Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Mountain Hawks         Coach  = Kevin Cassese           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.3123016    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 H Marquette              Big East      (10- 6, 92.4)     9-10   
 214 A Furman                 SoCon         ( 4- 9, 87.9)    14-11   
 221 H Boston U.              Patriot       ( 6- 8, 91.9)    10- 9   
 228 A Loyola                 Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.0)     8-11   
 307 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.6)     8- 9  o
 310 A Villanova              Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.2)     3- 8   
 314 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.0)    12-13   
 317 H Denver                 Big East      (17- 2, 98.9)     4-10   
 321 H Army                   Patriot       (10- 7, 95.3)     5- 7   
 324 A Monmouth               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 8, 87.0)    16- 5   
 328 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 6- 7, 89.1)    19- 7   
 404 A Colgate                Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)     8-12   
 407 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 9- 6, 94.2)    16-15   
 412 A Stony Brook            America East  (13- 5, 92.7)    12-11   
 417 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4-10, 86.9)    11-10   
 421 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.6)     8-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Marquette               9-10      -1     0          -1.92
   214 A Furman                 14-11       3     3          -0.39
   221 H Boston U.              10- 9       1     1          -0.35
   228 A Loyola                  8-11      -3    -2          -0.31
   307 H Bucknell                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.72
   310 A Villanova               3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.11
   314 A Navy                   12-13      -1    -1           0.65
   317 H Denver                  4-10      -6    -5          -0.36
   321 H Army                    5- 7      -2    -2           0.02
   324 A Monmouth               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.64
   328 A Holy Cross             19- 7      12     2    +++    7.74
   404 A Colgate                 8-12      -4    -2          -1.03
   407 H Princeton              16-15       1     0           1.88
   412 A Stony Brook            12-11       1    -1    +      2.40
   417 H Lafayette              11-10       1     6    --    -5.39
   421 A Bucknell                8-13      -5     0    --    -4.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Villanova               3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.11
   417 H Lafayette              11-10       1     6    --    -5.39
   421 A Bucknell                8-13      -5     0    --    -4.76
   307 H Bucknell                8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.72

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Holy Cross             19- 7      12     2    +++    7.74
   324 A Monmouth               16- 5      11     4    ++     5.64
   412 A Stony Brook            12-11       1    -1    +      2.40
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.31 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.50 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/