List of Probabilities for Women D3
Women D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 15 1 1 7 2 5 21 3 29 46.00
2 Middlebury NESCAC 16 0 2 4 1 1 5 1 7 41.50
3 Wesleyan NESCAC 12 4 3 5 6 9 17 11 37 4.50
4 Colby NESCAC 14 2 4 10 3 4 15 5 24 3.00
5 F&M Centennial 15 2 9 13 4 2 2 2 6 2.00
6 St John Fish Empire Eight 16 0 5 57 5 27 134 6 167 2.00
7 Gettysburg Centennial 15 2 6 12 7 3 3 4 10 0.00
8 Williams NESCAC 7 9 8 1 48 24 1 103 128 0.00
9 Adrian MIAA 11 5 156 223 95 145 241 90 476 0.00
10 Albertus Mag Great Northeas 0 14 273 262 282 275 240 282 797 0.00
11 Albion MIAA 5 11 164 130 240 172 207 223 602 0.00
12 Albright MAC Commonweal 5 12 168 89 245 193 139 249 581 0.00
13 Alfred Empire Eight 6 10 176 141 193 211 196 210 617 0.00
14 Alfred State AMCC 4 8 254 279 175 252 254 176 682 0.00
15 Allegheny Presidents 5 12 192 190 234 206 230 235 671 0.00
16 Alma MIAA 4 9 216 210 179 231 255 180 666 0.00
17 Alvernia MAC Commonweal 4 13 161 74 260 196 112 261 569 0.00
18 Amherst NESCAC 11 5 7 6 8 14 11 15 40 0.00
19 Anderson (IN) Heartland 7 7 242 272 113 240 264 116 620 0.00
20 Anna Maria Great Northeas 2 14 253 240 276 262 190 277 729 0.00
21 Arcadia MAC Freedom 9 8 150 133 147 153 179 148 480 0.00
22 Augsburg WIAC 0 10 266 171 235 239 213 226 678 0.00
23 Augustana(IL) CCIW 5 10 223 193 217 177 147 216 540 0.00
24 Aurora NACC 11 6 149 198 105 98 81 110 289 0.00
25 Averett Old Dominion 5 6 211 156 133 152 199 126 477 0.00
26 Babson NEWMAC 13 2 23 56 13 32 72 18 122 0.00
27 Bald Wallace Ohio 10 8 95 99 148 70 44 149 263 0.00
28 Bard Liberty League 1 13 236 69 270 234 180 269 683 0.00
29 Bates NESCAC 7 9 17 8 49 42 6 83 131 0.00
30 Beloit NACC 7 7 214 263 139 199 231 137 567 0.00
31 Berry SAA 12 7 119 134 125 59 58 127 244 0.00
32 Bethany Presidents 3 14 249 255 268 261 256 268 785 0.00
33 Bowdoin NESCAC 6 9 29 9 74 47 18 119 184 0.00
34 Brevard USA South Atl. 7 8 244 270 161 203 221 164 588 0.00
35 Bridgewater Old Dominion 10 8 112 143 149 117 83 138 338 0.00
36 Bridgewater St MASCAC 13 4 87 125 53 54 110 52 216 0.00
37 Brockport Empire Eight 8 8 56 49 127 114 70 145 329 0.00
38 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 8 4 197 250 79 209 273 75 557 0.00
39 Buffalo State SUNYAC 12 6 93 136 102 107 118 105 330 0.00
40 Cal Lutheran SCIAC 7 10 140 106 207 182 124 205 511 0.00
41 Calvin MIAA 12 5 118 148 91 65 175 84 324 0.00
42 Canton SUNYAC 7 9 133 129 185 195 182 187 564 0.00
43 Capital Ohio 10 5 90 113 96 81 117 85 283 0.00
44 Carroll CCIW 11 3 102 163 44 35 65 43 143 0.00
45 Carthage CCIW 12 3 97 167 43 44 91 38 173 0.00
46 Castleton Little East 4 13 202 153 265 188 53 264 505 0.00
47 Catholic Landmark 9 8 37 37 118 77 32 91 200 0.00
48 Cedar Crest UnitedEast 5 8 261 275 171 268 275 172 715 0.00
49 Centenary (NJ) Atlantic East 5 8 255 265 172 259 265 173 697 0.00
