List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 North Carolina ACC 18 0 1 6 1 1 2 1 4 57.50
2 Boston College ACC 17 2 2 2 2 2 1 2 5 36.50
3 Northwestern Big Ten 16 2 3 9 3 3 7 3 13 4.00
4 Maryland Big Ten 14 5 10 7 6 6 12 5 23 0.00
5 Penn Ivy League 10 5 7 8 12 10 5 14 29 0.00
6 Virginia ACC 11 6 12 4 16 7 3 11 21 0.00
7 Yale Ivy League 12 3 5 24 7 11 26 7 44 0.00
8 Akron MAC 9 7 100 117 66 92 120 67 279 0.00
9 Albany America East 7 9 60 42 69 57 33 76 166 0.00
10 American Patriot 5 11 82 74 112 86 67 111 264 0.00
11 Arizona State Big 12 10 7 38 36 49 31 48 50 129 0.00
12 Army Patriot 13 2 31 50 9 20 59 12 91 0.00
13 Binghamton America East 5 10 81 73 104 96 76 104 276 0.00
14 Boston Univ Patriot 8 8 66 64 67 63 64 65 192 0.00
15 Brown Ivy League 10 5 20 27 22 26 18 24 68 0.00
16 Bryant America East 10 6 56 67 47 47 61 53 161 0.00
17 Bucknell Patriot 6 10 73 59 95 72 54 94 220 0.00
18 Butler Big East 0 14 120 76 128 120 95 131 346 0.00
19 California ACC 6 10 57 31 75 68 49 73 190 0.00
20 Campbell Colonial 3 12 83 58 117 102 78 118 298 0.00
21 Canisius Metro Atlantic 6 10 99 97 93 104 102 93 299 0.00
22 Central Conn. Northeast 2 13 129 122 119 125 109 119 353 0.00
23 Central Mich MAC 5 10 106 91 96 108 113 101 322 0.00
24 Cincinnati Big 12 8 9 59 69 82 70 80 82 232 0.00
25 Clemson ACC 13 6 16 21 20 16 10 16 42 0.00
26 Coastal Car Atlantic Sun 7 9 74 85 88 74 83 88 245 0.00
27 Colgate Patriot 9 8 62 65 72 65 69 69 203 0.00
28 Colorado Big 12 8 7 30 15 39 25 15 39 79 0.00
29 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 72 32 91 78 42 95 215 0.00
30 Connecticut Big East 11 5 29 43 32 29 28 32 89 0.00
31 Cornell Ivy League 9 6 23 28 28 30 30 29 89 0.00
32 Dartmouth Ivy League 9 6 26 17 30 21 17 30 68 0.00
33 Davidson Atlantic 10 12 4 54 86 31 38 75 31 144 0.00
34 Delaware Colonial 10 5 42 49 37 32 45 37 114 0.00
35 Delaware State Northeast 1 14 131 130 132 131 131 132 394 0.00
36 Denver Big East 12 5 19 33 26 28 31 28 87 0.00
37 Detroit Mercy MAC 6 8 110 107 84 87 107 84 278 0.00
38 Drexel Colonial 13 3 27 45 14 23 53 20 96 0.00
39 Duke ACC 12 5 25 16 15 18 22 15 55 0.00
40 Duquesne Atlantic 10 5 10 108 100 108 93 90 105 288 0.00
41 East Carolina AAC 7 9 65 44 83 64 62 74 200 0.00
42 Ea Michigan MAC 8 8 86 98 73 97 117 75 289 0.00
43 Elon Colonial 9 7 51 47 62 53 60 66 179 0.00
44 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 9 7 63 71 64 54 56 63 173 0.00
45 Fair. Dickinson Northeast 5 11 122 131 116 126 130 116 372 0.00
46 Florida Big 12 15 2 4 29 4 5 13 4 22 0.00
47 Furman Big South 13 3 76 118 25 62 105 25 192 0.00
48 Gardner Webb Big South 3 13 126 116 123 124 122 121 367 0.00
49 George Mason Atlantic 10 7 10 114 111 101 107 91 98 296 0.00
50 G Washington Atlantic 10 7 9 97 106 89 100 98 86 284 0.00
51 Georgetown Big East 9 7 35 39 50 48 34 48 130 0.00
52 Harvard Ivy League 9 6 18 20 34 24 19 38 81 0.00
53 High Point Big South 11 5 49 94 41 59 84 41 184 0.00
54 Hofstra Colonial 9 7 55 57 58 55 50 61 166 0.00
55 Holy Cross Patriot 10 7 41 46 59 34 39 57 130 0.00
56 Howard (DC) Northeast 1 14 130 127 129 130 127 128 385 0.00
57 Iona Metro Atlantic 8 8 92 99 78 91 103 79 273 0.00
58 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 10 5 46 56 35 35 44 34 113 0.00
59 James Madison AAC 12 4 24 25 10 12 16 9 37 0.00
60 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 12 6 9 3 11 8 6 13 27 0.00
61 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 109 90 111 98 96 112 306 0.00
62 Kent State MAC 6 11 115 115 114 113 129 115 357 0.00
63 La Salle Atlantic 10 1 15 123 102 133 122 89 133 344 0.00
64 Lafayette Patriot 6 10 96 77 97 82 74 96 252 0.00
65 Le Moyne Northeast 4 13 121 121 121 121 108 120 349 0.00
66 Lehigh Patriot 6 10 77 52 98 75 55 97 227 0.00
67 Liberty Atlantic Sun 10 7 53 53 52 44 36 47 127 0.00
68 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 10 5 93 112 46 67 115 45 227 0.00
