List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 McDonogh School 14 1 8 58 1 67 21.00
2 St Pauls SG 13 4 29 49 31 109 15.00
3 Archbishop Spald 11 3 14 18 11 43 13.00
4 Georgetown Visit 9 5 5 1 18 24 8.00
5 Severna Park 11 1 3 7 3 13 8.00
6 John Carroll 8 5 41 41 72 154 6.00
7 Manchester Valle 12 0 1 6 2 9 5.00
8 Good Counsel 16 0 4 29 5 38 4.00
9 Maryvale Prep 14 2 22 36 16 74 4.00
10 Glenelg Country 6 8 70 43 163 276 3.00
11 Notre Dame Prep 8 8 73 110 156 339 3.00
12 Stone Ridge Scho 11 4 13 14 19 46 3.00
13 Garrison Forest 6 9 93 34 198 325 2.00
14 Holton-Arms Scho 8 7 36 117 22 175 0.00
15 St Johns College 11 5 47 47 27 121 0.00
16 St Marys 9 6 33 30 113 176 0.00
17 Chesapeake AA 10 1 28 130 9 167 0.00
18 Marriotts Ridge 9 3 12 31 10 53 0.00
19 Annapolis Area C 7 1 76 165 26 267 0.00
20 Anne Arundel Cou 3 3 140 152 97 389 0.00
21 Beth TFiloh 5 2 87 143 60 290 0.00
22 Bishop McNamara 4 7 84 55 74 213 0.00
23 Brookewood SG 3 4 157 113 101 371 0.00
24 Bryn Mawr SG 5 9 71 33 170 274 0.00
25 Bullis School 2 12 103 9 155 267 0.00
26 Calverton School 1 4 181 177 137 495 0.00
27 Catholic High Ba 4 6 120 138 171 429 0.00
28 Chapelgate Chris 1 8 205 184 211 600 0.00
29 Concordia Prep 4 5 100 86 150 336 0.00
30 Elizabeth Seton 4 8 95 32 134 261 0.00
31 FCA 9 5 57 45 127 229 0.00
32 Field School 0 4 182 166 144 492 0.00
33 Friends School 0 7 161 97 203 461 0.00
34 Georgetown Day S 3 3 72 125 75 272 0.00
35 Gerstell Academy 10 4 59 76 82 217 0.00
36 Gunston Day Scho 4 7 141 70 184 395 0.00
37 Holy Child 4 12 122 139 112 373 0.00
38 Holy Cross 5 8 50 134 102 286 0.00
39 Indian Creek 3 7 121 71 190 382 0.00
40 Jackson-Reed 5 8 187 200 151 538 0.00
41 Jemicy 4 3 152 185 91 428 0.00
42 Key School 2 4 145 122 135 402 0.00
43 Maret School 9 3 39 82 29 150 0.00
44 Mercy 3 11 119 19 218 356 0.00
45 Mount de Sales 5 13 106 5 219 330 0.00
46 National Cathedr 5 9 148 91 174 413 0.00
47 Park School 5 8 108 54 204 366 0.00
48 Rockbridge Acade 5 3 142 178 83 403 0.00
49 Roland Park Coun 6 9 66 27 179 272 0.00
50 Salisbury School 8 3 88 181 47 316 0.00
51 Sandy Spring Fri 0 1 213 209 61 483 0.00
52 School Without W 0 2 212 207 84 503 0.00
53 Severn School 5 11 92 37 212 341 0.00
54 Sidwell Friends 9 2 44 173 30 247 0.00
55 St Andrews Episc 2 5 180 121 138 439 0.00
56 St James School 2 4 199 174 77 450 0.00
57 St Johns Catholi 11 5 74 74 105 253 0.00
58 St Marys Ryken 3 8 109 40 157 306 0.00
59 St Timothys 8 0 45 160 13 218 0.00
60 St Vincent Pallo 2 8 155 98 207 460 0.00
61 Sts Peter & Paul 10 1 34 83 20 137 0.00
62 Tome School 0 5 195 196 165 556 0.00
63 Washington Latin 0 1 211 208 62 481 0.00
64 Worcester Prep 1 9 190 133 209 532 0.00
65 Aberdeen 5 3 130 168 85 383 0.00
66 Academy for Coll 2 3 200 192 103 495 0.00
67 Annapolis 5 1 52 67 38 157 0.00
68 Arundel 5 4 46 35 67 148 0.00
69 Atholton 3 7 162 132 191 485 0.00
70 Baltimore Polyte 4 2 86 187 68 341 0.00
71 Bel Air 9 4 25 20 92 137 0.00
