List of Probabilities for California
California Championship Probabilties
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF
Rnk Team Name W L RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 St Ignatius Prep 18 2 4 41 1 46 37.00
2 Torrey Pines 15 3 2 5 3 10 19.00
3 St Margarets Epi 17 2 1 18 2 21 9.00
4 Sacred Heart Pre 15 6 13 63 10 86 8.00
5 Loyola Los Ange 16 5 7 22 14 43 8.00
6 Marin Catholic 15 5 5 3 5 13 5.00
7 Redwood 12 8 17 117 20 154 4.00
8 De LaSalle 16 5 20 11 18 49 3.00
9 Mater Dei Santa 15 3 3 15 4 22 3.00
10 La Costa Canyon 11 5 9 37 13 59 2.00
11 Vista del Lago 17 3 10 20 17 47 0.00
12 Bishops School 12 5 8 14 9 31 0.00
13 Acalanes 3 12 206 128 249 583 0.00
14 Alhambra 3 11 246 223 241 710 0.00
15 Amador Valley 7 8 119 79 153 351 0.00
16 Archie Williams 0 5 274 274 126 674 0.00
17 Bear River 4 10 250 252 218 720 0.00
18 Bella Vista 9 9 137 133 171 441 0.00
19 Berkeley 16 7 125 145 99 369 0.00
20 Bishop ODowd 8 8 116 120 159 395 0.00
21 Branson 2 7 265 272 166 703 0.00
22 California 4 11 176 103 226 505 0.00
23 Campolindo 11 5 73 115 77 265 0.00
24 Cardinal Newman 14 4 100 194 56 350 0.00
25 Casa Grande 11 7 89 52 100 241 0.00
26 Christian Brothe 14 4 57 99 57 213 0.00
27 Clayton Valley C 6 12 153 54 245 452 0.00
28 College Park 4 11 231 215 235 681 0.00
29 Davis 10 8 68 29 127 224 0.00
30 Del Oro 6 10 169 96 203 468 0.00
31 Dougherty Valley 4 15 226 100 274 600 0.00
32 Dublin 1 13 229 131 259 619 0.00
33 Folsom 2 14 162 33 263 458 0.00
34 Foothill Pleasa 9 9 97 39 172 308 0.00
35 Granada 8 9 141 68 177 386 0.00
36 Granite Bay 14 6 25 7 63 95 0.00
37 Grant Union 5 12 241 226 247 714 0.00
38 Jesuit Sacramen 8 8 64 28 139 231 0.00
39 Justin Siena 17 4 38 66 27 131 0.00
40 Las Lomas 8 11 182 149 220 551 0.00
41 Lick Wilmerding 3 7 185 230 160 575 0.00
42 Lincoln Stockto 8 8 210 249 161 620 0.00
43 Lincoln Sacramen 0 14 271 260 277 808 0.00
44 Livermore 14 5 80 101 67 248 0.00
45 Marin Academy 14 7 24 2 52 78 0.00
46 Miramonte 11 6 108 109 95 312 0.00
47 Monte Vista Danv 16 3 15 6 8 29 0.00
48 Moreau Catholic 1 10 270 270 227 767 0.00
49 Napa 0 9 261 262 214 737 0.00
50 Nevada Union 9 6 118 155 107 380 0.00
51 Northgate 16 1 47 177 11 235 0.00
52 Novato 7 11 138 55 207 400 0.00
53 Oak Ridge 18 5 18 49 49 116 0.00
54 Oakmont 5 11 239 240 230 709 0.00
55 Petaluma 5 9 164 113 194 471 0.00
56 Piedmont 8 6 173 227 111 511 0.00
57 Rancho Cotate 8 10 148 94 204 446 0.00
58 Rio Americano 5 10 174 174 208 556 0.00
59 Rocklin 8 8 82 47 149 278 0.00
60 Roseville 8 7 147 180 140 467 0.00
61 San Marin 9 6 121 188 89 398 0.00
62 San Rafael 6 9 195 157 173 525 0.00
63 San Ramon Valley 13 7 42 17 96 155 0.00
64 Sonoma Academy 8 6 177 258 112 547 0.00
65 Sonoma Valley 3 10 232 209 221 662 0.00
66 St Marys Stockto 7 6 146 231 108 485 0.00
67 St Vincent de Pa 0 2 275 275 68 618 0.00
68 Stuart Hall 6 8 181 187 174 542 0.00
69 Tamalpais 8 13 69 10 198 277 0.00
70 Terra Linda 8 7 113 161 113 387 0.00
71 University SF 12 7 88 168 120 376 0.00
72 Urban School 4 8 238 264 154 656 0.00
