: Probability Men's Division I

            UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Cornell 14 1 20.00
2 Syracuse 11 5 20.00
3 Army 12 2 10.00
4 Boston Univ 11 5 10.00
5 Colgate 10 7 10.00
6 Lehigh 5 10 10.00
7 Notre Dame 8 4 10.00
8 Siena 11 4 10.00
9 Air Force 8 7 0.00
10 Albany 7 8 0.00
11 Bellarmine 8 9 0.00
12 Binghamton 5 8 0.00
13 Brown 3 10 0.00
14 Bryant 9 4 0.00
15 Bucknell 5 9 0.00
16 Canisius 6 10 0.00
17 Cleveland St 4 10 0.00
18 Dartmouth 8 5 0.00
19 Delaware 7 6 0.00
20 Denver 7 7 0.00
21 Detroit 5 6 0.00
22 Drexel 7 7 0.00
23 Duke 12 5 0.00
24 Fairfield 12 2 0.00
25 Georgetown 10 5 0.00
26 Harvard 10 4 0.00
27 High Point 7 9 0.00
28 Hobart 5 9 0.00
29 Hofstra 8 6 0.00
30 Holy Cross 4 11 0.00
31 Iona 2 13 0.00
32 Jacksonville 9 5 0.00
33 JHU 6 8 0.00
34 Lafayette 10 6 0.00
35 Le Moyne 9 5 0.00
36 LIU 9 4 0.00
37 Loyola 3 11 0.00
38 Manhattan 6 9 0.00
39 Marist 8 8 0.00
40 Marquette 7 7 0.00
41 Maryland 11 3 0.00
42 UMass 9 6 0.00
43 Mass-Lowell 4 9 0.00
44 Mercer 2 11 0.00
45 Mercyhurst 2 11 0.00
46 Merrimack 3 10 0.00
47 Michigan 7 7 0.00
48 Monmouth 5 9 0.00
49 Mt St Marys 4 10 0.00
50 Navy 8 7 0.00
51 NJIT 1 11 0.00
52 No Carolina 10 4 0.00
53 Ohio State 14 2 0.00
54 Penn 4 10 0.00
55 Penn State 10 4 0.00
56 Princeton 12 3 0.00
57 Providence 7 8 0.00
58 Queens 3 11 0.00
59 Quinnipiac 3 12 0.00
60 Richmond 13 3 0.00
61 Rob Morris 9 5 0.00
62 Rutgers 7 9 0.00
63 Sacred Heart 12 3 0.00
64 St B'venture 6 10 0.00
65 St Johns 4 11 0.00
66 St Josephs 9 6 0.00
67 Stony Brook 7 7 0.00
68 Towson 9 5 0.00
69 UMBC 7 4 0.00
70 Utah 6 9 0.00
71 Vermont 5 7 0.00
72 Villanova 9 6 0.00
73 Virginia 6 8 0.00
74 VMI 10 4 0.00
75 Wagner 1 13 0.00
76 Yale 5 8 0.00