List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 RIT Liberty League 17 1 1 7 1 1 3 1 5 16.50
2 St Lawrence Liberty League 14 3 5 10 5 3 7 4 14 11.50
3 Salisbury CLC 18 0 2 29 4 2 21 2 25 9.50
4 Tufts NESCAC 13 3 3 2 2 7 6 8 21 9.50
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 3 7 8 7 13 35 18 66 7.00
6 RPI Liberty League 15 2 6 11 3 5 14 3 22 6.50
7 Bowdoin NESCAC 11 4 4 6 13 14 24 28 66 5.00
8 Middlebury NESCAC 9 7 9 3 21 30 8 48 86 4.00
9 Swarthmore Centennial 14 2 15 31 14 15 79 10 104 3.00
10 Amherst NESCAC 10 6 8 4 15 29 22 33 84 2.50
11 Lynchburg ODAC 13 5 11 30 24 9 9 19 37 2.50
12 Stevens MAC-Freedom 16 2 14 56 8 23 61 6 90 2.50
13 Union Liberty League 12 5 13 5 10 8 2 11 21 2.50
14 Williams NESCAC 9 7 17 1 17 34 10 41 85 2.50
15 Christopher Newp CLC 14 4 10 16 12 4 4 7 15 2.00
16 Dickinson Centennial 15 2 16 20 11 6 17 9 32 2.00
17 Babson NEWMAC 14 3 12 34 9 25 70 12 107 1.50
18 Nazareth Empire 8 12 6 33 44 44 35 26 49 110 1.50
19 Endicott CCC 15 1 18 49 6 12 67 5 84 0.00
20 Gettysburg Centennial 10 7 21 12 47 28 5 53 86 0.00
21 St John Fisher Empire 8 11 7 35 46 68 53 50 66 169 0.00
22 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 12 6 24 35 40 33 19 30 82 0.00
23 Cortland SUNYAC 11 5 26 39 46 27 41 45 113 0.00
24 Denison NCAC 13 5 29 52 35 11 30 31 72 0.00
25 Geneseo SUNYAC 12 6 30 36 31 22 16 29 67 0.00
26 Hamilton NESCAC 9 6 20 9 22 49 44 47 140 0.00
27 Randolph-Macon ODAC 15 4 31 63 27 40 59 24 123 0.00
28 Trinity NESCAC 9 7 25 13 34 54 43 80 177 0.00
29 Washington & Lee ODAC 13 5 19 40 33 16 11 15 42 0.00
30 York MAC-Commonwlth 10 8 22 25 64 37 1 36 74 0.00
31 Adrian MIAA 8 8 117 112 132 94 135 130 359 0.00
32 Albertus Magnus GNAC 3 12 206 215 221 223 185 222 630 0.00
33 Albion MIAA 8 10 109 81 171 69 28 136 233 0.00
34 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 6 10 146 121 178 188 183 175 546 0.00
35 Alfred Empire 8 10 5 88 87 70 65 114 69 248 0.00
36 Allegheny PAC 10 6 121 145 82 98 116 86 300 0.00
37 Alma MIAA 1 13 198 161 179 194 220 176 590 0.00
38 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 169 134 217 206 191 217 614 0.00
39 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 6 10 224 235 180 220 229 177 626 0.00
40 Anna Maria GNAC 2 14 202 179 237 219 184 237 640 0.00
41 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 10 8 71 68 103 102 87 108 297 0.00
42 Augustana CCIW 4 10 191 153 172 150 163 153 466 0.00
43 Aurora NACC 13 5 118 165 58 61 64 44 169 0.00
44 Averett ODAC 2 15 229 151 232 211 214 231 656 0.00
45 Baldwin Wallace OAC 10 6 96 119 83 64 77 77 218 0.00
46 Bates NESCAC 3 11 49 14 133 130 90 186 406 0.00
47 Beloit NACC 3 11 219 224 206 216 200 207 623 0.00
48 Benedictine (IL) NACC 6 11 164 168 194 138 66 187 391 0.00
49 Berry SAA 7 7 110 75 88 56 45 89 190 0.00
50 Bethany PAC 4 10 215 223 189 218 211 188 617 0.00
51 Birmingham South SAA 9 4 76 117 53 58 122 58 238 0.00
