List of Probabilities for Maryland
Maryland Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Boys Latin 10 2 6 12 19 37 11.00
2 Gilman 10 4 21 68 57 146 11.00
3 McDonogh 10 3 14 20 54 88 10.00
4 Landon 14 2 22 76 22 120 9.00
5 Bullis 12 3 30 37 74 141 8.00
6 Calvert Hall 9 4 5 150 20 175 8.00
7 Huntingtown 12 1 20 25 4 49 6.00
8 Archbishop Spald 10 4 29 1 70 100 5.00
9 Broadneck 9 3 3 7 3 13 5.00
10 Severna Park 10 1 4 48 7 59 5.00
11 Urbana 12 0 9 27 5 41 5.00
12 Georgetown Prep 9 4 58 53 81 192 3.00
13 Gonzaga 11 5 24 31 75 130 2.00
14 Loyola-Blakefiel 5 8 86 34 147 267 2.00
15 Severn School 6 9 68 17 138 223 2.00
16 Linganore 9 1 19 73 18 110 2.00
17 Mount St Joseph 7 7 96 90 148 334 0.00
18 St Marys Annapol 5 11 71 5 181 257 0.00
19 St Pauls 7 5 32 44 99 175 0.00
20 Northern Calvert 8 2 13 49 21 83 0.00
21 South River 11 1 1 4 1 6 0.00
22 Towson 10 0 2 32 2 36 0.00
23 Annapolis Area C 4 5 134 136 136 406 0.00
24 Archbishop Curle 7 6 87 117 102 306 0.00
25 Beth TFiloh 3 7 179 174 186 539 0.00
26 Bishop McNamara 4 7 53 35 137 225 0.00
27 Chapelgate Chris 1 7 210 203 198 611 0.00
28 Concordia Prep 9 2 98 173 53 324 0.00
29 Cristo Rey Jesui 0 5 183 91 156 430 0.00
30 DeMatha 7 6 76 75 117 268 0.00
31 FCA LC 2 2 193 194 80 467 0.00
32 Friends 4 3 93 108 95 296 0.00
33 Georgetown Day 1 2 184 207 64 455 0.00
34 Gerstell Academy 4 6 137 120 157 414 0.00
35 Glenelg Country 5 2 95 161 68 324 0.00
36 Good Counsel 13 3 81 151 82 314 0.00
37 Gunston School 1 9 213 199 158 570 0.00
38 Heights 5 9 139 103 184 426 0.00
39 Indian Creek Sch 4 7 123 77 178 378 0.00
40 John Carroll 3 10 88 10 187 285 0.00
41 Key School 3 7 190 186 188 564 0.00
42 Maret 3 11 125 162 98 385 0.00
43 Mercersburg Acad 0 9 178 211 90 479 0.00
44 Mount Carmel 0 6 196 130 179 505 0.00
45 Park School 4 7 138 102 180 420 0.00
46 Sandy Spring Fri 1 5 212 209 128 549 0.00
47 Sidwell Friends 8 5 136 145 96 377 0.00
48 St Albans 6 11 155 132 192 479 0.00
49 St Andrews Episc 3 6 160 105 144 409 0.00
50 St James 10 4 69 131 83 283 0.00
51 St Johns Catholi 11 0 35 124 6 165 0.00
52 St Johns College 8 4 23 8 65 96 0.00
53 St Marys Ryken 5 9 122 110 164 396 0.00
54 St Vincent Pallo 3 6 111 61 159 331 0.00
55 Sts Peter & Paul 10 3 49 109 55 213 0.00
56 Tome School 3 5 191 182 149 522 0.00
57 Worcester Prep 3 5 192 160 124 476 0.00
58 Aberdeen 3 8 156 85 185 426 0.00
59 Academy for Coll 7 2 67 140 60 267 0.00
60 Annapolis 8 2 40 100 34 174 0.00
61 Arundel 2 8 117 40 166 323 0.00
62 Atholton 5 5 149 171 131 451 0.00
63 Baltimore Polyte 8 1 60 149 25 234 0.00
64 Bel Air 7 5 62 95 72 229 0.00
65 Bethesda-Chevy C 7 4 28 29 61 118 0.00
66 Bladensburg 2 4 150 129 125 404 0.00
67 Blair 3 7 99 45 150 294 0.00
68 Blake 8 4 65 56 73 194 0.00
69 Bohemia Manor 5 6 151 143 160 454 0.00
70 Boonsboro 3 7 170 163 189 522 0.00
71 Bowie 5 3 47 80 91 218 0.00
72 Brunswick 4 6 112 84 165 361 0.00
73 Calvert 6 3 54 64 76 194 0.00
74 Cambridge SD 1 6 175 127 172 474 0.00
75 Carver A&T 0 8 189 106 209 504 0.00
76 Catoctin 6 4 126 165 106 397 0.00
77 Catonsville 6 5 34 18 84 136 0.00
