List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 11 2 1 3 3 4 4 6 14 22.50
2 RIT Liberty League 14 1 3 11 4 1 8 1 10 11.00
3 Bowdoin NESCAC 10 2 4 6 8 12 62 16 90 9.00
4 St Lawrence Liberty League 13 1 5 17 5 3 37 4 44 8.00
5 RPI Liberty League 13 1 6 14 1 8 26 3 37 7.00
6 Wesleyan NESCAC 10 3 7 7 17 15 30 22 67 5.50
7 Amherst NESCAC 9 4 8 5 15 22 20 18 60 4.50
8 Middlebury NESCAC 7 6 11 2 18 30 6 29 65 4.00
9 Salisbury CLC 15 0 2 27 2 2 29 2 33 3.50
10 Endicott CCC 13 1 15 47 6 25 83 5 113 2.50
11 Williams NESCAC 7 6 18 1 24 27 3 31 61 2.50
12 Babson NEWMAC 11 3 9 25 11 16 36 11 63 2.00
13 Christopher Newp CLC 10 4 10 12 16 6 2 12 20 2.00
14 Dickinson Centennial 12 2 17 19 12 7 13 8 28 2.00
15 Union Liberty League 9 3 13 4 7 5 7 10 22 2.00
16 Gettysburg Centennial 8 6 21 9 53 24 12 45 81 1.50
17 Skidmore Liberty League 9 5 38 33 48 26 11 33 70 1.50
18 Lynchburg ODAC 9 5 12 30 39 17 5 32 54 0.00
19 Swarthmore Centennial 12 1 14 32 9 9 35 7 51 0.00
20 Vassar Liberty League 9 4 37 35 23 11 14 21 46 0.00
21 Washington & Lee ODAC 11 3 19 41 21 14 15 15 44 0.00
22 York MAC-Commonwlth 7 7 20 15 64 32 1 52 85 0.00
23 Cabrini AEC 12 3 28 80 28 48 91 25 164 0.00
24 Cortland SUNYAC 8 4 26 37 52 34 42 53 129 0.00
25 Hamilton NESCAC 7 6 22 8 35 58 55 60 173 0.00
26 Ohio Wesleyan NCAC 9 3 31 61 33 10 39 30 79 0.00
27 Randolph-Macon ODAC 11 3 29 67 30 38 75 26 139 0.00
28 Roanoke ODAC 12 3 24 58 19 20 24 17 61 0.00
29 Stevens MAC-Freedom 12 2 16 45 10 21 56 9 86 0.00
30 Trinity NESCAC 9 4 23 18 27 43 58 34 135 0.00
31 Adrian MIAA 6 6 111 107 124 79 86 124 289 0.00
32 Albertus Magnus GNAC 3 10 202 213 222 221 201 222 644 0.00
33 Albion MIAA 5 9 110 79 192 105 57 185 347 0.00
34 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 5 8 146 131 165 186 174 176 536 0.00
35 Alfred Empire 8 9 3 85 97 41 57 131 43 231 0.00
36 Allegheny PAC 8 5 124 152 87 102 129 90 321 0.00
37 Alma MIAA 1 10 200 186 143 208 158 140 506 0.00
38 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 4 9 172 139 193 201 188 201 590 0.00
39 Anderson (IN) HCLC North 6 8 227 237 166 218 232 166 616 0.00
40 Anna Maria GNAC 2 13 198 180 239 217 155 239 611 0.00
41 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 9 5 70 70 69 83 106 68 257 0.00
42 Augustana CCIW 3 8 199 160 163 153 143 164 460 0.00
43 Aurora NACC 9 5 120 159 82 71 50 83 204 0.00
44 Averett ODAC 2 13 228 156 229 203 193 227 623 0.00
45 Baldwin Wallace OAC 7 6 93 89 116 72 84 106 262 0.00
46 Bates NESCAC 3 10 49 13 150 115 65 186 366 0.00
47 Beloit NACC 2 9 222 218 210 214 196 209 619 0.00
48 Benedictine (IL) NACC 5 8 163 164 175 135 77 177 389 0.00
49 Berry SAA 7 7 107 73 102 66 27 107 200 0.00
50 Bethany PAC 3 8 217 221 182 220 221 179 620 0.00
51 Birmingham South SAA 9 4 79 118 58 63 81 58 202 0.00
52 Brevard USA South 2 11 223 228 211 227 237 210 674 0.00
