List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Middlebury NESCAC 4 0 10 34 17 6 20 4 30 23.00
2 Salisbury Coast to Coast 6 0 2 11 1 11 42 3 56 9.00
3 Tufts NESCAC 3 1 16 32 70 30 39 86 155 8.00
4 Muhlenberg Centennial 5 0 6 67 4 5 18 8 31 7.00
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 2 0 3 8 20 12 47 40 99 6.00
6 Christopher Newp Coast to Coast 4 1 24 45 39 35 69 61 165 3.00
7 Gettysburg Centennial 3 1 5 2 8 16 24 25 65 3.00
8 Haverford Centennial 4 1 26 61 53 39 76 66 181 3.00
9 RIT Liberty League 6 0 55 128 5 57 152 5 214 3.00
10 William Smith Liberty League 3 0 31 52 33 24 66 33 123 3.00
11 Amherst NESCAC 3 0 17 24 14 2 7 20 29 2.00
12 Dickinson Centennial 5 2 25 31 77 21 22 63 106 2.00
13 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 1 2 13 1 79 46 13 133 192 2.00
14 RPI Liberty League 3 1 74 95 86 45 71 82 198 2.00
15 Swarthmore Centennial 4 1 43 127 69 73 128 56 257 2.00
16 TCNJ NJAC 3 0 12 36 30 15 56 29 100 2.00
17 Trinity NESCAC 3 0 19 22 31 1 1 30 32 2.00
18 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 4 0 46 115 21 26 77 19 122 2.00
19 Williams NESCAC 1 1 30 10 108 27 9 119 155 2.00
20 Wooster North Coast 5 0 21 133 13 23 64 13 100 2.00
21 Bowdoin NESCAC 1 2 45 23 133 194 179 122 495 0.00
22 Colorado College WIAC 3 0 34 98 24 43 133 22 198 0.00
23 Denison North Coast 3 1 7 7 7 9 12 23 44 0.00
24 Messiah MAC Commonweal 2 2 9 6 56 49 30 78 157 0.00
25 Montclair State NJAC 3 1 50 140 83 116 177 79 372 0.00
26 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 4 0 152 257 18 141 235 17 393 0.00
27 Oberlin North Coast 5 0 47 107 10 19 60 9 88 0.00
28 Rowan NJAC 3 1 11 12 43 17 25 81 123 0.00
29 Scranton Landmark 3 2 18 5 29 10 15 83 108 0.00
30 Shenandoah Old Dominion 5 1 22 44 19 53 99 18 170 0.00
31 Springfield NEWMAC 1 2 51 35 183 90 44 187 321 0.00
32 Vassar Liberty League 3 0 93 176 32 68 175 31 274 0.00
33 Adrian MIAA 4 0 56 203 35 103 220 35 358 0.00
34 Albertus Magnus Great Northeas 1 1 232 202 110 155 159 104 418 0.00
35 Albion MIAA 1 3 211 122 191 232 193 194 619 0.00
36 Albright MAC Commonweal 3 2 99 145 141 84 94 140 318 0.00
37 Alfred Empire Eight 0 2 198 153 192 123 26 195 344 0.00
38 Alfred State AMCC 4 1 173 246 63 79 141 60 280 0.00
39 Allegheny Presidents 1 3 200 212 222 166 105 224 495 0.00
40 Alma MIAA 2 2 224 211 169 238 244 169 651 0.00
41 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 1 4 160 132 260 171 102 261 534 0.00
42 Anna Maria Great Northeas 0 2 263 255 193 276 268 196 740 0.00
43 Arcadia MAC Freedom 5 0 113 219 6 64 171 6 241 0.00
44 Augsburg WIAC 0 2 254 215 194 254 215 197 666 0.00
45 Augustana (IL) CCIW 4 2 169 198 142 179 246 141 566 0.00
46 Aurora NACC 1 3 148 77 223 76 28 210 314 0.00
47 Babson NEWMAC 3 0 41 62 23 7 32 21 60 0.00
48 Baldwin Wallace Ohio 2 2 68 40 149 85 73 142 300 0.00
49 Bard Liberty League 1 1 235 251 111 268 269 105 642 0.00
50 Bates NESCAC 2 3 28 13 132 22 3 143 168 0.00