78 Centennial 7 4 72 66 85 223 0.00
79 Century 5 7 92 42 161 295 0.00
80 CH Flowers 7 1 61 152 30 243 0.00
81 Chesapeake AA 10 2 44 55 16 115 0.00
82 Chesapeake BC 4 5 101 81 139 321 0.00
83 Chopticon 10 1 42 107 17 166 0.00
84 City College 7 3 77 139 77 293 0.00
85 Clarksburg 2 9 146 60 212 418 0.00
86 CM Wright 8 3 15 11 26 52 0.00
87 Crofton 8 3 12 13 35 60 0.00
88 Damascus 7 4 48 41 66 155 0.00
89 Digital Harbor 2 3 131 201 103 435 0.00
90 Dr Henry Wise 4 5 130 148 140 418 0.00
91 Dulaney 7 6 56 15 104 175 0.00
92 Dunbar 0 2 211 205 92 508 0.00
93 Dundalk 2 7 162 113 173 448 0.00
94 DuVal 2 5 153 112 151 416 0.00
95 Eastern Tech 6 4 70 79 107 256 0.00
96 Easton 8 2 59 111 27 197 0.00
97 Edgewood 1 9 207 195 216 618 0.00
98 Edmondson-Westsi 1 7 163 78 199 440 0.00
99 Einstein 9 1 66 168 12 246 0.00
100 Eleanor Roosevel 7 1 64 158 31 253 0.00
101 Elkton 2 10 172 178 214 564 0.00
102 Fairmont Heights 1 6 195 167 174 536 0.00
103 Fallston 8 4 10 21 13 44 0.00
104 Forest Park 5 3 107 154 93 354 0.00
105 Francis Scott Ke 4 8 180 169 205 554 0.00
106 Franklin 5 4 33 24 97 154 0.00
107 Frederick 2 9 177 122 210 509 0.00
108 Frederick Dougla 0 1 73 206 69 348 0.00
109 Frederick Dougla 1 2 83 43 86 212 0.00
110 Gaithersburg 3 7 154 123 190 467 0.00
111 Glen Burnie 7 4 114 137 105 356 0.00
112 Glenelg HS 9 3 11 3 14 28 0.00
113 Gov Thomas Johns 1 11 173 87 221 481 0.00
114 Great Mills 2 12 157 50 223 430 0.00
115 Gwynn Park 5 4 104 125 112 341 0.00
116 Hammond 1 9 202 179 215 596 0.00
117 Harford Tech 5 5 113 118 121 352 0.00
118 Havre De Grace 6 3 38 54 62 154 0.00
119 Hereford 9 2 7 14 10 31 0.00
120 Howard 9 3 31 58 58 147 0.00
121 JM Bennett 3 5 132 128 145 405 0.00
122 Joppatowne 1 9 208 190 217 615 0.00
123 Kennedy 2 7 198 193 193 584 0.00
124 Kent County 4 5 144 153 141 438 0.00
125 Kent Island 6 5 39 38 78 155 0.00
126 Kenwood 3 6 168 164 167 499 0.00
127 La Plata 5 5 78 62 122 262 0.00
128 Lackey 3 7 140 99 175 414 0.00
129 Lake Clifton/Rea 2 5 174 189 152 515 0.00
130 Lansdowne 9 1 50 142 23 215 0.00
131 Laurel 6 4 94 121 108 323 0.00
132 Leonardtown 9 3 25 26 63 114 0.00
133 Liberty 5 7 135 141 182 458 0.00
134 Loch Raven 4 6 82 47 132 261 0.00
135 Long Reach 2 7 203 197 194 594 0.00
136 Magruder 10 0 75 192 8 275 0.00
137 Manchester Valle 5 5 74 59 123 256 0.00
138 Marriotts Ridge 5 5 46 28 87 161 0.00
139 Meade 0 9 209 185 218 612 0.00
140 Mergenthaler 0 4 161 86 133 380 0.00
141 Middletown 6 4 51 51 100 202 0.00
142 MJ McDonough 3 7 141 101 176 418 0.00
143 Mount Hebron 6 6 27 2 94 123 0.00
144 National Academy 0 3 110 200 113 423 0.00
145 New Town 2 4 176 177 126 479 0.00
146 North Caroline 4 4 133 144 118 395 0.00
147 North County 4 7 91 46 134 271 0.00
148 North East Cecil 3 8 194 183 206 583 0.00
149 North Hagerstown 3 6 187 187 168 542 0.00
150 North Harford 4 9 97 16 202 315 0.00
151 North Point 4 7 142 96 169 407 0.00
152 Northeast AA 6 4 128 166 109 403 0.00
153 Northwest 6 4 89 116 110 315 0.00
154 Northwestern PG 0 9 199 146 219 564 0.00
155 Northwood 5 6 148 133 142 423 0.00
156 Oakdale 7 3 55 74 71 200 0.00
