Towson                        3 -10


 
   Conf = Colonial                   Region = Southeast    State = MD
   Nickname = Tigers                 Coach  = Tony Seaman             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   94.5221481    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Johns Hopkins          Independent   (13- 3, 99.2)     6-10   
 226 H Loyola                 ECAC          ( 8- 5, 95.5)     2- 3   
 305 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 6, 93.7)    11- 3   
 312 H Maryland               ACC           (13- 5, 99.2)     4- 8   
 315 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 4- 9, 94.1)    11-14   
 319 H Stony Brook            America East  (10- 4, 97.5)     9- 8   
 326 A Delaware               Colonial      (11- 7, 93.9)     7- 8   
 402 H Hofstra                Colonial      (13- 3, 96.9)     5-12   
 406 A UMBC                   America East  ( 6- 7, 92.0)     9-10   
 409 H Massachusetts          Colonial      (10- 5, 95.3)     8- 9  o
 416 A Penn State             Colonial      ( 7- 7, 94.7)     6- 7   
 423 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 8- 6, 96.1)     9-13   
 430 H Saint Joseph's         Colonial      ( 0-12, 87.0)    15- 2   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Johns Hopkins           6-10      -4    -3          -0.60
   226 H Loyola                  2- 3      -1     0          -1.34
   305 A Mount St. Mary's       11- 3       8     0    +++    8.49
   312 H Maryland                4- 8      -4    -3          -0.68
   315 A Navy                   11-14      -3     0    -     -2.07
   319 H Stony Brook             9- 8       1    -1    +      2.68
   326 A Delaware                7- 8      -1     0          -0.36
   402 H Hofstra                 5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.93
   406 A UMBC                    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.24
   409 H Massachusetts           8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.50
   416 A Penn State              6- 7      -1    -1           0.52
   423 A Drexel                  9-13      -4    -2          -1.10
   430 H Saint Joseph's         15- 2      13     8           1.12


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Hofstra                 5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.93
   315 A Navy                   11-14      -3     0    -     -2.07
   406 A UMBC                    9-10      -1     1    -     -2.24


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Mount St. Mary's       11- 3       8     0    +++    8.49
   319 H Stony Brook             9- 8       1    -1    +      2.68




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.52 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.16 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............    40
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7


  
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