List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Middlebury NESCAC 23 0 1 4 1 2 2 1 5 48.89
2 Tufts NESCAC 17 4 2 3 4 4 7 4 15 21.11
3 Salisbury Coast to Coast 20 1 4 11 2 1 8 3 12 13.33
4 Wesleyan NESCAC 19 4 3 1 3 3 1 2 6 11.11
5 Amherst NESCAC 13 5 5 8 8 14 9 9 32 4.44
6 Gettysburg Centennial 14 7 8 13 22 16 21 31 68 1.11
7 Adrian MIAA 12 5 105 171 71 82 209 71 362 0.00
8 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 4 12 256 244 243 236 162 242 640 0.00
9 Albion MIAA 3 12 239 160 233 208 181 234 623 0.00
10 Albright MAC Commonweal 8 9 134 118 152 145 117 167 429 0.00
11 Alfred Empire Eight 6 8 196 184 157 195 201 159 555 0.00
12 Alfred State AMCC 12 5 201 269 67 168 253 67 488 0.00
13 Allegheny Presidents 5 9 222 242 189 204 185 190 579 0.00
14 Alma MIAA 2 10 237 179 224 234 239 225 698 0.00
15 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 3 14 147 70 266 192 114 273 579 0.00
16 Anna Maria MASCAC 1 15 266 232 278 274 248 278 800 0.00
17 Arcadia MAC Freedom 13 4 97 162 43 104 196 46 346 0.00
18 Augsburg WIAC 0 12 271 173 256 239 184 251 674 0.00
19 Augustana (IL) CCIW 9 8 206 229 150 178 258 149 585 0.00
20 Aurora NACC 12 8 178 202 127 109 84 127 320 0.00
21 Babson NEWMAC 11 7 57 50 78 56 42 72 170 0.00
22 Baldwin Wallace Ohio 12 3 85 125 35 47 103 37 187 0.00
23 Bard Liberty League 1 13 232 57 259 214 142 262 618 0.00
24 Bates NESCAC 7 9 27 14 64 59 15 75 149 0.00
25 Beloit NACC 0 14 269 258 276 270 244 276 790 0.00
26 Berry SAA 5 9 140 86 180 120 70 174 364 0.00
27 Bethany Presidents 8 9 234 259 153 196 237 153 586 0.00
28 Bowdoin NESCAC 6 9 25 12 83 72 36 93 201 0.00
29 Brevard USA South Atl. 3 12 257 248 232 237 250 233 720 0.00
30 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 9 98 112 158 134 135 154 423 0.00
31 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 9 11 129 113 214 163 177 215 555 0.00
32 Brockport Empire Eight 12 6 75 83 84 88 90 83 261 0.00
33 Bryn Mawr Centennial 2 8 253 250 181 267 271 181 719 0.00
34 Buffalo State SUNYAC 9 8 118 155 145 143 118 141 402 0.00
35 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 3 12 157 61 234 182 133 230 545 0.00
36 Calvin MIAA 13 6 88 130 54 44 140 51 235 0.00
37 Canton SUNYAC 5 9 158 104 190 157 115 191 463 0.00
38 Capital Ohio 5 9 186 182 175 172 183 175 530 0.00
39 Carroll CCIW 15 3 84 178 25 43 72 18 133 0.00
40 Carthage CCIW 16 4 83 153 30 33 40 20 93 0.00
41 Castleton Little East 6 10 190 188 208 222 225 206 653 0.00
42 Catholic Landmark 11 8 38 39 85 45 28 65 138 0.00
43 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 8 9 244 271 176 241 247 176 664 0.00
44 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 4 9 258 265 192 269 272 193 734 0.00
45 Centre SAA 6 7 139 114 131 125 134 131 390 0.00
46 Chapman SCIAC 9 7 64 59 72 70 113 62 245 0.00
47 Chatham Presidents 13 4 131 219 49 94 137 47 278 0.00
48 Chicago CCIW 11 6 22 24 36 5 5 24 34 0.00
49 Christopher Newp Coast to Coast 16 7 18 15 19 8 3 16 27 0.00
