: Probability Men's Division I

            UPDATED: 05-22-26 09:07 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Notre Dame 12 2 14.40
2 Princeton 15 2 10.40
3 Duke 11 4 9.60
4 Richmond 14 2 8.40
5 Cornell 11 5 5.60
6 Penn State 10 6 5.20
7 Army 13 4 4.80
8 Syracuse 13 5 4.80
9 Ohio State 10 4 4.40
10 Maryland 7 6 4.00
11 Georgetown 11 5 3.60
12 Johns Hopkins 10 6 3.20
13 North Carolina 13 5 2.80
14 Jacksonville 11 6 2.00
15 Virginia 10 7 2.00
16 Yale 9 6 2.00
17 Pennsylvania 7 6 1.60
18 St Josephs 7 6 1.60
19 Denver 6 8 1.20
20 Harvard 9 5 1.20
21 High Point 6 8 1.20
22 Loyola 10 6 1.20
23 Michigan 5 9 1.20
24 Utah 9 5 1.20
25 Rutgers 8 7 0.00
26 Albany 11 6 0.00
27 Brown 6 7 0.00
28 Dartmouth 4 9 0.00
29 Towson 11 4 0.00
30 Air Force 7 8 0.00
31 Bellarmine 5 11 0.00
32 Binghamton 2 11 0.00
33 Boston Univ 8 6 0.00
34 Bryant 7 6 0.00
35 Bucknell 8 7 0.00
36 Canisius 3 11 0.00
37 Cleveland State 6 8 0.00
38 Colgate 6 9 0.00
39 Delaware 5 8 0.00
40 Detroit Mercy 3 10 0.00
41 Drexel 9 6 0.00
42 Fairfield 4 10 0.00
43 Hobart 3 10 0.00
44 Hofstra 4 10 0.00
45 Holy Cross 6 8 0.00
46 Iona 2 15 0.00
47 Lafayette 5 9 0.00
48 Le Moyne 4 11 0.00
49 Lehigh 8 8 0.00
50 LIU 11 4 0.00
51 Manhattan 4 10 0.00
52 Marist 12 5 0.00
53 Marquette 6 7 0.00
54 Massachusetts 10 6 0.00
55 UMassLowell 2 10 0.00
56 Mercer 6 8 0.00
57 Mercyhurst 2 12 0.00
58 Merrimack 7 9 0.00
59 Monmouth 6 7 0.00
60 Mt St Marys 3 10 0.00
61 Navy 7 7 0.00
62 NJIT 4 9 0.00
63 Providence 8 9 0.00
64 Queens 4 9 0.00
65 Quinnipiac 5 10 0.00
66 Robert Morris 14 4 0.00
67 Sacred Heart 11 4 0.00
68 Siena 12 5 0.00
69 St Bonnies 4 10 0.00
70 St Johns 2 12 0.00
71 Stony Brook 10 6 0.00
72 UMBC 6 7 0.00
73 Vermont 7 7 0.00
74 Villanova 6 8 0.00
75 VMI 7 7 0.00
76 Wagner 5 8 0.00