Probability College Football Playoff     ---    UPDATED: 11-04-25 19:27 PDT

The odds presented here represent the probability that a team will be champion of its (college)
division or (high school) state. A Monte Carlo technique was employed over many simulated
seasonal schedules to produce the results. The seeding during the season was based on the
laxpower power ratings. At the end of the season, the seedings were changed to the actual seedings,
if available.


CONTACT US: laxodds@gmail.com
Rnk Team Wins Losses Probability (%)
1 Texas Tech 8 1 33.00
2 Ohio St 8 0 12.00
3 Indiana 9 0 11.40
4 Utah 7 2 10.80
5 Texas A&M 8 0 9.80
6 BYU 8 0 4.00
7 Notre Dame 6 2 3.60
8 Oregon 7 1 3.00
9 Alabama 7 1 2.40
10 Oklahoma 7 2 1.80
11 Vanderbilt 7 2 1.80
12 Georgia 7 1 1.20
13 Miami 6 2 0.00
14 TCU 6 2 0.00
15 Iowa 6 2 0.00
16 Pittsburgh 7 2 0.00
17 Texas 7 2 0.00
18 Florida St 4 4 0.00
19 Georgia Tech 8 1 0.00
20 Memphis 8 1 0.00
21 Arizona 5 3 0.00
22 Cincinnati 7 2 0.00
23 Illinois 6 3 0.00
24 Michigan 7 2 0.00
25 USC 6 2 0.00
26 Missouri 6 2 0.00
27 Ole Miss 8 1 0.00
28 Boston Col ` 2 7 0.00
29 California 4 5 0.00
30 Clemson 3 5 0.00
31 Duke 5 3 0.00
32 Louisville 7 2 0.00
33 UNC 4 4 0.00
34 NC St 6 3 0.00
35 SMU 6 3 0.00
36 Stanford 3 6 0.00
37 Syracuse 3 6 0.00
38 Virginia 8 1 0.00
39 Va Tech 2 7 0.00
40 Wake Forest 5 3 0.00
41 Army 4 4 0.00
42 Charlotte 1 7 0.00
43 Ea Carolina 5 3 0.00
44 Fla Atlantic 3 5 0.00
45 Navy 7 1 0.00
46 No Texas 8 1 0.00
47 Rice 4 5 0.00
48 So Florida 6 2 0.00
49 Temple 5 4 0.00
50 Tulane 6 2 0.00
51 Tulsa 2 6 0.00
52 UAB 3 5 0.00
53 UTSA 5 3 0.00
54 Arizona St 6 3 0.00
55 Baylor 4 5 0.00
56 Colorado 3 6 0.00
57 Houston 7 2 0.00
58 Iowa St 4 4 0.00
59 Kansas 5 4 0.00
60 Kansas St 4 4 0.00
61 Oklahoma St 2 7 0.00
62 UCF 3 5 0.00
63 We Virginia 3 6 0.00
64 Maryland 4 4 0.00
65 Michigan St 3 6 0.00
66 Minnesota 6 3 0.00
67 Nebraska 6 3 0.00
68 Northwestern 5 3 0.00
69 Penn St 3 5 0.00
70 Purdue 2 7 0.00
71 Rutgers 4 5 0.00
72 UCLA 3 5 0.00
73 Washington 6 2 0.00
74 Wisconsin 2 6 0.00
75 Florida Intl 3 5 0.00
76 Jacksonv. St 6 3 0.00
77 Kennesaw St 6 2 0.00
78 Liberty 4 4 0.00
79 La Tech 5 3 0.00
80 Middle Tenn 1 7 0.00
81 NM St 3 5 0.00
82 SHouston St 0 8 0.00
83 UTEP 2 6 0.00
84 We Kentucky 7 2 0.00
85 UMass 0 8 0.00
86 UConn 6 3 0.00
87 Akron 3 6 0.00
88 Ball St 3 5 0.00
89 Bowl. Green 3 6 0.00
90 Buffalo 5 4 0.00
91 Cen Michigan 5 4 0.00
92 Ea Michigan 2 7 0.00
93 Kent State 3 5 0.00
94 MiamiOH 5 3 0.00
95 No Illinois 2 6 0.00
96 Ohio 5 3 0.00
97 Toledo 4 4 0.00
98 We Michigan 5 4 0.00
99 Air Force 2 6 0.00
100 Boise State 6 3 0.00
101 Colorado St 2 6 0.00
102 Fresno St 6 3 0.00
103 Hawaii 6 3 0.00
104 Nevada 2 6 0.00
105 New Mexico 6 3 0.00
106 San Diego St 6 2 0.00
107 San Jose St 3 5 0.00
108 UNLV 4 3 0.00
109 Utah St 4 4 0.00
110 Wyoming 5 4 0.00
111 Oregon St 2 7 0.00
112 Wash St 4 5 0.00
113 Arkansas 2 7 0.00
114 Auburn 4 5 0.00
115 Florida 3 5 0.00
116 Kentucky 3 5 0.00
117 LSU 5 3 0.00
118 Miss St 5 4 0.00
119 So Carolina 3 6 0.00
120 Tennessee 6 3 0.00
121 App St 4 4 0.00
122 Arkansas State 5 4 0.00
123 Coastal Car 5 3 0.00
124 Georgia So 3 5 0.00
125 Georgia St 1 7 0.00
126 J Madison 7 1 0.00
127 Louisiana 3 5 0.00
128 Marshall 4 4 0.00
129 Old Dominion 6 3 0.00
130 So Miss 5 3 0.00
131 So Alabama 2 7 0.00
132 Texas State 2 6 0.00
133 Troy 6 3 0.00
134 La-Monroe 3 6 0.00