List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 14 5 10 39 8 57 19.00
2 San Ramon Valley 18 1 4 51 1 56 14.00
3 Sacred Heart Pre 16 2 5 115 4 124 14.00
4 Oak Ridge 20 2 2 1 2 5 12.00
5 Marlborough 16 1 1 17 3 21 6.00
6 Torrey Pines 15 4 6 5 11 22 5.00
7 Coronado 14 3 18 149 22 189 4.00
8 Foothill Santa A 16 2 9 90 5 104 4.00
9 Marin Catholic 17 4 14 8 12 34 3.00
10 Redwood 16 4 11 4 14 29 3.00
11 Granite Bay 12 6 40 29 77 146 2.00
12 Menlo School 12 5 26 13 37 76 2.00
13 Palos Verdes 12 7 22 11 41 74 2.00
14 Redondo Union 16 4 3 2 6 11 2.00
15 Carondelet 14 8 28 38 27 93 0.00
16 Del Oro 13 4 23 30 17 70 0.00
17 Marin Academy 12 4 34 87 55 176 0.00
18 Monte Vista Danv 14 5 33 28 60 121 0.00
19 Cathedral Cathol 11 7 20 31 24 75 0.00
20 Mira Costa 17 4 7 25 10 42 0.00
21 San Clemente 18 3 8 6 7 21 0.00
22 St Margarets 13 7 15 15 76 106 0.00
23 Acalanes 13 7 53 97 124 274 0.00
24 Alhambra 4 7 265 279 172 716 0.00
25 Amador Valley 13 6 57 24 72 153 0.00
26 Archie Williams 9 9 143 101 173 417 0.00
27 Athenian 2 6 280 282 157 719 0.00
28 Bay School 7 8 219 246 180 645 0.00
29 Bella Vista 11 5 128 217 87 432 0.00
30 Bentley 4 3 237 280 80 597 0.00
31 Berkeley 8 10 155 93 212 460 0.00
32 Bishop ODowd 5 11 167 106 242 515 0.00
33 Branson School 13 5 78 63 67 208 0.00
34 California San R 11 5 43 26 59 128 0.00
35 Campolindo 12 6 48 52 81 181 0.00
36 Cardinal Newman 4 8 201 221 201 623 0.00
37 Casa Grande 5 9 193 245 213 651 0.00
38 Christian Brothe 12 4 111 190 68 369 0.00
39 Clayton Valley C 5 8 235 255 194 684 0.00
40 College Park 12 5 113 201 88 402 0.00
41 Convent-Sacred H 1 8 270 269 208 747 0.00
42 Davis 7 9 44 14 160 218 0.00
43 Dougherty Valley 4 7 138 183 150 471 0.00
44 Dublin 6 9 153 138 195 486 0.00
45 Folsom 6 9 107 48 166 321 0.00
46 Foothill Pleasan 3 10 177 157 228 562 0.00
47 Granada 6 11 158 102 235 495 0.00
48 Head-Royce Schoo 3 10 195 175 237 607 0.00
49 International 1 7 263 261 189 713 0.00
50 Justin-Siena 14 7 69 132 120 321 0.00
51 Las Lomas 9 7 163 227 143 533 0.00
52 Lick-Wilmerding 9 7 121 126 144 391 0.00
53 Livermore 2 11 227 207 244 678 0.00
54 Lowell 0 6 234 225 167 626 0.00
55 Miramonte 10 9 63 77 145 285 0.00
56 Moreau Catholic 3 8 266 273 205 744 0.00
57 Napa 2 12 261 251 267 779 0.00
58 Newark Memorial 2 11 275 271 255 801 0.00
59 Northgate 2 11 180 120 256 556 0.00
60 Novato 8 8 89 62 151 302 0.00
61 Oakland Tech 1 1 252 281 61 594 0.00
62 Oakmont 2 9 268 262 229 759 0.00
63 Petaluma 10 5 105 181 101 387 0.00
64 Piedmont 13 5 93 160 84 337 0.00
65 Rancho Cotate 10 7 169 198 128 495 0.00
66 Rio Americano 6 10 212 168 230 610 0.00
67 Rocklin 8 10 148 74 190 412 0.00
68 Roseville 4 9 232 240 220 692 0.00
69 San Marin 14 5 36 47 56 139 0.00
70 San Rafael 1 12 216 125 259 600 0.00
71 Sonoma Academy 3 9 225 233 224 682 0.00
72 Sonoma Valley 11 6 126 197 113 436 0.00
73 St Francis Sacra 11 4 19 64 63 146 0.00
74 St Vincent de Pa 6 7 239 277 161 677 0.00
75 Tamalpais 10 9 35 3 102 140 0.00
76 Terra Linda 3 10 199 166 225 590 0.00
77 University HS SF 8 10 77 44 202 323 0.00
78 Urban School 9 5 151 230 105 486 0.00
79 Vintage 7 8 150 158 181 489 0.00
80 Vista del Lago 10 6 56 53 95 204 0.00
