Conf = ALC Div 1 (North)
Nickname = VA Flames Coach = Kyle McQuiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6628418 home-field advantage = -0.88 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Temple ALC Div 1 (No ( 4-10, 83.2) 23- 2 217 H Northeastern CLC Div 1 (11- 5, 93.2) 7- 8 224 H South Carolina SELC Div 1 (N (10- 5, 93.9) 11- 8 228 A Virginia Tech (D1) ALC Div 1 (So (13- 4, 96.4) 9-10 302 H Connecticut CLC Div 1 ( 6- 8, 86.2) 17- 2 303 H West Virginia ALC Div 1 (No ( 8- 6, 88.6) 13-10 308 H Pittsburgh ALC Div 1 (No ( 8- 8, 88.5) 16- 2 310 H NC State ALC Div 1 (So ( 4- 5, 88.5) 21- 5 314 N BYU RMLC Div 1 (18- 0, 99.9) 12-14 315 N Florida SELC Div 1 (S ( 9- 7, 94.0) 17-13 321 H Utah Valley RMLC Div 1 ( 9- 6, 95.9) 14-13 323 H Chapman SLC Div 1 (13- 4, 95.8) 8-11 407 H Clemson ALC Div 1 (So ( 6- 8, 91.4) 14- 8 414 A James Madison ALC Div 1 (No ( 8- 3, 90.3) 16- 7 427 H Virginia Tech (D1) ALC Div 1 (So (13- 4, 96.4) 18-14 428 H Tennessee ALC Div 1 (So (12- 3, 93.2) 17-13 506 N Northeastern CLC Div 1 (11- 5, 93.2) 10- 6 507 N Arizona State SLC Div 1 (10- 7, 95.3) 11-10 509 N BYU RMLC Div 1 (18- 0, 99.9) 12-20
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 A Temple 23- 2 21 11 0.00 217 H Northeastern 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.39 224 H South Carolina 11- 8 3 2 0.39 228 A Virginia Tech (D1) 9-10 -1 -1 0.61 302 H Connecticut 17- 2 15 10 0.00 303 H West Virginia 13-10 3 7 -- -4.00 308 H Pittsburgh 16- 2 14 8 0.00 310 H NC State 21- 5 16 8 0.00 314 N BYU 12-14 -2 -4 + 2.23 315 N Florida 17-13 4 1 + 2.34 321 H Utah Valley 14-13 1 0 0.31 323 H Chapman 8-11 -3 0 - -3.77 407 H Clemson 14- 8 6 5 0.87 414 A James Madison 16- 7 9 4 + 2.54 427 H Virginia Tech (D1) 18-14 4 0 + 3.86 428 H Tennessee 17-13 4 3 0.62 506 N Northeastern 10- 6 4 2 1.48 507 N Arizona State 11-10 1 0 0.61 509 N BYU 12-20 -8 -4 - -2.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 H Northeastern 7- 8 -1 3 -- -4.39 303 H West Virginia 13-10 3 7 -- -4.00 323 H Chapman 8-11 -3 0 - -3.77 509 N BYU 12-20 -8 -4 - -2.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 N BYU 12-14 -2 -4 + 2.23 315 N Florida 17-13 4 1 + 2.34 414 A James Madison 16- 7 9 4 + 2.54 427 H Virginia Tech (D1) 18-14 4 0 + 3.86
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.67 Power Rank................. 6 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.35 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7119 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6515 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 3.5 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 7 Selection Rank ............ 2 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0