73 Vintage 4 11 187 144 236 567 0.00
74 Washington Frem 1 18 272 235 286 793 0.00
75 West Park 11 4 72 129 60 261 0.00
76 Whitney 14 4 28 21 44 93 0.00
77 Windsor 3 11 251 217 242 710 0.00
78 Woodcreek 6 8 165 172 175 512 0.00
79 Aptos 6 6 159 200 121 480 0.00
80 Aragon 0 10 240 222 231 693 0.00
81 Archbishop Mitty 3 10 155 81 195 431 0.00
82 Archbishop Riord 10 7 190 241 128 559 0.00
83 Bellarmine Prep 8 10 44 8 167 219 0.00
84 Burlingame 4 9 171 134 201 506 0.00
85 Carlmont 11 7 99 90 122 311 0.00
86 Carmel 14 3 52 102 45 199 0.00
87 Christopher 13 2 106 233 22 361 0.00
88 Gunn 13 5 136 198 74 408 0.00
89 Harbor 0 7 264 263 178 705 0.00
90 Hillsdale 11 6 103 152 101 356 0.00
91 Hollister-San Be 0 13 216 116 265 597 0.00
92 Latino College P 7 8 214 232 168 614 0.00
93 Leland 2 9 221 237 209 667 0.00
94 Live Oak 10 4 63 139 69 271 0.00
95 Los Altos 0 16 244 124 285 653 0.00
96 Los Gatos 10 9 56 30 162 248 0.00
97 Menlo School 5 10 59 43 123 225 0.00
98 Menlo-Atherton 20 1 22 62 7 91 0.00
99 Monte Vista Chri 2 8 258 271 190 719 0.00
100 Monterey 7 6 133 190 117 440 0.00
101 Mountain View 9 10 168 88 202 458 0.00
102 Pacific Collegia 3 8 217 239 187 643 0.00
103 Pacific Grove 1 10 218 193 228 639 0.00
104 Palma 7 5 145 220 97 462 0.00
105 Palo Alto 13 5 75 110 75 260 0.00
106 Pioneer 4 7 192 246 155 593 0.00
107 Priory 9 3 77 185 58 320 0.00
108 Sacred Heart Cat 7 12 132 74 210 416 0.00
109 Salinas 4 5 167 247 109 523 0.00
110 Saratoga 0 8 252 243 199 694 0.00
111 Sequoia 6 9 158 93 196 447 0.00
112 Serra San Mateo 10 8 58 31 114 203 0.00
113 Sobrato 2 7 194 225 169 588 0.00
114 Soquel 12 3 129 244 50 423 0.00
115 St Francis-Mtn V 12 5 26 24 54 104 0.00
116 Stevenson School 11 7 55 108 84 247 0.00
117 Valley Christian 5 4 183 266 85 534 0.00
118 Woodside 6 9 193 178 197 568 0.00
119 Agoura 14 3 19 19 23 61 0.00
120 Aliso Niguel 15 4 33 27 46 106 0.00
121 Beckman 14 7 76 34 102 212 0.00
122 Beverly Hills 0 7 269 269 179 717 0.00
123 Birmingham Chart 6 14 228 163 264 655 0.00
124 Brentwood School 10 7 115 104 124 343 0.00
125 Cabrillo 0 9 273 273 215 761 0.00
126 Calabasas 4 15 215 80 266 561 0.00
127 Canyon 14 6 48 150 82 280 0.00
128 Capistrano Valle 2 12 247 208 254 709 0.00
129 Castaic 5 13 233 224 258 715 0.00
130 Cate School 7 4 130 242 78 450 0.00
131 Centennial 20 4 123 216 40 379 0.00
132 Chaminade Prep 9 9 131 106 170 407 0.00
133 Chaparral 8 10 150 86 205 441 0.00
134 Compton 12 7 199 251 118 568 0.00
135 Corona 17 5 143 206 64 413 0.00
136 Corona Del Mar 11 10 31 1 71 103 0.00
137 Crean Lutheran 14 8 62 42 119 223 0.00
138 Crescenta Valley 6 12 186 135 246 567 0.00
139 Crespi 11 8 39 75 125 239 0.00
140 Culver City 3 9 260 268 206 734 0.00
141 Damien 7 11 211 202 223 636 0.00
142 Dana Hills 7 11 188 192 224 604 0.00
143 Dos Pueblos 13 2 67 164 24 255 0.00
144 Downey 5 9 248 259 200 707 0.00
145 Edison 9 7 83 77 129 289 0.00
146 El Camino Real C 5 10 203 176 216 595 0.00
147 El Dorado 10 6 124 153 91 368 0.00
148 El Modena 6 11 205 159 219 583 0.00
