List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Annes-Belfiel 17 1 1 19 1 21 25.00
2 Yorktown 13 1 10 9 5 24 14.00
3 Potomac School 12 6 12 60 8 80 12.00
4 Collegiate Schoo 16 4 5 6 3 14 12.00
5 St Stephens & St 15 6 4 156 4 164 11.00
6 Bishop Ireton 10 5 7 154 16 177 4.00
7 West Potomac 11 3 19 18 23 60 4.00
8 Robinson 11 3 14 31 14 59 3.00
9 Covenant School 13 2 17 15 7 39 2.00
10 Langley 11 2 16 10 9 35 2.00
11 Norfolk Academy 11 5 33 70 21 124 2.00
12 Paul VI 9 9 37 2 42 81 0.00
13 Battlefield 9 5 18 4 49 71 0.00
14 Lightridge 8 4 28 22 44 94 0.00
15 Meridian 11 1 2 5 6 13 0.00
16 Riverside 8 4 22 41 29 92 0.00
17 South Lakes 10 4 44 34 45 123 0.00
18 St Catherines 7 7 15 1 30 46 0.00
19 Western Albemarl 11 0 3 12 2 17 0.00
20 Woodson 9 5 24 17 58 99 0.00
21 Bishop OConnell 11 7 96 112 60 268 0.00
22 Episcopal 4 13 77 7 67 151 0.00
23 Flint Hill Schoo 8 9 71 105 77 253 0.00
24 Madeira School 2 7 147 155 46 348 0.00
25 Albemarle 5 7 69 16 82 167 0.00
26 Alexandria City 8 6 86 61 84 231 0.00
27 Annandale 2 9 133 123 134 390 0.00
28 Atlee 3 7 56 24 123 203 0.00
29 Bayside 6 1 76 151 24 251 0.00
30 Blacksburg 8 3 32 40 50 122 0.00
31 Brentsville Dist 4 5 63 63 74 200 0.00
32 Briar Woods 4 8 121 87 132 340 0.00
33 Broad Run 1 10 136 85 152 373 0.00
34 Brooke Point 2 10 124 100 149 373 0.00
35 Cape Henry Colle 12 2 26 58 20 104 0.00
36 Catholic HS 7 5 46 33 78 157 0.00
37 Cave Spring 6 3 49 72 54 175 0.00
38 Centreville 3 10 75 38 112 225 0.00
39 Chantilly 6 7 67 36 102 205 0.00
40 Charlottesville 3 9 134 115 142 391 0.00
41 Chatham Hall 0 7 88 50 97 235 0.00
42 Christiansburg 0 8 144 127 137 408 0.00
43 Clover Hill 4 7 112 95 119 326 0.00
44 Colgan 11 3 31 20 43 94 0.00
45 Colonial Forge 9 4 47 37 64 148 0.00
46 Cosby 8 1 51 132 17 200 0.00
47 Cox 0 4 103 28 91 222 0.00
48 Culpeper County 5 5 83 93 81 257 0.00
49 Deep Run 4 6 54 35 85 174 0.00
50 Dominion 8 4 74 81 55 210 0.00
51 Douglas Freeman 9 1 13 54 15 82 0.00
52 Eastern View 4 5 113 126 88 327 0.00
53 EC Glass 7 4 60 62 68 190 0.00
54 Edison 4 6 104 106 103 313 0.00
55 Fairfax 6 8 109 68 120 297 0.00
56 Falls Church 6 7 94 59 113 266 0.00
57 Fauquier 3 7 81 48 106 235 0.00
58 First Colonial 3 3 92 113 69 274 0.00
59 Fluvanna County 4 8 123 91 125 339 0.00
60 Forest Park 9 2 57 139 35 231 0.00
61 Foxcroft School 3 8 154 153 126 433 0.00
62 Franklin County 2 10 140 103 148 391 0.00
63 Fredericksburg A 2 6 130 125 107 362 0.00
64 Freedom South Ri 5 8 79 86 117 282 0.00
65 Gainesville 5 6 70 42 92 204 0.00
66 Gar-Field 2 12 138 117 158 413 0.00
67 Glen Allen 3 9 80 23 135 238 0.00
68 Goochland 0 8 156 147 139 442 0.00
69 Grafton Club 0 8 151 143 140 434 0.00
70 Grassfield Club 8 2 27 45 36 108 0.00
71 Great Bridge Clu 3 6 127 118 114 359 0.00
72 Green Run 0 4 129 49 93 271 0.00
73 Hanover 8 1 20 64 18 102 0.00
74 Hayfield 3 8 131 120 133 384 0.00
75 Heritage 2 7 110 80 129 319 0.00
76 Herndon 4 7 97 66 108 271 0.00
77 Hidden Valley 4 6 61 39 109 209 0.00
78 Highland School 6 8 101 111 83 295 0.00
79 Hylton 3 11 126 57 155 338 0.00
80 Independence 8 4 21 13 51 85 0.00
81 James Madison 7 6 6 3 25 34 0.00
82 James Monroe 10 1 53 129 10 192 0.00