50 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 13 6 29 31 40 25 26 21 72 0.00
51 Clark NEWMAC 3 12 175 96 247 186 100 243 529 0.00
52 Clarkson Liberty League 10 8 55 53 123 93 68 128 289 0.00
53 Coast Guard NEWMAC 14 3 56 80 28 37 88 25 150 0.00
54 Colby NESCAC 9 8 24 9 44 35 16 52 103 0.00
55 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 14 5 128 209 58 87 77 59 223 0.00
56 Colorado College WIAC 16 4 32 56 20 13 24 13 50 0.00
57 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 7 9 213 249 182 223 229 182 634 0.00
58 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 3 11 54 5 132 96 27 142 265 0.00
59 Cornell College NACC 5 11 215 231 228 213 187 228 628 0.00
60 Cortland SUNYAC 15 5 35 64 37 31 33 40 104 0.00
61 Curry Conference of 4 12 200 187 244 235 197 244 676 0.00
62 Dean Great Northeas 3 13 246 221 262 226 131 263 620 0.00
63 Delaware Valley MAC Freedom 5 12 212 170 236 224 173 238 635 0.00
64 Denison North Coast 19 2 13 36 7 6 17 5 28 0.00
65 DePauw North Coast 6 11 112 77 217 97 41 216 354 0.00
66 DeSales MAC Freedom 13 6 74 93 73 78 85 79 242 0.00
67 Dickinson Centennial 7 11 47 23 165 73 49 196 318 0.00
68 Drew Landmark 10 7 107 138 116 148 199 114 461 0.00
69 Eastern MAC Commonweal 4 11 217 131 197 215 211 208 634 0.00
70 Eastern Connecti Little East 9 8 116 103 121 119 217 120 456 0.00
71 Eastern Mennonit Old Dominion 2 13 229 145 263 231 167 260 658 0.00
72 Edgewood NACC 8 11 193 203 218 179 120 219 518 0.00
73 Elizabethtown Landmark 9 8 142 119 146 151 175 143 469 0.00
74 Elmhurst CCIW 4 11 227 247 229 247 232 231 710 0.00
75 Elmira Empire Eight 0 11 270 243 239 271 259 239 769 0.00
76 Elms Great Northeas 3 14 247 230 275 233 144 275 652 0.00
77 Emerson NEWMAC 4 13 172 110 260 210 125 257 592 0.00
78 Emmanuel (MA) Great Northeas 15 5 136 196 57 62 53 55 170 0.00
79 Endicott Conference of 15 5 44 75 39 57 94 41 192 0.00
80 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 9 10 161 137 183 138 78 183 399 0.00
81 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 6 8 207 183 154 198 207 160 565 0.00
82 Fitchburg State MASCAC 8 10 176 191 198 199 202 197 598 0.00
83 Framingham State MASCAC 8 11 137 121 219 161 138 220 519 0.00
84 Franklin Heartland 2 8 251 253 159 255 254 161 670 0.00
85 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 11 9 12 7 29 20 10 53 83 0.00
86 Fredonia SUNYAC 9 9 130 116 170 114 80 168 362 0.00
87 Geneseo Empire Eight 11 8 49 65 117 83 66 124 273 0.00
88 Geneva College Presidents 3 14 267 262 248 243 224 247 714 0.00
89 George Fox Northwest 14 4 95 140 50 69 191 48 308 0.00
90 Gordon Conference of 0 15 259 154 279 257 206 279 742 0.00
91 Goucher Landmark 6 11 173 143 225 183 174 226 583 0.00
92 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 13 245 266 210 218 243 209 670 0.00
93 Grove City Presidents 16 4 90 189 31 60 71 38 169 0.00
94 Guilford Old Dominion 8 9 216 177 184 190 246 177 613 0.00
