Conf = Mens NCAA D2               Region = South        State = IL
   Nickname = Flyers                 Coach  = Joe Perruzzi            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.8632355    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Seton Hill             GMAC          ( 3- 2, 78.5)    14-13   
 212 H Wheeling               GMAC          ( 0- 5, 62.2)    18- 6   
 221 A Mercyhurst             Mens NCAA D2  ( 1- 2, 82.8)     5-17   
 226 A Maryville              Mens NCAA D2  ( 2- 1, 75.0)    15-13   
 305 A Lake Erie              Mens NCAA D2  ( 1- 2, 73.0)   
 309 H Davenport              GLVC          ( 1- 1, 67.5)   
 313 H Embry-Riddle           SSC           ( 2- 3, 72.5)   
 315 H Alabama-Huntsville     GLVC          ( 3- 3, 73.7)   
 323 A Indianapolis           GLVC          ( 4- 0, 81.9)   
 326 H Walsh                  GMAC          ( 0- 2, 62.1)   
 402 H Rockhurst              Mens NCAA D2  ( 2- 2, 73.8)   
 409 A Lindenwood             GLVC          ( 1- 1, 83.8)   
 416 A Quincy                 GLVC          ( 3- 1, 67.0)   
 423 H Maryville              Mens NCAA D2  ( 2- 1, 75.0)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Seton Hill             14-13       1    -3    ++     4.59
   212 H Wheeling               18- 6      12    14           0.00
   221 A Mercyhurst              5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.04
   226 A Maryville              15-13       2     0    +      2.13

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 A Mercyhurst              5-17     -12    -7    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Seton Hill             14-13       1    -3    ++     4.59
   226 A Maryville              15-13       2     0    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.86 Local Power Rank...........    26
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.04 Local SOS Rank.............    22
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    58
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/