81 Washington Fremo 0 3 284 283 103 670 0.00
82 West Park 0 19 278 218 303 799 0.00
83 Whitney 2 15 197 79 285 561 0.00
84 Windsor 1 12 257 238 273 768 0.00
85 Woodcreek 11 5 175 214 78 467 0.00
86 Ygnacio Valley 0 8 274 264 214 752 0.00
87 Academy of Our L 2 14 194 67 288 549 0.00
88 Bishops School 20 2 24 73 13 110 0.00
89 Bonita Vista 12 9 115 92 182 389 0.00
90 Canyon Crest 7 10 152 119 231 502 0.00
91 Canyon Hills 10 8 125 91 168 384 0.00
92 Carlsbad 15 4 38 36 28 102 0.00
93 Castle Park 12 9 88 99 183 370 0.00
94 Clairemont 6 11 224 228 245 697 0.00
95 Classical Academ 11 7 134 164 136 434 0.00
96 Del Lago Academy 1 14 200 114 290 604 0.00
97 Del Norte 12 6 45 58 89 192 0.00
98 Eastlake 12 7 72 55 129 256 0.00
99 El Camino 5 17 223 88 296 607 0.00
100 El Capitan 12 5 116 210 90 416 0.00
101 Fallbrook 15 4 76 180 64 320 0.00
102 Francis Parker S 9 9 102 236 162 500 0.00
103 Granite Hills 10 6 114 161 116 391 0.00
104 Grossmont 5 13 210 148 275 633 0.00
105 Helix Charter 3 13 243 220 280 743 0.00
106 Hilltop 5 12 228 192 263 683 0.00
107 La Costa Canyon 8 9 55 56 114 225 0.00
108 La Jolla CDS 8 8 137 254 152 543 0.00
109 La Jolla HS 5 14 118 35 246 399 0.00
110 Lincoln San Dieg 3 12 246 224 266 736 0.00
111 Mar Vista 8 3 190 274 69 533 0.00
112 Mater Dei Chula 12 7 112 178 130 420 0.00
113 Mira Mesa 8 11 140 60 238 438 0.00
114 Mission Bay 11 5 131 208 96 435 0.00
115 Mission Hills 3 12 192 151 265 608 0.00
116 Mission Vista 1 16 244 147 295 686 0.00
117 Monte Vista Spri 7 6 182 242 131 555 0.00
118 Montgomery 0 2 282 276 79 637 0.00
119 Morse 8 11 221 196 239 656 0.00
120 Mt Carmel 7 9 127 145 178 450 0.00
121 Olympian 7 14 174 113 282 569 0.00
122 Otay Ranch 4 11 256 241 251 748 0.00
123 Pacific Ridge 11 5 86 105 97 288 0.00
124 Patrick Henry 5 12 144 70 257 471 0.00
125 Point Loma 12 3 42 69 57 168 0.00
126 Poway 9 9 108 81 163 352 0.00
127 Preuss School 1 18 248 150 301 699 0.00
128 Ramona 2 15 230 137 292 659 0.00
129 Rancho Bernardo 6 13 157 94 268 519 0.00
130 Rancho Buena Vis 14 3 85 159 53 297 0.00
131 Sage Creek 16 4 82 117 62 261 0.00
132 San Diego 10 6 117 154 117 388 0.00
133 San Dieguito 5 12 101 40 243 384 0.00
134 San Marcos SD 13 6 21 78 23 122 0.00
135 San Ysidro 14 8 99 130 146 375 0.00
136 Santa Fe Christi 0 17 231 142 298 671 0.00
137 Santana 5 13 217 200 276 693 0.00
138 Scripps Ranch 10 6 66 72 98 236 0.00
139 Southwest 0 8 279 270 215 764 0.00
140 Tri City Christi 12 5 156 199 91 446 0.00
141 University City 15 3 25 43 36 104 0.00
142 Valhalla 6 12 187 123 260 570 0.00
143 Valley Center 9 6 147 195 121 463 0.00
144 Vista 12 7 132 109 132 373 0.00
145 West Hills 12 7 161 232 133 526 0.00
146 Westview 8 8 145 176 179 500 0.00
147 Aptos 8 7 203 244 153 600 0.00
148 Aragon 4 11 218 182 252 652 0.00
149 Archbishop Mitty 1 10 139 49 209 397 0.00
150 Burlingame 8 7 136 136 154 426 0.00
151 Carlmont 2 9 207 205 232 644 0.00
152 Carmel 4 6 90 143 147 380 0.00
153 Castilleja 16 3 58 112 29 199 0.00
154 Gilroy 5 7 170 213 169 552 0.00
155 Gunn 14 3 71 171 54 296 0.00
156 Harbor 0 1 286 286 65 637 0.00
157 Harker School 0 16 245 152 297 694 0.00
158 Hillsdale 10 7 110 80 140 330 0.00
159 Leland 8 4 104 215 85 404 0.00