69 LIU Northeast 10 6 104 120 54 77 93 54 224 0.00
70 Longwood Big South 1 14 125 109 130 127 114 129 370 0.00
71 Louisville ACC 7 10 48 19 68 49 25 68 142 0.00
72 Loyola (MD) Patriot 12 5 14 23 13 14 11 10 35 0.00
73 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 3 13 113 93 124 118 94 122 334 0.00
74 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 14 102 84 126 119 99 126 344 0.00
75 Marquette Big East 10 6 45 51 40 46 52 42 140 0.00
76 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 13 3 22 70 19 17 32 17 66 0.00
77 Mass-Lowell America East 11 5 61 81 38 51 57 36 144 0.00
78 Mercer Big South 10 7 58 83 55 58 47 58 163 0.00
79 Mercyhurst Northeast 6 9 124 129 92 117 121 91 329 0.00
80 Merrimack Metro Atlantic 1 14 118 110 131 128 110 130 368 0.00
81 Michigan Big Ten 12 6 11 14 17 15 24 22 61 0.00
82 MonmouthNJ Colonial 3 13 85 61 120 111 87 123 321 0.00
83 Mt St Marys Metro Atlantic 11 5 70 89 42 60 106 43 209 0.00
84 Navy Patriot 13 5 21 38 27 19 29 26 74 0.00
85 New Hamp America East 2 13 105 66 122 115 81 124 320 0.00
86 Niagara Metro Atlantic 7 11 90 75 105 83 66 106 255 0.00
87 Notre Dame ACC 7 8 17 10 43 33 21 44 98 0.00
88 Ohio State Big Ten 8 7 34 30 44 42 51 46 139 0.00
89 Old Dominion AAC 8 9 87 104 86 94 97 85 276 0.00
90 Oregon Big Ten 6 10 68 41 79 85 73 80 238 0.00
91 Penn State Big Ten 7 9 33 11 56 36 23 55 114 0.00
92 Pittsburgh ACC 8 8 40 26 53 41 41 51 133 0.00
93 Presbyterian Big South 5 12 127 125 118 123 124 117 364 0.00
94 Princeton Ivy League 13 2 6 12 5 4 20 6 30 0.00
95 Queens Atlantic Sun 6 11 88 80 113 81 82 113 276 0.00
96 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 9 9 84 95 80 90 92 83 265 0.00
97 Radford Big South 2 14 128 124 127 129 119 127 375 0.00
98 Rhode Island Atlantic 10 8 8 95 105 81 80 85 77 242 0.00
99 Richmond Atlantic 10 10 7 47 62 63 43 40 56 139 0.00
100 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 10 94 103 99 103 118 99 320 0.00
101 Robert Morris MAC 7 10 98 101 102 95 116 102 313 0.00
102 Rutgers Big Ten 8 10 32 18 51 39 8 52 99 0.00
103 Sacred Heart Metro Atlantic 6 10 91 92 103 109 101 103 313 0.00
104 San Diego State Big 12 5 11 75 54 109 89 88 110 287 0.00
105 Siena Metro Atlantic 9 8 80 87 76 71 70 72 213 0.00
106 South Florida AAC 12 4 37 72 29 40 77 27 144 0.00
107 So. California Big Ten 10 7 28 22 33 37 35 33 105 0.00
108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 10 7 64 88 65 61 86 64 211 0.00
109 St Francis Northeast 7 9 119 128 90 114 125 89 328 0.00
110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 10 7 43 60 60 45 43 60 148 0.00
111 Stanford ACC 14 5 8 5 8 9 14 8 31 0.00
112 Stetson Atlantic Sun 5 11 107 79 110 101 79 109 289 0.00
113 Stonehill Northeast 10 6 112 126 57 99 123 59 281 0.00
114 Stony Brook Colonial 13 4 15 35 24 22 37 23 82 0.00
115 Syracuse ACC 9 8 13 1 18 13 4 18 35 0.00
116 Temple AAC 4 12 69 34 115 69 38 114 221 0.00
117 Towson Colonial 7 9 44 37 70 52 27 78 157 0.00
118 UC Davis Big 12 6 9 52 40 77 73 71 81 225 0.00
119 UMBC America East 11 4 67 108 36 66 100 35 201 0.00
120 UNC-Charlotte AAC 6 10 89 96 106 106 104 100 310 0.00
121 Vanderbilt AAC 9 8 50 55 74 56 68 70 194 0.00
122 VCU Atlantic 10 7 10 79 78 94 76 63 92 231 0.00
123 Vermont America East 6 9 78 82 85 84 58 90 232 0.00
124 Villanova Big East 10 6 36 48 45 50 46 49 145 0.00
125 Virginia Tech ACC 9 9 39 13 48 27 9 40 76 0.00
126 Wagner Northeast 8 6 116 123 61 88 111 62 261 0.00
127 William&Mary Colonial 6 10 71 68 100 79 65 107 251 0.00
128 Winthrop Big South 6 10 117 114 107 116 112 108 336 0.00
129 Wofford Big South 8 9 103 113 87 110 126 87 323 0.00
130 Xavier Big East 2 13 111 63 125 112 72 125 309 0.00
131 Youngstown St MAC 7 7 101 119 71 105 128 71 304 0.00
132 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
133 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00