72 Bethesda-Chevy C 6 4 64 77 69 210 0.00
73 Bladensburg 1 6 160 87 182 429 0.00
74 Blair 3 5 61 28 106 195 0.00
75 Blake 1 9 112 23 199 334 0.00
76 Bohemia Manor 2 7 188 186 195 569 0.00
77 Boonsboro 5 4 151 176 107 434 0.00
78 Bowie 5 2 27 64 63 154 0.00
79 Broadneck 7 4 10 3 28 41 0.00
80 Brunswick 0 6 196 147 185 528 0.00
81 Calvert 5 6 91 57 166 314 0.00
82 Cambridge SD 1 4 158 115 139 412 0.00
83 Carver A&T 4 5 105 118 152 375 0.00
84 Catoctin 4 2 178 206 70 454 0.00
85 Catonsville 6 3 16 17 50 83 0.00
86 Centennial 3 7 129 85 172 386 0.00
87 Central PG 0 1 192 135 64 391 0.00
88 Century 10 1 9 24 8 41 0.00
89 CH Flowers 4 3 137 179 93 409 0.00
90 Chesapeake BC 4 1 132 199 45 376 0.00
91 Chopticon 3 4 134 109 128 371 0.00
92 City College 4 3 110 201 94 405 0.00
93 Clarksburg 9 2 68 123 46 237 0.00
94 CM Wright 6 4 49 56 108 213 0.00
95 CMIT North 5 2 55 116 65 236 0.00
96 Crofton 6 4 69 88 95 252 0.00
97 Damascus 9 2 7 16 14 37 0.00
98 Dr Henry Wise 4 4 111 53 121 285 0.00
99 Dulaney 6 6 40 13 122 175 0.00
100 Dundalk 5 5 156 171 145 472 0.00
101 DuVal 1 7 164 93 200 457 0.00
102 Eastern Technica 5 3 54 48 86 188 0.00
103 Easton 6 2 75 137 53 265 0.00
104 Edgewood 3 6 176 183 175 534 0.00
105 Einstein 4 5 116 72 140 328 0.00
106 Eleanor Roosevel 8 0 32 114 12 158 0.00
107 Elkton 3 7 170 198 176 544 0.00
108 Fairmont Heights 0 3 202 92 114 408 0.00
109 Fallston 7 6 30 8 129 167 0.00
110 Francis Scott Ke 3 6 96 52 146 294 0.00
111 Franklin 3 4 113 75 130 318 0.00
112 Frederick 4 5 143 182 153 478 0.00
113 Frederick Dougla 0 4 136 158 147 441 0.00
114 Gaithersburg 0 10 204 162 220 586 0.00
115 Glen Burnie 3 7 163 129 192 484 0.00
116 Glenelg HS 12 1 11 26 6 43 0.00
117 Gov Thomas Johns 1 2 123 154 78 355 0.00
118 Great Mills 1 8 175 105 213 493 0.00
119 Gwynn Park 1 3 107 106 109 322 0.00
120 Hammond 2 8 201 164 205 570 0.00
121 Harford Tech 5 4 85 94 115 294 0.00
122 Havre De Grace 5 4 90 99 116 305 0.00
123 Hereford 7 2 21 39 51 111 0.00
124 Howard 5 5 56 50 87 193 0.00
125 Huntingtown 8 1 26 38 23 87 0.00
126 JM Bennett 1 6 159 124 180 463 0.00
127 Kennedy 2 8 194 180 210 584 0.00
128 Kent County 3 5 127 104 158 389 0.00
129 Kent Island 3 8 97 65 167 329 0.00
130 Kenwood 5 4 165 193 117 475 0.00
131 La Plata 6 2 58 69 54 181 0.00
132 Lackey 3 4 153 157 131 441 0.00
133 Lansdowne 1 7 197 169 201 567 0.00
134 Laurel 8 1 82 170 24 276 0.00
135 Leonardtown 6 5 67 44 141 252 0.00
136 Liberty 9 3 18 42 21 81 0.00
137 Linganore 7 3 35 59 55 149 0.00
138 Loch Raven 5 2 78 148 66 292 0.00
139 Long Reach 6 3 144 195 79 418 0.00
140 Magruder 5 5 135 149 148 432 0.00
141 Meade 0 8 191 142 214 547 0.00
142 Middletown 6 5 81 81 98 260 0.00
143 MJ McDonough 2 4 138 108 136 382 0.00
144 Mount Hebron 7 5 24 2 56 82 0.00
145 New Town 0 3 210 189 118 517 0.00
146 North Caroline 6 3 51 96 57 204 0.00
147 North County 3 6 126 84 161 371 0.00
148 North East Cecil 3 6 168 156 177 501 0.00
149 North Hagerstown 2 7 189 191 196 576 0.00