51 Beloit NACC 0 2 262 238 195 265 241 198 704 0.00
52 Berry SAA 4 4 108 76 213 47 33 211 291 0.00
53 Bethany Presidents 3 1 225 254 89 139 183 87 409 0.00
54 Brevard USA South Atl. 1 3 256 260 170 240 225 170 635 0.00
55 Bridgewater Old Dominion 2 3 112 121 214 117 87 219 423 0.00
56 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 2 4 143 91 255 152 111 255 518 0.00
57 Brockport Empire Eight 1 3 101 49 224 67 21 225 313 0.00
58 Bryn Mawr Centennial 1 1 172 181 112 29 11 106 146 0.00
59 Buffalo State SUNYAC 2 1 140 222 90 201 236 88 525 0.00
60 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 1 5 187 51 256 191 130 256 577 0.00
61 Calvin MIAA 3 2 87 102 72 52 74 50 176 0.00
62 Canton SUNYAC 2 0 179 245 36 62 19 36 117 0.00
63 Capital Ohio 3 3 180 233 171 120 184 155 459 0.00
64 Carroll CCIW 4 0 44 148 15 56 146 14 216 0.00
65 Carthage CCIW 3 1 63 90 73 25 31 70 126 0.00
66 Catholic Landmark 1 3 37 4 134 61 16 199 276 0.00
67 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 2 2 255 268 150 226 234 156 616 0.00
68 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 2 1 194 235 91 239 254 89 582 0.00
69 Centre SAA 2 3 129 81 215 92 59 171 322 0.00
70 Chapman SCIAC 2 2 48 33 74 94 85 71 250 0.00
71 Chatham Presidents 3 1 104 172 75 89 139 72 300 0.00
72 Chicago CCIW 3 1 8 3 3 4 4 2 10 0.00
73 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 4 2 15 27 40 44 54 41 139 0.00
74 Clark NEWMAC 0 3 162 63 237 204 108 238 550 0.00
75 Clarkson Liberty League 3 1 83 111 76 131 192 73 396 0.00
76 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 1 59 114 92 136 180 62 378 0.00
77 Colby NESCAC 1 2 39 20 151 119 75 172 366 0.00
78 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 4 0 81 183 16 3 14 15 32 0.00
79 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 1 1 206 231 113 192 213 107 512 0.00
80 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 2 1 52 60 52 37 45 37 119 0.00
81 Cornell College NACC 0 4 204 159 267 244 181 269 694 0.00
82 Cortland SUNYAC 2 2 42 46 152 55 37 157 249 0.00
83 Curry Conference of 2 1 226 263 93 221 245 90 556 0.00
84 Dean Great Northeas 0 2 264 218 196 271 256 200 727 0.00
85 Delaware Valley MAC Freedom 2 1 190 230 94 235 252 91 578 0.00
86 DePauw North Coast 2 4 122 85 257 106 65 252 423 0.00
87 DeSales MAC Freedom 5 2 100 147 122 97 155 123 375 0.00
88 Drew Landmark 3 2 159 204 143 172 211 144 527 0.00
89 Eastern MAC Commonweal 1 1 202 175 114 124 116 108 348 0.00
90 Eastern Connecti Little East 0 2 183 43 197 217 127 145 489 0.00
91 Eastern Mennonit Old Dominion 0 6 244 82 281 193 88 281 562 0.00
92 Edgewood NACC 1 4 144 68 261 156 84 262 502 0.00
93 Elizabethtown Landmark 3 1 146 152 78 104 167 74 345 0.00
94 Elmhurst CCIW 2 3 205 232 216 262 257 220 739 0.00
95 Elmira Empire Eight 0 2 251 234 198 253 214 201 668 0.00
96 Elms Great Northeas 0 2 236 171 199 214 122 146 482 0.00
97 Emerson NEWMAC 4 1 191 239 64 185 238 64 487 0.00
