List of Probabilities for MEN D3
MEN D3 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Tufts NESCAC 16 0 1 2 1 4 10 2 16 45.50
2 Bowdoin NESCAC 13 2 3 8 3 8 42 11 61 15.50
3 Salisbury CLC 17 0 2 18 2 1 6 1 8 14.50
4 RIT Liberty League 16 1 5 13 4 3 3 3 9 9.50
5 Wesleyan NESCAC 11 4 4 5 7 12 19 22 53 7.00
6 Amherst NESCAC 10 5 8 4 9 18 18 23 59 2.50
7 Middlebury NESCAC 9 7 9 3 22 29 17 54 100 2.00
8 Bates NESCAC 9 7 17 12 24 53 47 66 166 0.00
9 Chris Newport CLC 15 2 6 17 5 2 2 4 8 0.00
10 Cortland SUNYAC 15 2 11 42 8 15 22 6 43 0.00
11 Gettysburg Centennial 12 3 10 16 10 6 4 10 20 0.00
12 Hamilton NESCAC 7 8 18 9 32 56 25 74 155 0.00
13 RPI Liberty League 14 2 7 14 6 7 31 7 45 0.00
14 Swarthmore Centennial 12 4 13 34 33 27 59 27 113 0.00
15 Adrian MIAA 11 6 87 94 72 37 29 59 125 0.00
16 Alb Magnus GNAC South 5 10 215 220 185 205 204 184 593 0.00
17 Albion MIAA 9 8 88 77 137 42 26 110 178 0.00
18 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 1 16 141 81 236 185 119 236 540 0.00
19 Alfred Empire 8 6 8 131 131 152 145 175 150 470 0.00
20 Alfred State AMCC 7 6 210 232 104 207 230 111 548 0.00
21 Allegheny PAC 8 9 152 179 159 149 144 160 453 0.00
22 Alma MIAA 6 7 186 192 126 158 191 126 475 0.00
23 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 7 9 153 139 155 170 181 151 502 0.00
24 Anderson-IN HCLC North 3 11 212 221 200 220 217 200 637 0.00
25 Anna Maria GNAC North 4 11 211 211 193 198 190 193 581 0.00
26 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 12 5 69 87 48 91 114 60 265 0.00
27 Augustana CCIW 0 3 221 213 54 235 234 50 519 0.00
28 Aurora NACC 12 5 107 154 63 81 76 46 203 0.00
29 Averett ODAC 4 13 201 142 225 178 128 223 529 0.00
30 Babson NEWMAC 11 5 28 28 26 35 66 41 142 0.00
31 Bald Wallace OAC 13 4 58 86 37 24 57 31 112 0.00
32 Beloit NACC 4 11 203 205 194 201 196 194 591 0.00
33 Benedictine NACC 6 12 171 184 203 174 142 201 517 0.00
34 Berry SAA 4 9 138 101 172 151 132 172 455 0.00
35 Bethany PAC 7 10 192 208 163 180 225 164 569 0.00
36 Brevard USA South 2 13 226 223 220 216 226 219 661 0.00
37 Bridgewater ODAC 5 12 144 95 207 163 102 204 469 0.00
38 Brockport SUNYAC 8 8 112 80 130 116 96 130 342 0.00
39 Bryn Athyn United East 3 6 224 230 124 226 231 125 582 0.00
40 Cairn United East 0 12 229 212 222 233 216 224 673 0.00
41 Calvin MIAA 6 10 117 103 181 110 70 176 356 0.00
42 Canton NAC 1 11 181 122 201 213 192 202 607 0.00
43 Capital OAC 6 10 120 116 182 135 88 180 403 0.00
44 Carroll CCIW 5 8 188 168 156 156 153 131 440 0.00
45 Carthage CCIW 11 4 82 136 49 51 75 32 158 0.00
46 Castleton LEC 3 12 178 152 216 208 186 215 609 0.00
47 Catholic Landmark 8 9 78 66 138 118 83 137 338 0.00
