List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 22 0 1 5 1 1 6 1 8 57.20
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 16 4 2 6 4 7 11 7 25 15.50
3 Salisbury CLC 20 1 3 19 3 3 9 2 14 8.40
4 RIT Liberty League 21 2 4 13 2 2 4 3 9 6.80
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 13 6 5 3 6 9 7 21 37 3.95
6 Chris Newport CLC 18 4 7 18 7 4 1 5 10 2.15
7 RPI Liberty League 15 4 6 12 9 12 41 10 63 1.95
8 Amherst NESCAC 11 6 8 4 13 20 33 28 81 1.35
9 Gettysburg Centennial 15 5 9 14 10 6 2 9 17 0.00
10 Cortland SUNYAC 19 3 11 38 8 11 13 4 28 0.00
11 Dickinson Centennial 17 5 12 17 5 5 5 8 18 0.00
12 Middlebury NESCAC 9 9 10 2 28 37 15 57 109 0.00
13 St Lawrence Liberty League 12 7 13 10 18 15 3 30 48 0.00
14 Stevens MAC-Freedom 15 4 15 49 15 28 71 13 112 0.00
15 St John Fish Empire 8 16 5 27 48 17 18 21 17 56 0.00
16 Union Liberty League 4 10 29 8 113 82 36 151 269 0.00
17 Williams NESCAC 7 9 17 1 36 47 16 74 137 0.00
18 Bates NESCAC 9 7 20 16 25 54 58 51 163 0.00
19 Ithaca Liberty League 10 9 22 20 74 46 22 86 154 0.00
20 Swarthmore Centennial 12 5 14 33 32 30 50 25 105 0.00
21 Adrian MIAA 11 7 87 96 81 49 52 67 168 0.00
22 Alb Magnus GNAC South 5 10 215 220 183 206 206 183 595 0.00
23 Albion MIAA 11 9 85 75 146 42 39 109 190 0.00
24 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 16 141 87 236 189 143 236 568 0.00
25 Alfred Empire 8 6 9 131 123 165 145 169 161 475 0.00
26 Alfred State AMCC 9 6 209 233 82 198 230 81 509 0.00
27 Allegheny PAC 8 9 153 180 155 149 154 156 459 0.00
28 Alma MIAA 6 7 186 192 117 158 191 117 466 0.00
29 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 7 9 154 145 156 170 182 148 500 0.00
30 Anderson-IN HCLC North 3 11 212 221 199 221 219 199 639 0.00
31 Anna Maria GNAC North 4 11 211 211 192 199 189 192 580 0.00
32 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 12 7 80 84 72 107 129 95 331 0.00
33 Augustana CCIW 0 3 221 214 43 236 235 43 514 0.00
34 Aurora NACC 14 6 106 149 63 63 62 44 169 0.00
35 Averett ODAC 4 13 201 143 224 180 132 222 534 0.00
36 Babson NEWMAC 14 6 28 26 22 32 46 33 111 0.00
37 Bald Wallace OAC 14 5 58 86 45 25 61 42 128 0.00
38 Beloit NACC 4 11 202 205 193 202 197 193 592 0.00
39 Benedictine NACC 6 12 171 185 202 174 151 200 525 0.00
40 Berry SAA 4 9 136 109 171 154 150 171 475 0.00
41 Bethany PAC 7 10 192 208 160 178 225 162 565 0.00
42 Brevard USA South 2 13 226 224 218 217 226 217 660 0.00
43 Bridgewater ODAC 5 12 144 98 206 162 113 203 478 0.00
44 Brockport SUNYAC 8 9 114 83 151 126 106 145 377 0.00
45 Bryn Athyn United East 3 7 224 227 135 220 228 134 582 0.00
46 Cairn United East 0 12 229 212 221 233 216 223 672 0.00
47 Calvin MIAA 6 10 115 108 178 116 91 173 380 0.00
48 Canton NAC 1 11 180 122 200 213 192 201 606 0.00
