Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.0797577    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 4- 9, 87.9)    19- 4   
 210 H High Point             SoCon         (10- 7, 90.9)    15- 9   
 214 H Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 5-10, 91.9)    20- 8   
 221 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (11- 7, 96.9)    13-11   
 227 H Denver                 Big East      (17- 2, 98.9)    12-10   
 307 H Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 1-14, 80.8)    26- 6   
 310 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8-10, 91.6)    10- 9   
 314 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 92.8)    16-11   
 317 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 7- 7, 93.2)    15-10   
 321 N Maryland               Big Ten       (15- 4, 97.0)     8-10   
 329 H Duke                   ACC           (12- 6, 97.0)    15-14   
 403 A Virginia               ACC           (10- 5, 94.9)    10- 6   
 411 H Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 99.9)    17-15   
 418 A Notre Dame             ACC           (12- 3, 99.1)    14-15   
 424 N Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 99.9)     8- 9   
 510 H Colgate                Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)    19-12   
 517 N Maryland               Big Ten       (15- 4, 97.0)     7-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Furman                 19- 4      15    11           0.00
   210 H High Point             15- 9       6     8    -     -2.17
   214 H Massachusetts          20- 8      12     7    +      2.85
   221 H Johns Hopkins          13-11       2     2          -0.16
   227 H Denver                 12-10       2     0           1.87
   307 H Manhattan              26- 6      20    18           0.00
   310 H Bryant                 10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.49
   314 A Richmond               16-11       5     4           0.70
   317 H Harvard                15-10       5     5          -0.87
   321 N Maryland                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.06
   329 H Duke                   15-14       1     2          -1.01
   403 A Virginia               10- 6       4     2           1.81
   411 H Syracuse               17-15       2     0    +      2.84
   418 A Notre Dame             14-15      -1    -2           1.02
   424 N Syracuse                8- 9      -1    -1           0.82
   510 H Colgate                19-12       7     4    +      2.24
   517 N Maryland                7-14      -7     1    ---   -8.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Bryant                 10- 9       1     7    ---   -6.49
   517 N Maryland                7-14      -7     1    ---   -8.06
   210 H High Point             15- 9       6     8    -     -2.17
   321 N Maryland                8-10      -2     1    -     -3.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 H Massachusetts          20- 8      12     7    +      2.85
   411 H Syracuse               17-15       2     0    +      2.84
   510 H Colgate                19-12       7     4    +      2.24
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.08 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 86.91 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/