48 CentenaryLA HCLC South 6 6 195 225 87 206 228 88 522 0.00
49 CentenaryNJ AEC 0 11 231 207 208 228 211 207 646 0.00
50 Centre SAA 9 6 71 92 92 54 39 72 165 0.00
51 Chatham PAC 12 5 95 146 64 94 154 61 309 0.00
52 Clark NEWMAC 9 6 89 68 93 82 110 94 286 0.00
53 Clarkson Liberty League 8 8 34 33 109 67 67 114 248 0.00
54 Coast Guard NEWMAC 9 5 54 54 73 77 107 73 257 0.00
55 Cobleskill NAC 2 7 222 231 149 222 227 144 593 0.00
56 Colby NESCAC 3 10 42 6 110 102 58 161 321 0.00
57 Colorado Col HCLC South 8 6 56 45 100 21 20 76 117 0.00
58 Con-Wisc NACC 11 7 140 182 111 125 120 95 340 0.00
59 Conn Col NESCAC 7 8 30 11 55 65 64 112 241 0.00
60 Cornell Col NACC 5 11 194 198 195 203 212 195 610 0.00
61 Curry CNE 2 14 156 89 233 171 86 233 490 0.00
62 Dean Col GNAC South 12 4 134 203 46 127 193 47 367 0.00
63 Del Val MAC-Freedom 4 12 204 186 204 212 199 212 623 0.00
64 Delhi NAC 10 4 155 217 56 143 209 51 403 0.00
65 Denison NCAC 12 5 24 35 27 9 1 16 26 0.00
66 DePauw NCAC 5 9 132 88 168 113 61 152 326 0.00
67 DeSales MAC-Freedom 8 9 86 65 141 117 121 153 391 0.00
68 Dickinson Centennial 11 5 21 19 28 17 11 28 56 0.00
69 Drew Landmark 10 6 105 118 88 111 133 89 333 0.00
70 Dubuque NACC 11 6 146 165 82 97 103 84 284 0.00
71 Earlham HCLC North 6 8 216 228 127 211 229 127 567 0.00
72 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 9 8 62 37 89 76 37 103 216 0.00
73 Ea Conn LEC 6 7 147 126 128 138 156 128 422 0.00
74 Edgewood NACC 5 11 179 176 196 179 203 196 578 0.00
75 Elizab'town Landmark 10 6 47 64 74 79 104 81 264 0.00
76 Elmhurst CCIW 12 2 43 73 20 5 32 14 51 0.00
77 Elmira Empire 8 0 7 234 224 113 227 205 116 548 0.00
78 Emerson NEWMAC 2 12 104 53 217 166 113 220 499 0.00
79 Emmanuel(MA) GNAC North 10 7 135 153 114 92 78 117 287 0.00
80 Endicott CNE 13 3 23 48 19 33 69 21 123 0.00
81 Farm'dale St Skyline 14 3 53 149 12 32 165 12 209 0.00
82 FDU-Florham MAC-Freedom 10 6 143 166 78 140 166 90 396 0.00
83 Franciscan PAC 5 9 180 189 169 184 188 170 542 0.00
84 FrankMarsh Centennial 11 5 35 31 38 26 30 33 89 0.00
85 Geneseo SUNYAC 10 6 59 59 65 57 51 55 163 0.00
86 Gordon CNE 1 11 177 105 205 217 202 205 624 0.00
87 Goucher Landmark 9 8 126 124 139 141 161 138 440 0.00
88 Greensboro USA South 6 12 190 200 209 193 194 208 595 0.00
89 Grove City PAC 11 7 32 62 61 36 14 42 92 0.00
90 Guilford ODAC 5 13 154 117 223 159 72 221 452 0.00
91 Gwynedd Mer ` AEC 6 10 174 175 183 199 200 181 580 0.00
92 Hampden-Syd ODAC 12 5 60 67 57 44 21 35 100 0.00
93 Hanover HCLC North 10 3 168 226 34 144 213 36 393 0.00
94 Hartford CNE 9 6 68 74 94 90 115 96 301 0.00
95 Hartwick Empire 8 8 6 118 91 101 101 112 104 317 0.00
96 Haverford Centennial 9 7 49 38 95 68 56 97 221 0.00