149 El Segundo 10 8 117 44 133 294 0.00
150 Eleanor Roosevel 8 11 140 92 222 454 0.00
151 Esperanza 3 15 223 121 275 619 0.00
152 Foothill Santa 14 7 6 38 6 50 0.00
153 Glendale 4 11 242 212 237 691 0.00
154 Grace Brethren 8 8 200 255 163 618 0.00
155 Great Oak 13 6 78 78 92 248 0.00
156 Hart 15 4 60 132 55 247 0.00
157 Harvard-Westlake 4 7 102 89 134 325 0.00
158 Heritage Christi 7 13 204 156 255 615 0.00
159 Heritage HS 0 13 268 254 267 789 0.00
160 Huntington Beach 15 9 43 82 135 260 0.00
161 Irvine 2 16 237 98 282 617 0.00
162 JSerra Catholic 17 3 14 12 12 38 0.00
163 King 6 12 109 35 243 387 0.00
164 La Canada 1 14 234 167 276 677 0.00
165 Laguna Hills 1 18 266 171 287 724 0.00
166 Lakewood 4 8 222 236 185 643 0.00
167 Liberty 6 8 227 257 176 660 0.00
168 Linfield Christi 15 7 149 148 103 400 0.00
169 Long Beach Poly 2 8 224 248 191 663 0.00
170 Los Alamitos 9 10 40 9 115 164 0.00
171 Lynwood 0 13 267 261 268 796 0.00
172 Millikan 8 3 105 229 61 395 0.00
173 Mira Costa 15 7 29 127 48 204 0.00
174 Mission Viejo 10 9 151 130 180 461 0.00
175 Murrieta Mesa 4 12 180 53 250 483 0.00
176 Murrieta Valley 2 16 225 91 283 599 0.00
177 Newbury Park 10 8 142 87 130 359 0.00
178 Newport Harbor 3 13 197 141 260 598 0.00
179 Norco 3 15 230 189 279 698 0.00
180 Northwood 12 8 135 97 142 374 0.00
181 Notre Dame Sher 13 8 66 158 131 355 0.00
182 Oak Park 11 8 81 186 144 411 0.00
183 Oaks Christian 12 6 27 13 76 116 0.00
184 Orange Lutheran 8 9 128 83 145 356 0.00
185 Palisades Charte 15 3 85 162 29 276 0.00
186 Paloma Valley 2 14 262 234 272 768 0.00
187 Palos Verdes 10 10 54 32 146 232 0.00
188 Peninsula 5 11 156 140 217 513 0.00
189 Portola 4 14 245 205 270 720 0.00
190 Redondo Union 4 11 170 118 238 526 0.00
191 Riverside Poly 9 8 179 181 156 516 0.00
192 San Clemente 14 6 34 46 86 166 0.00
193 San Juan Hills 7 13 127 25 251 403 0.00
194 San Marcos SB 2 14 255 207 273 735 0.00
195 Santa Barbara 5 11 202 182 232 616 0.00
196 Santa Margarita 14 5 16 107 15 138 0.00
197 Santa Monica 12 7 98 48 116 262 0.00
198 Santiago 14 6 45 73 87 205 0.00
199 Saugus 10 9 93 40 181 314 0.00
200 Segerstrom 9 9 196 213 186 595 0.00
201 Servite 9 11 49 50 150 249 0.00
202 Sierra Canyon 11 7 46 60 90 196 0.00
203 Simi Royal 5 12 235 228 248 711 0.00
204 Simi Valley 12 4 120 219 65 404 0.00
205 St Francis-La Ca 14 8 41 26 79 146 0.00
206 St John Bosco 2 14 172 59 257 488 0.00
207 Temecula Valley 13 6 70 58 93 221 0.00
208 Tesoro 14 5 35 51 72 158 0.00
209 Thacher School 1 10 249 238 229 716 0.00
210 Trabuco Hills 11 8 30 23 104 157 0.00
211 University Irvin 17 5 86 70 66 222 0.00
212 University Los A 0 7 257 256 182 695 0.00
213 Valencia Santa C 6 10 175 143 211 529 0.00
214 Viewpoint School 10 6 139 195 105 439 0.00
215 Village Christia 19 3 51 173 25 249 0.00
216 Vista Murrieta 17 3 36 69 28 133 0.00
217 West Ranch 6 10 152 84 213 449 0.00
218 Westlake 16 5 11 4 19 34 0.00
219 Woodbridge 9 8 157 122 157 436 0.00
220 Woodrow Wilson 9 6 154 204 110 468 0.00
221 Yorba Linda 10 10 107 65 188 360 0.00
