2015 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 12 3 2 1 3 1 2 3 6 19.00 2 Denver Big East 17 2 3 8 2 3 4 1 8 8.00 3 North Carolina ACC 13 4 5 3 4 4 1 4 9 10.00 4 Syracuse ACC 13 3 1 2 1 2 6 2 10 30.00 5 Duke ACC 12 6 6 4 7 5 3 7 15 4.00 6 Maryland Big Ten 15 4 7 6 5 6 8 5 19 2.00 7 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 11 7 8 5 12 7 7 9 23 5.00 8 Ohio State Big Ten 12 7 14 10 9 12 5 10 27 0.10 9 Virginia ACC 10 5 13 7 8 8 11 8 27 0.10 10 Albany America East 16 3 4 36 6 9 13 6 28 18.00 11 Cornell Ivy 10 6 11 9 11 11 9 12 32 1.00 12 Yale Ivy 11 5 9 21 10 10 12 11 33 0.10 13 Georgetown Big East 10 6 18 15 17 13 10 13 36 0.10 14 Brown Ivy 12 5 12 34 13 14 19 14 47 0.10 15 Princeton Ivy 9 6 16 18 18 16 14 18 48 1.00 16 Marquette Big East 10 6 27 23 20 17 15 17 49 1.00 17 Colgate Patriot 10 6 15 17 19 15 16 22 53 1.00 18 Harvard Ivy 7 7 19 13 23 21 22 23 66 0.10 19 Stony Brook America East 13 5 25 45 16 25 25 16 66 0.10 20 Towson Colonial 12 6 20 25 21 19 27 20 66 0.10 21 Army Patriot 10 7 10 28 24 24 21 24 69 0.10 22 Navy Patriot 9 5 21 27 15 18 30 21 69 0.10 23 Loyola Patriot 7 8 17 14 27 22 18 31 71 0.10 24 Marist Metro Atlantic 14 4 29 57 14 20 37 15 72 0.10 25 Villanova Big East 6 8 30 12 31 27 20 32 79 0.10 26 High Point SoCon 10 7 39 48 29 28 26 27 81 0.10 27 Penn Ivy 6 7 38 19 28 26 28 28 82 0.10 28 Bucknell Patriot 9 6 34 29 25 23 36 25 84 0.10 29 Bryant Northeast 8 10 35 33 43 29 17 43 89 0.10 30 Penn State Big Ten 5 9 24 11 40 33 23 38 94 0.10 31 Richmond SoCon 11 5 23 61 22 31 48 19 98 0.10 32 Drexel Colonial 7 8 36 20 37 32 31 37 100 0.10 33 Lehigh Patriot 7 9 28 26 44 30 24 46 100 0.10 34 Michigan Big Ten 5 8 41 22 36 37 33 36 106 0.10 35 Air Force Independent 8 7 43 55 32 38 42 30 110 0.10 36 Fairfield Colonial 9 6 26 41 26 34 50 26 110 0.10 37 Dartmouth Ivy 5 8 57 39 33 47 35 35 117 0.10 38 Massachusetts Colonial 5 10 33 16 46 36 29 56 121 0.10 39 Hobart Northeast 7 7 44 40 35 39 49 34 122 0.10 40 Saint Joseph's Northeast 11 6 31 59 30 35 58 29 122 0.10 41 Holy Cross Patriot 6 7 46 31 38 40 46 40 126 0.10 42 Hartford America East 7 8 50 49 39 44 44 39 127 0.10 43 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 7 8 56 64 48 43 39 47 129 0.10 44 Providence Big East 5 9 49 30 47 46 40 44 130 0.10 45 Hofstra Colonial 5 9 22 35 53 45 38 48 131 0.10 46 Boston U. Patriot 6 8 32 37 41 41 53 42 136 0.10 47 Detroit Metro Atlantic 8 6 51 66 34 42 62 33 137 0.10 48 Rutgers Big Ten 5 10 37 32 49 49 34 54 137 0.10 49 St. John's Big East 3 11 42 24 60 52 32 59 143 0.10 50 UMBC America East 5 8 48 42 45 48 55 45 148 0.10 51 Binghamton America East 4 9 40 43 56 53 43 55 151 0.10 52 Mercer SoCon 5 8 60 53 50 51 57 49 157 0.10 53 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 7 62 58 42 50 66 41 157 0.10 54 Vermont America East 6 10 54 50 58 54 45 58 157 0.10 55 Furman SoCon 4 9 53 44 52 55 52 53 160 0.10 56 Siena Metro Atlantic 5 9 61 62 51 59 54 51 164 0.10 57 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 5 10 55 52 63 57 47 62 166 0.10 58 Delaware Colonial 5 10 45 38 62 56 51 61 168 0.10 59 Bellarmine SoCon 4 8 47 63 55 58 64 52 174 0.10 60 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 1 14 66 46 68 65 41 68 174 0.10 61 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 6 8 58 67 57 60 65 50 175 0.10 62 Robert Morris Northeast 3 11 52 51 64 62 56 64 182 0.10 63 Lafayette Patriot 4 10 59 47 59 61 61 63 185 0.10 64 Jacksonville SoCon 4 8 64 54 54 63 67 57 187 0.10 65 Canisius Metro Atlantic 3 12 63 60 65 64 59 65 188 0.10 66 Wagner Northeast 4 9 65 69 61 66 69 60 195 0.10 67 VMI SoCon 1 14 69 56 69 67 60 69 196 0.10 68 UMass Lowell America East 1 13 67 65 66 68 63 66 197 0.10 69 NJIT Independent 0 12 68 68 67 69 68 67 204 0.10