97 Heidelberg OAC 4 12 200 180 213 181 137 213 531 0.00
98 Hendrix SAA 4 11 182 134 197 169 117 197 483 0.00
99 Hilbert AMCC 4 7 223 236 120 232 236 121 589 0.00
100 Hiram NCAC 3 14 214 157 230 195 147 227 569 0.00
101 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 9 5 116 93 66 109 162 56 327 0.00
102 Hope MIAA 11 4 79 99 50 28 53 37 118 0.00
103 Huntingdon USA South 4 10 206 219 173 209 222 173 604 0.00
104 Husson NAC 8 6 199 227 102 177 219 105 501 0.00
105 Ill Tech NACC 8 9 164 173 160 146 146 162 454 0.00
106 Ill Wesleyan CCIW 12 2 64 83 21 14 62 17 93 0.00
107 Immaculata AEC 13 5 122 172 62 124 169 57 350 0.00
108 Ithaca Liberty League 9 8 27 23 90 52 33 98 183 0.00
109 John Carroll OAC 9 7 91 72 105 60 28 75 163 0.00
110 JohnsonWales GNAC South 7 9 165 177 164 155 122 165 442 0.00
111 Juniata Landmark 3 14 187 144 231 204 150 231 585 0.00
112 Kalamazoo MIAA 6 7 139 128 129 100 123 129 352 0.00
113 Kean CLC 14 4 41 41 17 19 36 18 73 0.00
114 Keene State LEC 7 9 100 84 161 115 98 166 379 0.00
115 Kenyon NCAC 10 6 50 50 79 30 24 62 116 0.00
116 Keuka Empire 8 3 12 193 151 218 189 173 216 578 0.00
117 Kings MAC-Freedom 2 13 176 123 226 190 148 230 568 0.00
118 La Roche AMCC 1 12 235 235 206 236 235 206 677 0.00
119 LaGrange USA South 2 8 205 209 150 194 207 145 546 0.00
120 Lake Forest NACC 10 7 127 169 115 114 108 118 340 0.00
121 Lasell GNAC South 13 4 124 178 39 73 89 43 205 0.00
122 Lawrence NACC 4 11 185 190 198 192 164 198 554 0.00
123 Leb Valley MAC-Freedom 7 10 133 97 174 148 143 178 469 0.00
124 Lycoming Landmark 6 9 163 141 167 161 171 169 501 0.00
125 Lynchburg ODAC 12 5 22 51 29 23 7 19 49 0.00
126 Maine Mar NAC 8 5 115 163 75 131 182 77 390 0.00
127 Manhattanv'e Skyline 5 11 157 130 192 137 80 192 409 0.00
128 Marian (WI) NACC 2 12 213 194 221 218 218 222 658 0.00
129 Marietta OAC 8 8 142 174 142 147 174 141 462 0.00
130 Maritime Skyline 8 7 84 102 116 98 82 122 302 0.00
131 Mary Wash CLC 9 8 45 36 112 50 38 106 194 0.00
132 Marymount AEC 11 5 125 160 69 121 178 67 366 0.00
133 Marywood AEC 9 9 151 162 157 142 100 159 401 0.00
134 Mass Maritime LEC 9 6 102 125 96 103 140 99 342 0.00
135 Mass Boston LEC 13 4 74 108 40 41 77 44 162 0.00
136 McDaniel Centennial 4 13 114 61 214 150 106 214 470 0.00
137 MCLA NAC 2 9 227 229 179 219 223 179 621 0.00
138 Mer Marine Skyline 9 5 77 121 76 75 90 70 235 0.00
139 Messiah MAC-Commonwlth 6 11 83 40 176 119 68 185 372 0.00
140 Methodist USA South 11 6 149 199 83 120 157 85 362 0.00
141 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 8 8 99 90 131 112 91 139 342 0.00
142 MIT NEWMAC 7 7 38 24 84 71 55 107 233 0.00
143 Mitchell GNAC South 0 6 236 206 132 223 210 132 565 0.00