98 Emmanuel (MA) Great Northeas 2 2 166 169 153 213 227 158 598 0.00
99 Endicott Conference of 3 0 23 92 25 86 195 24 305 0.00
100 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 0 3 201 69 238 167 55 239 461 0.00
101 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 1 2 208 189 172 258 250 173 681 0.00
102 Fitchburg State MASCAC 2 1 126 142 95 8 6 92 106 0.00
103 Framingham State MASCAC 2 3 115 83 217 83 49 212 344 0.00
104 Franklin Heartland 1 2 240 247 123 224 137 124 485 0.00
105 Fredonia SUNYAC 4 1 133 174 65 114 186 65 365 0.00
106 Geneseo Empire Eight 1 3 117 54 225 108 51 226 385 0.00
107 Geneva College Presidents 0 6 266 240 275 249 197 275 721 0.00
108 George Fox Northwest 2 2 155 141 173 163 100 159 422 0.00
109 Gordon Conference of 0 3 249 161 239 241 224 213 678 0.00
110 Goucher Landmark 2 2 193 208 154 169 178 160 507 0.00
111 Greensboro USA South Atl. 1 6 252 258 226 189 123 227 539 0.00
112 Grove City Presidents 2 3 79 99 218 111 83 202 396 0.00
113 Guilford Old Dominion 2 3 223 157 208 153 91 228 472 0.00
114 Gwynedd Mercy Atlantic East 0 5 209 146 276 182 67 276 525 0.00
115 Hamilton NESCAC 1 2 32 14 155 36 8 174 218 0.00
116 Hamline WIAC 5 0 65 220 9 50 114 7 171 0.00
117 Hanover Heartland 2 3 218 210 156 197 162 161 520 0.00
118 Hartford Conference of 1 3 137 131 227 144 82 229 455 0.00
119 Hartwick Empire Eight 1 3 186 160 228 196 160 230 586 0.00
120 Hilbert AMCC 0 1 269 265 124 275 267 125 667 0.00
121 Hiram Presidents 0 3 260 164 240 263 229 240 732 0.00
122 Hood MAC Commonweal 2 3 139 119 219 145 118 221 484 0.00
123 Hope MIAA 3 0 60 108 26 40 126 26 192 0.00
124 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 1 4 215 227 229 177 169 231 577 0.00
125 Husson North Atlantic 3 1 170 199 80 205 247 75 527 0.00
126 Illinois Tech NACC 0 5 238 195 277 220 131 277 628 0.00
127 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 3 4 210 177 252 223 223 253 699 0.00
128 Immaculata Atlantic East 0 5 253 126 278 233 158 278 669 0.00
129 Ithaca Liberty League 3 1 35 28 66 28 36 76 140 0.00
130 John Carroll Ohio 1 3 71 56 220 102 46 232 380 0.00
131 Johnson & Wales Great Northeas 1 3 181 118 230 190 150 214 554 0.00
132 Juniata Landmark 0 3 216 74 241 251 201 241 693 0.00
133 Kalamazoo MIAA 2 3 98 78 157 51 35 109 195 0.00
134 Kean NJAC 3 3 131 154 158 98 97 162 357 0.00
135 Keene State Little East 0 4 168 73 268 216 124 263 603 0.00
136 Kenyon North Coast 1 3 82 50 231 159 98 215 472 0.00
137 Keuka Empire Eight 1 2 248 241 174 243 233 175 651 0.00
138 Kings MAC Freedom 1 4 241 200 262 242 221 264 727 0.00
139 La Roche AMCC 4 1 222 269 81 218 249 77 544 0.00
140 Lake Forest NACC 2 1 111 130 82 109 153 93 355 0.00
141 Lasell Great Northeas 2 1 125 197 96 142 185 94 421 0.00
142 Lawrence NACC 0 2 239 236 125 261 226 126 613 0.00
143 Lebanon Valley MAC Freedom 3 3 64 72 200 122 115 176 413 0.00
144 Lewis & Clark Northwest 3 0 58 186 27 14 53 27 94 0.00
145 Linfield Northwest 1 3 153 116 232 99 43 222 364 0.00
