List of Probabilities for Women D1
Women D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Northwestern Big Ten 13 2 1 3 2 1 5 1 7 18.00
2 Boston College Atlantic Coast 16 3 2 9 1 2 2 2 6 15.00
3 Yale Ivy League 13 2 4 16 8 8 17 8 33 9.50
4 Notre Dame Atlantic Coast 15 3 5 15 3 10 7 4 21 8.50
5 Syracuse Atlantic Coast 14 5 3 1 4 3 1 7 11 7.00
6 Penn Ivy League 12 3 6 8 10 4 8 11 23 6.50
7 Denver Big East 13 3 12 14 5 14 14 9 37 4.50
8 Florida American 15 2 14 39 9 17 32 12 61 3.00
9 Loyola (MD) Patriot League 15 2 7 26 6 11 19 5 35 3.00
10 Maryland Big Ten 12 5 9 2 14 6 3 13 22 3.00
11 Stanford Pac-12 11 4 13 21 20 16 22 22 60 3.00
12 Johns Hopkins Big Ten 11 6 17 4 16 7 4 16 27 2.50
13 Michigan Big Ten 14 3 8 17 12 5 13 3 21 2.50
14 Princeton Ivy League 10 5 16 6 15 15 9 20 44 2.50
15 Stony Brook Colonial 15 2 10 27 11 12 34 6 52 2.50
16 Harvard Ivy League 10 4 18 32 26 28 63 28 119 0.00
17 James Madison American 11 5 23 24 33 22 33 29 84 0.00
18 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 12 4 29 59 31 25 54 33 112 0.00
19 Penn State Big Ten 10 6 25 11 34 21 16 30 67 0.00
20 Virginia Atlantic Coast 14 4 11 5 7 9 10 10 29 0.00
21 Brown Ivy League 10 5 20 25 28 20 28 32 80 0.00
22 Colorado Pac-12 11 5 28 30 30 26 26 31 83 0.00
23 Connecticut Big East 10 6 32 45 46 44 40 42 126 0.00
24 Drexel Colonial 12 4 26 37 17 19 23 15 57 0.00
25 Duke Atlantic Coast 10 8 31 13 36 30 11 37 78 0.00
26 Navy Patriot League 14 3 19 50 18 23 53 18 94 0.00
27 North Carolina Atlantic Coast 10 6 15 7 19 18 6 17 41 0.00
28 Rutgers Big Ten 8 9 21 10 49 31 12 48 91 0.00
29 Akron MAC 7 9 113 119 89 114 125 89 328 0.00
30 Albany America East 7 9 46 23 66 37 21 56 114 0.00
31 American Patriot League 7 9 83 74 82 73 72 85 230 0.00
32 Arizona State Pac-12 8 9 42 36 69 47 15 72 134 0.00
33 Army Patriot League 9 8 38 35 60 41 30 65 136 0.00
34 Binghamton America East 10 6 53 71 56 51 57 57 165 0.00
35 Boston Universit Patriot League 5 11 85 56 94 76 47 99 222 0.00
36 Bryant America East 9 6 58 69 52 45 62 58 165 0.00
37 Bucknell Patriot League 5 10 86 61 95 84 89 94 267 0.00
38 Butler Big East 2 14 102 62 122 109 83 123 315 0.00
39 California Pac-12 5 10 75 67 97 87 80 95 262 0.00
40 Campbell Colonial 4 13 89 63 115 91 66 115 272 0.00
41 Canisius Metro Atlantic 11 7 80 100 67 63 73 64 200 0.00
42 Central Connecti Northeast 2 13 125 122 117 123 114 119 356 0.00
43 Central Michigan MAC 5 12 99 72 99 97 71 100 268 0.00
44 Cincinnati American 10 7 64 79 57 72 94 59 225 0.00
45 Clemson Atlantic Coast 11 7 24 20 32 27 25 35 87 0.00
46 Coastal Carolina Atlantic Sun 12 5 51 83 44 40 88 44 172 0.00
47 Colgate Patriot League 3 14 78 41 123 80 45 128 253 0.00
48 Columbia Ivy League 4 11 76 40 96 82 50 96 228 0.00
49 Cornell Ivy League 7 8 34 18 53 39 24 52 115 0.00
50 Dartmouth Ivy League 7 7 30 19 48 34 18 53 105 0.00
51 Davidson Atlantic 10 10 6 49 73 55 48 65 54 167 0.00
52 Delaware Colonial 10 6 48 64 54 53 79 50 182 0.00
53 Delaware State Atlantic Sun 2 13 126 125 126 121 116 124 361 0.00
54 Detroit Mercy MAC 5 11 108 110 106 120 126 106 352 0.00
55 Duquesne Atlantic 10 7 10 112 98 98 101 107 97 305 0.00
56 East Carolina American 4 12 74 47 108 83 56 113 252 0.00
57 Eastern Michigan MAC 7 8 106 112 72 112 122 73 307 0.00
58 Elon Colonial 9 7 62 60 64 59 78 66 203 0.00
59 Fairfield Metro Atlantic 15 1 27 75 13 13 44 14 71 0.00
60 Fairleigh Dickin Northeast 2 14 123 127 129 126 121 129 376 0.00
61 Furman Big South 8 9 87 87 83 81 86 82 249 0.00
62 Gardner Webb Big South 0 17 124 108 132 125 110 132 367 0.00
63 George Mason Atlantic 10 10 7 79 111 70 88 109 69 266 0.00
64 George Washingto Atlantic 10 4 13 110 97 120 116 92 122 330 0.00
65 Georgetown Big East 7 10 40 28 76 61 35 74 170 0.00
66 High Point Big South 11 5 70 92 40 62 98 45 205 0.00
67 Hofstra Colonial 9 7 41 48 65 46 48 62 156 0.00
68 Holy Cross Patriot League 12 5 43 57 37 29 27 38 94 0.00