53 Bridgewater ODAC 4 10 123 78 215 138 52 211 401 0.00
54 Brockport SUNYAC 3 9 105 64 205 145 104 205 454 0.00
55 Bryn Athyn UnitedEast 2 5 224 230 117 224 234 115 573 0.00
56 Cairn UnitedEast 3 8 214 216 160 206 217 159 582 0.00
57 Calvin MIAA 10 4 115 140 38 42 122 40 204 0.00
58 Canton NAC 6 5 183 208 97 188 225 97 510 0.00
59 Capital OAC 6 8 112 127 167 125 93 167 385 0.00
60 Carroll CCIW 6 7 191 214 121 180 190 120 490 0.00
61 Carthage CCIW 7 7 114 124 135 76 53 134 263 0.00
62 Castleton LEC 3 11 186 137 230 190 148 230 568 0.00
63 Catholic Landmark 7 8 83 53 144 82 54 141 277 0.00
64 Centenary (LA) HCLC South 1 11 229 210 213 230 229 214 673 0.00
65 Centenary (NJ) AEC 1 11 233 201 232 235 231 232 698 0.00
66 Centre SAA 12 3 63 117 31 39 59 27 125 0.00
67 Chatham PAC 7 7 136 149 136 141 140 127 408 0.00
68 Clark NEWMAC 4 9 109 56 180 163 169 180 512 0.00
69 Clarkson Liberty League 6 8 43 28 103 65 16 98 179 0.00
70 Coast Guard NEWMAC 2 9 108 48 194 175 132 190 497 0.00
71 Cobleskill NAC 1 7 226 232 168 234 233 168 635 0.00
72 Colby NESCAC 5 7 35 21 70 90 70 108 268 0.00
73 Colorado College HCLC South 7 4 59 99 71 50 63 72 185 0.00
74 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 10 235 206 227 223 197 228 648 0.00
75 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 9 5 147 187 83 101 118 84 303 0.00
76 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 4 7 40 10 88 96 108 116 320 0.00
77 Cornell College MLC 5 7 206 220 154 189 222 153 564 0.00
78 Curry CCC 3 12 135 82 233 168 85 233 486 0.00
79 Dean College GNAC 9 4 126 176 59 108 170 59 337 0.00
80 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 3 10 195 162 223 204 179 223 606 0.00
81 Delhi NAC 9 3 161 227 42 158 224 44 426 0.00
82 Denison NCAC 10 5 30 50 50 31 51 50 132 0.00
83 DePauw NCAC 8 6 150 154 106 93 100 101 294 0.00
84 DeSales MAC-Freedom 7 6 75 57 98 91 68 99 258 0.00
85 Drew Landmark 8 7 122 114 129 113 119 128 360 0.00
86 Dubuque MLC 8 5 133 168 89 86 92 91 269 0.00
87 Earlham HCLC North 6 8 230 238 169 222 230 169 621 0.00
88 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 5 9 57 40 181 103 46 183 332 0.00
89 Eastern Connecti LEC 4 10 143 108 218 151 79 218 448 0.00
90 Edgewood NACC 6 9 188 198 186 167 125 191 483 0.00
91 Elizabethtown Landmark 8 5 60 55 76 68 101 73 242 0.00
92 Elmhurst CCIW 10 2 55 98 25 18 64 23 105 0.00
93 Elms GNAC 5 7 196 211 151 193 203 149 545 0.00
94 Emerson NEWMAC 6 8 77 49 155 126 98 154 378 0.00
95 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 5 10 140 146 216 181 121 216 518 0.00
96 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 12 2 80 142 13 75 206 13 294 0.00
97 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 1 12 181 106 235 207 133 237 577 0.00
98 Franciscan PAC 9 5 190 225 84 169 195 78 442 0.00