146 Lycoming Landmark 2 4 196 165 258 215 210 257 682 0.00
147 Lynchburg Old Dominion 6 1 75 149 55 65 135 16 216 0.00
148 Maine Maritime North Atlantic 1 2 167 156 175 140 95 177 412 0.00
149 Maine-Farmington North Atlantic 0 2 265 223 201 229 149 147 525 0.00
150 Manhattanville Skyline 1 2 233 237 176 259 251 178 688 0.00
151 Marian (WI) NACC 1 4 188 100 263 209 172 265 646 0.00
152 Marietta Ohio 3 2 128 185 144 107 134 110 351 0.00
153 Maritime Skyline 0 2 246 190 202 250 199 203 652 0.00
154 Mary Washington Coast to Coast 2 4 36 17 209 63 29 258 350 0.00
155 Marymount Atlantic East 3 2 97 123 145 138 170 148 456 0.00
156 Marywood Atlantic East 3 5 136 106 273 149 112 266 527 0.00
157 Massachusetts Ma MASCAC 0 1 267 256 126 270 253 127 650 0.00
158 Massachusetts-Bo Little East 0 3 214 194 242 225 140 242 607 0.00
159 Massachusetts-Da Little East 1 2 127 86 177 87 40 179 306 0.00
160 McDaniel Centennial 4 3 116 143 207 105 119 208 432 0.00
161 Merchant Marine Skyline 1 1 147 136 115 186 204 111 501 0.00
162 Meredith USA South Atl. 4 1 94 163 67 60 104 67 231 0.00
163 Methodist USA South Atl. 5 3 185 214 203 154 187 204 545 0.00
164 Misericordia MAC Freedom 3 2 109 93 116 70 78 149 297 0.00
165 MIT NEWMAC 1 2 73 53 159 188 165 180 533 0.00
166 Moravian Landmark 3 3 92 39 146 48 34 216 298 0.00
167 Morrisville SUNYAC 2 0 163 243 37 101 217 38 356 0.00
168 Mount Aloysius AMCC 2 1 212 250 97 206 239 95 540 0.00
169 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 1 2 189 182 178 198 182 181 561 0.00
170 Mount St Vincent Skyline 0 2 213 225 204 272 259 205 736 0.00
171 Mount Union Ohio 2 3 84 55 205 181 168 182 531 0.00
172 MSOE NACC 0 4 230 70 269 195 96 270 561 0.00
173 Muskingum Ohio 3 3 192 205 210 168 176 217 561 0.00
174 Nazareth Empire Eight 0 5 157 94 279 187 81 279 547 0.00
175 Neumann Atlantic East 0 3 103 57 243 228 145 243 616 0.00
176 New England Coll Great Northeas 3 0 114 267 41 203 261 42 506 0.00
177 New Paltz SUNYAC 2 2 89 110 160 82 70 150 302 0.00
178 Nichols Conference of 1 1 151 80 117 202 222 112 536 0.00
179 North Carolina W USA South Atl. 2 3 268 271 161 260 255 163 678 0.00
180 North Central (I CCIW 2 2 228 217 162 146 147 164 457 0.00
181 Norwich Great Northeas 3 0 134 170 28 20 61 28 109 0.00
182 Notre Dame (MD) UnitedEast 0 3 247 191 244 222 136 244 602 0.00
183 Occidental SCIAC 2 4 121 37 211 150 103 209 462 0.00
184 Oglethorpe SAA 2 4 217 229 259 207 200 259 666 0.00
185 Ohio Northern Ohio 3 4 132 105 253 110 89 233 432 0.00
186 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 4 2 70 64 135 41 52 134 227 0.00
187 Old Westbury Skyline 0 1 219 150 127 273 264 128 665 0.00
188 Oneonta SUNYAC 3 1 118 137 84 78 125 68 271 0.00
189 Oswego SUNYAC 1 3 102 135 233 219 191 234 644 0.00
190 Otterbein Ohio 4 2 120 180 136 165 209 135 509 0.00
191 Pacific Northwest 3 1 138 166 98 100 27 96 223 0.00
192 Pacific Lutheran Northwest 1 3 250 224 245 264 258 245 767 0.00