222 Army-Navy Academ 3 15 209 85 280 574 0.00
223 Bonita Vista 15 3 92 142 43 277 0.00
224 Canyon Crest 4 12 213 183 252 648 0.00
225 Canyon Hills 1 16 263 203 284 750 0.00
226 Carlsbad 12 6 32 95 53 180 0.00
227 Cathedral Cathol 12 7 21 16 26 63 0.00
228 Clairemont 12 6 207 267 98 572 0.00
229 Classical Academ 10 9 160 123 183 466 0.00
230 Coronado 12 6 37 56 62 155 0.00
231 Del Lago Academy 5 11 198 147 233 578 0.00
232 Del Norte 10 6 84 221 88 393 0.00
233 Eastlake 15 5 110 67 70 247 0.00
234 El Camino 3 11 189 151 244 584 0.00
235 El Capitan 7 9 184 210 192 586 0.00
236 Fallbrook 14 5 61 64 73 198 0.00
237 Foothills Christ 14 4 101 191 59 351 0.00
238 Francis Parker 15 3 23 71 21 115 0.00
239 Granite Hills 10 9 112 146 184 442 0.00
240 Grossmont 9 7 79 119 136 334 0.00
241 Helix Charter 8 7 111 126 141 378 0.00
242 Hilltop 5 15 236 112 278 626 0.00
243 La Jolla CDS 3 13 161 211 239 611 0.00
244 La Jolla HS 6 12 144 111 193 448 0.00
245 Mar Vista 0 13 254 196 269 719 0.00
246 Mater Dei Chula 11 8 166 160 147 473 0.00
247 Mira Mesa 8 8 220 250 164 634 0.00
248 Mission Bay 3 15 253 201 281 735 0.00
249 Mission Hills 8 9 126 57 189 372 0.00
250 Monte Vista Spri 4 14 191 137 271 599 0.00
251 Morse 3 13 256 245 261 762 0.00
252 Mt Carmel 2 13 212 179 262 653 0.00
253 Olympian 11 8 134 76 148 358 0.00
254 Otay Ranch 2 12 243 184 256 683 0.00
255 Pacific Ridge 12 3 65 166 51 282 0.00
256 Patrick Henry 9 9 90 72 165 327 0.00
257 Point Loma 14 3 53 154 47 254 0.00
258 Poway 6 12 94 45 151 290 0.00
259 Preuss School 9 7 201 253 137 591 0.00
260 Rancho Bernardo 11 5 104 170 83 357 0.00
261 Rancho Buena Vis 5 11 208 199 234 641 0.00
262 Sage Creek 3 12 219 175 253 647 0.00
263 San Diego 12 6 114 214 80 408 0.00
264 San Dieguito 10 7 74 61 132 267 0.00
265 San Marcos SD 9 9 71 136 106 313 0.00
266 San Ysidro 2 9 259 265 212 736 0.00
267 Santa Fe Christi 13 5 12 36 16 64 0.00
268 Santana 11 9 96 114 152 362 0.00
269 Scripps Ranch 7 12 95 169 143 407 0.00
270 St Augustine 9 10 87 218 94 399 0.00
271 University City 7 11 178 138 225 541 0.00
272 Valhalla 9 8 122 165 158 445 0.00
273 Valley Center 9 7 91 105 138 334 0.00
274 West Hills 12 6 50 197 81 328 0.00
275 Westview 4 11 163 125 240 528 0.00
276 Bay School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
277 Bentley School 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Berean Christian 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Casa Roble 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Drew 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 George Washingto 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
282 Head-Royce 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
283 Newark Memorial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Scotts Valley 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Watsonville 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Hemet 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
287 North Valley Mil 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00