List of Probabilities for Virginia
Virginia Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Paul VI 11 5 1 2 7 10 25.00
2 St Annes-Belfiel 9 7 3 1 5 9 12.00
3 Blue Ridge Schoo 10 7 8 36 8 52 11.00
4 Norfolk Academy 13 5 24 75 23 122 7.00
5 Robinson 14 0 2 6 1 9 7.00
6 Episcopal 7 9 59 41 58 158 5.00
7 Riverside 10 2 5 18 2 25 4.00
8 Christchurch 11 4 9 21 9 39 3.00
9 Collegiate Schoo 13 2 7 19 4 30 3.00
10 Langley 11 3 16 57 12 85 3.00
11 Potomac School 9 7 54 39 61 154 3.00
12 Battlefield 12 1 11 12 13 36 2.00
13 Briar Woods 8 4 26 10 44 80 2.00
14 Hayfield 11 0 35 123 10 168 2.00
15 St Stephen-St Ag 6 13 67 4 83 154 2.00
16 Yorktown 10 4 21 42 25 88 2.00
17 Atlee 9 3 4 3 3 10 0.00
18 Catholic HS 10 6 34 45 45 124 0.00
19 Chantilly 10 4 36 50 52 138 0.00
20 Freedom South R 13 1 12 9 6 27 0.00
21 Independence 8 2 25 65 30 120 0.00
22 Madison 9 5 6 7 20 33 0.00
23 Salem 10 1 22 64 24 110 0.00
24 Albemarle 6 5 40 24 94 158 0.00
25 Alexandria City 4 10 103 38 158 299 0.00
26 Annandale 3 8 149 147 147 443 0.00
27 Bayside 3 4 108 134 85 327 0.00
28 Benedictine 8 8 102 82 131 315 0.00
29 Bishop Ireton 8 10 94 159 62 315 0.00
30 Bishop OConnell 3 12 90 25 101 216 0.00
31 Blacksburg 6 4 111 155 72 338 0.00
32 Brentsville 10 2 32 44 32 108 0.00
33 Broad Run 11 1 41 101 16 158 0.00
34 Brooke Point 8 5 77 72 86 235 0.00
35 Cape Henry Colle 5 9 85 28 153 266 0.00
36 Cave Spring 5 4 99 138 80 317 0.00
37 Centreville 2 10 113 32 159 304 0.00
38 Charlottesville 2 9 155 143 161 459 0.00
39 Christiansburg 0 8 157 132 156 445 0.00
40 Clover Hill 3 8 140 111 141 392 0.00
41 Colgan 8 5 71 59 87 217 0.00
42 Colonial Forge 11 2 30 34 26 90 0.00
43 Cosby 7 3 13 15 27 55 0.00
44 Covenant School 5 4 58 69 63 190 0.00
45 Cox 10 1 49 126 17 192 0.00
46 Culpeper County 2 10 144 115 165 424 0.00
47 Deep Run 6 5 27 13 48 88 0.00
48 Dominion 6 5 50 29 66 145 0.00
49 Douglas Freeman 9 3 14 11 29 54 0.00
50 Eastern View 2 8 150 139 149 438 0.00
51 EC Glass 9 3 52 55 46 153 0.00
52 Edison 6 7 105 85 126 316 0.00
53 Fairfax 5 7 101 66 116 283 0.00
54 Falls Church 5 7 114 104 132 350 0.00
55 Fauquier 4 7 73 31 113 217 0.00
56 First Colonial 4 5 74 70 105 249 0.00
57 Fishburne Milita 0 4 171 169 81 421 0.00
58 Flint Hill 7 8 95 103 84 282 0.00
59 Fluvanna County 4 5 122 148 106 376 0.00
60 Forest Park 13 2 48 49 18 115 0.00
61 Fork Union Milit 0 7 165 156 142 463 0.00
62 Franklin County 2 8 136 122 150 408 0.00
63 Fredericksburg A 3 7 156 162 136 454 0.00
64 Fredericksburg C 7 5 125 151 95 371 0.00
65 Freedom Woodbri 0 4 170 165 103 438 0.00
66 Gainesville 8 6 68 23 88 179 0.00
67 Gar-field 3 11 141 86 169 396 0.00
68 Glen Allen 6 5 70 61 67 198 0.00
69 Goochland 5 4 116 157 82 355 0.00
70 Grafton LC 4 5 98 112 89 299 0.00
71 Grassfield LC 1 7 151 144 135 430 0.00
72 Green Run 1 7 133 95 140 368 0.00
73 Handley 10 3 51 168 60 279 0.00
74 Hanover 6 4 53 77 49 179 0.00
75 Heritage Leesbu 2 9 120 74 160 354 0.00
76 Herndon 5 6 78 53 109 240 0.00
77 Hickory LC 4 4 92 110 68 270 0.00
78 Hidden Valley 0 10 152 121 168 441 0.00
79 Highland School 6 4 123 163 73 359 0.00
80 Highland Springs 1 8 164 158 154 476 0.00
81 Hylton 7 6 96 79 110 285 0.00
82 James Monroe 8 5 97 133 96 326 0.00
83 James River 3 7 87 46 122 255 0.00
84 Jamestown LC 9 1 19 92 19 130 0.00
85 Jefferson Forest 7 4 66 89 69 224 0.00
86 John Champe 6 5 88 99 74 261 0.00
87 Justice 9 2 82 153 40 275 0.00
88 Kellam 10 1 42 145 14 201 0.00
89 Kempsville 5 5 109 141 104 354 0.00
90 Kettle Run 4 5 65 88 107 260 0.00
91 Lafayette LC 10 1 18 94 11 123 0.00
92 Lake Braddock 8 6 62 47 97 206 0.00