193 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 6 2 176 252 42 125 212 43 380 0.00
194 Piedmont USA South Atl. 3 5 165 138 254 112 50 260 422 0.00
195 Pitt-Bradford 3 3 245 264 212 199 218 218 635 0.00
196 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 1 2 171 187 179 173 142 183 498 0.00
197 Plymouth State Little East 1 2 86 66 180 212 208 184 604 0.00
198 Pomona Pitzer SCIAC 5 0 1 42 2 13 48 1 62 0.00
199 Potsdam SUNYAC 1 3 197 120 234 227 206 235 668 0.00
200 Puget Sound Northwest 3 2 221 192 163 200 196 165 561 0.00
201 Ramapo NJAC 2 1 182 226 99 157 205 97 459 0.00
202 Randolph Old Dominion 0 3 270 261 246 252 203 246 701 0.00
203 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 4 2 76 75 137 69 90 136 295 0.00
204 Redlands SCIAC 3 1 77 104 85 93 144 80 317 0.00
205 Rhode Island Col Little East 0 1 259 248 128 247 188 129 564 0.00
206 Rhodes SAA 5 1 62 96 68 42 132 69 243 0.00
207 Rivier Great Northeas 1 2 158 213 181 269 266 185 720 0.00
208 Roanoke Old Dominion 2 3 38 18 182 134 109 186 429 0.00
209 Rochester Liberty League 2 1 67 97 100 160 207 98 465 0.00
210 Roger Williams Conference of 0 3 107 19 247 255 219 247 721 0.00
211 Sage Empire Eight 0 1 243 193 129 274 265 130 669 0.00
212 Salem State MASCAC 1 0 124 167 44 127 262 44 433 0.00
213 Salve Regina NEWMAC 1 1 142 101 118 34 23 113 170 0.00
214 Sewanee SAA 6 0 20 112 11 32 161 10 203 0.00
215 Simmons Great Northeas 0 2 203 173 206 211 163 206 580 0.00
216 Skidmore Liberty League 4 2 40 47 101 33 38 84 155 0.00
217 Smith NEWMAC 3 2 96 71 138 59 62 151 272 0.00
218 Southern Maine Little East 3 1 85 89 87 135 202 85 422 0.00
219 Southern Virgini USA South Atl. 1 3 229 206 235 234 216 236 686 0.00
220 Southwestern WIAC 1 4 227 228 264 256 240 267 763 0.00
221 Spalding Heartland 2 2 178 162 164 96 93 166 355 0.00
222 St Benedict WIAC 1 0 69 144 45 95 2 45 142 0.00
223 St John Fisher Empire Eight 2 2 57 59 165 71 57 137 265 0.00
224 St Joseph (CT) Great Northeas 1 2 154 151 184 158 113 188 459 0.00
225 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 0 3 231 79 248 210 117 248 575 0.00
226 St Josephs Colle Great Northeas 1 1 91 38 119 147 148 114 409 0.00
227 St Lawrence Liberty League 2 2 61 65 130 54 41 115 210 0.00
228 St Marys (IN) MIAA 3 1 174 253 38 88 260 39 387 0.00
229 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 1 4 80 25 265 151 80 249 480 0.00
230 St Vincent Presidents 3 1 220 266 102 133 63 99 295 0.00
231 Stevens MAC Freedom 2 2 27 15 88 130 129 138 397 0.00
232 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 2 4 78 41 236 174 143 237 554 0.00
233 Stockton NJAC 3 3 90 58 185 115 110 189 414 0.00
234 Suffolk Conference of 2 2 161 216 166 178 190 131 499 0.00
235 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 0 4 258 201 270 266 242 271 779 0.00
236 Susquehanna Landmark 2 4 66 30 249 162 121 254 537 0.00