49 Capital OAC 6 10 119 119 179 136 105 179 420 0.00
50 Carroll CCIW 5 8 188 169 152 159 160 121 440 0.00
51 Carthage CCIW 11 5 82 133 54 52 77 34 163 0.00
52 Castleton LEC 3 12 178 158 214 209 185 215 609 0.00
53 Catholic Landmark 9 10 78 69 157 112 97 153 362 0.00
54 CentenaryLA HCLC South 6 6 194 225 78 207 229 76 512 0.00
55 CentenaryNJ AEC 0 11 231 207 207 229 212 207 648 0.00
56 Centre SAA 9 7 71 95 105 64 51 82 197 0.00
57 Chatham PAC 13 6 94 136 66 91 116 64 271 0.00
58 Clark NEWMAC 9 6 89 77 83 84 122 83 289 0.00
59 Clarkson Liberty League 8 8 34 35 92 76 80 104 260 0.00
60 Coast Guard NEWMAC 9 6 59 57 84 86 107 84 277 0.00
61 Cobleskill NAC 2 7 222 231 142 222 227 142 591 0.00
62 Colby NESCAC 3 10 42 7 99 102 70 154 326 0.00
63 Colorado Col HCLC South 8 6 56 51 89 22 26 59 107 0.00
64 Con-Wisc NACC 12 8 140 176 114 120 103 105 328 0.00
65 Conn Col NESCAC 7 8 31 15 46 69 72 91 232 0.00
66 Cornell Col NACC 5 11 195 199 194 204 214 194 612 0.00
67 Curry CNE 2 14 155 94 233 171 100 233 504 0.00
68 Dean Col GNAC South 12 4 134 203 37 129 193 41 363 0.00
69 Del Val MAC-Freedom 4 12 204 186 203 212 198 212 622 0.00
70 Delhi NAC 11 5 152 215 55 140 203 55 398 0.00
71 Denison NCAC 13 7 26 34 38 16 8 20 44 0.00
72 DePauw NCAC 5 9 133 93 167 122 76 149 347 0.00
73 DeSales MAC-Freedom 10 10 75 64 143 98 115 167 380 0.00
74 Drew Landmark 10 7 109 116 100 113 126 106 345 0.00
75 Dubuque NACC 11 7 146 165 95 101 112 99 312 0.00
76 Earlham HCLC North 6 8 216 229 118 211 231 118 560 0.00
77 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 9 9 63 36 110 80 37 115 232 0.00
78 Ea Conn LEC 6 8 147 124 147 141 125 146 412 0.00
79 Edgewood NACC 5 11 179 179 195 179 205 195 579 0.00
80 Elizab'town Landmark 11 7 53 65 90 77 94 96 267 0.00
81 Elmhurst CCIW 13 3 43 73 27 8 29 19 56 0.00
82 Elmira Empire 8 0 7 234 223 101 223 200 107 530 0.00
83 Emerson NEWMAC 2 12 105 58 215 168 134 218 520 0.00
84 Emmanuel(MA) GNAC North 10 8 137 155 121 94 74 122 290 0.00
85 Endicott CNE 13 4 24 46 20 43 54 26 123 0.00
86 Farm'dale St Skyline 16 4 52 135 16 36 190 16 242 0.00
87 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 10 6 143 168 69 139 159 77 375 0.00
88 Franciscan PAC 5 9 181 188 168 182 186 169 537 0.00
89 FrankMarsh Centennial 11 6 35 32 44 33 44 36 113 0.00
90 Geneseo SUNYAC 11 7 55 60 67 61 55 68 184 0.00
91 Gordon CNE 1 11 176 112 204 216 201 204 621 0.00
92 Goucher Landmark 9 8 125 128 129 138 168 129 435 0.00
93 Greensboro USA South 6 12 190 200 208 193 196 208 597 0.00
94 Grove City PAC 14 8 32 63 47 29 17 31 77 0.00
95 Guilford ODAC 5 13 156 118 222 161 86 219 466 0.00
96 Gwynedd Mer ` AEC 6 10 174 178 180 201 202 180 583 0.00
97 Hamilton NESCAC 7 8 19 9 29 58 42 60 160 0.00