99 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 6 9 47 34 176 77 31 160 268 0.00
100 Geneseo SUNYAC 8 6 39 29 51 23 9 51 83 0.00
101 Gordon CCC 4 8 145 93 170 129 78 170 377 0.00
102 Goucher Landmark 8 7 139 128 130 137 134 129 400 0.00
103 Greensboro USA South 7 7 187 200 145 184 223 142 549 0.00
104 Grove City PAC 10 4 27 60 22 19 18 19 56 0.00
105 Guilford ODAC 6 8 125 90 156 95 40 135 270 0.00
106 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 6 7 142 150 146 176 182 143 501 0.00
107 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 10 4 41 62 43 28 17 35 80 0.00
108 Hanover HCLC North 6 8 201 215 171 183 163 171 517 0.00
109 Hartford CCC 4 7 88 69 122 88 82 111 281 0.00
110 Hartwick Empire 8 3 7 119 74 161 152 144 161 457 0.00
111 Haverford Centennial 7 7 62 46 131 94 73 136 303 0.00
112 Heidelberg OAC 4 11 221 217 219 199 210 219 628 0.00
113 Hendrix SAA 5 9 149 133 195 156 90 195 441 0.00
114 Hilbert UnitedEast 2 6 220 236 118 231 238 117 586 0.00
115 Hiram NCAC 5 9 210 202 177 191 202 165 558 0.00
116 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 7 7 128 125 137 150 157 137 444 0.00
117 Hope MIAA 9 3 76 100 44 13 45 46 104 0.00
118 Huntingdon USA South 3 11 205 184 224 200 181 224 605 0.00
119 Husson NAC 4 9 204 222 202 210 208 202 620 0.00
120 Illinois Tech NACC 7 5 166 188 94 107 120 95 322 0.00
121 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 9 3 64 104 45 35 66 47 148 0.00
122 Immaculata AEC 8 5 151 172 90 155 187 92 434 0.00
123 Ithaca Liberty League 7 7 42 24 77 40 10 61 111 0.00
124 John Carroll OAC 7 4 68 111 67 55 87 55 197 0.00
125 Johnson & Wales GNAC 9 4 162 194 60 136 183 62 381 0.00
126 Juniata Landmark 2 12 197 147 236 209 164 236 609 0.00
127 Kalamazoo MIAA 4 7 164 151 157 144 135 155 434 0.00
128 Kean CLC 9 6 54 59 72 89 71 74 234 0.00
129 Keene State LEC 5 5 81 88 95 122 156 85 363 0.00
130 Kenyon NCAC 9 5 58 54 78 37 61 63 161 0.00
131 Keuka Empire 8 5 5 185 171 100 164 199 102 465 0.00
132 Keystone UnitedEast 6 7 203 223 147 196 219 144 559 0.00
133 Kings MAC-Freedom 2 9 169 126 206 198 184 212 594 0.00
134 La Roche UnitedEast 0 10 238 235 196 238 236 196 670 0.00
135 LaGrange USA South 7 8 177 178 172 154 176 172 502 0.00
136 Lake Forest MLC 12 1 118 191 14 51 145 14 210 0.00
137 Lasell GNAC 8 6 113 132 107 109 97 103 309 0.00
138 Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlth 6 8 121 115 173 149 130 173 452 0.00
139 Lycoming Landmark 4 7 168 120 158 165 153 156 474 0.00
140 Maine Maritime NAC 6 4 154 157 73 173 218 75 466 0.00
141 Manhattanville Skyline 6 8 152 135 174 142 96 174 412 0.00
142 Marian (WI) NACC 2 9 208 207 212 202 185 213 600 0.00
143 Marietta OAC 7 7 170 169 138 146 151 138 435 0.00
144 Maritime Skyline 8 5 67 94 61 84 113 66 263 0.00
145 Mary Washington CLC 7 7 51 42 104 62 23 100 185 0.00
