College Football Playoff Safe3Step
UPDATED: 10-13-25 17:53 PDT
| Rnk |
Team |
Wins |
Losses |
Probability (%) |
| 1 | Oregon | 13 | 0 | 115.0000 |
| 2 | Georgia | 11 | 2 | 65.0000 |
| 3 | Indiana | 11 | 1 | 55.0000 |
| 4 | Texas | 11 | 2 | 55.0000 |
| 5 | Boise State | 12 | 1 | 50.0000 |
| 6 | Ohio St | 10 | 2 | 45.0000 |
| 7 | Penn St | 11 | 2 | 45.0000 |
| 8 | Army | 11 | 1 | 40.0000 |
| 9 | Notre Dame | 11 | 1 | 40.0000 |
| 10 | Tennessee | 10 | 2 | 35.0000 |
| 11 | Clemson | 10 | 3 | 30.0000 |
| 12 | Miami | 10 | 2 | 20.0000 |
| 13 | SMU | 11 | 2 | 20.0000 |
| 14 | Arizona St | 11 | 2 | 20.0000 |
| 15 | BYU | 10 | 2 | 15.0000 |
| 16 | UNLV | 10 | 3 | 15.0000 |
| 17 | Illinois | 9 | 3 | 5.0000 |
| 18 | Alabama | 9 | 3 | 5.0000 |
| 19 | Ole Miss | 9 | 3 | 5.0000 |
| 20 | Missouri | 9 | 3 | 0.0000 |
| 21 | Memphis | 10 | 2 | -5.0000 |
| 22 | So Carolina | 9 | 3 | -5.0000 |
| 23 | Duke | 9 | 3 | -10.0000 |
| 24 | Texas A&M | 8 | 4 | -10.0000 |
| 25 | Marshall | 10 | 3 | -10.0000 |
| 26 | Ohio | 10 | 3 | -15.0000 |
| 27 | Louisville | 8 | 4 | -20.0000 |
| 28 | Georgia Tech | 7 | 5 | -25.0000 |
| 29 | Syracuse | 9 | 3 | -25.0000 |
| 30 | Navy | 8 | 3 | -25.0000 |
| 31 | Iowa St | 10 | 3 | -25.0000 |
| 32 | Michigan | 7 | 5 | -25.0000 |
| 33 | SHouston St | 9 | 3 | -30.0000 |
| 34 | LSU | 8 | 4 | -30.0000 |
| 35 | Louisiana | 10 | 3 | -30.0000 |
| 36 | Colorado | 9 | 3 | -35.0000 |
| 37 | Iowa | 8 | 4 | -35.0000 |
| 38 | Liberty | 8 | 3 | -40.0000 |
| 39 | Florida | 7 | 5 | -40.0000 |
| 40 | Kansas St | 8 | 4 | -45.0000 |
| 41 | We Kentucky | 8 | 4 | -45.0000 |
| 42 | Colorado St | 8 | 4 | -45.0000 |
| 43 | Pittsburgh | 7 | 5 | -50.0000 |
| 44 | Baylor | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 45 | TCU | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 46 | Texas Tech | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 47 | UConn | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 48 | Wash St | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 49 | Georgia So | 8 | 4 | -50.0000 |
| 50 | Boston Col ` | 7 | 5 | -55.0000 |
| 51 | Tulane | 9 | 4 | -60.0000 |
| 52 | Buffalo | 8 | 4 | -65.0000 |
| 53 | Oklahoma | 6 | 6 | -65.0000 |
| 54 | Vanderbilt | 6 | 6 | -65.0000 |
| 55 | J Madison | 8 | 4 | -65.0000 |
| 56 | MiamiOH | 8 | 5 | -70.0000 |
| 57 | Minnesota | 7 | 5 | -75.0000 |
| 58 | Jacksonv. St | 8 | 5 | -75.0000 |
| 59 | Arkansas State | 7 | 5 | -75.0000 |
| 60 | USC | 6 | 6 | -80.0000 |
| 61 | Washington | 6 | 6 | -80.0000 |
| 62 | No Illinois | 7 | 5 | -80.0000 |
| 63 | San Jose St | 7 | 5 | -80.0000 |
| 64 | California | 6 | 6 | -85.0000 |
| 65 | Bowl. Green | 7 | 5 | -85.0000 |
| 66 | Va Tech | 6 | 6 | -90.0000 |
| 67 | Texas State | 7 | 5 | -90.0000 |