98 Hampden-Syd ODAC 12 6 60 68 59 50 30 45 125 0.00
99 Hanover HCLC North 10 3 169 228 30 143 215 32 390 0.00
100 Hartford CNE 9 6 69 79 85 92 127 85 304 0.00
101 Hartwick Empire 8 9 7 116 82 106 93 87 100 280 0.00
102 Haverford Centennial 9 7 47 41 73 68 57 69 194 0.00
103 Heidelberg OAC 4 12 200 182 213 181 142 213 536 0.00
104 Hendrix SAA 4 11 182 139 196 169 124 196 489 0.00
105 Hilbert AMCC 5 8 223 236 122 228 236 123 587 0.00
106 Hiram NCAC 3 14 214 161 230 196 161 229 586 0.00
107 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 5 117 99 60 114 175 52 341 0.00
108 Hope MIAA 11 5 83 103 56 39 66 46 151 0.00
109 Huntingdon USA South 4 10 206 219 172 210 223 172 605 0.00
110 Husson NAC 8 7 199 226 111 175 213 114 502 0.00
111 Ill Tech NACC 8 9 164 177 158 146 158 157 461 0.00
112 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 14 3 65 78 21 13 25 15 53 0.00
113 Immaculata AEC 14 6 120 164 64 119 137 61 317 0.00
114 John Carroll OAC 9 8 92 74 115 65 40 92 197 0.00
115 JohnsonWales GNAC South 7 9 165 181 161 156 133 163 452 0.00
116 Juniata Landmark 3 14 187 146 231 205 148 231 584 0.00
117 Kalamazoo MIAA 6 7 138 131 119 100 135 119 354 0.00
118 Kean CLC 14 5 41 43 19 21 45 22 88 0.00
119 Keene State LEC 8 10 101 85 173 115 95 174 384 0.00
120 Kenyon NCAC 10 6 50 54 65 34 35 47 116 0.00
121 Keuka Empire 8 3 12 193 152 216 186 178 214 578 0.00
122 Kings MAC-Freedom 2 13 177 126 225 190 156 230 576 0.00
123 La Roche AMCC 1 13 235 235 219 235 234 220 689 0.00
124 LaGrange USA South 2 8 205 210 144 197 208 143 548 0.00
125 Lake Forest NACC 10 8 129 167 123 121 108 124 353 0.00
126 Lasell GNAC South 14 5 122 174 48 62 59 48 169 0.00
127 Lawrence NACC 4 11 184 190 197 192 173 197 562 0.00
128 Leb Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 132 101 174 150 157 176 483 0.00
129 Lycoming Landmark 6 9 163 144 166 157 174 168 499 0.00
130 Lynchburg ODAC 14 7 21 40 39 23 12 23 58 0.00
131 Maine Mar NAC 10 6 124 166 75 97 140 78 315 0.00
132 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 12 161 125 209 137 84 209 430 0.00
133 Marian (WI) NACC 2 12 213 195 220 218 220 221 659 0.00
134 Marietta OAC 8 8 142 175 136 147 179 135 461 0.00
135 Maritime Skyline 8 8 88 104 124 106 90 136 332 0.00
136 Mary Wash CLC 9 8 46 37 96 53 53 97 203 0.00
137 Marymount AEC 11 6 126 160 76 124 171 75 370 0.00
138 Marywood AEC 9 9 151 163 154 144 119 155 418 0.00
139 Mass Maritime LEC 9 7 107 130 107 110 147 110 367 0.00
140 Mass Boston LEC 14 5 79 107 49 40 67 49 156 0.00
141 McDaniel Centennial 4 13 113 61 205 148 109 205 462 0.00
142 MCLA NAC 2 9 227 230 176 219 222 177 618 0.00
143 Mer Marine Skyline 10 6 74 115 79 73 79 79 231 0.00
144 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 6 11 86 47 181 127 88 185 400 0.00