144 Montclair St CLC 8 8 75 49 117 64 48 108 220 0.00
145 Moravian Landmark 9 6 111 106 97 108 130 100 338 0.00
146 Morrisville NAC 2 10 172 138 188 196 195 188 579 0.00
147 Mt St Mary Skyline 5 9 197 197 170 182 201 171 554 0.00
148 Mt St Vin Skyline 5 10 198 202 186 187 184 186 557 0.00
149 Mt Union OAC 12 5 119 170 67 89 125 63 277 0.00
150 MSOE NACC 10 7 159 183 118 132 129 109 370 0.00
151 Muhlenberg Centennial 9 8 36 22 85 49 16 82 147 0.00
152 Muskingum OAC 5 12 173 148 210 167 131 209 507 0.00
153 Nazareth Empire 8 12 5 40 46 36 34 41 38 113 0.00
154 Neumann AEC 4 13 170 145 227 183 138 225 546 0.00
155 NewEngCol GNAC North 7 9 169 181 165 154 151 167 472 0.00
156 New Paltz SUNYAC 6 11 160 111 189 152 134 189 475 0.00
157 Nichols CNE 3 14 161 79 232 175 116 232 523 0.00
158 No Central CCIW 7 5 101 100 80 59 92 64 215 0.00
159 Northland D3 Independent 0 7 220 201 133 229 206 133 568 0.00
160 Norwich GNAC North 4 11 162 150 199 162 124 199 485 0.00
161 Oberlin NCAC 11 4 52 76 51 22 45 25 92 0.00
162 Oglethorpe SAA 3 12 217 187 202 215 221 203 639 0.00
163 Ohio No OAC 13 4 61 113 41 38 60 34 132 0.00
164 Ohio Wes NCAC 13 3 26 43 18 10 15 15 40 0.00
165 Oneonta SUNYAC 8 9 92 69 143 129 127 158 414 0.00
166 Oswego SUNYAC 10 4 96 109 47 88 145 48 281 0.00
167 Otterbein OAC 9 6 109 119 98 83 94 101 278 0.00
168 Penn Col United East 13 4 98 171 42 104 163 39 306 0.00
169 Pfeiffer USA South 12 3 94 185 31 74 135 29 238 0.00
170 Piedmont USA South 10 4 136 191 58 105 177 52 334 0.00
171 Pitt-Brad AMCC 5 7 225 234 134 230 233 134 597 0.00
172 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 6 8 150 129 144 165 183 142 490 0.00
173 Plymouth St LEC 10 4 93 127 59 66 126 53 245 0.00
174 Potsdam SUNYAC 8 6 97 98 86 136 170 86 392 0.00
175 Purchase Skyline 3 12 230 222 219 224 208 217 649 0.00
176 Randolph ODAC 1 16 219 158 237 221 179 237 637 0.00
177 Ran-Macon ODAC 11 7 63 78 106 96 81 102 279 0.00
178 Regis (MA) GNAC North 2 10 191 188 190 191 189 191 571 0.00
179 Rhodes SAA 11 4 66 110 52 46 73 49 168 0.00
180 Rivier GNAC North 14 1 90 161 13 39 149 13 201 0.00
181 Roanoke ODAC 12 5 39 63 43 47 34 40 121 0.00
182 Rog Williams CNE 9 8 73 70 140 99 65 135 299 0.00
183 Rosemont United East 5 8 207 218 135 188 224 136 548 0.00
184 Sage Empire 8 5 12 167 135 211 173 136 210 519 0.00
185 Salem State LEC 8 8 184 195 145 164 187 143 494 0.00
186 Salve Regina NEWMAC 11 5 57 58 70 58 93 68 219 0.00
187 Scranton Landmark 9 8 44 39 99 62 43 91 196 0.00
188 Sewanee SAA 10 6 85 112 91 87 109 92 288 0.00
189 Shenandoah ODAC 8 10 130 96 177 139 87 174 400 0.00
190 Skidmore Liberty League 8 6 31 21 60 45 63 58 166 0.00
191 So Maine LEC 1 14 196 147 234 202 158 234 594 0.00