95 Gwynedd Mercy Atlantic East 2 13 230 172 267 246 215 265 726 0.00
96 Hamilton NESCAC 5 10 26 10 92 84 32 115 231 0.00
97 Hamline WIAC 10 6 153 198 88 118 148 84 350 0.00
98 Hanover Heartland 3 9 250 251 177 251 269 178 698 0.00
99 Hartford Conference of 11 7 104 120 107 126 157 107 390 0.00
100 Hartwick Empire Eight 7 10 154 147 205 187 169 203 559 0.00
101 Haverford Centennial 14 7 15 16 45 21 46 60 127 0.00
102 Hilbert AMCC 1 9 272 272 209 272 270 207 749 0.00
103 Hiram Presidents 1 13 275 246 270 261 213 269 743 0.00
104 Hood MAC Commonweal 7 8 103 85 133 144 129 150 423 0.00
105 Hope MIAA 15 4 76 106 41 29 54 22 105 0.00
106 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 5 9 235 263 166 205 261 164 630 0.00
107 Husson North Atlantic 11 5 165 194 59 117 179 66 362 0.00
108 Illinois Tech NACC 5 12 240 260 240 244 221 240 705 0.00
109 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 6 11 218 181 226 162 69 210 441 0.00
110 Immaculata Atlantic East 6 12 202 163 237 220 178 236 634 0.00
111 Ithaca Liberty League 12 6 36 27 74 46 60 76 182 0.00
112 John Carroll North Coast 9 7 71 67 94 49 31 87 167 0.00
113 Johnson & Wales Conference of 10 8 117 126 136 131 161 129 421 0.00
114 Juniata Landmark 4 12 149 82 241 184 154 245 583 0.00
115 Kalamazoo MIAA 10 9 119 158 137 116 203 135 454 0.00
116 Kean NJAC 6 9 110 88 151 147 172 136 455 0.00
117 Keene State Little East 8 10 135 117 199 153 128 198 479 0.00
118 Kenyon North Coast 9 8 69 49 128 30 20 101 151 0.00
119 Keuka Empire Eight 2 12 252 193 251 258 218 252 728 0.00
120 Kings MAC Freedom 2 13 254 169 264 238 180 266 684 0.00
121 La Roche AMCC 7 6 242 276 108 227 274 108 609 0.00
122 Lake Forest NACC 11 5 148 215 68 113 150 68 331 0.00
123 Lasell Great Northeas 13 4 145 227 51 95 121 49 265 0.00
124 Lawrence NACC 2 12 255 268 235 273 275 235 783 0.00
125 Lebanon Valley MAC Freedom 10 8 86 99 109 107 73 116 296 0.00
126 Lewis & Clark Northwest 11 7 132 174 110 129 146 109 384 0.00
127 Linfield Northwest 5 11 183 157 221 207 188 221 616 0.00
128 Lycoming Landmark 4 12 181 124 245 203 170 246 619 0.00
129 Lynchburg Old Dominion 11 7 73 108 104 98 223 88 409 0.00
130 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 8 5 174 228 79 136 205 80 421 0.00
131 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 4 11 205 225 230 229 204 232 665 0.00
132 Manhattanville Skyline 7 9 203 237 185 219 222 184 625 0.00
133 Marian (WI) NACC 3 13 243 224 265 230 143 264 637 0.00
134 Marietta Ohio 7 8 155 175 155 150 168 155 473 0.00
135 Maritime Skyline 2 9 241 240 206 259 255 204 718 0.00
136 Mary Washington Coast to Coast 10 8 37 29 77 39 29 81 149 0.00
137 Marymount Atlantic East 9 8 108 136 147 135 130 144 409 0.00
138 Marywood Atlantic East 11 7 91 123 95 132 158 110 400 0.00
139 Massachusetts Ma MASCAC 1 12 228 195 252 263 233 254 750 0.00
140 Massachusetts-Bo Little East 6 12 160 152 238 200 151 237 588 0.00