50 Centre SAA 7 8 143 142 162 132 100 165 397 0.00
51 Chapman SCIAC 6 10 103 64 211 127 50 206 383 0.00
52 Chatham Presidents 9 5 148 209 100 115 140 99 354 0.00
53 Chicago CCIW 12 4 34 46 45 7 13 44 64 0.00
54 Christ Newport Coast to Coast 7 10 31 15 156 40 9 129 178 0.00
55 Clar-Mudd-S SCIAC 11 6 49 50 92 53 36 86 175 0.00
56 Clark NEWMAC 6 11 175 114 225 173 88 227 488 0.00
57 Clarkson Liberty League 9 8 57 44 141 110 82 139 331 0.00
58 Coast Guard NEWMAC 10 5 78 79 93 75 105 92 272 0.00
59 Colby-Sawyer Great Northeas 11 7 157 206 128 134 107 130 371 0.00
60 Colorado Col WIAC 16 3 30 83 28 23 30 19 72 0.00
61 Con-Wisc NACC 5 10 221 232 218 191 150 217 558 0.00
62 Conn Col NESCAC 7 8 20 11 50 55 56 93 204 0.00
63 Cornell Col NACC 7 9 200 248 163 189 246 166 601 0.00
64 Cortland SUNYAC 10 6 53 48 63 67 57 87 211 0.00
65 Curry Conference of 4 13 204 165 266 237 191 265 693 0.00
66 Dean Great Northeas 8 9 199 242 180 185 149 181 515 0.00
67 DelVal MAC Freedom 6 11 194 184 222 242 228 222 692 0.00
68 Denison North Coast 11 4 26 34 51 17 23 34 74 0.00
69 DePauw North Coast 7 8 84 68 164 85 39 155 279 0.00
70 DeSales MAC Freedom 15 2 79 174 17 89 222 21 332 0.00
71 Dickinson Centennial 6 11 59 21 189 91 29 182 302 0.00
72 Drew Landmark 5 11 121 66 226 171 120 224 515 0.00
73 Eastern MAC Commonweal 2 12 233 123 250 253 209 256 718 0.00
74 EaConn Little East 12 5 89 124 80 97 119 80 296 0.00
75 EaMenn Old Dominion 6 11 220 205 227 197 166 228 591 0.00
76 Edgewood NACC 9 7 188 221 135 136 159 134 429 0.00
77 Elizab'town Landmark 9 7 131 138 136 168 212 135 515 0.00
78 Elmhurst CCIW 5 8 229 252 173 221 235 174 630 0.00
79 Elmira Empire Eight 0 4 281 261 114 282 281 117 680 0.00
80 Elms Great Northeas 2 11 245 233 247 250 201 245 696 0.00
81 Emerson NEWMAC 5 11 172 131 236 217 168 236 621 0.00
82 Emmanuel MA Great Northeas 12 6 139 161 103 51 46 106 203 0.00
83 Endicott Conference of 12 4 43 58 29 34 24 32 90 0.00
84 Farm'dale St Skyline 8 8 138 132 119 135 210 111 456 0.00
85 FDU-Florham MAC Freedom 4 10 162 116 212 178 157 211 546 0.00
86 Ferrum Old Dominion 7 9 213 201 165 176 208 156 540 0.00
87 Fitchburg St MASCAC 2 14 186 128 277 219 155 278 652 0.00
88 Fram'ham St MASCAC 8 8 101 80 142 96 34 150 280 0.00
89 Franciscan Presidents 6 9 224 245 194 194 232 194 620 0.00
90 Franklin Heartland 1 8 275 276 195 281 279 195 755 0.00
91 Fredonia SUNYAC 8 9 122 112 181 142 101 183 426 0.00
92 Geneseo Empire Eight 11 6 33 47 75 83 68 100 251 0.00
93 Geneva Col Presidents 0 15 274 225 271 258 233 271 762 0.00
94 George Fox Northwest 12 4 99 159 57 46 59 58 163 0.00
95 Gordon Conference of 2 14 209 151 278 246 156 279 681 0.00
96 Goucher Landmark 6 11 166 135 228 198 188 229 615 0.00
97 Greensboro USA South Atl. 5 12 262 267 219 222 259 218 699 0.00
98 Grove City Presidents 10 6 136 188 97 102 248 94 444 0.00