150 North Harford 3 7 99 60 193 352 0.00
151 North Point 3 5 146 140 159 445 0.00
152 Northeast 3 5 147 131 160 438 0.00
153 Northern Calvert 7 2 42 90 52 184 0.00
154 Northwest 7 3 80 127 58 265 0.00
155 Northwestern PG 2 5 154 153 162 469 0.00
156 Northwood 7 3 102 155 71 328 0.00
157 Oakdale 7 3 43 66 73 182 0.00
158 Oakland Mills 2 7 179 175 186 540 0.00
159 Old Mill 4 5 104 89 154 347 0.00
160 Overlea 3 3 185 202 99 486 0.00
161 Owings Mills 0 8 207 163 215 585 0.00
162 Oxon Hill 5 3 125 161 88 374 0.00
163 Paint Branch 3 8 167 111 206 484 0.00
164 Parkdale 5 3 118 144 89 351 0.00
165 Parkside 3 4 139 136 123 398 0.00
166 Parkville 6 4 115 145 110 370 0.00
167 Patapsco 2 6 184 150 181 515 0.00
168 Patterson Mill 6 3 60 95 80 235 0.00
169 Patuxent 6 4 101 128 111 340 0.00
170 Perry Hall 3 4 89 63 132 284 0.00
171 Perryville 6 6 98 73 164 335 0.00
172 Pikesville 2 6 149 103 173 425 0.00
173 Poolesville 5 5 131 146 100 377 0.00
174 Queen Annes Coun 7 2 53 205 41 299 0.00
175 Quince Orchard 6 4 20 15 48 83 0.00
176 Reservoir 8 4 83 78 76 237 0.00
177 Richard Montgome 5 5 114 112 149 375 0.00
178 Rising Sun 4 4 133 204 124 461 0.00
179 River Hill 6 6 77 102 104 283 0.00
180 Rockville 2 7 166 119 178 463 0.00
181 Seneca Valley 3 8 177 126 208 511 0.00
182 Sherwood 8 0 2 80 4 86 0.00
183 Smithsburg 0 6 209 190 187 586 0.00
184 South Carroll 4 6 48 21 125 194 0.00
185 South River 5 4 19 11 59 89 0.00
186 Southern 3 5 117 101 119 337 0.00
187 Sparrows Point 5 4 65 68 120 253 0.00
188 Springbrook 9 2 38 79 15 132 0.00
189 St Charles 1 7 206 188 202 596 0.00
190 Stephen Decatur 8 1 15 61 25 101 0.00
191 Suitland 0 5 193 194 168 555 0.00
192 Towson 5 6 31 10 133 174 0.00
193 Tuscarora 4 4 128 141 126 395 0.00
194 Urbana 6 4 17 22 96 135 0.00
195 Walkersville 2 7 183 151 194 528 0.00
196 Walter Johnson 8 2 23 51 17 91 0.00
197 Watkins Mill 0 8 203 159 216 578 0.00
198 Western Baltimor 0 2 214 203 90 507 0.00
199 Western STES 6 3 124 167 81 372 0.00
200 Westlake 0 6 208 197 188 593 0.00
201 Westminster 3 7 37 4 142 183 0.00
202 Wheaton 3 8 174 120 197 491 0.00
203 Whitman 9 1 6 25 7 38 0.00
204 Wicomico 0 6 169 62 189 420 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 2 9 173 100 217 490 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 2 7 62 12 169 243 0.00
207 Winters Mill 4 6 79 46 143 268 0.00
208 Woodlawn 1 6 198 172 183 553 0.00
209 Wootton 7 3 63 107 49 219 0.00
210 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
211 DC International 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
212 EL Haynes Charte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 Oldfields School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Joppatowne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Randallstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 South Hagerstown 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Thomas Stone 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00