52 Brevard USA South 2 14 225 226 223 227 236 224 687 0.00
53 Bridgewater ODAC 5 11 127 78 195 145 73 196 414 0.00
54 Brockport SUNYAC 4 11 101 62 202 140 101 201 442 0.00
55 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 3 6 218 230 106 225 235 102 562 0.00
56 Cabrini AEC 14 4 32 79 23 45 74 22 141 0.00
57 Cairn UnitedEast 4 9 209 211 139 209 233 140 582 0.00
58 Calvin MIAA 12 6 124 140 61 60 164 64 288 0.00
59 Canton NAC 6 7 189 206 110 186 207 109 502 0.00
60 Capital OAC 9 9 113 129 140 104 93 141 338 0.00
61 Carroll CCIW 6 10 196 195 155 178 187 137 502 0.00
62 Carthage CCIW 8 9 115 124 146 85 42 118 245 0.00
63 Castleton LEC 3 14 187 130 236 190 123 236 549 0.00
64 Catholic Landmark 10 9 80 69 118 91 53 119 263 0.00
65 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 1 11 227 216 181 229 234 178 641 0.00
66 Centenary (NJ) AEC 1 12 233 205 227 236 226 227 689 0.00
67 Centre SAA 12 3 64 111 30 26 57 25 108 0.00
68 Chatham PAC 9 8 137 157 119 131 157 114 402 0.00
69 Clark NEWMAC 5 10 106 50 149 147 182 159 488 0.00
70 Clarkson Liberty League 8 9 36 23 93 52 25 87 164 0.00
71 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 12 102 45 210 184 149 210 543 0.00
72 Cobleskill NAC 1 11 230 231 211 234 228 211 673 0.00
73 Colby NESCAC 6 8 37 18 71 101 97 103 301 0.00
74 Colorado College HCLC South 8 5 58 86 72 44 91 54 189 0.00
75 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 12 234 222 228 230 223 229 682 0.00
76 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 13 5 136 196 59 99 133 55 287 0.00
77 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 9 45 15 89 114 75 131 320 0.00
78 Cornell College MLC 6 9 200 213 159 182 213 160 555 0.00
79 Curry CCC 4 14 128 82 234 162 83 234 479 0.00
80 Dean College GNAC 13 4 125 182 39 96 151 42 289 0.00
81 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 4 12 193 150 212 204 170 218 592 0.00
82 Delhi NAC 12 4 162 229 42 156 227 46 429 0.00
83 DePauw NCAC 8 8 145 142 125 105 95 110 310 0.00
84 DeSales MAC-Freedom 11 6 67 60 65 71 69 70 210 0.00
85 Drew Landmark 10 8 120 110 112 113 132 115 360 0.00
86 Dubuque MLC 10 6 132 176 84 83 80 81 244 0.00
87 Earlham HCLC North 7 9 226 236 150 224 230 154 608 0.00
88 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 8 10 57 43 151 106 76 167 349 0.00
89 Eastern Connecti LEC 6 11 142 115 196 163 113 197 473 0.00
90 Edgewood NACC 6 11 188 199 197 177 145 198 520 0.00
91 Elizabethtown Landmark 11 6 60 73 75 76 96 82 254 0.00
92 Elmhurst CCIW 13 3 61 96 26 10 20 23 53 0.00
93 Elms GNAC 5 9 201 209 160 197 203 161 561 0.00
94 Emerson NEWMAC 7 9 78 55 141 142 120 155 417 0.00
95 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 5 12 144 144 215 169 104 214 487 0.00
96 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 16 3 81 149 16 77 219 14 310 0.00
97 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 1 15 181 107 238 217 155 239 611 0.00
98 Franciscan PAC 10 7 185 221 102 179 202 96 477 0.00