160 Lincoln San Jose 3 9 211 202 226 639 0.00
161 Live Oak 14 1 46 186 15 247 0.00
162 Los Altos 9 6 122 167 122 411 0.00
163 Los Gatos 13 4 64 83 70 217 0.00
164 Menlo-Atherton 6 10 83 21 184 288 0.00
165 Mercy Burlingame 6 10 184 146 233 563 0.00
166 Monte Vista Chri 10 8 103 57 170 330 0.00
167 Monterey 8 3 172 259 71 502 0.00
168 Mountain View 5 11 202 131 247 580 0.00
169 Notre Dame Belmo 11 7 98 104 137 339 0.00
170 Notre Dame Salin 1 5 253 258 138 649 0.00
171 Notre Dame San J 8 6 130 170 125 425 0.00
172 Palo Alto 5 14 209 95 286 590 0.00
173 Pioneer 10 7 123 129 141 393 0.00
174 Presentation 7 8 178 184 185 547 0.00
175 Priory 3 11 165 84 254 503 0.00
176 Sacred Heart Cat 12 5 97 155 92 344 0.00
177 Salinas 3 10 179 107 240 526 0.00
178 Santa Catalina S 1 7 183 172 191 546 0.00
179 Santa Cruz 1 5 277 278 139 694 0.00
180 Saratoga 4 8 213 229 203 645 0.00
181 Scotts Valley 11 2 47 194 30 271 0.00
182 Sequoia 11 5 62 76 99 237 0.00
183 Sobrato 2 12 240 231 269 740 0.00
184 Soquel 3 6 204 248 155 607 0.00
185 St Francis Mtn V 7 7 54 12 106 172 0.00
186 Stevenson School 11 2 29 89 31 149 0.00
187 Wilcox 0 12 262 235 277 774 0.00
188 Willow Glen 4 7 164 209 174 547 0.00
189 Woodside 12 3 49 110 58 217 0.00
190 York School 0 5 273 260 142 675 0.00
191 Agoura 4 14 191 54 283 528 0.00
192 Alexander Hamilt 2 3 241 275 93 609 0.00
193 Aliso Niguel 8 12 173 100 234 507 0.00
194 Beckman 9 10 159 141 216 516 0.00
195 Beverly Hills 0 7 276 265 196 737 0.00
196 Birmingham Chart 5 14 220 169 287 676 0.00
197 Calabasas 1 18 238 96 302 636 0.00
198 California Whitt 4 11 267 266 253 786 0.00
199 Canyon 10 9 65 41 156 262 0.00
200 Capistrano Valle 5 11 251 253 248 752 0.00
201 Cate School 11 5 75 116 100 291 0.00
202 Centennial 2 12 264 243 270 777 0.00
203 Chadwick School 9 8 168 189 175 532 0.00
204 Chaminade Prep 12 7 32 9 73 114 0.00
205 Chaparral 14 6 30 18 74 122 0.00
206 Compton 5 8 249 263 197 709 0.00
207 Corona 1 15 272 226 293 791 0.00
208 Corona Del Mar 9 10 74 75 206 355 0.00
209 Crescenta Valley 13 8 39 19 75 133 0.00
210 Culver City 10 7 133 127 109 369 0.00
211 Dana Hills 6 12 236 239 261 736 0.00
212 Dos Pueblos 7 8 154 140 186 480 0.00
213 Downey 11 11 146 111 227 484 0.00
214 Edison 10 9 27 7 86 120 0.00
215 El Camino Real 7 7 215 257 158 630 0.00
216 El Dorado 15 6 79 122 82 283 0.00
217 El Modena 5 14 247 185 279 711 0.00
218 El Segundo 5 13 188 103 258 549 0.00
219 El Toro 7 10 119 61 198 378 0.00
220 Eleanor Roosevel 14 9 95 86 164 345 0.00
221 Esperanza 5 10 196 177 221 594 0.00
222 GALA 0 4 285 285 118 688 0.00
223 Glendale 17 4 68 165 20 253 0.00
224 Great Oak 6 12 120 59 249 428 0.00
225 Hart 6 14 205 212 284 701 0.00
226 Hemet 1 12 250 211 274 735 0.00
227 Heritage 10 10 142 124 207 473 0.00
228 Heritage Christi 0 14 260 222 291 773 0.00
229 Huntington Beach 15 4 31 50 25 106 0.00
230 Irvine 3 13 229 193 281 703 0.00
231 JSerra Catholic 14 8 41 45 110 196 0.00
232 King 14 9 92 98 165 355 0.00
233 La Canada 6 12 222 206 262 690 0.00
234 Laguna Beach 12 6 124 173 111 408 0.00
235 Lakewood 2 12 281 267 271 819 0.00
236 Liberty 4 9 233 247 222 702 0.00
237 Long Beach Poly 1 8 269 268 210 747 0.00