99 Guilford Old Dominion 5 12 241 187 251 213 158 246 617 0.00
100 Gwynedd Mer Atlantic East 4 14 219 166 274 225 135 274 634 0.00
101 Hamilton NESCAC 6 8 15 3 58 61 42 101 204 0.00
102 Hamline WIAC 6 9 218 207 190 180 146 188 514 0.00
103 Hanover Heartland 2 8 263 274 186 276 280 189 745 0.00
104 Hartford Conference of 12 5 92 120 83 87 111 81 279 0.00
105 Hartwick Empire Eight 7 7 115 92 129 157 172 140 469 0.00
106 Haverford Centennial 13 4 18 17 23 13 22 26 61 0.00
107 Hendrix SAA 7 8 184 176 150 154 245 151 550 0.00
108 Hilbert AMCC 1 10 271 277 229 272 263 230 765 0.00
109 Hood MAC Commonweal 7 10 151 107 196 161 108 199 468 0.00
110 Hope MIAA 11 5 71 91 94 39 66 71 176 0.00
111 Huntingdon USA South Atl. 3 9 265 256 200 227 223 200 650 0.00
112 Husson North Atlantic 6 7 171 172 140 184 203 146 533 0.00
113 Ill Tech NACC 2 15 264 238 284 260 202 285 747 0.00
114 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 8 8 158 177 157 125 77 160 362 0.00
115 Immaculata Atlantic East 3 14 234 157 275 230 142 275 647 0.00
116 Ithaca Liberty League 10 6 28 22 81 48 52 104 204 0.00
117 John Carroll Ohio 14 1 66 145 14 25 74 16 115 0.00
118 John&Wales Great Northeas 12 4 126 211 59 106 164 59 329 0.00
119 Juniata Landmark 8 8 88 60 158 129 136 161 426 0.00
120 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 13 160 93 241 146 160 225 531 0.00
121 Kean NJAC 4 9 130 65 191 139 89 177 405 0.00
122 Keene State Little East 11 6 104 119 106 58 41 112 211 0.00
123 Kenyon North Coast 7 8 68 36 152 45 20 128 193 0.00
124 Keuka Empire Eight 4 10 239 170 201 245 227 220 692 0.00
125 Kings MAC Freedom 5 10 201 173 208 218 217 207 642 0.00
126 La Roche AMCC 12 1 232 282 19 169 282 23 474 0.00
127 Lake Forest NACC 12 4 110 204 60 74 109 60 243 0.00
128 Lasell Great Northeas 12 6 190 257 104 187 234 107 528 0.00
129 Lawrence NACC 1 12 269 268 261 274 251 260 785 0.00
130 LebValley MAC Freedom 12 5 74 90 66 84 115 61 260 0.00
131 LewisClark Northwest 12 6 159 220 107 140 257 113 510 0.00
132 Linfield Northwest 8 7 177 226 137 170 177 136 483 0.00
133 Lycoming Landmark 8 8 120 122 159 167 162 162 491 0.00
134 Lynchburg Old Dominion 13 5 82 152 84 100 186 72 358 0.00
135 Maine Mar North Atlantic 11 1 147 243 20 118 260 24 402 0.00
136 Maine-Farm North Atlantic 3 9 215 219 202 244 239 201 684 0.00
137 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 10 217 228 220 247 238 219 704 0.00
138 Marian (WI) NACC 5 12 240 251 252 232 205 251 688 0.00
139 Marietta Ohio 5 12 182 154 253 175 87 252 514 0.00
140 Maritime Skyline 10 6 153 212 115 166 218 118 502 0.00
141 Mary Wash Coast to Coast 10 6 36 24 85 18 28 82 128 0.00
142 Marymount Atlantic East 16 2 80 181 21 69 163 25 257 0.00
143 Marywood Atlantic East 9 8 109 144 153 151 151 157 459 0.00
144 Mass Mar MASCAC 4 10 206 169 221 223 197 221 641 0.00