141 Massachusetts-Da Little East 4 13 182 141 261 216 164 261 641 0.00
142 McDaniel Centennial 6 11 94 52 193 139 107 222 468 0.00
143 Merchant Marine Skyline 11 4 133 206 55 121 192 54 367 0.00
144 Meredith USA South Atl. 17 5 78 180 46 65 104 34 203 0.00
145 Messiah MAC Commonweal 15 6 19 28 17 22 19 35 76 0.00
146 Methodist USA South Atl. 13 6 179 239 80 141 195 82 418 0.00
147 Misericordia MAC Freedom 9 8 109 89 129 115 91 145 351 0.00
148 MIT NEWMAC 16 4 28 43 14 18 23 11 52 0.00
149 Mitchell Great Northeas 0 14 262 217 277 248 163 277 688 0.00
150 Montclair State NJAC 6 8 61 42 124 103 87 121 311 0.00
151 Moravian Landmark 13 6 65 76 65 71 97 69 237 0.00
152 Morrisville SUNYAC 5 8 164 150 167 185 194 165 544 0.00
153 Mount Aloysius AMCC 4 8 249 274 171 232 238 169 639 0.00
154 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 8 7 150 146 125 164 176 122 462 0.00
155 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 8 6 192 238 96 191 240 95 526 0.00
156 Mount St Vincent Skyline 3 9 233 256 200 250 249 199 698 0.00
157 Mount Union Ohio 11 6 82 81 81 42 51 77 170 0.00
158 MSOE NACC 9 11 187 208 215 166 101 217 484 0.00
159 Muhlenberg Centennial 12 5 20 32 38 41 50 43 134 0.00
160 Muskingum Ohio 6 11 211 216 227 209 190 227 626 0.00
161 Nazareth Empire Eight 4 14 143 90 274 189 112 274 575 0.00
162 Neumann Atlantic East 9 9 77 74 97 106 186 102 394 0.00
163 New England Coll Great Northeas 12 7 162 233 122 149 214 123 486 0.00
164 New Paltz SUNYAC 12 6 79 92 75 79 109 73 261 0.00
165 Nichols Conference of 6 7 151 135 134 167 193 132 492 0.00
166 North Carolina W USA South Atl. 2 10 261 264 207 249 251 205 705 0.00
167 North Central (I CCIW 4 9 220 236 194 217 216 194 627 0.00
168 Norwich Great Northeas 14 4 156 220 47 85 92 44 221 0.00
169 Notre Dame (MD) UnitedEast 0 11 268 241 242 276 273 241 790 0.00
170 Oberlin North Coast 10 7 99 105 105 91 106 96 293 0.00
171 Occidental SCIAC 6 9 122 58 168 110 75 156 341 0.00
172 Oglethorpe SAA 5 11 159 144 211 158 139 211 508 0.00
173 Ohio Northern Ohio 9 9 141 149 172 127 99 170 396 0.00
174 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 9 7 87 71 111 61 76 103 240 0.00
175 Old Westbury Skyline 2 10 264 255 222 266 260 223 749 0.00
176 Oneonta SUNYAC 10 6 102 102 89 108 141 89 338 0.00
177 Oswego SUNYAC 13 5 63 91 61 64 89 63 216 0.00
178 Otterbein Ohio 10 7 113 142 118 92 82 117 291 0.00
179 Pacific Northwest 8 8 198 210 156 193 262 157 612 0.00
180 Pacific Lutheran Northwest 3 13 236 199 268 260 265 267 792 0.00
181 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 10 7 204 267 90 177 268 90 535 0.00
182 Piedmont USA South Atl. 11 9 170 192 138 112 208 137 457 0.00
183 Pitt-Bradford AMCC 10 7 238 275 119 201 241 118 560 0.00
184 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 2 13 180 111 269 212 127 268 607 0.00
185 Plymouth State Little East 8 10 120 97 191 133 86 188 407 0.00
186 Pomona Pitzer SCIAC 17 2 14 37 9 7 13 6 26 0.00
