List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Champ % = Championship Probability
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings
which determines selection standing
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 13 2 1 2 1 1 2 1 4 100.00
2 Virginia ACC 13 4 2 1 3 3 1 3 7 0.00
3 Duke ACC 16 3 3 4 2 2 4 2 8 0.00
4 Georgetown Big East 13 4 7 12 5 5 6 4 15 0.00
5 Maryland B1G 10 6 6 3 8 6 5 7 18 0.00
6 Michigan B1G 10 7 9 6 9 8 3 8 19 0.00
7 Johns Hopkins B1G 12 5 11 9 6 4 10 6 20 0.00
8 Penn State B1G 11 5 4 7 4 7 9 5 21 0.00
9 Denver Big East 10 5 14 18 12 10 14 10 34 0.00
10 Army Patriot 13 4 13 26 10 14 17 11 42 0.00
11 Utah ASUN 12 5 21 35 22 13 11 19 43 0.00
12 Yale Ivy 9 6 8 11 11 11 16 16 43 0.00
13 Cornell Ivy 11 4 5 16 7 9 26 9 44 0.00
14 Syracuse ACC 8 7 16 15 15 22 8 15 45 0.00
15 North Carolina ACC 7 7 12 8 24 15 13 23 51 0.00
16 Penn Ivy 7 6 15 10 13 12 18 21 51 0.00
17 Richmond A10 11 5 22 24 16 21 19 14 54 0.00
18 Rutgers B1G 8 6 17 17 20 16 24 18 58 0.00
19 Villanova Big East 10 5 20 22 14 18 27 13 58 0.00
20 Loyola Patriot 9 8 27 19 30 24 7 29 60 0.00
21 Princeton Ivy 8 7 10 13 17 17 20 24 61 0.00
22 Ohio State B1G 5 9 23 5 26 27 12 27 66 0.00
23 Air Force ASUN 11 6 31 42 32 26 23 26 75 0.00
24 Jacksonville ASUN 12 4 30 56 19 29 34 12 75 0.00
25 Lehigh Patriot 10 5 24 28 21 25 31 20 76 0.00
26 Boston Universit Patriot 10 4 19 27 23 20 35 22 77 0.00
27 Delaware CAA 13 5 18 43 18 23 37 17 77 0.00
28 Marquette Big East 6 8 28 23 33 38 15 31 84 0.00
29 Bryant America East 12 5 34 47 27 19 39 28 86 0.00
30 St Josephs (PA) A10 10 5 25 38 25 30 41 25 96 0.00
31 High Point A10 9 8 40 46 42 35 21 41 97 0.00
32 Massachusetts A10 8 6 32 29 36 31 29 37 97 0.00
33 Harvard Ivy 5 7 26 14 29 33 33 36 102 0.00
34 Bellarmine ASUN 11 6 43 60 35 34 42 30 106 0.00
35 Vermont America East 9 5 36 39 34 28 48 32 108 0.00
36 Brown Ivy 6 8 29 20 39 32 40 42 114 0.00
37 Albany America East 6 10 37 30 51 37 30 51 118 0.00
38 Towson CAA 6 9 33 34 53 41 25 54 120 0.00
39 Binghamton America East 9 5 38 59 37 40 49 34 123 0.00
40 Navy Patriot 8 8 41 41 45 44 36 45 125 0.00
41 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 44 32 54 49 22 55 126 0.00
42 UMBC America East 8 5 42 57 38 36 53 38 127 0.00
43 Merrimack America East 7 7 51 52 43 47 44 39 130 0.00
44 Providence Big East 6 9 46 25 48 46 38 46 130 0.00
45 Marist MAAC 10 8 55 65 47 39 43 49 131 0.00
46 Stony Brook CAA 9 7 35 45 40 43 46 43 132 0.00
47 Dartmouth Ivy 6 6 39 37 28 48 55 35 138 0.00
48 Drexel CAA 8 6 45 50 41 42 56 40 138 0.00
49 Mercer ASUN 6 10 56 48 62 54 32 57 143 0.00
50 Robert Morris ASUN 8 8 52 62 55 51 45 50 146 0.00
51 Manhattan MAAC 10 5 53 70 31 45 70 33 148 0.00
52 Hobart A10 5 8 47 36 50 52 47 52 151 0.00
53 Cleveland State ASUN 6 7 57 51 44 55 64 44 163 0.00
54 Mount St Marys MAAC 8 8 60 67 52 50 60 53 163 0.00
55 Siena MAAC 9 7 61 73 46 53 68 47 168 0.00
56 Fairfield CAA 5 9 54 54 58 57 54 59 170 0.00
57 Quinnipiac MAAC 7 7 64 71 49 56 66 48 170 0.00
58 Hofstra CAA 5 9 50 49 56 58 57 56 171 0.00
59 Bucknell Patriot 3 10 49 33 63 62 50 63 175 0.00
60 Monmouth (NJ) CAA 5 9 59 58 57 59 63 58 180 0.00
61 Colgate Patriot 2 9 48 31 60 63 65 61 189 0.00
62 NJIT America East 3 10 63 64 65 64 61 66 191 0.00
63 Sacred Heart MAAC 5 10 62 68 64 60 67 64 191 0.00
64 Detroit Mercy ASUN 2 11 66 53 68 66 59 68 193 0.00
65 St Bonaventure A10 1 13 69 44 74 67 52 75 194 0.00
66 VMI MAAC 6 9 71 75 59 65 75 60 200 0.00
67 Holy Cross Patriot 1 13 67 40 72 73 58 72 203 0.00
68 Queens ASUN 2 12 73 66 69 72 62 69 203 0.00
69 LIU MAAC 5 9 68 74 61 68 74 62 204 0.00
70 Lindenwood ASUN 2 10 65 63 66 69 72 65 206 0.00
71 Canisius MAAC 2 13 70 69 71 71 69 70 210 0.00
72 Wagner MAAC 3 11 72 72 67 70 73 67 210 0.00
73 St Johns Big East 0 14 58 21 73 61 28 73 0 0.00
74 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 13 74 61 75 74 51 74 0 0.00
75 Hampton CAA 2 12 75 55 70 75 71 71 0 0.00