145 Mass-Boston Little East 6 10 173 182 213 202 170 212 584 0.00
146 Mass-Dart Little East 9 8 145 137 154 124 78 158 360 0.00
147 McDaniel Centennial 6 11 100 41 203 120 64 192 376 0.00
148 Merchant Mar Skyline 11 2 108 231 33 128 247 35 410 0.00
149 Meredith USA South Atl. 16 3 72 230 37 82 224 36 342 0.00
150 Messiah MAC Commonweal 13 4 27 33 24 22 16 20 58 0.00
151 Methodist USA South Atl. 11 6 142 239 108 130 137 108 375 0.00
152 Misericordia MAC Freedom 6 10 134 78 204 141 104 202 447 0.00
153 MIT NEWMAC 11 7 39 42 86 66 25 95 186 0.00
154 Mitchell Great Northeas 1 11 270 264 249 273 261 250 784 0.00
155 Montclair St NJAC 9 6 70 63 101 92 116 88 296 0.00
156 Moravian Landmark 10 7 86 73 130 126 148 123 397 0.00
157 Morrisville SUNYAC 0 11 246 97 254 248 226 253 727 0.00
158 Mnt Aloy AMCC 6 6 252 281 131 220 267 131 618 0.00
159 Mt Holyoke NEWMAC 4 12 189 115 256 205 132 255 592 0.00
160 Mt St Joseph Heartland 3 10 260 273 182 271 271 184 726 0.00
161 Mt St Mary Skyline 8 10 179 218 205 210 184 203 597 0.00
162 Mt St Vincent Skyline 2 9 247 217 187 256 262 190 708 0.00
163 Mt Union Ohio 12 4 63 94 61 37 61 53 151 0.00
164 MSOE NACC 6 11 208 237 230 190 165 231 586 0.00
165 Muhlenberg Centennial 13 4 41 35 38 31 99 28 158 0.00
166 Muskingum Ohio 6 10 198 197 214 204 161 213 578 0.00
167 Nazareth Empire Eight 10 7 75 67 120 103 97 132 332 0.00
168 Neumann Atlantic East 10 8 91 127 143 122 214 141 477 0.00
169 NEC Great Northeas 6 11 225 244 231 241 216 232 689 0.00
170 New Paltz SUNYAC 13 4 67 95 54 68 123 49 240 0.00
171 Nichols Conference of 13 4 125 179 55 119 211 54 384 0.00
172 NoCarWes USA South Atl. 0 11 280 266 255 266 244 254 764 0.00
173 NoCentral CCIW 9 6 185 235 121 143 200 120 463 0.00
174 Norwich Great Northeas 15 2 141 227 25 73 141 27 241 0.00
175 Notre DameMD UnitedEast 0 12 278 241 262 277 270 262 809 0.00
176 Oberlin North Coast 8 9 105 87 183 108 80 178 366 0.00
177 Occidental SCIAC 9 8 98 103 155 144 96 159 399 0.00
178 Oglethorpe SAA 7 10 116 146 188 121 79 191 391 0.00
179 Ohio No Ohio 10 8 154 150 151 131 121 152 404 0.00
180 Ohio Wes North Coast 11 6 83 100 109 80 84 109 273 0.00
181 Old West Skyline 1 9 276 258 215 270 269 214 753 0.00
182 Oneonta SUNYAC 7 10 106 84 209 160 138 208 506 0.00
183 Oswego SUNYAC 13 2 60 111 31 64 145 33 242 0.00
184 Otterbein Ohio 2 14 191 101 279 201 103 280 584 0.00
185 Pacific Northwest 4 12 243 195 257 226 198 257 681 0.00
186 Pac Luth Northwest 1 14 259 194 283 269 268 283 820 0.00
187 Pfeiffer USA South Atl. 2 11 268 269 248 263 237 247 747 0.00
188 Piedmont USA South Atl. 13 5 114 229 56 94 169 55 318 0.00
189 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 3 12 174 98 258 207 127 258 592 0.00
190 Plymouth St e Little East 14 2 65 96 26 28 62 29 119 0.00
191 Pomona Pitz SCIAC 15 2 22 55 10 20 43 13 76 0.00
192 Potsdam SUNYAC 7 8 155 139 166 186 206 167 559 0.00
