List of girl Div 40 Croatan List of Team Values for North Carolina


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A New Bern                9- 8       1     6    --    -5.90
   228 H Hoggard                15- 7       8     0    +++    6.60
   306 A Ashley                  7-10      -3     1    --    -4.12
   313 A Swansboro              13- 3      10     4    +      2.78
   314 H JH Rose                16- 7       9     6           0.57
   316 H Wakefield              17-15       2     2          -0.66
   319 H Swansboro              14- 4      10     4    +      2.16
   320 H Laney                   7-10      -3    -2          -0.01
   322 A First Flight            5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.02
   326 H New Bern               15- 9       6     7          -1.00
   409 H White Oak              13- 0      13    26           0.00
   413 A Union Pines             5-15     -10    -7           0.00
   416 A White Oak              16- 1      15    26           0.00
   418 A Topsail                 6-17     -11   -11           0.00
   425 H Northside              13- 2      11    17           0.00
   504 A Carrboro               16- 2      14    16           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A First Flight            5-10      -5     2    ---   -7.02
   226 A New Bern                9- 8       1     6    --    -5.90
   306 A Ashley                  7-10      -3     1    --    -4.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Hoggard                15- 7       8     0    +++    6.60
   313 A Swansboro              13- 3      10     4    +      2.78
   319 H Swansboro              14- 4      10     4    +      2.16



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 76.54 Power Rank.................    23
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 43.03 SOS (PR) Rank..............    41
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7040 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     8
 RPI Rating............... .5964 RPI Rank...................    23
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    42
 Selection sum ...........    70 Selection Rank ............    16
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -30. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    36
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -40. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    39
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  11.7 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7