145 Methodist USA South 12 7 149 193 93 108 118 98 324 0.00
146 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 9 99 81 145 118 93 158 369 0.00
147 MIT NEWMAC 7 8 39 24 102 79 65 120 264 0.00
148 Mitchell GNAC South 0 6 236 206 125 226 211 125 562 0.00
149 Montclair St CLC 8 8 73 53 103 71 56 101 228 0.00
150 Moravian Landmark 9 7 108 105 108 117 139 111 367 0.00
151 Morrisville NAC 2 10 172 141 186 194 194 186 574 0.00
152 Mt St Mary Skyline 5 9 197 198 169 183 204 170 557 0.00
153 Mt St Vin Skyline 5 10 198 202 184 187 187 184 558 0.00
154 Mt Union OAC 12 5 118 172 51 90 130 53 273 0.00
155 MSOE NACC 10 7 158 184 104 133 138 93 364 0.00
156 Muhlenberg Centennial 10 9 36 21 80 44 20 87 151 0.00
157 Muskingum OAC 5 12 173 151 210 166 144 210 520 0.00
158 Nazareth Empire 8 13 6 40 45 40 35 27 37 99 0.00
159 Neumann AEC 4 13 170 150 226 184 152 225 561 0.00
160 NewEngCol GNAC North 7 9 167 183 162 152 155 164 471 0.00
161 New Paltz SUNYAC 6 11 159 114 188 153 131 189 473 0.00
162 Nichols CNE 3 14 157 80 232 176 123 232 531 0.00
163 No Central CCIW 7 6 100 100 94 60 89 62 211 0.00
164 Northland D3 Independent 0 7 220 201 126 231 207 126 564 0.00
165 Norwich GNAC North 4 11 162 156 198 165 136 198 499 0.00
166 Oberlin NCAC 11 5 49 71 57 27 43 29 99 0.00
167 Oglethorpe SAA 3 12 218 187 201 215 221 202 638 0.00
168 Ohio No OAC 16 5 57 97 31 24 28 27 79 0.00
169 Ohio Wes NCAC 15 4 30 42 26 10 19 18 47 0.00
170 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 10 90 66 148 111 85 159 355 0.00
171 Oswego SUNYAC 10 5 98 110 52 95 153 54 302 0.00
172 Otterbein OAC 9 7 111 113 109 85 81 112 278 0.00
173 Penn Col United East 14 5 97 171 50 105 162 50 317 0.00
174 Pfeiffer USA South 14 4 96 173 33 70 104 35 209 0.00
175 Piedmont USA South 10 5 139 191 61 109 166 58 333 0.00
176 Pitt-Brad AMCC 5 8 225 234 153 230 232 150 612 0.00
177 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 6 8 150 132 137 163 183 137 483 0.00
178 Plymouth St LEC 11 5 93 129 58 66 98 56 220 0.00
179 Potsdam SUNYAC 8 7 95 89 86 131 145 88 364 0.00
180 Purchase Skyline 3 12 230 222 217 227 210 216 653 0.00
181 Randolph ODAC 1 16 219 162 237 224 181 237 642 0.00
182 Ran-Macon ODAC 12 8 61 70 112 87 64 102 253 0.00
183 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 10 191 189 190 191 184 191 566 0.00
184 Rhodes SAA 14 5 66 92 34 31 48 38 117 0.00
185 Rivier GNAC North 17 2 91 138 11 26 75 12 113 0.00
186 Roanoke ODAC 13 6 38 62 41 48 38 39 125 0.00
187 Rog Williams CNE 9 8 76 76 130 99 78 130 307 0.00
188 Rosemont United East 5 8 207 218 127 188 224 127 539 0.00
189 Sage Empire 8 5 12 166 140 211 173 146 206 525 0.00
190 Salem State LEC 8 8 185 196 138 164 188 138 490 0.00