99 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 7 10 48 33 161 87 56 148 291 0.00
100 Gordon CCC 4 10 155 97 186 165 115 179 459 0.00
101 Goucher Landmark 9 8 138 127 120 137 160 120 417 0.00
102 Greensboro USA South 7 9 186 200 156 191 225 158 574 0.00
103 Grove City PAC 14 4 28 88 18 17 13 13 43 0.00
104 Guilford ODAC 8 10 133 105 157 111 62 149 322 0.00
105 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 8 8 143 159 126 168 186 126 480 0.00
106 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 11 6 42 58 62 38 23 56 117 0.00
107 Hanover HCLC North 8 9 199 220 147 181 181 150 512 0.00
108 Hartford CCC 6 7 92 72 97 84 109 92 285 0.00
109 Hartwick Empire 8 5 9 114 76 162 133 126 162 421 0.00
110 Haverford Centennial 7 9 59 38 134 97 48 132 277 0.00
111 Heidelberg OAC 4 13 220 207 218 200 218 219 637 0.00
112 Hendrix SAA 5 9 147 136 163 146 127 163 436 0.00
113 Hilbert UnitedEast 3 6 221 239 94 235 238 93 566 0.00
114 Hiram NCAC 5 12 208 178 200 185 195 193 573 0.00
115 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 122 106 121 144 176 121 441 0.00
116 Hope MIAA 13 3 72 116 28 24 58 20 102 0.00
117 Huntingdon USA South 4 12 204 194 203 201 201 202 604 0.00
118 Husson NAC 6 10 203 228 182 212 215 180 607 0.00
119 Illinois Tech NACC 8 8 173 180 127 110 86 127 323 0.00
120 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 12 3 65 101 32 21 46 27 94 0.00
121 Immaculata AEC 9 7 153 166 104 157 178 100 435 0.00
122 Ithaca Liberty League 8 8 38 22 80 42 18 78 138 0.00
123 John Carroll OAC 10 4 75 114 48 48 78 37 163 0.00
124 Johnson & Wales GNAC 9 7 167 186 105 149 177 101 427 0.00
125 Juniata Landmark 2 15 197 137 239 213 166 238 617 0.00
126 Kalamazoo MIAA 5 8 156 143 137 127 130 138 395 0.00
127 Kean CLC 12 7 51 51 60 73 47 59 179 0.00
128 Keene State LEC 6 9 87 85 152 118 85 151 354 0.00
129 Kenyon NCAC 13 5 55 65 54 18 31 34 83 0.00
130 Keuka Empire 8 5 8 183 148 138 174 180 139 493 0.00
131 Keystone UnitedEast 6 10 205 212 183 198 205 181 584 0.00
132 Kings MAC-Freedom 3 11 171 125 201 196 173 208 577 0.00
133 La Roche UnitedEast 0 11 238 237 187 238 237 189 664 0.00
134 LaGrange USA South 8 10 178 188 175 171 221 172 564 0.00
135 Lake Forest MLC 14 2 123 192 20 55 154 17 226 0.00
136 Lasell GNAC 11 7 111 146 98 95 106 97 298 0.00
137 Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlth 7 10 119 99 166 153 139 173 465 0.00
138 Lycoming Landmark 5 9 166 126 164 164 150 164 478 0.00
139 Maine Maritime NAC 10 4 149 187 49 139 217 57 413 0.00
140 Manhattanville Skyline 8 10 151 141 173 134 89 170 393 0.00
141 Marian (WI) NACC 3 10 212 219 190 208 198 194 600 0.00
142 Marietta OAC 7 10 168 155 176 148 148 174 470 0.00
143 Maritime Skyline 11 7 73 102 76 92 179 88 359 0.00
144 Mary Washington CLC 8 9 52 37 113 67 38 106 211 0.00
145 Marymount AEC 9 9 116 120 142 123 137 142 402 0.00
146 Marywood AEC 3 13 184 163 233 205 174 233 612 0.00
