: Probability Men's Division III

            UPDATED: 10-17-25 08:04 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Tufts 18 0 30.00
2 Christopher Newport 16 3 20.00
3 Denison 13 6 10.00
4 Bowdoin 13 3 5.00
5 Endicott 13 3 5.00
6 Ithaca 10 9 5.00
7 RIT 18 1 5.00
8 RPI 14 3 5.00
9 Salisbury 19 0 5.00
10 St Lawrence 11 6 5.00
11 Wesleyan 12 5 5.00
12 Adrian 11 7 0.00
13 Albertus Magnus 5 10 0.00
14 Albion 11 8 0.00
15 Albright 1 16 0.00
16 Alfred 6 9 0.00
17 Alfred State 7 6 0.00
18 Allegheny 8 9 0.00
19 Alma 6 7 0.00
20 Alvernia 7 9 0.00
21 Amherst 10 5 0.00
22 Anderson (IN) 3 11 0.00
23 Anna Maria 4 11 0.00
24 Arcadia 12 7 0.00
25 Aurora 14 5 0.00
26 Averett 4 13 0.00
27 Babson 13 5 0.00
28 Baldwin Wallace 14 5 0.00
29 Bates 9 7 0.00
30 Beloit 4 11 0.00
31 Benedictine (IL) 6 12 0.00
32 Berry 4 9 0.00
33 Bethany 7 9 0.00
34 Brevard 2 12 0.00
35 Bridgewater 5 12 0.00
36 Brockport 8 9 0.00
37 Bryn Athyn 3 7 0.00
38 Calvin 6 10 0.00
39 Canton 1 11 0.00
40 Capital 6 10 0.00
41 Carroll 5 8 0.00
42 Carthage 11 5 0.00
43 Castleton 3 12 0.00
44 Catholic 9 10 0.00
45 Centenary (LA) 5 5 0.00
46 Centre 9 7 0.00
47 Chatham 13 6 0.00
48 Clark 9 6 0.00
49 Clarkson 8 8 0.00
50 Coast Guard 9 6 0.00
51 Cobleskill 2 7 0.00
52 Colby 3 10 0.00
53 Colorado College 8 6 0.00
54 Concordia-Wisconsin 12 8 0.00
55 Connecticut College 7 8 0.00
56 Cornell College 4 11 0.00
57 Cortland 17 2 0.00
58 Curry 2 14 0.00
59 Dean College 12 4 0.00
60 Delaware Valley 4 12 0.00
61 Delhi 11 5 0.00
62 DePauw 5 9 0.00
63 DeSales 10 10 0.00
64 Dickinson 13 5 0.00
65 Drew 10 7 0.00
66 Dubuque 11 7 0.00
67 Earlham 6 7 0.00
68 Eastern 9 9 0.00
69 Eastern Connecticut 6 8 0.00
70 Edgewood 4 11 0.00
71 Elizabethtown 11 7 0.00
72 Elmhurst 13 3 0.00
73 Emerson 2 12 0.00
74 Emmanuel (MA) 10 8 0.00
75 Farmingdale State 16 1 0.00
76 FDU-Florham 10 6 0.00
77 Franciscan 5 9 0.00
78 Franklin & Marshall 11 6 0.00
79 Geneseo 11 7 0.00
80 Gettysburg 13 4 0.00
81 Gordon 1 11 0.00
82 Goucher 9 8 0.00
83 Greensboro 5 12 0.00
84 Grove City 13 7 0.00
85 Guilford 5 13 0.00
86 Gwynedd Mercy 6 10 0.00
87 Hamilton 7 8 0.00
88 Hampden-Sydney 12 6 0.00
89 Hanover 10 3 0.00
90 Hartford 9 6 0.00
91 Hartwick 9 7 0.00
92 Haverford 9 7 0.00
93 Heidelberg 4 12 0.00
94 Hendrix 4 11 0.00
95 Hilbert 4 6 0.00
96 Hiram 3 14 0.00
97 Hood 9 5 0.00
98 Hope 11 5 0.00
99 Huntingdon 4 9 0.00
100 Husson 8 7 0.00
101 Illinois Tech 8 9 0.00
102 Illinois Wesleyan 14 2 0.00
103 Immaculata 14 5 0.00
104 John Carroll 9 8 0.00
105 Johnson & Wales 7 9 0.00
106 Juniata 3 14 0.00
107 Kalamazoo 6 7 0.00
108 Kean 14 5 0.00
109 Keene State 8 10 0.00
110 Kenyon 10 6 0.00
111 Keuka 3 12 0.00
112 Kings 2 13 0.00
113 La Roche 1 11 0.00
114 LaGrange 2 7 0.00
115 Lake Forest 10 8 0.00
116 Lasell 14 5 0.00
117 Lawrence 4 11 0.00
118 Lebanon Valley 7 10 0.00
