Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Black Knights          Coach  = Joe Alberici            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3133545    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Massachusetts          Colonial      ( 5-10, 91.9)    12- 7   
 209 H VMI                    SoCon         ( 1-14, 78.9)    24- 3   
 215 A Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 4- 8, 85.8)    20- 4   
 222 A Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 99.9)     9-12   
 228 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4-10, 86.9)    14- 3   
 303 A Rutgers                Big Ten       ( 5-10, 91.3)     9- 7   
 307 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 6- 7, 89.1)     6- 7   
 314 H Loyola                 Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.0)    10-12   
 321 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 9, 92.3)     7- 5   
 328 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.6)    12- 4   
 404 H Boston U.              Patriot       ( 6- 8, 91.9)    17- 8   
 411 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.0)     7-10   
 417 H Colgate                Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)     5- 8   
 421 A Loyola                 Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.0)    12-11   
 424 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.0)    11- 7   
 426 N Colgate                Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)     8-11   
 502 H Notre Dame             ACC           (12- 3, 99.1)     8-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Massachusetts          12- 7       5     2    +      2.57
   209 H VMI                    24- 3      21    17           0.00
   215 A Jacksonville           20- 4      16     8           1.45
   222 A Syracuse                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.56
   228 H Lafayette              14- 3      11     9           0.61
   303 A Rutgers                 9- 7       2     2          -0.99
   307 A Holy Cross              6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.26
   314 H Loyola                 10-12      -2     2    --    -4.26
   321 A Lehigh                  7- 5       2     2          -0.02
   328 A Bucknell               12- 4       8     2    ++     5.24
   404 H Boston U.              17- 8       9     4    ++     4.65
   411 A Navy                    7-10      -3     1    --    -4.35
   417 H Colgate                 5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.99
   421 A Loyola                 12-11       1     0           0.69
   424 A Navy                   11- 7       4     1    +      2.65
   426 N Colgate                 8-11      -3     1    --    -4.01
   502 H Notre Dame              8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Holy Cross              6- 7      -1     5    ---   -6.26
   502 H Notre Dame              8-17      -9    -2    ---   -6.17
   314 H Loyola                 10-12      -2     2    --    -4.26
   411 A Navy                    7-10      -3     1    --    -4.35
   417 H Colgate                 5- 8      -3     1    --    -4.99
   426 N Colgate                 8-11      -3     1    --    -4.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Bucknell               12- 4       8     2    ++     5.24
   404 H Boston U.              17- 8       9     4    ++     4.65
   207 A Massachusetts          12- 7       5     2    +      2.57
   222 A Syracuse                9-12      -3    -5    +      2.56
   424 A Navy                   11- 7       4     1    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.31 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.25 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/