147 Massachusetts Ma LEC 8 7 108 138 107 121 147 104 372 0.00
148 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 13 5 83 98 50 88 100 63 251 0.00
149 McDaniel Centennial 6 9 93 54 143 120 117 134 371 0.00
150 MCLA NAC 2 12 231 233 224 232 222 225 679 0.00
151 Merchant Marine Skyline 10 5 98 139 73 100 129 71 300 0.00
152 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 12 6 63 61 74 82 112 83 277 0.00
153 Methodist USA South 9 8 172 193 122 160 159 122 441 0.00
154 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 103 91 135 115 82 152 349 0.00
155 MIT NEWMAC 6 10 46 26 128 109 71 143 323 0.00
156 Mitchell GNAC 0 12 235 197 229 228 196 230 654 0.00
157 Montclair State CLC 4 10 89 47 153 125 60 144 329 0.00
158 Moravian Landmark 9 9 126 113 144 116 118 145 379 0.00
159 Morrisville NAC 8 7 158 172 108 136 144 105 385 0.00
160 Mount St Joseph HCLC North 0 13 237 234 235 237 231 235 703 0.00
161 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 4 9 182 169 167 199 209 168 576 0.00
162 Mount St Vincent Skyline 6 8 192 191 136 187 199 135 521 0.00
163 Mount Union OAC 6 11 170 189 198 176 153 199 528 0.00
164 MSOE NACC 8 8 176 201 129 166 167 128 461 0.00
165 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 8 27 19 90 36 12 72 120 0.00
166 Muskingum OAC 9 8 154 177 123 126 156 123 405 0.00
167 Neumann AEC 9 9 159 158 145 173 162 146 481 0.00
168 New England Coll GNAC 4 11 177 171 204 192 188 203 583 0.00
169 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 10 134 100 188 135 134 190 459 0.00
170 Nichols CCC 8 10 99 71 158 122 68 165 355 0.00
171 North Central CCIW 11 4 100 133 45 43 81 32 156 0.00
172 Northland MLC 3 10 217 218 174 195 208 171 574 0.00
173 Northwestern (MN MLC 6 6 190 202 91 141 192 91 424 0.00
174 Norwich GNAC 11 7 148 174 99 143 158 98 399 0.00
175 Oberlin NCAC 10 6 95 92 85 46 52 73 171 0.00
176 Oglethorpe SAA 5 10 194 162 168 175 190 169 534 0.00
177 Ohio Northern OAC 13 6 85 128 77 70 94 79 243 0.00
178 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 11 5 39 67 55 20 37 38 95 0.00
179 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 8 84 59 114 108 107 133 348 0.00
180 Oswego SUNYAC 10 6 70 66 86 80 105 90 275 0.00
181 Otterbein OAC 8 8 141 152 130 129 141 129 399 0.00
182 Penn College UnitedEast 10 8 160 184 115 172 197 116 485 0.00
183 Pfeiffer USA South 11 5 104 160 66 86 98 65 249 0.00
184 Piedmont USA South 15 2 105 185 19 62 140 16 218 0.00
185 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 4 12 161 95 219 167 142 220 529 0.00
186 Plymouth State LEC 14 4 91 131 36 78 108 39 225 0.00
187 Potsdam SUNYAC 10 5 56 83 56 74 124 60 258 0.00
188 Purchase Skyline 3 12 222 204 222 214 172 223 609 0.00
189 Randolph ODAC 4 11 216 170 192 203 175 195 573 0.00
190 Regis (MA) GNAC 6 7 195 208 111 189 212 111 512 0.00
191 Rhodes SAA 9 7 69 77 87 66 51 94 211 0.00
192 Rivier GNAC 11 7 112 156 100 119 110 99 328 0.00
