List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke ACC 6 0 1 28 3 6 19 8 33 24.44
2 Notre Dame ACC 5 0 2 17 1 2 12 4 18 17.78
3 Harvard Ivy 5 0 6 22 6 10 38 2 50 14.44
4 North Carolina ACC 6 1 5 25 8 14 27 5 46 13.33
5 Syracuse ACC 6 2 4 5 7 4 4 3 11 5.56
6 Ohio State B1G 7 1 14 41 5 17 41 6 64 4.44
7 Penn State B1G 4 2 7 10 22 12 10 15 37 4.44
8 Richmond Atlantic 10 6 0 3 26 4 5 20 1 26 4.44
9 Army West Point Patriot 6 1 15 37 13 3 7 12 22 3.33
10 Boston Universit Patriot 4 2 18 15 24 9 9 10 28 2.22
11 Cornell Ivy 3 2 13 8 14 19 14 19 52 1.11
12 Johns Hopkins B1G 4 2 17 7 11 7 11 13 31 1.11
13 Michigan B1G 2 4 34 24 45 44 28 38 110 1.11
14 Princeton Ivy 4 1 8 1 2 1 3 7 11 1.11
15 Utah ASUN 5 2 9 36 19 25 45 17 87 1.11
16 Air Force ASUN 1 6 48 9 59 34 6 56 96 0.00
17 Albany America East 2 4 31 11 42 51 42 58 151 0.00
18 Bellarmine ASUN 4 5 54 45 43 29 18 42 89 0.00
19 Binghamton America East 1 5 64 66 71 64 53 70 187 0.00
20 Brown Ivy 3 2 30 27 27 21 15 32 68 0.00
21 Bryant America East 2 3 61 60 49 68 74 49 191 0.00
22 Bucknell Patriot 5 2 42 65 31 39 58 18 115 0.00
23 Canisius MAAC 2 5 69 75 68 75 75 67 217 0.00
24 Cleveland State NEC 2 4 60 47 53 53 44 47 144 0.00
25 Colgate Patriot 1 5 35 16 60 54 31 54 139 0.00
26 Dartmouth Ivy 4 2 22 30 25 23 26 26 75 0.00
27 Delaware Atlantic 10 1 5 55 13 55 63 52 71 186 0.00
28 Denver Big East 4 2 16 21 15 24 30 20 74 0.00
29 Detroit Mercy NEC 1 5 68 50 66 73 64 64 201 0.00
30 Drexel CAA 4 3 32 43 40 47 55 45 147 0.00
31 Fairfield CAA 3 4 37 40 56 32 23 52 107 0.00
32 Georgetown Big East 2 3 10 2 20 15 2 27 44 0.00
33 Hampton CAA 0 5 77 76 74 77 77 74 228 0.00
34 High Point Atlantic 10 1 5 53 20 57 52 21 57 130 0.00
35 Hobart Atlantic 10 2 5 50 51 67 70 68 66 204 0.00
36 Hofstra CAA 2 4 56 58 61 61 63 61 185 0.00
37 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 4 3 44 48 37 43 47 43 133 0.00
38 Iona MAAC 0 9 75 42 77 69 46 77 192 0.00
39 Jacksonville ASUN 3 4 20 32 38 40 35 37 112 0.00
40 Lafayette Patriot 5 2 41 54 28 41 59 29 129 0.00
41 Le Moyne NEC 1 7 71 64 76 74 72 76 222 0.00
42 Lehigh Patriot 2 4 39 35 50 49 39 46 134 0.00
43 LIU NEC 5 1 46 68 17 26 54 21 101 0.00
44 Loyola Patriot 4 2 26 19 29 37 50 28 115 0.00
45 Manhattan MAAC 2 4 70 67 62 60 61 59 180 0.00
46 Marist MAAC 3 2 47 62 34 55 67 34 156 0.00
47 Marquette Big East 3 4 43 29 35 36 25 36 97 0.00
48 Maryland B1G 2 3 11 4 26 20 1 24 45 0.00
49 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 7 1 24 52 10 18 43 11 72 0.00
50 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 3 73 74 51 59 60 50 169 0.00
51 Mercer ASUN 3 4 57 46 44 38 33 53 124 0.00
52 Mercyhurst NEC 2 5 76 77 69 76 76 68 220 0.00
53 Merrimack MAAC 1 6 52 31 75 50 17 75 142 0.00
54 Monmouth CAA 3 3 49 71 46 56 51 48 155 0.00
55 Mount St Marys MAAC 1 5 67 59 72 66 56 72 194 0.00
56 Navy Patriot 5 2 28 39 18 22 32 14 68 0.00
57 NJIT America East 2 4 58 53 63 45 29 62 136 0.00
58 Penn Ivy 3 3 12 6 21 35 36 33 104 0.00
59 Providence Big East 3 4 33 38 52 42 37 51 130 0.00
60 Queens ASUN 3 4 65 73 58 62 73 60 195 0.00
61 Quinnipiac MAAC 1 5 74 55 73 67 57 73 197 0.00
62 Robert Morris NEC 5 3 45 49 32 28 40 30 98 0.00
63 Rutgers B1G 6 2 29 33 12 13 13 16 42 0.00
64 Sacred Heart MAAC 6 0 38 63 9 16 48 9 73 0.00
65 Siena MAAC 5 2 40 56 30 48 65 25 138 0.00
66 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 4 63 70 54 58 71 55 184 0.00
67 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 5 62 61 70 71 70 69 210 0.00
68 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 3 2 19 3 16 8 8 22 38 0.00
69 Stony Brook CAA 3 3 59 57 47 46 49 44 139 0.00
70 Towson CAA 3 3 21 18 41 27 22 31 80 0.00
71 UMBC America East 1 4 51 44 65 72 62 65 199 0.00
72 Vermont America East 2 3 36 34 39 31 16 39 86 0.00
73 Villanova Big East 3 3 23 12 33 30 24 40 94 0.00
74 Virginia ACC 3 3 25 23 36 33 34 35 102 0.00
75 VMI NEC 3 3 66 69 48 57 69 41 167 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 2 4 72 72 64 65 66 63 194 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 3 2 27 14 23 11 5 23 39 0.00