193 Puget Sound Northwest 3 13 235 191 259 235 277 259 771 0.00
194 Purchase Skyline 0 12 282 254 263 278 266 263 807 0.00
195 Ramapo NJAC 5 8 165 121 167 174 178 153 505 0.00
196 Randolph Old Dominion 2 13 267 214 269 251 194 266 711 0.00
197 Rand-Macon Old Dominion 13 4 50 82 52 38 38 46 122 0.00
198 Redlands SCIAC 12 5 73 76 87 63 98 76 237 0.00
199 Regis (MA) Great Northeas 9 9 212 249 176 200 183 179 562 0.00
200 R Island Col Little East 1 10 227 149 232 229 181 233 643 0.00
201 Rhodes SAA 11 6 77 59 116 33 133 96 262 0.00
202 RIT Liberty League 10 4 32 23 62 29 55 56 140 0.00
203 Rivier Great Northeas 8 6 180 234 124 163 187 124 474 0.00
204 Roanoke Old Dominion 11 6 40 62 110 50 86 102 238 0.00
205 Rochester Liberty League 4 12 55 20 223 138 75 248 461 0.00
206 Rog Williams Conference of 10 6 54 51 67 60 37 65 162 0.00
207 Rowan NJAC 14 2 16 29 11 11 31 9 51 0.00
208 RPI Liberty League 9 6 51 28 98 78 73 89 240 0.00
209 Sage Empire Eight 3 11 210 110 224 224 167 243 634 0.00
210 Salem State MASCAC 8 8 181 200 160 192 219 163 574 0.00
211 Salisbury Coast to Coast 12 4 13 14 30 6 10 14 30 0.00
212 Salve Regina NEWMAC 5 11 152 81 237 155 92 237 484 0.00
213 Scranton Landmark 12 5 25 40 46 36 27 48 111 0.00
214 Sewanee SAA 16 0 64 185 9 30 131 7 168 0.00
215 Shenandoah Old Dominion 12 6 35 53 82 41 35 50 126 0.00
216 Simmons Great Northeas 7 8 183 196 168 147 128 168 443 0.00
217 Skidmore Liberty League 6 10 61 27 206 109 48 198 355 0.00
218 Smith NEWMAC 10 8 85 75 144 104 63 154 321 0.00
219 So Maine Little East 12 5 94 102 64 49 40 62 151 0.00
220 Southern Va USA South Atl. 10 7 203 259 134 164 154 133 451 0.00
221 Southwestern WIAC 2 15 237 162 285 214 45 284 543 0.00
222 Spalding Heartland 4 11 248 253 242 238 215 241 694 0.00
223 Springfield NEWMAC 14 3 42 71 34 56 122 41 219 0.00
224 St Benedict WIAC 10 5 137 164 68 90 130 51 271 0.00
225 St JosephCT Great Northeas 4 13 231 216 267 243 173 267 683 0.00
226 St JosephsLI Skyline 6 5 170 222 111 181 249 114 544 0.00
227 St JosephsME Great Northeas 12 5 117 178 65 71 60 63 194 0.00
228 St Lawrence Liberty League 7 9 44 19 132 88 33 142 263 0.00
229 St Marys IN MIAA 5 10 196 175 197 159 192 196 547 0.00
230 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 9 7 47 70 122 101 85 121 307 0.00
231 St Vincent Presidents 3 12 257 247 246 236 252 244 732 0.00
232 Stevens MAC Freedom 13 4 14 32 27 15 12 22 49 0.00
233 Stevenson MAC Commonweal 11 6 38 39 69 79 76 77 232 0.00
234 Stockton NJAC 11 5 69 77 76 72 113 57 242 0.00
235 Suffolk Conference of 6 10 187 183 216 208 171 215 594 0.00
236 SUNY Poly Empire Eight 1 13 251 117 264 257 195 270 722 0.00
237 Susquehanna Landmark 8 9 96 72 177 150 152 175 477 0.00
238 Swarthmore Centennial 10 6 52 43 88 99 129 66 294 0.00
239 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 0 13 277 202 272 267 225 272 764 0.00