83 James River 4 5 102 65 98 265 0.00
84 Jamestown Club 4 3 38 84 65 187 0.00
85 Jefferson Forest 4 6 89 79 105 273 0.00
86 John Champe 2 7 106 104 127 337 0.00
87 John Handley 2 1 42 109 37 188 0.00
88 John R Lewis 2 8 150 150 136 436 0.00
89 Justice 10 1 59 136 13 208 0.00
90 Kellam 5 3 52 119 61 232 0.00
91 Kempsville 3 5 128 122 101 351 0.00
92 Kettle Run 8 2 23 53 38 114 0.00
93 Lake Braddock 8 5 43 26 75 144 0.00
94 Landstown 1 6 116 74 118 308 0.00
95 Liberty-Bealeton 4 4 85 98 70 253 0.00
96 Loudoun County 5 5 90 108 94 292 0.00
97 Loudoun Valley 5 3 58 83 62 203 0.00
98 Manchester 0 11 145 116 157 418 0.00
99 Marshall 2 11 118 32 150 300 0.00
100 Massaponax 3 11 108 21 156 285 0.00
101 Maury Club 4 6 107 114 110 331 0.00
102 McLean 6 5 64 52 59 175 0.00
103 Mechanicsville 5 5 82 92 89 263 0.00
104 Menchville Club 2 7 141 131 130 402 0.00
105 Midlothian 6 4 45 51 76 172 0.00
106 Mills Godwin 7 4 48 56 71 175 0.00
107 Monacan 4 7 122 130 121 373 0.00
108 Monticello 7 3 100 144 47 291 0.00
109 Mountain View 11 2 30 46 26 102 0.00
110 Mt Vernon 2 9 143 138 145 426 0.00
111 Nansemond-Suffol 6 8 78 94 128 300 0.00
112 Norfolk Collegia 3 10 91 30 146 267 0.00
113 North Cross Scho 3 5 93 97 86 276 0.00
114 North Stafford 2 10 120 55 151 326 0.00
115 Oakcrest School 4 6 149 146 104 399 0.00
116 Oakton 8 6 29 8 48 85 0.00
117 Ocean Lakes 8 3 68 121 39 228 0.00
118 Orange County 1 10 139 99 147 385 0.00
119 Osbourn 6 7 132 141 116 389 0.00
120 Osbourn Park 0 14 142 102 159 403 0.00
121 Park View 3 6 148 149 115 412 0.00
122 Patrick Henry As 3 6 95 77 111 283 0.00
123 Patrick Henry Ro 7 1 35 96 22 153 0.00
124 Patriot 10 4 39 25 56 120 0.00
125 Potomac Falls 10 2 66 107 27 200 0.00
126 Potomac HS 5 9 111 73 141 325 0.00
127 Powhatan 10 1 9 29 11 49 0.00
128 Princess Anne 5 3 117 148 63 328 0.00
129 Riverbend 7 5 73 76 87 236 0.00
130 Rock Ridge 0 10 155 142 153 450 0.00
131 Rockbridge Count 9 1 8 43 12 63 0.00
132 Salem 4 4 50 47 72 169 0.00
133 Salem Virginia B 0 4 153 137 95 385 0.00
134 South County 2 9 114 82 138 334 0.00
135 St Gertrude 1 7 84 27 99 210 0.00
136 St John Paul The 5 4 87 110 66 263 0.00
137 Stafford 8 4 62 78 73 213 0.00
138 Steward School 3 9 137 135 143 415 0.00
139 Stone Bridge 9 2 36 69 31 136 0.00
140 Tabb Club 4 5 98 128 100 326 0.00
141 Tallwood 0 4 146 133 96 375 0.00
142 Thomas Dale 4 7 152 152 124 428 0.00
143 Thomas Jefferson 8 3 99 140 52 291 0.00
144 Trinity Christia 5 4 105 134 80 319 0.00
145 Trinity Episcopa 8 4 11 14 32 57 0.00
146 Tuscarora 3 8 119 90 131 340 0.00
147 Virginia Episcop 10 2 40 71 19 130 0.00
148 Wakefield HS 0 12 135 44 154 333 0.00
149 Warhill Club 7 3 41 67 57 165 0.00
150 Washington-Liber 3 10 125 145 144 414 0.00
151 West Springfield 7 7 65 89 90 244 0.00
152 Westfield 10 4 25 11 41 77 0.00
153 William Byrd 4 7 115 101 122 338 0.00
154 Woodbridge 8 3 72 124 53 249 0.00
155 Woodgrove 5 4 55 88 79 222 0.00
156 York Club 8 2 34 75 40 149 0.00
157 Freedom Woodbrid 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
158 Unity Reed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
159 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00