 5 10 0.00
199 Susquehanna 13 6 0.00
200 Swarthmore 12 5 0.00
201 Thiel 1 14 0.00
202 Thomas 4 10 0.00
203 Transylvania 8 5 0.00
204 Trine 12 6 0.00
205 Trinity 8 7 0.00
206 U of New England 8 9 0.00
207 Union 4 10 0.00
208 Ursinus 5 10 0.00
209 Utica 6 10 0.00
210 Vassar 6 9 0.00
211 Virginia Wesleyan 7 11 0.00
212 Wabash 8 8 0.00
213 Warren Wilson 1 9 0.00
214 Washington & Jefferson 5 12 0.00
215 Washington & Lee 16 3 0.00
216 Washington College 7 10 0.00
217 Wentworth 13 4 0.00
218 Western Connecticut 13 6 0.00
219 Western New England 8 9 0.00
220 Westminster (PA) 10 8 0.00
221 Wheaton 7 8 0.00
222 Widener 4 14 0.00
223 Wilkes 4 13 0.00
224 William Peace 6 8 0.00
225 Williams 7 9 0.00
226 Wilmington (OH) 4 13 0.00
227 Wittenberg 5 9 0.00
228 Wooster 9 8 0.00
229 York 16 3 0.00