List of Probabilities for Massachusetts
Massachusetts Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Johns Prep Da 10 2 2 21 3 26 17.00
2 Hingham 10 2 8 20 8 36 10.00
3 Boston College H 9 3 27 40 13 80 7.00
4 Duxbury 13 1 3 9 1 13 7.00
5 Lincoln-Sudbury 7 4 1 2 12 15 7.00
6 Xaverian Brother 7 6 48 6 82 136 7.00
7 Acton Boxborough 11 2 4 3 4 11 4.00
8 Longmeadow 11 1 7 12 5 24 4.00
9 Mansfield 10 1 6 10 9 25 3.00
10 Marshfield 9 3 5 1 10 16 3.00
11 Medfield 8 2 20 52 18 90 3.00
12 Needham 10 4 17 7 28 52 3.00
13 Westfield 11 0 16 85 7 108 3.00
14 Winchester 11 1 15 32 2 49 3.00
15 Falmouth HS 9 3 9 5 15 29 2.00
16 Franklin 9 1 11 48 16 75 2.00
17 Scituate 10 3 30 25 27 82 2.00
18 Walpole 8 3 24 22 59 105 2.00
19 Algonquin 8 3 53 69 60 182 0.00
20 Andover HS 5 2 14 23 21 58 0.00
21 Catholic Memoria 8 4 18 4 41 63 0.00
22 Concord-Carlisle 6 3 38 50 24 112 0.00
23 Dover-Sherborn 6 5 76 53 85 214 0.00
24 Hopkinton 9 1 19 79 22 120 0.00
25 Nantucket 8 1 12 54 14 80 0.00
26 Reading Memorial 10 2 22 24 6 52 0.00
27 Sandwich 9 2 43 84 23 150 0.00
28 St Johns Shrewsb 5 7 91 100 140 331 0.00
29 Wellesley 7 4 23 18 66 107 0.00
30 Abington 9 3 84 128 56 268 0.00
31 Academy of Notre 5 2 64 103 52 219 0.00
32 Agawam 6 5 68 31 103 202 0.00
33 Amesbury 1 9 159 80 197 436 0.00
34 Amherst-Pelham R 3 9 129 46 190 365 0.00
35 AMSA Charter 9 1 29 111 20 160 0.00
36 Apponequet Regio 8 2 47 117 31 195 0.00
37 Archbishop Willi 7 6 123 118 109 350 0.00
38 Arlington Cathol 7 4 69 59 83 211 0.00
39 Arlington HS 5 5 87 81 101 269 0.00
40 Ashland 4 5 109 115 122 346 0.00
41 Assabet Valley R 3 7 156 149 158 463 0.00
42 Attleboro 5 7 145 133 150 428 0.00
43 Auburn 5 5 161 196 116 473 0.00
44 Barnstable 3 8 143 90 159 392 0.00
45 Bay Path RVT 0 10 213 212 208 633 0.00
46 Bedford 1 8 194 174 183 551 0.00
47 Belchertown 6 4 65 68 89 222 0.00
48 Bellingham 3 8 144 75 178 397 0.00
49 Belmont 4 6 140 145 133 418 0.00
50 Beverly 4 6 106 86 142 334 0.00
51 Billerica Memori 7 4 25 15 43 83 0.00
52 Bishop Connolly 4 3 178 207 61 446 0.00
53 Bishop Feehan 7 6 54 19 110 183 0.00
54 Bishop Fenwick 8 3 101 176 62 339 0.00
55 Bishop Stang 8 4 63 41 67 171 0.00
56 Blackstone Valle 8 2 51 130 35 216 0.00
57 Blue Hills RVT 5 7 142 95 154 391 0.00
58 Boston Latin Sch 2 9 188 153 184 525 0.00
59 Bourne 7 4 103 146 84 333 0.00
60 Braintree 1 9 160 82 191 433 0.00
61 Bridgewater-Rayn 8 3 10 13 44 67 0.00
62 Bristol-Plymouth 6 5 136 166 111 413 0.00
63 Brookline 3 6 167 177 143 487 0.00
64 Burlington 10 3 58 42 36 136 0.00
65 Cambridge Rindge 2 9 199 179 192 570 0.00
66 Canton 8 3 81 132 47 260 0.00
67 Cape Cod Academy 6 2 77 160 48 285 0.00
68 Cape Cod Tech 0 11 200 131 212 543 0.00
69 Cardinal Spellma 2 9 175 123 193 491 0.00
70 Central Catholic 7 5 83 88 80 251 0.00
71 Chelmsford 2 6 141 97 117 355 0.00
72 Chicopee Compreh 3 6 105 63 148 316 0.00