157 Oakland Mills 3 9 182 114 213 509 0.00
158 Old Mill 1 8 166 92 208 466 0.00
159 Overlea 2 7 188 170 195 553 0.00
160 Owings Mills 1 7 159 72 200 431 0.00
161 Oxon Hill 8 1 57 134 28 219 0.00
162 Paint Branch 4 6 167 181 146 494 0.00
163 Parkdale 4 4 124 135 119 378 0.00
164 Parkside 4 5 109 98 135 342 0.00
165 Parkville 3 7 186 180 191 557 0.00
166 Patapsco 7 3 116 176 79 371 0.00
167 Patterson HS 6 3 181 204 88 473 0.00
168 Patterson Mill 8 2 26 67 36 129 0.00
169 Patuxent 5 5 90 83 127 300 0.00
170 Perry Hall 3 6 127 82 153 362 0.00
171 Perryville 10 1 79 175 24 278 0.00
172 Pikesville 7 2 36 88 32 156 0.00
173 Poolesville 6 5 120 115 120 355 0.00
174 Queen Annes Coun 8 4 63 104 56 223 0.00
175 Quince Orchard 5 6 45 9 114 168 0.00
176 Randallstown 6 2 118 188 67 373 0.00
177 Reservoir 4 8 143 63 203 409 0.00
178 Richard Montgome 7 1 85 184 29 298 0.00
179 Rising Sun 6 5 129 138 129 396 0.00
180 River Hill 5 7 100 52 177 329 0.00
181 Rockville 4 6 105 71 130 306 0.00
182 Seneca Valley 5 7 164 126 183 473 0.00
183 Sherwood 10 1 8 19 11 38 0.00
184 Smithsburg 10 0 41 159 9 209 0.00
185 South Carroll 3 6 115 65 155 335 0.00
186 South Hagerstown 2 7 204 202 196 602 0.00
187 Southern AA 3 7 84 33 115 232 0.00
188 Sparrows Point 5 4 37 30 101 168 0.00
189 Springbrook 2 9 158 57 211 426 0.00
190 St Charles 1 0 171 208 37 416 0.00
191 Stephen Decatur 7 2 43 94 59 196 0.00
192 Suitland 2 5 169 147 154 470 0.00
193 Surrattsville 2 6 200 198 170 568 0.00
194 Thomas Stone 0 7 201 156 197 554 0.00
195 Tuscarora 5 7 103 39 171 313 0.00
196 Walkersville 5 6 102 70 162 334 0.00
197 Walt Whitman 9 2 17 23 15 55 0.00
198 Walter Johnson 8 2 16 36 38 90 0.00
199 Watkins Mill 0 9 205 172 220 597 0.00
200 Western STES 4 5 108 97 143 348 0.00
201 Westlake 1 8 206 191 207 604 0.00
202 Westminster 4 7 52 6 116 174 0.00
203 Wheaton 0 10 197 157 222 576 0.00
204 Wicomico 0 7 185 93 204 482 0.00
205 Wilde Lake 5 6 121 89 163 373 0.00
206 Winston Churchil 6 3 18 22 47 87 0.00
207 Winters Mill 6 3 80 119 89 288 0.00
208 Woodlawn 7 1 106 196 33 335 0.00
209 Wootton 2 8 145 69 201 415 0.00
210 DC International 3 8 152 155 111 418 0.00
211 Jackson Reed 1 2 165 220 39 424 0.00
212 Jemicy School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
213 Salisbury School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
214 St Maria Goretti 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
215 West Nottingham 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
216 Friendly 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
217 High Point 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
218 Milford Mill 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
219 Archbishop Carro 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
220 Capital City PCS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
221 KIPP College Pre 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
222 Lab School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
223 School Without W 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00