187 Potsdam SUNYAC 3 12 177 84 246 197 123 248 568 0.00
188 Puget Sound Northwest 4 12 231 200 249 252 266 249 767 0.00
189 Purchase Skyline 0 12 274 270 257 275 267 258 800 0.00
190 Ramapo NJAC 5 11 167 127 220 180 160 212 552 0.00
191 Randolph Old Dominion 1 14 263 214 253 264 264 255 783 0.00
192 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 13 6 46 55 69 53 59 56 168 0.00
193 Redlands SCIAC 8 7 53 51 106 81 67 94 242 0.00
194 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 4 10 209 223 216 202 165 218 585 0.00
195 Rhode Island Col Little East 1 12 225 167 254 262 236 256 754 0.00
196 Rhodes SAA 15 4 50 79 48 27 156 36 219 0.00
197 RIT Liberty League 10 7 51 44 98 68 74 104 246 0.00
198 Rivier Great Northeas 8 10 168 213 201 160 105 200 465 0.00
199 Roanoke Old Dominion 10 9 41 41 112 67 43 119 229 0.00
200 Rochester Liberty League 12 6 40 33 62 50 56 70 176 0.00
201 Roger Williams Conference of 9 9 89 73 169 124 124 166 414 0.00
202 Rowan NJAC 15 5 21 19 18 12 11 19 42 0.00
203 RPI Liberty League 6 9 60 34 160 102 81 171 354 0.00
204 Sage Empire Eight 2 10 226 159 223 253 242 224 719 0.00
205 Salem State MASCAC 8 6 163 205 99 188 228 97 513 0.00
206 Salve Regina NEWMAC 8 9 115 107 178 142 83 172 397 0.00
207 Scranton Landmark 16 5 23 38 21 28 38 32 98 0.00
208 Sewanee SAA 14 4 70 98 52 36 152 42 230 0.00
209 Shenandoah Old Dominion 13 7 43 54 70 54 52 61 167 0.00
210 Simmons Great Northeas 5 10 191 222 212 194 149 213 556 0.00
211 Skidmore Liberty League 7 10 52 30 173 86 48 179 313 0.00
212 Smith NEWMAC 10 8 93 66 113 75 61 111 247 0.00
213 Southern Maine Little East 14 5 81 100 56 76 111 57 244 0.00
214 Southern Virgini USA South Atl. 8 7 199 226 126 146 155 125 426 0.00
215 Southwestern SAA 1 13 223 151 271 245 189 270 704 0.00
216 Spalding Heartland 7 9 208 235 186 206 235 185 626 0.00
217 Springfield NEWMAC 11 7 62 62 82 58 55 85 198 0.00
218 St Benedict WIAC 6 7 125 129 135 101 98 105 304 0.00
219 St John Fisher Empire Eight 16 5 33 63 32 34 30 33 97 0.00
220 St Joseph (CT) Great Northeas 10 8 171 212 139 128 95 138 361 0.00
221 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 7 9 194 176 187 171 147 186 504 0.00
222 St Josephs Colle Great Northeas 17 4 111 164 33 51 58 39 148 0.00
223 St Lawrence Liberty League 9 7 39 35 87 77 63 91 231 0.00
224 St Marys (IN) MIAA 10 7 189 218 100 174 263 98 535 0.00
225 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 7 11 68 69 202 130 62 195 387 0.00
226 St Vincent Presidents 8 7 214 254 130 165 245 130 540 0.00
227 Stevens MAC Freedom 16 5 16 45 15 23 34 26 83 0.00
228 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 10 8 45 40 86 74 44 112 230 0.00
229 Stockton NJAC 11 6 58 60 66 52 65 64 181 0.00
230 Suffolk Conference of 8 10 146 166 203 175 182 201 558 0.00
231 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 3 12 224 168 250 242 219 250 711 0.00
232 Susquehanna Landmark 10 9 80 68 161 105 93 158 356 0.00