193 Roanoke ODAC 14 5 23 48 29 19 15 21 55 0.00
194 Roger Williams CCC 13 6 66 70 67 79 84 74 237 0.00
195 Rosemont UnitedEast 1 11 228 214 199 233 232 200 665 0.00
196 Sage Empire 8 6 10 152 122 184 159 125 182 466 0.00
197 Salem State LEC 4 11 207 183 205 207 204 204 615 0.00
198 Salve Regina CCC 4 10 77 41 169 152 131 183 466 0.00
199 Scranton Landmark 12 7 53 57 79 51 40 75 166 0.00
200 Sewanee SAA 10 4 82 93 51 31 63 50 144 0.00
201 Shenandoah ODAC 11 7 86 90 92 81 72 84 237 0.00
202 Skidmore Liberty League 9 7 40 24 63 41 32 61 134 0.00
203 Southern Maine LEC 5 12 179 154 216 183 121 215 519 0.00
204 Southern Virgini USA South 8 11 139 118 191 112 49 191 352 0.00
205 Southwestern HCLC South 2 12 131 64 225 151 65 212 428 0.00
206 Spalding HCLC North 2 12 236 232 226 231 216 226 673 0.00
207 Springfield NEWMAC 7 9 41 21 95 90 39 124 253 0.00
208 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 15 3 130 190 25 103 165 26 294 0.00
209 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 1 11 213 173 213 202 169 213 584 0.00
210 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 10 8 135 147 116 117 128 117 362 0.00
211 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 12 6 54 108 57 75 54 51 180 0.00
212 St Vincent PAC 8 9 129 135 148 107 88 147 342 0.00
213 Stockton CLC 11 8 47 32 69 39 29 67 135 0.00
214 SUNY Poly NAC 8 6 180 210 96 170 210 95 475 0.00
215 Susquehanna Landmark 14 4 68 103 37 72 136 40 248 0.00
216 Thiel PAC 3 11 223 203 207 210 189 205 604 0.00
217 Thomas NAC 2 9 214 225 154 221 224 156 601 0.00
218 Transylvania CCIW 11 6 97 175 81 93 99 76 268 0.00
219 Trine MIAA 6 10 163 181 185 180 152 184 516 0.00
220 U of New England CCC 4 13 140 84 230 161 92 228 481 0.00
221 Ursinus Centennial 7 9 44 27 124 63 27 112 202 0.00
222 Utica Empire 8 6 10 157 104 177 155 161 185 501 0.00
223 Vassar Liberty League 9 6 43 28 38 32 34 35 101 0.00
224 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 5 11 174 123 193 154 111 192 457 0.00
225 Wabash NCAC 8 8 165 167 131 124 138 113 375 0.00
226 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 10 239 238 165 239 239 166 644 0.00
227 Washington & Jef PAC 3 11 210 198 208 215 193 206 614 0.00
228 Washington Colle Centennial 6 11 50 17 170 89 33 157 279 0.00
229 Wentworth CCC 13 6 79 80 52 59 171 52 282 0.00
230 Western Connecti LEC 13 4 62 94 41 57 119 43 219 0.00
231 Western New Engl CCC 11 6 34 42 43 47 36 62 145 0.00
232 Westminster (PA) PAC 10 8 150 164 117 128 146 107 381 0.00
233 Wheaton NEWMAC 9 8 90 74 109 132 143 125 400 0.00
234 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 12 107 53 214 158 102 216 476 0.00
235 Wilkes MAC-Freedom 4 12 175 132 220 193 168 221 582 0.00
236 William Peace USA South 3 11 211 217 209 222 206 209 637 0.00
237 Wilmington (OH) OAC 4 13 232 227 231 226 194 232 652 0.00
238 Wittenberg NCAC 8 5 94 109 78 68 103 68 239 0.00
239 Wooster NCAC 11 7 74 89 101 50 55 85 190 0.00