237 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 1 5 257 221 274 175 101 274 550 0.00
238 Thiel Presidents 0 4 261 242 250 208 174 250 632 0.00
239 Thomas North Atlantic 0 1 199 124 131 236 277 132 645 0.00
240 Transylvania Heartland 4 4 177 155 251 164 166 251 581 0.00
241 Trine MIAA 3 0 105 270 46 231 278 46 555 0.00
242 U New England Conference of 1 4 145 117 266 245 198 268 711 0.00
243 Union Liberty League 1 1 53 21 103 31 17 116 164 0.00
244 Ursinus Centennial 3 2 33 29 104 77 86 152 315 0.00
245 Utica Empire Eight 2 1 130 134 105 72 92 100 264 0.00
246 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 4 2 123 184 139 81 107 139 327 0.00
247 Warren Wilson Coast to Coast 2 4 237 259 167 183 230 167 580 0.00
248 Washington & Jef Presidents 1 2 119 129 186 246 237 190 673 0.00
249 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 5 2 14 48 47 75 106 32 213 0.00
250 Washington Colle Centennial 2 2 29 9 71 80 68 101 249 0.00
251 Wellesley NEWMAC 2 2 234 244 168 257 263 168 688 0.00
252 Wentworth Tech Conference of 2 1 184 209 106 66 243 102 411 0.00
253 Western Connecti Little East 3 2 95 84 140 137 164 153 454 0.00
254 Western New Engl Conference of 2 3 106 113 221 184 173 223 580 0.00
255 Westfield State MASCAC 1 2 156 109 187 237 231 191 659 0.00
256 Westminster (PA) Presidents 1 2 135 125 188 113 72 192 377 0.00
257 Whitman Northwest 3 1 149 178 107 161 228 103 492 0.00
258 Whitworth Northwest 1 2 195 158 189 170 138 193 501 0.00
259 Widener MAC Commonweal 3 2 72 88 147 126 154 117 397 0.00
260 Wilkes Landmark 5 0 141 249 12 58 157 11 226 0.00
261 Willamette Northwest 2 1 150 188 120 148 5 118 271 0.00
262 William Peace USA South Atl. 0 4 271 262 271 267 248 272 787 0.00
263 Wilson UnitedEast 0 4 242 196 272 248 194 273 715 0.00
264 Wisconsin-Eau Cl WIAC 0 2 175 26 190 91 10 207 308 0.00
265 Wisconsin-La Cro WIAC 3 0 49 179 34 38 120 12 170 0.00
266 Wisconsin-River WIAC 3 2 54 87 109 128 156 120 404 0.00
267 Wisconsin-Steven WIAC 1 0 110 207 48 132 232 47 411 0.00
268 Wisconsin-Stout WIAC 3 1 164 168 121 176 189 121 486 0.00
269 Wittenberg North Coast 0 5 207 139 280 230 151 280 661 0.00
270 Worcester State MASCAC 3 2 88 103 148 74 79 154 307 0.00
271 York MAC Commonweal 3 0 4 16 22 18 58 34 110 0.00
272 Averett Old Dominion 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
273 Brandeis 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
274 Castleton Little East 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
275 Hendrix SAA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
276 Mitchell Great Northeas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
277 Purchase Skyline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
278 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
279 Trinity Washingt D3 Independent 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
280 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
281 Wisconsin-Superi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00