238 Los Alamitos 10 9 87 135 192 414 0.00
239 Lynwood 0 12 271 250 278 799 0.00
240 Mater Dei Santa 12 6 16 16 26 58 0.00
241 Millikan 8 11 206 204 241 651 0.00
242 Mission Viejo 2 18 254 187 300 741 0.00
243 Murrieta Mesa 20 2 12 22 9 43 0.00
244 Murrieta Valley 11 11 80 33 217 330 0.00
245 Newbury Park 12 2 60 134 21 215 0.00
246 Newport Harbor 9 10 109 139 223 471 0.00
247 Norco 9 10 149 133 218 500 0.00
248 Nordhoff 0 11 242 219 264 725 0.00
249 Northwood 13 5 73 108 66 247 0.00
250 Notre Dame Sherm 10 8 67 66 126 259 0.00
251 Oak Park 14 3 61 82 40 183 0.00
252 Oaks Christian 11 6 91 68 115 274 0.00
253 Orange Lutheran 15 8 70 71 123 264 0.00
254 Palisades Charte 12 9 176 237 187 600 0.00
255 Paloma Valley 9 7 214 249 148 611 0.00
256 Peninsula 9 9 94 46 127 267 0.00
257 Portola 10 9 171 191 199 561 0.00
258 Riverside Poly 12 7 185 216 134 535 0.00
259 Rosary Academy 8 9 181 153 193 527 0.00
260 Royal 12 10 84 23 171 278 0.00
261 Sage Hill 0 17 259 203 299 761 0.00
262 San Juan Hills 16 5 17 20 18 55 0.00
263 San Marcos SB 17 2 52 128 16 196 0.00
264 Santa Barbara 5 11 189 156 250 595 0.00
265 Santa Margarita 13 5 13 10 19 42 0.00
266 Santa Monica 6 11 186 118 236 540 0.00
267 Santiago 11 8 50 32 119 201 0.00
268 Saugus 12 7 141 188 135 464 0.00
269 Segerstrom 13 6 208 256 107 571 0.00
270 Simi Valley 2 16 226 121 294 641 0.00
271 Temecula Valley 15 6 51 37 83 171 0.00
272 Tesoro 11 9 160 163 188 511 0.00
273 Thacher School 9 8 129 252 149 530 0.00
274 Trabuco Hills 12 7 59 42 104 205 0.00
275 Tustin 6 9 255 272 211 738 0.00
276 University HS LA 2 6 283 284 159 726 0.00
277 University Irvin 7 13 198 162 272 632 0.00
278 Valencia Placent 2 14 258 234 289 781 0.00
279 Valencia Santa C 9 8 135 144 176 455 0.00
280 Village Christia 10 11 81 34 204 319 0.00
281 Vista Murrieta 13 7 37 27 108 172 0.00
282 West Ranch 7 10 100 85 219 404 0.00
283 Westridge School 10 9 162 174 200 536 0.00
284 Woodbridge 12 5 106 179 94 379 0.00
285 Woodrow Wilson 12 6 166 223 112 501 0.00
286 Yorba Linda 11 10 96 65 177 338 0.00
287 Concord 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
288 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
289 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
290 San Domenico 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
291 El Rancho 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
292 Laguna Hills 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
293 Thousand Oaks 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
294 Westlake 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
295 Bullard 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
296 Edison Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
297 Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
298 Hoover Fresno 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
299 McLane 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
300 Roosevelt 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
301 San Joaquin Memo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
302 Sanger 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
303 Sunnyside 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00