191 Salve Regina NEWMAC 12 6 62 55 70 59 102 70 231 0.00
192 Scranton Landmark 12 9 44 44 87 45 34 71 150 0.00
193 Sewanee SAA 11 7 84 106 97 81 99 103 283 0.00
194 Shenandoah ODAC 8 11 130 91 189 142 82 187 411 0.00
195 Skidmore Liberty League 8 7 33 22 62 55 63 72 190 0.00
196 So Maine LEC 1 14 196 153 234 203 163 234 600 0.00
197 So Virginia USA South 9 9 168 154 163 135 176 165 476 0.00
198 Southwestern HCLC South 7 7 104 134 116 130 167 116 413 0.00
199 Spalding HCLC North 0 12 228 216 223 232 218 224 674 0.00
200 Springfield NEWMAC 10 7 37 23 53 41 47 89 177 0.00
201 St Joseph-CT GNAC South 9 8 127 159 131 123 114 131 368 0.00
202 St JosephsLI Skyline 3 9 217 209 175 214 217 175 606 0.00
203 St JosephsME NAC North 7 9 160 170 164 160 164 166 490 0.00
204 St Marys MD United East 10 8 45 56 77 51 24 63 138 0.00
205 St Vincent PAC 9 8 123 137 132 125 120 132 377 0.00
206 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 14 6 25 28 24 19 10 14 43 0.00
207 Stockton CLC 9 10 51 29 98 56 31 113 200 0.00
208 SUNY Poly NAC 5 10 175 142 185 172 177 181 530 0.00
209 Susquehanna Landmark 13 6 72 102 68 74 128 65 267 0.00
210 Thiel PAC 1 14 232 194 235 225 195 235 655 0.00
211 Thomas NAC 4 11 189 213 187 208 209 188 605 0.00
212 Transylvania HCLC North 8 6 103 127 91 75 69 80 224 0.00
213 Trine MIAA 12 6 102 157 71 89 149 73 311 0.00
214 Trinity NESCAC 9 8 18 11 42 38 23 66 127 0.00
215 U New Eng CNE 8 9 135 120 159 134 92 160 386 0.00
216 Ursinus Centennial 5 10 68 25 149 83 32 139 254 0.00
217 Utica Empire 8 6 10 145 111 177 167 165 178 510 0.00
218 Vassar Liberty League 6 9 54 27 120 96 111 140 347 0.00
219 Va Wesleyan ODAC 7 11 148 121 191 155 121 190 466 0.00
220 Wabash NCAC 8 8 112 117 139 103 83 108 294 0.00
221 War Wilson D3 Independent 1 13 233 232 182 234 233 182 649 0.00
222 WashJeff PAC 5 12 208 204 212 200 180 211 591 0.00
223 WashLee ODAC 17 4 23 39 12 17 18 6 41 0.00
224 Wash College Centennial 7 10 48 30 140 78 49 133 260 0.00
225 Wentworth CNE 13 4 70 88 35 67 110 40 217 0.00
226 We Conn LEC 13 7 64 72 88 57 73 94 224 0.00
227 WNE CNE 8 9 67 50 133 104 68 141 313 0.00
228 Westminster PAC 10 8 121 148 128 128 141 128 397 0.00
229 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 8 81 59 141 88 96 144 328 0.00
230 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 14 110 52 229 151 101 226 478 0.00
231 Wilkes Landmark 4 13 183 147 227 185 172 227 584 0.00
232 Wil Peace USA South 6 8 203 217 150 177 199 147 523 0.00
233 Wilmington OAC 4 13 210 197 228 195 170 228 593 0.00
234 Wittenberg NCAC 5 9 128 90 170 132 117 152 401 0.00
235 Wooster NCAC 9 8 77 67 134 72 60 90 222 0.00
236 York MAC-Commonwlth 17 4 16 31 14 14 14 11 39 0.00
237 Lyndon NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00