Conf = Big East                   Region = Southeast    State = DC
   Nickname = Hoyas                  Coach  = Dave Urick              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.7233276    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 N Jacksonville           Metro Atlanti ( 5-10, 91.2)    15-12   
 226 A Maryland               ACC           (13- 5, 99.2)     8-20   
 305 A St. John's             Big East      ( 4-10, 92.6)    13- 9   
 308 A Harvard                Ivy League    (10- 6, 95.8)    15-16   
 312 N Syracuse               Big East      (15- 2, 99.1)     8- 9  o
 319 H Providence             Big East      ( 3-12, 89.1)    14- 5   
 326 A Duke                   ACC           (14- 6, 97.7)    12-14   
 401 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 4- 9, 94.1)     9- 8   
 405 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 9- 6, 93.7)    13- 7   
 410 A Notre Dame             Big East      (11- 3, 98.5)     6- 7   
 417 H Loyola                 ECAC          ( 8- 5, 95.5)     5- 6 4o
 423 H Yale                   Ivy League    (10- 4, 96.4)     8-13   
 430 A Rutgers                Big East      ( 6- 9, 92.9)    12- 9   
 507 H Villanova              Big East      (11- 5, 96.6)    11- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 N Jacksonville           15-12       3     4          -1.53
   226 A Maryland                8-20     -12    -4    --    -5.26
   305 A St. John's             13- 9       4     1    +      2.20
   308 A Harvard                15-16      -1    -1           0.41
   312 N Syracuse                8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
   319 H Providence             14- 5       9     7           1.10
   326 A Duke                   12-14      -2    -3           1.32
   401 H Navy                    9- 8       1     2          -1.90
   405 A Mount St. Mary's       13- 7       6     0    ++     5.29
   410 A Notre Dame              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.09
   417 H Loyola                  5- 6 4o   -1     1    -     -2.54
   423 H Yale                    8-13      -5     0    --    -5.65
   430 A Rutgers                12- 9       3     1           1.45
   507 H Villanova              11- 9       2     0           1.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 A Maryland                8-20     -12    -4    --    -5.26
   423 H Yale                    8-13      -5     0    --    -5.65
   417 H Loyola                  5- 6 4o   -1     1    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Mount St. Mary's       13- 7       6     0    ++     5.29
   305 A St. John's             13- 9       4     1    +      2.20
   312 N Syracuse                8- 9  o   -1    -3    +      2.41
   410 A Notre Dame              6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.72 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.54 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/