List of boy Div 27 Frederick Douglass List of Team Values for Kentucky


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H South Oldham            5-16     -11    -7           0.00
   309 H Covington Catholic      9- 2       7     8           0.00
   311 A Cooper                 16- 3      13     8           0.00
   313 H Walton-Verona          17- 3      14    11           0.00
   315 A Tates Creek            14- 7       7     7           0.00
   318 H Lexington Catholic      3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.93
   322 A Ryle                   11- 5       6     4           1.43
   328 H Bryan Station          17- 0      17    24           0.00
   411 H Henry Clay              6- 5       1     1          -0.10
   413 A Collins                16- 7       9     2    ++     4.79
   415 H Lexington Christian    10- 5       5     1    +      3.26
   417 H Eastern                11- 9       2     0           1.07
   420 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -4    -     -2.00
   422 A Ballard Louisville     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.71
   425 H Sayre                  11- 8       3     2           0.77
   427 A North Oldham            6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.69

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Lexington Catholic      3-10      -7    -2    --    -4.93
   420 A Woodford County         3-16     -13    -4    -     -2.00
   427 A North Oldham            6-10      -4    -1    -     -2.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Collins                16- 7       9     2    ++     4.79
   415 H Lexington Christian    10- 5       5     1    +      3.26
   422 A Ballard Louisville     10- 9       1    -1    +      2.71



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 69.42 Power Rank.................    10
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 36.23 SOS (PR) Rank..............    10
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6697 SOS (RPI) Rank.............     1
 RPI Rating............... .6336 RPI Rank...................     6
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    12
 Selection sum ...........    10 Selection Rank ............     3
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  105. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........     4
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  110. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........     3
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....  10.3 Ave Defensive Goals .......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0