Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0383072    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 210 A Ohio State             Big Ten       (12- 7, 94.5)     6-10   
 214 H Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 4- 8, 89.0)    10-13   
 221 A Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 8- 6, 88.2)    10-11  o
 228 A High Point             SoCon         (10- 7, 90.9)    10-13   
 307 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 5- 9, 86.6)    12-10   
 311 A Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 4- 8, 85.8)    13-18   
 321 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 6- 7, 86.4)    10-12   
 324 H Maryland               Big Ten       (15- 4, 97.0)     4-13   
 328 H Hobart                 Northeast     ( 7- 7, 89.9)     6- 7  o
 404 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     (11- 6, 92.1)    11-18   
 408 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 5-10, 87.9)    10- 7   
 411 A Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8-10, 91.6)     8-10   
 418 A Air Force              Independent   ( 8- 7, 90.0)     9-10   
 425 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 4- 9, 85.7)    14- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 A Ohio State              6-10      -4    -7    +      3.41
   214 H Bellarmine             10-13      -3     0    -     -2.99
   221 A Detroit                10-11  o   -1    -1           0.10
   228 A High Point             10-13      -3    -3           0.83
   307 H Siena                  12-10       2     2          -0.43
   311 A Jacksonville           13-18      -5     1    ---   -6.27
   321 A Sacred Heart           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.62
   324 H Maryland                4-13      -9    -8          -0.99
   328 H Hobart                  6- 7  o   -1     0          -0.08
   404 A Saint Joseph's         11-18      -7    -5          -1.92
   408 H Mount St. Mary's       10- 7       3     1           1.87
   411 A Bryant                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.51
   418 A Air Force               9-10      -1    -2           1.95
   425 H Wagner                 14- 6       8     3    ++     4.65

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Jacksonville           13-18      -5     1    ---   -6.27
   214 H Bellarmine             10-13      -3     0    -     -2.99
   321 A Sacred Heart           10-12      -2     0    -     -2.62

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Wagner                 14- 6       8     3    ++     4.65
   210 A Ohio State              6-10      -4    -7    +      3.41
   411 A Bryant                  8-10      -2    -4    +      2.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.04 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.36 Local SOS Rank.............    51
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/