73 Cohasset 8 4 72 45 63 180 0.00
74 Danvers 2 9 162 89 194 445 0.00
75 Dartmouth 6 2 100 189 49 338 0.00
76 Dedham 2 8 202 198 181 581 0.00
77 Dennis-Yarmouth 2 7 195 192 164 551 0.00
78 Dighton-Rehoboth 4 8 181 187 176 544 0.00
79 Doherty Memorial 2 10 206 181 205 592 0.00
80 Dracut 7 4 49 91 53 193 0.00
81 East Bridgewater 0 8 205 173 189 567 0.00
82 East Longmeadow 4 4 75 61 90 226 0.00
83 Essex Tech 6 4 67 71 91 229 0.00
84 Fairhaven 9 3 36 28 50 114 0.00
85 Falmouth Academy 2 4 170 186 104 460 0.00
86 Foxborough 6 5 93 77 112 282 0.00
87 Framingham 6 5 92 104 92 288 0.00
88 Gloucester 4 6 169 190 144 503 0.00
89 Grafton 5 6 62 17 123 202 0.00
90 Granby 7 5 133 150 105 388 0.00
91 Greater Lowell R 4 4 149 185 99 433 0.00
92 Greater New Bedf 1 10 208 188 206 602 0.00
93 Groton-Dunstable 4 6 135 138 137 410 0.00
94 Hamilton-Wenham 1 8 134 34 185 353 0.00
95 Hanover 3 8 128 72 160 360 0.00
96 Haverhill 7 3 122 194 68 384 0.00
97 Holliston 4 5 139 163 124 426 0.00
98 Hoosac Valley 7 4 111 152 86 349 0.00
99 Hudson 2 7 209 210 165 584 0.00
100 Hull 2 10 172 98 204 474 0.00
101 Ipswich 8 1 40 141 25 206 0.00
102 King Philip Regi 7 5 33 11 79 123 0.00
103 Lenox/Lee 9 2 52 93 37 182 0.00
104 Leominster 1 9 171 124 198 493 0.00
105 Lexington 5 6 110 105 98 313 0.00
106 Littleton 6 6 115 96 131 342 0.00
107 Lowell 2 9 198 175 195 568 0.00
108 Lowell Catholic 6 3 74 126 72 272 0.00
109 Lunenburg 1 7 186 137 166 489 0.00
110 Lynn Classical-E 4 8 207 206 177 590 0.00
111 Lynnfield 7 2 41 101 45 187 0.00
112 Malden 6 5 183 208 113 504 0.00
113 Malden Catholic 1 10 151 36 199 386 0.00
114 Manchester-Essex 6 3 82 140 73 295 0.00
115 Marblehead 7 3 55 125 32 212 0.00
116 Marthas Vineyard 3 7 95 57 100 252 0.00
117 Masconomet 6 5 119 148 114 381 0.00
118 Mashpee 4 8 138 55 174 367 0.00
119 McCann Technical 1 9 191 165 200 556 0.00
120 Medford 10 2 94 200 33 327 0.00
121 Medway 5 5 112 136 118 366 0.00
122 Melrose 4 8 90 44 134 268 0.00
123 Methuen 6 3 118 199 74 391 0.00
124 Middleborough 4 7 173 178 155 506 0.00
125 Milford 5 6 78 35 127 240 0.00
126 Milton HS 7 3 60 102 64 226 0.00
127 Minnechaug Regio 5 7 70 60 119 249 0.00
128 Minuteman Region 5 3 108 172 76 356 0.00
129 Monomoy Regional 9 2 59 122 38 219 0.00
130 Monson 5 5 126 158 120 404 0.00
131 Montachusett RVT 5 4 165 197 93 455 0.00
132 Mystic Valley Ch 0 10 187 127 209 523 0.00
133 Nashoba Regional 7 3 42 70 51 163 0.00
134 Nashoba Valley T 1 9 184 155 201 540 0.00
135 Natick 6 6 80 56 132 268 0.00
136 Nauset 6 6 37 8 77 122 0.00
137 New Bedford 1 8 211 211 186 608 0.00
138 Newburyport 6 3 35 159 29 223 0.00
139 Newton North 5 7 104 64 138 306 0.00
140 Newton South 5 6 121 109 125 355 0.00
141 Nipmuc Regional 5 4 85 108 94 287 0.00
142 North Andover 3 8 88 16 153 257 0.00
143 North Attleboro 6 2 32 58 39 129 0.00
