List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boston College Atlantic Coast 16 3 1 9 2 2 2 2 6 20.00
2 Northwestern Big Ten 15 2 2 4 1 1 5 1 7 9.50
3 Yale Ivy League 15 2 4 12 3 4 10 3 17 6.50
4 Michigan Big Ten 14 3 8 17 11 8 21 11 40 5.50
5 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 14 5 3 1 7 3 1 7 11 5.50
6 Stanford Pac-12 13 4 14 22 17 13 17 15 45 5.00
7 Penn Ivy League 13 4 5 6 12 5 7 12 24 4.50
8 Princeton Ivy League 10 6 16 5 15 17 6 27 50 4.50
9 Maryland Big Ten 12 5 9 2 13 9 4 13 26 4.00
10 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 15 3 6 15 5 11 9 5 25 4.00
11 Loyola (MD) Patriot League 17 2 7 23 4 7 15 8 30 3.50
12 Stony Brook Colonial 17 2 11 26 9 6 31 6 43 3.00
13 Drexel Colonial 13 5 22 33 19 19 19 17 55 2.50
14 Florida American 17 2 10 39 8 15 29 10 54 2.50
15 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 10 6 15 8 18 18 8 18 44 2.50
16 Virginia Atlantic Coast 14 4 12 7 10 10 14 9 33 2.50
17 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 11 7 17 3 16 12 3 19 34 2.00
18 Colorado Pac-12 13 6 27 31 29 25 23 26 74 1.50
19 Denver Big East 15 3 13 18 6 14 12 4 30 1.50
20 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 16 2 28 73 14 16 51 14 81 1.50
21 Southern Califor Pac-12 12 5 26 32 35 28 59 32 119 1.50
22 Brown Ivy League 10 5 21 25 27 23 38 30 91 0.00
23 Clemson Atlantic Coast 11 7 24 21 34 27 20 33 80 0.00
24 Duke Atlantic Coast 10 8 31 13 36 32 18 37 87 0.00
25 Harvard Ivy League 10 5 19 29 28 30 46 29 105 0.00
26 Navy Patriot League 15 4 18 47 20 21 30 22 73 0.00
27 Penn State Big Ten 11 7 20 10 33 20 11 31 62 0.00
28 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 4 33 65 30 29 47 28 104 0.00
29 Akron MAC 7 9 113 119 86 113 124 86 323 0.00
30 Albany America East 8 10 47 30 70 35 24 67 126 0.00
31 American Patriot League 7 9 83 74 80 76 78 81 235 0.00
32 Arizona State Pac-12 9 10 40 35 68 46 13 68 127 0.00
33 Army Patriot League 9 8 38 38 56 49 42 58 149 0.00
34 Binghamton America East 12 6 52 69 48 42 70 47 159 0.00
35 Boston Universit Patriot League 5 11 85 59 94 78 60 98 236 0.00
36 Bryant America East 9 6 58 71 51 48 68 48 164 0.00
37 Bucknell Patriot League 5 10 86 62 89 84 92 94 270 0.00
38 Butler Big East 2 14 103 64 125 111 88 124 323 0.00
39 California Pac-12 5 10 76 68 96 87 84 92 263 0.00
40 Campbell Colonial 4 13 90 63 116 90 69 113 272 0.00
41 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 7 79 100 62 62 77 59 198 0.00
42 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 125 122 117 122 115 118 355 0.00
43 Central Michigan MAC 5 13 99 82 105 101 74 105 280 0.00
44 Cincinnati American 10 7 64 79 52 71 93 53 217 0.00
45 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 14 5 51 83 38 33 80 38 151 0.00
46 Colgate Patriot League 3 14 78 43 123 80 58 128 266 0.00
47 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 75 40 91 83 61 95 239 0.00
48 Connecticut Big East 11 7 32 41 44 43 35 42 120 0.00
49 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 34 16 45 39 28 51 118 0.00
50 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 19 46 37 25 45 107 0.00
51 Davidson Atlantic 10 11 7 50 72 60 44 49 56 149 0.00
52 Delaware Colonial 10 6 48 66 49 54 87 44 185 0.00
53 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 13 126 126 126 121 118 125 364 0.00
54 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 12 109 112 112 119 125 112 356 0.00
55 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 112 97 97 99 109 96 304 0.00
56 East Carolina American 4 12 74 51 106 85 64 111 260 0.00
57 Eastern Michigan MAC 7 9 107 113 76 112 121 77 310 0.00
58 Elon Colonial 9 8 62 58 69 58 65 60 183 0.00
59 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 2 14 123 127 129 126 120 129 375 0.00
60 Furman Big South 8 10 88 88 88 81 75 90 246 0.00
61 Gardner Webb Big South 0 17 124 108 132 125 110 132 367 0.00
62 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 8 82 110 73 89 107 72 268 0.00
63 George Washingto Atlantic 10 4 13 111 99 120 115 99 122 336 0.00
64 Georgetown Big East 7 11 39 28 81 64 52 84 200 0.00
65 High Point Big South 12 6 69 91 42 60 76 49 185 0.00
66 Hofstra Colonial 9 8 42 49 71 50 56 62 168 0.00
67 Holy Cross Patriot League 12 6 44 55 39 31 27 39 97 0.00
68 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 16 127 125 130 127 122 130 379 0.00