119 Lycoming 6 9 0.00
120 Lynchburg 13 6 0.00
121 Maine Maritime 10 5 0.00
122 Manhattanville 5 12 0.00
123 Marian (WI) 1 12 0.00
124 Marietta 8 8 0.00
125 Maritime 8 8 0.00
126 Mary Washington 9 8 0.00
127 Marymount 11 6 0.00
128 Marywood 9 9 0.00
129 Massachusetts Maritime 9 7 0.00
130 Massachusetts-Boston 14 5 0.00
131 McDaniel 4 13 0.00
132 MCLA 2 9 0.00
133 Merchant Marine 10 6 0.00
134 Messiah 6 11 0.00
135 Methodist 12 7 0.00
136 Middlebury 9 8 0.00
137 Misericordia 8 9 0.00
138 MIT 7 8 0.00
139 Montclair State 8 8 0.00
140 Moravian 9 7 0.00
141 Morrisville 2 10 0.00
142 Mount St Mary (NY) 5 9 0.00
143 Mount St Vincent 5 10 0.00
144 Mount Union 12 5 0.00
145 MSOE 10 7 0.00
146 Muhlenberg 10 9 0.00
147 Muskingum 5 12 0.00
148 Nazareth 13 6 0.00
149 Neumann 4 13 0.00
150 New England College 7 9 0.00
151 New Paltz 6 11 0.00
152 Nichols 3 14 0.00
153 North Central 7 6 0.00
154 Norwich 4 11 0.00
155 Oberlin 11 5 0.00
156 Oglethorpe 2 11 0.00
157 Ohio Northern 15 4 0.00
158 Ohio Wesleyan 15 3 0.00
159 Oneonta 9 10 0.00
160 Oswego 10 5 0.00
161 Otterbein 9 7 0.00
162 Penn College 14 5 0.00
163 Pfeiffer 14 3 0.00
164 Piedmont 10 5 0.00
165 Pitt-Bradford 5 7 0.00
166 Plattsburgh 6 8 0.00
167 Plymouth State 11 5 0.00
168 Potsdam 8 7 0.00
169 Purchase 3 12 0.00
170 Randolph 1 16 0.00
171 Randolph-Macon 12 8 0.00
172 Regis (MA) 2 10 0.00
173 Rhodes 13 4 0.00
174 Rivier 16 1 0.00
175 Roanoke 13 6 0.00
176 Roger Williams 9 8 0.00
177 Rosemont 5 7 0.00
178 Sage 5 12 0.00
179 Salem State 8 8 0.00
180 Salve Regina 12 6 0.00
181 Scranton 11 8 0.00
182 Sewanee 11 7 0.00
183 Shenandoah 8 11 0.00
184 Skidmore 8 7 0.00
185 Southern Maine 1 14 0.00
186 Southern Virginia 7 9 0.00
187 Southwestern 7 7 0.00
188 Springfield 10 7 0.00
189 St John Fisher 15 4 0.00
190 St Joseph (CT) 9 8 0.00
191 St Josephs (LI) 3 9 0.00
192 St Josephs (ME) 7 9 0.00
193 St Marys (MD) 9 7 0.00
194 St Vincent 9 8 0.00
195 Stevens 15 3 0.00
196 Stevenson 14 5 0.00
197 Stockton 9 10 0.00
198 SUNY Poly 5 10 0.00
199 Susquehanna 13 6 0.00
200 Swarthmore 12 5 0.00
201 Thiel 1 14 0.00
202 Thomas 4 10 0.00
203 Transylvania 8 5 0.00
204 Trine 12 6 0.00
205 Trinity 8 7 0.00
206 U of New England 8 9 0.00
207 Union 4 10 0.00
208 Ursinus 5 10 0.00
209 Utica 6 10 0.00
210 Vassar 6 9 0.00
211 Virginia Wesleyan 7 11 0.00
212 Wabash 8 8 0.00
213 Warren Wilson 1 9 0.00
214 Washington & Jefferson 5 12 0.00
215 Washington & Lee 16 3 0.00
216 Washington College 7 10 0.00
217 Wentworth 13 4 0.00
218 Western Connecticut 13 6 0.00
219 Western New England 8 9 0.00
220 Westminster (PA) 10 8 0.00
221 Wheaton 7 8 0.00
222 Widener 4 14 0.00
223 Wilkes 4 13 0.00
224 William Peace 6 8 0.00
225 Williams 7 9 0.00
226 Wilmington (OH) 4 13 0.00
227 Wittenberg 5 9 0.00
228 Wooster 9 8 0.00
229 York 16 3 0.00