192 So Virginia USA South 9 8 166 155 151 133 185 146 464 0.00
193 Southwestern HCLC South 7 6 108 133 107 128 176 113 417 0.00
194 Spalding HCLC North 0 12 228 215 224 231 215 226 672 0.00
195 Springfield NEWMAC 9 6 37 20 53 40 49 83 172 0.00
196 St John Fish Empire 8 13 4 33 57 23 25 35 26 86 0.00
197 St Joseph-CT GNAC South 9 7 129 159 121 130 141 123 394 0.00
198 St JosephsLI Skyline 3 9 218 210 178 214 214 177 605 0.00
199 St JosephsME NAC North 7 9 158 167 166 160 167 168 495 0.00
200 St Lawrence Liberty League 10 5 20 15 30 16 12 30 58 0.00
201 St Marys MD United East 8 7 46 60 103 84 50 93 227 0.00
202 St Vincent PAC 9 7 123 140 122 122 139 124 385 0.00
203 Stevens MAC-Freedom 13 3 12 52 15 31 85 20 136 0.00
204 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 13 4 15 29 16 13 8 9 30 0.00
205 Stockton CLC 9 9 51 30 108 55 44 119 218 0.00
206 SUNY Poly NAC 5 10 175 137 187 172 168 187 527 0.00
207 Susquehanna Landmark 12 5 76 104 68 72 118 65 255 0.00
208 Thiel PAC 1 14 232 193 235 225 197 235 657 0.00
209 Thomas NAC 4 10 189 214 175 210 220 175 605 0.00
210 Transylvania HCLC North 8 5 103 132 77 69 74 71 214 0.00
211 Trine MIAA 11 5 106 164 71 93 159 69 321 0.00
212 Trinity NESCAC 8 7 16 10 35 48 46 78 172 0.00
213 U New Eng CNE 8 9 137 115 162 134 79 163 376 0.00
214 Union Liberty League 4 10 29 7 125 80 23 154 257 0.00
215 Ursinus Centennial 5 10 72 26 158 85 27 155 267 0.00
216 Utica Empire 8 6 10 145 107 180 168 155 182 505 0.00
217 Vassar Liberty League 6 9 55 25 136 95 99 140 334 0.00
218 Va Wesleyan ODAC 7 11 148 120 191 153 111 190 454 0.00
219 Wabash NCAC 8 8 113 114 146 106 71 115 292 0.00
220 War Wilson D3 Independent 1 13 233 233 184 234 232 183 649 0.00
221 WashJeff PAC 5 12 208 204 212 200 180 211 591 0.00
222 WashLee ODAC 14 3 25 47 14 20 13 5 38 0.00
223 Wash College Centennial 7 10 48 27 153 78 40 147 265 0.00
224 Wentworth CNE 13 4 70 82 44 63 84 45 192 0.00
225 We Conn LEC 11 6 65 75 81 70 105 87 262 0.00
226 WNE CNE 8 9 67 44 147 107 54 148 309 0.00
227 Westminster PAC 10 7 121 156 119 123 152 120 395 0.00
228 Wheaton NEWMAC 7 8 81 56 148 86 95 149 330 0.00
229 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 4 13 110 55 215 157 101 218 476 0.00
230 Wilkes Landmark 4 13 183 143 228 186 172 228 586 0.00
231 Wil Peace USA South 6 8 202 216 154 176 198 156 530 0.00
232 Williams NESCAC 7 9 14 1 45 43 5 79 127 0.00
233 Wilmington OAC 4 13 209 196 229 197 160 229 586 0.00
234 Wittenberg NCAC 5 9 128 85 171 126 97 157 380 0.00
235 Wooster NCAC 9 7 80 71 123 61 52 80 193 0.00
236 York MAC-Commonwlth 14 3 19 32 11 11 9 8 28 0.00
237 Lyndon NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.00