146 Marymount AEC 5 9 116 101 197 132 89 197 418 0.00
147 Marywood AEC 3 10 184 166 225 205 177 225 607 0.00
148 Massachusetts Ma LEC 8 6 100 138 108 123 154 112 389 0.00
149 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 11 4 78 96 46 80 110 48 238 0.00
150 McDaniel Centennial 6 7 92 66 139 128 149 130 407 0.00
151 MCLA NAC 1 9 231 231 214 236 235 215 686 0.00
152 Merchant Marine Skyline 8 4 98 130 65 111 171 67 349 0.00
153 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 11 3 61 71 32 61 141 36 238 0.00
154 Methodist USA South 8 5 167 209 91 170 194 93 457 0.00
155 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 6 7 99 87 140 100 74 145 319 0.00
156 MIT NEWMAC 4 9 46 20 141 114 60 157 331 0.00
157 Mitchell GNAC 0 9 234 189 217 233 216 217 666 0.00
158 Montclair State CLC 4 8 89 51 159 143 112 158 413 0.00
159 Moravian Landmark 8 7 129 121 132 110 123 131 364 0.00
160 Morrisville NAC 5 7 156 134 152 130 137 150 417 0.00
161 Mount St Joseph HCLC North 0 12 237 233 238 237 227 238 702 0.00
162 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 2 8 182 153 184 219 220 187 626 0.00
163 Mount St Vincent Skyline 5 6 189 181 125 161 175 125 461 0.00
164 Mount Union OAC 6 9 180 197 187 179 152 192 523 0.00
165 MSOE NACC 6 7 173 190 148 166 159 146 471 0.00
166 Muhlenberg Centennial 8 7 33 23 99 45 19 76 140 0.00
167 Muskingum OAC 8 7 155 175 133 117 117 132 366 0.00
168 Nazareth Empire 8 8 6 34 36 66 46 21 69 136 0.00
169 Neumann AEC 8 6 165 173 109 178 192 113 483 0.00
170 New England Coll GNAC 3 10 174 163 226 197 189 226 612 0.00
171 New Paltz SUNYAC 5 7 127 119 153 127 128 151 406 0.00
172 Nichols CCC 8 7 97 76 110 124 116 121 361 0.00
173 North Central CCIW 9 2 101 144 29 33 115 28 176 0.00
174 Northland MLC 3 8 212 204 162 187 212 162 561 0.00
175 Northwestern (MN MLC 5 5 192 195 92 147 191 94 432 0.00
176 Norwich GNAC 10 5 141 174 79 139 173 79 391 0.00
177 Oberlin NCAC 8 6 91 83 111 52 48 104 204 0.00
178 Oglethorpe SAA 5 10 193 158 203 177 166 203 546 0.00
179 Ohio Northern OAC 10 5 82 116 80 73 111 80 264 0.00
180 Oneonta SUNYAC 6 6 90 63 119 121 139 122 382 0.00
181 Oswego SUNYAC 9 3 69 92 47 67 138 49 254 0.00
182 Otterbein OAC 7 6 138 161 120 131 142 118 391 0.00
183 Penn College UnitedEast 7 7 157 165 142 172 178 139 489 0.00
184 Pfeiffer USA South 7 5 103 141 96 87 99 86 272 0.00
185 Piedmont USA South 11 2 106 170 26 56 136 24 216 0.00
186 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 4 9 158 113 204 157 109 204 470 0.00
187 Plymouth State LEC 9 4 102 129 62 97 147 64 308 0.00
188 Potsdam SUNYAC 6 5 65 81 81 85 127 87 299 0.00
189 Purchase Skyline 3 9 225 212 207 215 204 206 625 0.00
190 Randolph ODAC 4 9 216 192 188 213 207 188 608 0.00
191 Regis (MA) GNAC 5 6 194 199 126 192 214 126 532 0.00
192 Rhodes SAA 9 7 73 77 105 69 32 119 220 0.00