69 Howard (DC) Northeast 0 16 127 126 130 127 123 130 380 0.00
70 Iona Metro Atlantic 12 5 81 95 45 56 77 41 174 0.00
71 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 8 8 54 44 61 52 51 67 170 0.00
72 Kennesaw State Atlantic Sun 5 11 103 103 109 110 124 107 341 0.00
73 Kent State MAC 6 11 107 107 104 107 111 104 322 0.00
74 La Salle Atlantic 10 3 11 114 93 111 113 105 112 330 0.00
75 Lafayette Patriot League 5 11 84 78 103 95 85 103 283 0.00
76 Le Moyne Northeast 9 9 105 114 84 90 93 86 269 0.00
77 Lehigh Patriot League 8 8 57 54 75 64 69 76 209 0.00
78 Liberty Atlantic Sun 6 11 65 43 91 67 55 93 215 0.00
79 Lindenwood Atlantic Sun 13 4 67 105 38 69 119 39 227 0.00
80 LIU Northeast 9 7 92 118 73 86 100 70 256 0.00
81 Longwood Big South 8 9 104 113 86 111 117 87 315 0.00
82 Louisville Atlantic Coast 8 11 33 12 71 42 20 71 133 0.00
83 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 4 13 111 85 121 98 60 118 276 0.00
84 Marist Metro Atlantic 3 13 98 77 124 99 67 120 286 0.00
85 Marquette Big East 6 11 66 46 92 74 61 91 226 0.00
86 Massachusetts-Lo America East 12 5 56 99 42 60 84 46 190 0.00
87 Mercer Big South 12 5 50 86 39 49 68 40 157 0.00
88 Merrimack Northeast 4 12 118 115 114 115 102 114 331 0.00
89 Monmouth (NJ) Colonial 6 10 72 58 93 85 76 92 253 0.00
90 Mount St Marys Metro Atlantic 8 9 68 84 85 57 38 83 178 0.00
91 New Hampshire America East 2 12 96 70 116 102 81 116 299 0.00
92 Niagara Metro Atlantic 14 3 47 88 27 33 82 19 134 0.00
93 Ohio State Big Ten 8 9 44 38 68 58 31 63 152 0.00
94 Old Dominion American 3 13 90 66 119 106 87 121 314 0.00
95 Oregon Pac-12 8 6 52 81 58 70 103 60 233 0.00
96 Pittsburgh Atlantic Coast 5 13 61 29 100 75 36 101 212 0.00
97 Presbyterian Big South 2 14 122 121 127 122 127 125 374 0.00
98 Queens Atlantic Sun 9 8 77 94 78 79 101 78 258 0.00
99 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 2 13 91 76 118 96 41 117 254 0.00
100 Radford Big South 6 11 119 123 105 119 113 105 337 0.00
101 Richmond Atlantic 10 12 4 37 68 35 38 70 34 142 0.00
102 Rider Metro Atlantic 8 9 97 109 87 92 96 84 272 0.00
103 Robert Morris MAC 6 11 109 101 102 105 112 102 319 0.00
104 Sacred Heart Northeast 10 5 93 116 47 71 97 47 215 0.00
105 San Diego State Pac-12 2 14 94 42 125 93 58 126 277 0.00
106 Siena Metro Atlantic 13 5 60 80 41 32 49 36 117 0.00
107 Southern Califor Pac-12 12 4 22 31 29 24 59 21 104 0.00
108 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 8 9 82 91 88 77 91 88 256 0.00
109 St Francis Northeast 8 8 115 124 79 103 115 80 298 0.00
110 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 10 6 36 52 50 36 52 51 139 0.00
111 Stetson Atlantic Sun 4 11 101 96 107 104 90 108 302 0.00
112 Stonehill Northeast 9 8 95 120 77 89 95 79 263 0.00
113 Temple American 9 6 39 33 43 35 29 43 107 0.00
114 Towson Colonial 7 9 45 34 80 50 37 81 168 0.00
115 UC Davis Pac-12 9 7 71 65 63 55 46 68 169 0.00
116 UMBC America East 9 5 63 90 51 65 104 49 218 0.00
117 Vanderbilt American 9 7 55 51 62 54 39 55 148 0.00
118 VCU Atlantic 10 5 12 73 55 112 78 43 109 230 0.00
119 Vermont America East 8 8 69 82 81 66 75 77 218 0.00
120 Villanova Big East 7 8 59 53 74 68 74 75 217 0.00
121 Virginia Tech Atlantic Coast 9 9 35 22 59 43 42 61 146 0.00
122 Wagner Northeast 6 10 116 117 101 108 108 98 314 0.00
123 William & Mary Colonial 4 13 88 49 113 94 64 110 268 0.00
124 Winthrop Big South 2 13 120 102 128 117 99 127 343 0.00
125 Wofford Big South 7 9 100 104 90 100 106 90 296 0.00
126 Xavier Big East 4 11 117 89 110 118 118 111 347 0.00
127 Youngstown State MAC 0 16 121 106 131 124 120 131 375 0.00
128 Austin Peay 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
129 Florida State 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
130 Rhode Island 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
131 South Florida 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00
132 UNC-Charlotte 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00