240 TCNJ NJAC 12 4 19 25 32 8 7 17 32 0.00
241 Thiel Presidents 10 4 205 271 77 179 276 73 528 0.00
242 Thomas North Atlantic 1 10 238 236 233 264 258 234 756 0.00
243 Transylvania Heartland 6 9 167 168 192 183 189 193 565 0.00
244 Trine MIAA 10 4 144 199 47 116 236 47 399 0.00
245 Trinity NESCAC 8 8 12 2 41 19 4 67 90 0.00
246 Trin Wash D3 Independent 0 10 279 278 198 279 272 197 748 0.00
247 UNeEng Conference of 8 9 127 104 174 137 69 185 391 0.00
248 Union Liberty League 11 3 24 31 42 43 95 45 183 0.00
249 Ursinus Centennial 7 10 58 30 170 111 49 143 303 0.00
250 Utica Empire Eight 7 8 111 108 145 162 143 169 474 0.00
251 Vassar Liberty League 10 5 46 45 89 86 126 78 290 0.00
252 Lyndon North Atlantic 0 2 250 224 70 280 278 68 626 0.00
253 Va Wesleyan Old Dominion 9 9 163 158 178 149 106 170 425 0.00
254 War Wilson Coast to Coast 5 7 256 280 78 228 274 74 576 0.00
255 WashJeff Presidents 10 4 135 208 71 105 144 69 318 0.00
256 WashLee Old Dominion 14 4 21 38 15 12 8 10 30 0.00
257 WashCol Centennial 7 10 48 18 138 62 19 144 225 0.00
258 Wellesley NEWMAC 1 14 195 105 281 233 125 281 639 0.00
259 WentTech Conference of 5 11 230 215 238 254 220 238 712 0.00
260 WeConn Little East 14 2 62 88 18 26 90 30 146 0.00
261 WNE Conference of 5 11 146 109 239 165 93 239 497 0.00
262 Westfield St MASCAC 6 10 81 52 199 123 71 204 398 0.00
263 Westminster ) Presidents 11 5 178 246 99 148 253 97 498 0.00
264 Wheaton (MA) NEWMAC 8 9 123 85 184 113 54 186 353 0.00
265 Whitman Northwest 13 4 129 189 72 112 242 70 424 0.00
266 Whittier SCIAC 0 13 207 54 273 216 114 273 603 0.00
267 Whitworth Northwest 8 7 169 203 146 158 204 147 509 0.00
268 Widener MAC Commonweal 8 9 76 61 169 133 94 171 398 0.00
269 Wilkes Landmark 0 15 258 118 286 265 229 286 780 0.00
270 Willamette Northwest 9 6 128 155 123 76 51 122 249 0.00
271 Will Peace USA South Atl. 2 9 272 260 210 255 243 209 707 0.00
272 Will Smith Liberty League 12 3 11 16 22 10 26 31 67 0.00
273 Wilson UnitedEast 4 11 222 186 243 212 193 242 647 0.00
274 WiscEauCla WIAC 10 6 132 147 117 95 67 98 260 0.00
275 Wisc-LaC WIAC 10 5 124 160 73 57 185 64 306 0.00
276 Wisc-RivF WIAC 12 5 113 180 90 52 47 79 178 0.00
277 Wisc-StevPt WIAC 2 14 228 213 280 249 174 276 699 0.00
278 Wisc-Stout WIAC 8 7 226 192 126 156 250 125 531 0.00
279 Wittenberg North Coast 4 11 193 140 244 215 176 240 631 0.00
280 Wooster North Coast 15 2 45 86 12 21 153 12 186 0.00
281 Wor St MASCAC 11 6 107 126 112 93 102 115 310 0.00
282 York MAC Commonweal 14 3 10 26 16 16 14 8 38 0.00
283 Bryn Mawr Centennial 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
284 Hiram 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
285 Pitt-Brad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
286 Waynesburg Presidents 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00