| 68 | Ea Carolina | 7 | 5 | -95.0000 |
| 69 | So Florida | 6 | 6 | -95.0000 |
| 70 | Rutgers | 7 | 5 | -95.0000 |
| 71 | Toledo | 7 | 5 | -95.0000 |
| 72 | Michigan St | 5 | 7 | -100.0000 |
| 73 | Nebraska | 6 | 6 | -100.0000 |
| 74 | Arkansas | 6 | 6 | -100.0000 |
| 75 | NC St | 6 | 6 | -105.0000 |
| 76 | UTSA | 6 | 6 | -105.0000 |
| 77 | We Virginia | 6 | 6 | -105.0000 |
| 78 | Wisconsin | 5 | 7 | -105.0000 |
| 79 | We Michigan | 6 | 6 | -105.0000 |
| 80 | Virginia | 5 | 7 | -110.0000 |
| 81 | UCLA | 5 | 7 | -110.0000 |
| 82 | Fresno St | 6 | 6 | -115.0000 |
| 83 | Auburn | 5 | 7 | -115.0000 |
| 84 | Oregon St | 5 | 7 | -120.0000 |
| 85 | Kentucky | 4 | 8 | -120.0000 |
| 86 | So Alabama | 6 | 6 | -120.0000 |
| 87 | UNC | 6 | 6 | -125.0000 |
| 88 | No Texas | 6 | 6 | -125.0000 |
| 89 | New Mexico | 5 | 7 | -125.0000 |
| 90 | App St | 5 | 6 | -125.0000 |
| 91 | Coastal Car | 6 | 6 | -125.0000 |
| 92 | La-Monroe | 5 | 7 | -130.0000 |
| 93 | Kansas | 5 | 7 | -135.0000 |
| 94 | Utah | 5 | 7 | -135.0000 |
| 95 | Old Dominion | 5 | 7 | -135.0000 |
| 96 | Cincinnati | 5 | 7 | -140.0000 |
| 97 | Hawaii | 5 | 7 | -145.0000 |
| 98 | Charlotte | 5 | 7 | -150.0000 |
| 99 | Maryland | 4 | 8 | -150.0000 |
| 100 | Northwestern | 4 | 8 | -150.0000 |
| 101 | Florida Intl | 4 | 8 | -150.0000 |
| 102 | Akron | 4 | 8 | -150.0000 |
| 103 | Stanford | 3 | 9 | -155.0000 |
| 104 | La Tech | 5 | 7 | -155.0000 |
| 105 | Ea Michigan | 5 | 7 | -155.0000 |
| 106 | Air Force | 5 | 7 | -155.0000 |
| 107 | Wyoming | 3 | 9 | -160.0000 |
| 108 | Houston | 4 | 8 | -165.0000 |
| 109 | UCF | 4 | 8 | -165.0000 |
| 110 | Wake Forest | 4 | 8 | -170.0000 |
| 111 | Utah St | 4 | 8 | -170.0000 |
| 112 | Arizona | 4 | 8 | -175.0000 |
| 113 | Rice | 4 | 8 | -185.0000 |
| 114 | UTEP | 4 | 8 | -185.0000 |
| 115 | Cen Michigan | 4 | 8 | -185.0000 |
| 116 | Troy | 4 | 8 | -185.0000 |
| 117 | Florida St | 2 | 10 | -200.0000 |
| 118 | San Diego St | 3 | 9 | -200.0000 |
| 119 | Miss St | 2 | 10 | -200.0000 |
| 120 | Oklahoma St | 3 | 9 | -205.0000 |
| 121 | Purdue | 1 | 11 | -205.0000 |
| 122 | Ball St | 3 | 9 | -205.0000 |
| 123 | Temple | 3 | 9 | -210.0000 |
| 124 | Nevada | 3 | 10 | -210.0000 |
| 125 | Fla Atlantic | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 126 | Tulsa | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 127 | UAB | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 128 | Kennesaw St | 2 | 10 | -215.0000 |
| 129 | Middle Tenn | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 130 | NM St | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 131 | Georgia St | 3 | 9 | -215.0000 |
| 132 | UMass | 2 | 10 | -230.0000 |
| 133 | Kent State | 0 | 12 | -265.0000 |
| 134 | So Miss | 1 | 11 | -275.0000 |