List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Notre Dame ACC 9 1 1 4 1 2 15 1 18 15.00
2 Syracuse ACC 11 4 4 5 5 5 1 5 11 11.50
3 Virginia ACC 10 3 3 9 6 6 10 6 22 10.50
4 Duke ACC 11 3 2 7 4 1 2 4 7 8.00
5 Yale Ivy 11 2 7 19 8 10 17 7 34 8.00
6 Johns Hopkins B1G 10 3 6 2 2 3 3 2 8 5.50
7 Maryland B1G 8 4 10 1 7 7 6 8 21 5.00
8 Penn State B1G 9 3 5 8 10 9 12 9 30 5.00
9 Army West Point Patriot 10 2 13 29 12 13 38 13 64 3.00
10 Delaware CAA 8 3 17 43 16 30 57 15 102 3.00
11 Georgetown Big East 9 3 11 18 11 11 20 11 42 3.00
12 Ohio State B1G 6 8 15 12 29 17 5 28 50 3.00
13 Cornell Ivy 8 4 8 3 9 8 4 10 22 2.50
14 Denver Big East 10 2 9 13 3 4 7 3 14 2.50
15 Princeton Ivy 8 4 12 17 18 15 29 16 60 2.00
16 Colgate Patriot 8 5 23 21 21 18 16 22 56 1.50
17 Michigan B1G 7 6 18 10 19 14 8 20 42 1.50
18 Richmond Atlantic 10 9 4 19 31 14 23 37 14 74 1.50
19 Albany America East 6 7 33 35 43 39 36 40 115 0.00
20 Loyola (MD) Patriot 7 6 26 14 27 19 13 29 61 0.00
21 Providence Big East 6 7 31 26 40 33 24 39 96 0.00
22 Villanova Big East 8 5 21 22 26 21 28 25 74 0.00
23 Boston Universit Patriot 7 6 25 25 36 25 21 33 79 0.00
24 Harvard Ivy 7 5 24 16 22 20 22 19 61 0.00
25 Lehigh Patriot 7 6 30 24 38 29 23 37 89 0.00
26 Navy Patriot 7 6 28 23 35 26 14 36 76 0.00
27 North Carolina ACC 6 7 22 20 28 27 11 27 65 0.00
28 Penn Ivy 8 5 16 6 17 12 9 18 39 0.00
29 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 9 3 20 30 15 16 33 17 66 0.00
30 Towson CAA 10 3 14 39 13 22 31 12 65 0.00
31 Air Force ASUN 8 5 42 57 32 36 47 32 115 0.00
32 Bellarmine ASUN 9 6 55 73 37 55 62 38 155 0.00
33 Binghamton America East 6 6 58 62 47 56 66 48 170 0.00
34 Brown Ivy 3 9 36 11 52 38 19 50 107 0.00
35 Bryant America East 8 4 27 47 34 31 51 34 116 0.00
36 Bucknell Patriot 4 9 52 37 64 57 40 62 159 0.00
37 Canisius MAAC 5 10 67 70 67 64 54 67 185 0.00
38 Cleveland State ASUN 7 7 62 60 45 50 44 45 139 0.00
39 Dartmouth Ivy 3 9 50 27 60 60 50 59 169 0.00
40 Detroit Mercy ASUN 3 9 68 63 66 69 70 66 205 0.00
41 Drexel CAA 5 8 46 32 51 42 27 52 121 0.00
42 Fairfield CAA 7 6 44 41 41 43 45 46 134 0.00
43 Hampton CAA 0 12 76 52 74 76 71 74 221 0.00
44 High Point Atlantic 10 8 6 34 46 31 35 25 31 91 0.00
45 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 9 49 28 57 52 34 55 141 0.00
46 Hofstra CAA 5 9 51 45 61 58 43 63 164 0.00
47 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 2 10 64 33 69 66 46 68 180 0.00
48 Jacksonville ASUN 10 4 39 61 23 32 41 23 96 0.00
49 Lafayette Patriot 6 6 43 44 44 46 53 41 140 0.00
50 Le Moyne D1 Independent 2 8 65 48 58 68 75 58 201 0.00
51 Lindenwood ASUN 0 11 75 67 72 74 68 72 214 0.00
52 LIU MAAC 10 3 57 74 24 40 72 24 136 0.00
53 Manhattan MAAC 6 8 53 53 53 45 32 53 130 0.00
54 Marist MAAC 8 6 54 65 46 41 49 44 134 0.00
55 Marquette Big East 4 9 47 34 55 53 30 56 139 0.00
56 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 6 6 35 42 42 47 52 42 141 0.00
57 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 11 74 51 73 73 67 73 213 0.00
58 Mercer ASUN 3 10 71 64 68 67 58 69 194 0.00
59 Merrimack America East 5 8 61 49 63 51 55 61 167 0.00
60 Monmouth CAA 5 7 48 56 49 59 56 54 169 0.00
61 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 14 70 58 75 71 48 75 194 0.00
62 NJIT America East 7 6 59 68 48 61 73 47 181 0.00
63 Queens ASUN 2 10 72 76 71 75 76 71 222 0.00
64 Quinnipiac MAAC 9 4 40 69 33 34 60 35 129 0.00
65 Robert Morris ASUN 5 8 66 66 56 65 65 57 187 0.00
66 Rutgers B1G 7 6 29 15 25 24 18 26 68 0.00
67 Sacred Heart MAAC 11 4 37 71 30 37 61 30 128 0.00
68 Siena MAAC 7 7 56 72 54 62 64 51 177 0.00
69 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 1 10 69 55 70 70 69 70 209 0.00
70 St Johns (NY) Big East 4 10 60 36 65 49 26 65 140 0.00
71 Stony Brook CAA 4 9 38 38 62 54 35 64 153 0.00
72 UMBC America East 5 5 45 54 39 48 74 43 165 0.00
73 Utah ASUN 9 4 32 50 20 28 39 21 88 0.00
74 Vermont America East 6 7 41 40 50 44 42 49 135 0.00
75 VMI MAAC 7 8 63 75 59 63 63 60 186 0.00
76 Wagner MAAC 1 14 73 59 76 72 59 76 207 0.00