93 Landstown 3 6 139 149 123 411 0.00
94 Lewis 2 9 160 154 162 476 0.00
95 Liberty Bealeto 8 3 64 118 53 235 0.00
96 Lightridge 3 9 89 17 145 251 0.00
97 Loudoun County 7 5 76 78 90 244 0.00
98 Loudoun Valley 7 5 91 98 91 280 0.00
99 Manchester 7 2 44 102 35 181 0.00
100 Marshall 2 9 130 87 157 374 0.00
101 Massaponax 2 12 142 54 172 368 0.00
102 Matoaca 0 9 166 160 163 489 0.00
103 Maury LC 1 9 112 52 155 319 0.00
104 McLean 10 4 29 20 41 90 0.00
105 Mechanicsville 7 4 128 161 70 359 0.00
106 Menchville LC 7 3 75 135 50 260 0.00
107 Meridian 9 2 23 63 42 128 0.00
108 Midlothian 8 1 10 62 22 94 0.00
109 Mills Godwin 4 7 118 119 124 361 0.00
110 Monacan 6 5 100 117 92 309 0.00
111 Monticello 7 2 56 130 43 229 0.00
112 Mount Vernon 1 10 158 136 166 460 0.00
113 Mountain View 12 2 39 43 28 110 0.00
114 Nansemond-Suffol 10 4 31 83 36 150 0.00
115 New Covenant Sch 4 5 124 150 98 372 0.00
116 Norfolk Christia 5 12 134 108 167 409 0.00
117 Norfolk Collegia 6 7 83 68 127 278 0.00
118 North Cross Scho 6 6 33 30 64 127 0.00
119 North Stafford 2 12 146 84 173 403 0.00
120 Oakton 7 5 46 35 65 146 0.00
121 Ocean Lakes 3 7 115 116 137 368 0.00
122 Orange County 4 6 104 107 119 330 0.00
123 Osbourn 1 12 162 129 171 462 0.00
124 Osbourn Park 2 12 143 58 170 371 0.00
125 Park View 4 8 147 146 146 439 0.00
126 Patrick Henry A 3 7 119 124 128 371 0.00
127 Patrick Henry R 8 0 17 109 15 141 0.00
128 Patriot 9 5 28 5 54 87 0.00
129 Potomac Falls 3 9 127 81 151 359 0.00
130 Potomac-Dumfries 2 13 163 120 175 458 0.00
131 Powhatan 3 6 106 76 114 296 0.00
132 Princess Anne 6 3 63 105 57 225 0.00
133 Riverbend 5 7 110 100 133 343 0.00
134 Roanoke Catholic 1 0 167 172 31 370 0.00
135 Rock Ridge 0 13 154 80 176 410 0.00
136 Rockbridge Count 4 6 86 71 120 277 0.00
137 Rockingham LC 4 6 169 166 102 437 0.00
138 Salem Virginia B 1 3 148 152 75 375 0.00
139 Seton School 11 3 45 67 51 163 0.00
140 South County 8 6 60 37 99 196 0.00
141 South Lakes 6 8 72 22 129 223 0.00
142 St Christophers 6 9 55 33 93 181 0.00
143 St John Paul the 2 12 135 93 174 402 0.00
144 Stafford 3 8 138 131 148 417 0.00
145 Steward School 4 7 121 128 134 383 0.00
146 Stone Bridge 4 7 47 8 108 163 0.00
147 Strasburg LC 3 4 132 173 47 352 0.00
148 Tabb LC 4 4 38 27 59 124 0.00
149 Tallwood 0 7 161 140 143 444 0.00
150 Tandem Friends 1 5 168 167 115 450 0.00
151 Thomas Dale 2 3 153 164 71 388 0.00
152 Thomas Jefferson 5 6 129 142 117 388 0.00
153 Trinity Christia 7 4 84 113 76 273 0.00
154 Trinity Episcopa 8 8 93 51 118 262 0.00
155 Trinity Meadow V 7 5 61 114 77 252 0.00
156 Tuscarora 2 10 131 73 164 368 0.00
157 Unity Reed 7 8 137 106 130 373 0.00
158 Virginia Academy 0 7 159 137 144 440 0.00
159 Virginia Episcop 5 5 37 16 100 153 0.00
160 Wakefield HS 5 9 126 90 139 355 0.00
161 Washington-Liber 5 6 80 96 111 287 0.00
162 West Potomac 9 4 20 48 21 89 0.00
163 West Springfield 3 7 79 40 125 244 0.00
164 Western Albemarl 6 3 15 14 55 84 0.00
165 Westfield 7 6 57 26 78 161 0.00
166 William Byrd 4 6 107 127 121 355 0.00
167 Woodberry Forest 4 12 81 97 112 290 0.00
168 Woodbridge 7 9 117 60 152 329 0.00
169 Woodgrove 8 4 69 91 56 216 0.00
170 Woodson 8 6 43 56 79 178 0.00
171 York LC 0 7 145 125 138 408 0.00
172 Eukarya Christia 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
173 Lloyd C Bird 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
174 Wakefield Countr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
175 Wakefield School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
176 William Fleming 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00