233 Swarthmore Centennial 13 5 30 46 34 55 79 58 192 0.00
234 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 1 13 260 204 272 256 220 271 747 0.00
235 TCNJ NJAC 18 3 10 26 6 9 14 7 30 0.00
236 Thiel Presidents 0 14 273 261 273 254 256 272 782 0.00
237 Thomas North Atlantic 4 8 221 245 174 240 252 173 665 0.00
238 Transylvania Heartland 10 8 169 185 140 156 200 139 495 0.00
239 Trine MIAA 8 8 184 197 162 176 234 162 572 0.00
240 Trinity NESCAC 14 6 6 2 5 10 4 8 22 0.00
241 Trinity Washingt D3 Independent 0 3 265 273 76 268 257 74 599 0.00
242 U New England Conference of 6 8 127 134 163 159 171 163 493 0.00
243 Union Liberty League 14 7 31 21 53 24 22 50 96 0.00
244 Ursinus Centennial 8 9 42 22 120 66 47 126 239 0.00
245 Utica Empire Eight 11 7 114 133 114 137 122 113 372 0.00
246 Vassar Liberty League 7 8 67 48 141 100 119 146 365 0.00
247 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 9 8 144 161 142 154 166 133 453 0.00
248 Warren Wilson Coast to Coast 6 10 248 252 143 225 276 140 641 0.00
249 Washington & Jef Presidents 10 6 121 207 91 111 116 92 319 0.00
250 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 15 5 17 25 11 15 25 14 54 0.00
251 Washington Colle Centennial 10 7 34 18 60 38 37 78 153 0.00
252 Wellesley NEWMAC 4 11 166 95 231 181 108 229 518 0.00
253 Wentworth Tech Conference of 5 10 197 186 213 228 212 214 654 0.00
254 Western Connecti Little East 15 4 59 78 23 40 145 27 212 0.00
255 Western New Engl Conference of 9 8 126 156 148 155 159 147 461 0.00
256 Westfield State MASCAC 9 9 92 72 144 122 110 151 383 0.00
257 Westminster (PA) Presidents 10 8 152 211 149 140 230 148 518 0.00
258 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 11 7 96 94 115 90 96 106 292 0.00
259 Whitman Northwest 14 7 101 132 101 89 198 99 386 0.00
260 Whitworth Northwest 8 9 138 139 188 152 126 187 465 0.00
261 Widener MAC Commonweal 10 8 66 47 102 80 64 134 278 0.00
262 Wilkes Landmark 8 9 210 201 179 221 210 180 611 0.00
263 Willamette Northwest 8 10 123 101 195 123 136 192 451 0.00
264 William Peace USA South Atl. 0 12 276 257 258 265 231 259 755 0.00
265 William Smith Liberty League 17 3 7 17 10 11 18 10 39 0.00
266 Williams NESCAC 12 8 11 6 16 19 6 17 42 0.00
267 Wilson UnitedEast 8 10 219 234 204 211 226 202 639 0.00
268 Wisconsin-Eau Cl WIAC 8 6 124 122 103 63 57 86 206 0.00
269 Wisconsin-La Cro WIAC 13 5 106 148 63 48 45 45 138 0.00
270 Wisconsin-River WIAC 15 4 72 128 42 32 35 23 90 0.00
271 Wisconsin-Steven WIAC 8 8 195 190 164 173 227 152 552 0.00
272 Wisconsin-Stout WIAC 6 9 188 165 196 170 153 189 512 0.00
273 Wittenberg North Coast 4 13 185 109 255 169 102 253 524 0.00
274 Wooster North Coast 17 3 48 87 12 26 39 12 77 0.00
275 Worcester State MASCAC 13 7 100 115 93 99 132 100 331 0.00
276 York MAC Commonweal 16 5 9 20 13 17 12 15 44 0.00
277 Brandeis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Wisconsin-Superi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00