144 North Middlesex 4 8 120 51 175 346 0.00
145 North Quincy Co- 4 7 158 169 128 455 0.00
146 North Reading 5 6 125 99 139 363 0.00
147 Northampton 9 1 13 49 26 88 0.00
148 Northeast Metro 2 7 164 144 167 475 0.00
149 Norton 1 9 201 157 202 560 0.00
150 Norwell 8 4 57 27 54 138 0.00
151 Norwood 2 4 192 201 106 499 0.00
152 Oakmont Regional 9 3 56 62 57 175 0.00
153 Old Colony RVT 8 2 44 112 42 198 0.00
154 Old Rochester Re 6 5 99 106 102 307 0.00
155 Oliver Ames 3 7 153 142 162 457 0.00
156 Peabody Vets Mem 4 7 152 147 161 460 0.00
157 Pembroke 6 6 117 107 107 331 0.00
158 Pentucket Region 7 3 31 78 69 178 0.00
159 Pittsfield 2 9 174 121 196 491 0.00
160 Plymouth North 3 9 114 30 168 312 0.00
161 Plymouth South 6 6 66 26 87 179 0.00
162 Pope Francis Pre 2 9 124 38 182 344 0.00
163 Revere 0 12 212 204 213 629 0.00
164 Rockland 5 8 150 120 169 439 0.00
165 Salem 3 8 196 193 179 568 0.00
166 Saugus 1 7 203 191 170 564 0.00
167 Seekonk 8 4 132 180 81 393 0.00
168 Sharon 5 3 71 83 65 219 0.00
169 Shawsheen Valley 10 0 26 135 11 172 0.00
170 Shepherd Hill 5 7 166 164 156 486 0.00
171 Shrewsbury 5 6 96 66 135 297 0.00
172 Silver Lake 3 7 157 151 145 453 0.00
173 Smith VoTech 5 2 147 203 55 405 0.00
174 Somerset Berkley 0 6 182 113 157 452 0.00
175 Somerville 4 6 197 209 146 552 0.00
176 South Hadley 5 6 79 33 121 233 0.00
177 South Shore RVT 11 1 50 119 17 186 0.00
178 Southeastern RVT 6 3 154 205 75 434 0.00
179 Springfield Cent 0 10 210 195 210 615 0.00
180 St Bernards 5 6 98 67 136 301 0.00
181 St John Paul II 6 5 148 182 115 445 0.00
182 St Marys Lynn 1 7 180 110 171 461 0.00
183 St Marys Westfie 3 5 193 202 129 524 0.00
184 Stoneham 1 9 185 156 187 528 0.00
185 Stoughton 1 11 204 162 211 577 0.00
186 Sturgis Charter 1 7 189 167 172 528 0.00
187 Swampscott 10 1 28 76 19 123 0.00
188 Tantasqua Region 7 3 86 161 70 317 0.00
189 Taunton 3 8 190 184 180 554 0.00
190 Tech Boston Acad 1 0 21 213 30 264 0.00
191 Tewksbury Memori 3 7 168 170 163 501 0.00
192 Tri-County RVT 3 6 113 74 149 336 0.00
193 Triton Regional 1 7 163 43 173 379 0.00
194 Tyngsborough 9 2 61 129 34 224 0.00
195 Upper Cape Cod R 5 6 130 116 141 387 0.00
196 Wachusett Region 9 3 46 47 58 151 0.00
197 Wahconah 9 3 45 65 46 156 0.00
198 Wakefield Memori 5 6 116 94 95 305 0.00
199 Waltham 5 7 127 73 151 351 0.00
200 Watertown 1 9 179 139 188 506 0.00
201 Wayland 5 4 137 183 88 408 0.00
202 West Springfield 6 5 73 37 96 206 0.00
203 Westborough 2 6 155 134 152 441 0.00
204 Westford Academy 4 7 89 29 126 244 0.00
205 Weston 7 2 39 87 40 166 0.00
206 Westport 1 10 177 92 207 476 0.00
207 Westwood 9 4 34 14 71 119 0.00
208 Weymouth 7 6 131 143 130 404 0.00
209 Whitman-Hanson 4 8 102 39 147 288 0.00
210 Whittier RVT 5 3 107 171 78 356 0.00
211 Wilmington 4 5 146 168 108 422 0.00
212 Winthrop 6 4 97 154 97 348 0.00
213 Woburn Memorial 3 10 176 114 203 493 0.00