193 Rivier GNAC 8 6 117 155 112 148 167 114 429 0.00
194 Roger Williams CCC 12 4 66 72 34 59 80 41 180 0.00
195 Rosemont UnitedEast 1 9 218 196 189 225 226 193 644 0.00
196 Sage Empire 8 5 8 148 123 178 160 126 178 464 0.00
197 Salem State LEC 4 10 207 185 220 212 198 220 630 0.00
198 Salve Regina CCC 4 7 74 44 127 118 107 147 372 0.00
199 Scranton Landmark 8 7 52 52 113 81 47 109 237 0.00
200 Sewanee SAA 10 4 84 95 55 36 49 56 141 0.00
201 Shenandoah ODAC 8 5 96 85 85 70 102 77 249 0.00
202 Southern Maine LEC 5 9 178 167 198 185 162 198 545 0.00
203 Southern Virgini USA South 5 9 134 102 199 119 38 184 341 0.00
204 Southwestern HCLC South 2 12 131 65 237 159 43 235 437 0.00
205 Spalding HCLC North 2 11 236 229 231 232 205 231 668 0.00
206 Springfield NEWMAC 4 9 48 16 128 104 33 163 300 0.00
207 St John Fisher Empire 8 8 6 36 43 74 54 41 81 176 0.00
208 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 11 3 132 177 36 98 172 37 307 0.00
209 St Josephs (LI) Skyline 1 8 209 179 190 216 200 194 610 0.00
210 St Josephs (ME) GNAC 8 7 137 143 134 120 114 133 367 0.00
211 St Marys (MD) UnitedEast 10 4 50 109 40 64 67 38 169 0.00
212 St Vincent PAC 5 8 130 110 179 99 69 175 343 0.00
213 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 8 6 25 26 56 44 28 54 126 0.00
214 Stockton CLC 10 5 45 38 49 29 22 42 93 0.00
215 SUNY Poly NAC 7 4 179 205 68 162 211 70 443 0.00
216 Susquehanna Landmark 13 2 71 122 20 60 124 20 204 0.00
217 Thiel PAC 3 8 219 203 183 194 186 181 561 0.00
218 Thomas NAC 1 6 215 226 123 229 209 123 561 0.00
219 Transylvania CCIW 8 6 95 148 114 106 94 105 305 0.00
220 Trine MIAA 6 7 159 193 149 182 160 148 490 0.00
221 U of New England CCC 3 12 144 86 234 174 95 234 503 0.00
222 Ursinus Centennial 7 7 44 31 115 53 44 110 207 0.00
223 Utica Empire 8 5 9 160 112 200 171 150 199 520 0.00
224 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 5 8 175 136 164 133 88 152 373 0.00
225 Wabash NCAC 8 5 171 183 93 112 161 82 355 0.00
226 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 10 239 239 201 239 239 200 678 0.00
227 Washington & Jef PAC 3 9 213 219 208 211 215 207 633 0.00
228 Washington Colle Centennial 4 10 56 22 185 92 25 182 299 0.00
229 Wentworth CCC 11 4 86 103 37 74 168 39 281 0.00
230 Western Connecti LEC 9 4 53 75 63 49 72 65 186 0.00
231 Western New Engl CCC 8 6 32 39 54 47 34 71 152 0.00
232 Westminster (PA) PAC 9 5 153 182 86 134 165 88 387 0.00
233 Wheaton NEWMAC 8 5 87 91 75 116 146 89 351 0.00
234 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 9 104 68 191 140 105 189 434 0.00
235 Wilkes MAC-Freedom 4 10 176 145 221 195 180 221 596 0.00
236 William Peace USA South 3 9 211 224 209 226 228 208 662 0.00
237 Wilmington (OH) OAC 4 11 232 234 228 228 213 229 670 0.00
238 Wittenberg NCAC 5 5 94 84 101 78 103 96 277 0.00
239 Wooster NCAC 10 4 72 105 57 41 76 57 174 0.00