69 Iona Metro Atlantic 12 5 80 98 41 57 82 40 179 0.00
70 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 9 9 54 45 63 52 39 70 161 0.00
71 James Madison American 12 6 23 20 31 22 26 35 83 0.00
72 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 102 104 107 110 123 106 339 0.00
73 Kent State MAC 6 11 106 107 102 106 114 103 323 0.00
74 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 11 114 93 110 114 104 110 328 0.00
75 Lafayette Patriot League 5 11 84 75 101 96 90 101 287 0.00
76 Le Moyne Northeast 9 9 105 114 83 88 95 82 265 0.00
77 Lehigh Patriot League 8 9 56 50 72 61 62 79 202 0.00
78 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 12 63 44 99 70 57 100 227 0.00
79 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 13 5 67 102 40 68 113 41 222 0.00
80 LIU Northeast 11 7 87 118 64 73 91 64 228 0.00
81 Longwood Big South 8 10 104 111 95 109 111 93 313 0.00
82 Louisville Atlantic Coast 8 11 35 14 66 45 22 69 136 0.00
83 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 110 86 121 97 71 119 287 0.00
84 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 98 76 124 100 73 120 293 0.00
85 Marquette Big East 6 11 65 52 90 72 67 91 230 0.00
86 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 13 5 29 56 37 24 37 36 97 0.00
87 Massachusetts-Lo America East 12 6 55 95 50 63 81 52 196 0.00
88 Mercer Big South 14 5 49 87 32 41 54 34 129 0.00
89 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 118 115 113 116 105 114 335 0.00
90 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 6 10 72 60 92 86 83 87 256 0.00
91 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 8 10 70 80 93 55 36 88 179 0.00
92 New Hampshire America East 2 12 95 70 115 103 86 117 306 0.00
93 Niagara Metro Atlantic 16 3 46 85 21 26 41 16 83 0.00
94 Ohio State Big Ten 8 9 43 37 61 59 40 65 164 0.00
95 Old Dominion American 3 13 91 67 118 107 89 121 317 0.00
96 Oregon Pac-12 8 7 57 81 65 74 98 66 238 0.00
97 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 5 13 59 27 100 75 44 99 218 0.00
98 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 122 121 127 123 127 126 376 0.00
99 Queens Atlantic Sun 9 8 77 94 74 79 103 76 258 0.00
100 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 92 77 119 95 53 116 264 0.00
101 Radford Big South 6 11 119 123 103 120 116 104 340 0.00
102 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 9 96 109 84 92 101 80 273 0.00
103 Robert Morris MAC 8 11 108 103 98 102 112 97 311 0.00
104 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 25 11 53 36 16 54 106 0.00
105 Sacred Heart Northeast 11 6 94 116 54 69 94 50 213 0.00
106 San Diego State Pac-12 2 14 93 42 122 93 66 123 282 0.00
107 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 6 60 78 47 34 45 43 122 0.00
108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 9 81 92 85 77 96 85 258 0.00
109 St Francis Northeast 8 8 116 124 77 104 117 78 299 0.00
110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 11 7 37 54 55 40 48 61 149 0.00
111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 100 96 108 105 85 107 297 0.00
112 Stonehill Northeast 9 9 97 120 82 91 100 83 274 0.00
113 Temple American 9 7 41 34 43 38 32 46 116 0.00
114 Towson Colonial 7 9 45 36 79 53 50 73 176 0.00
115 UC Davis Pac-12 9 8 68 61 67 56 43 71 170 0.00
116 UMBC America East 9 6 66 90 57 66 97 57 220 0.00
117 Vanderbilt American 9 8 53 46 58 51 33 63 147 0.00
118 VCU Atlantic 10 5 13 73 57 114 82 55 115 252 0.00
119 Vermont America East 8 8 71 84 78 65 79 74 218 0.00
120 Villanova Big East 7 9 61 48 75 67 63 75 205 0.00
121 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 36 24 59 47 34 55 136 0.00
122 Wagner Northeast 6 11 115 117 104 108 106 102 316 0.00
123 William & Mary Colonial 4 13 89 53 111 94 72 108 274 0.00
124 Winthrop Big South 2 13 120 101 128 118 102 127 347 0.00
125 Wofford Big South 7 9 101 105 87 98 108 89 295 0.00
126 Xavier Big East 4 11 117 89 109 117 126 109 352 0.00
127 Youngstown State MAC 0 16 121 106 131 124 119 131 374 0.00
128 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
129 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
130 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
131 South Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
132 UNC-Charlotte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00