List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Cornell Ivy 14 1 1 13 2 2 6 2 10 38.70
2 Maryland B1G 12 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 3 19.55
3 Notre Dame ACC 8 4 3 8 11 10 12 9 31 8.65
4 Princeton Ivy 12 3 6 4 4 3 2 4 9 7.70
5 Penn St B1G 10 5 5 2 6 5 4 7 16 5.65
6 Syracuse ACC 11 5 7 7 5 6 3 6 15 4.40
7 Ohio St B1G 14 2 8 20 3 4 19 3 26 3.80
8 No. Carolina ACC 10 4 9 10 8 9 15 8 32 3.30
9 Richmond Atlantic 10 13 3 10 28 9 8 22 10 40 2.90
10 Duke ACC 12 5 11 11 7 7 5 5 17 2.30
11 Harvard Ivy 10 4 12 12 12 11 16 12 39 1.45
12 Colgate Patriot 10 7 13 18 17 15 10 17 42 0.00
13 Georgetown Big East 10 5 14 24 18 21 44 23 88 0.00
14 Towson CAA 9 5 31 38 25 24 32 22 78 0.00
15 Air Force ASUN 9 7 40 42 42 31 24 39 94 0.00
16 Albany America East 8 8 33 34 44 40 34 46 120 0.00
17 Army Patriot 12 2 4 26 10 12 29 11 52 0.00
18 Bellarmine ASUN 8 9 61 63 53 59 49 53 161 0.00
19 Binghamton America East 5 8 54 45 56 53 51 56 160 0.00
20 Boston Univ Patriot 11 5 18 22 14 13 20 15 48 0.00
21 Brown Ivy 3 10 38 16 58 38 17 57 112 0.00
22 Bryant America East 9 4 39 49 19 44 73 20 137 0.00
23 Bucknell Patriot 5 9 46 37 57 54 37 58 149 0.00
24 Canisius MAAC 6 10 64 69 65 66 66 65 197 0.00
25 Cleveland St NEC 4 10 70 54 61 60 42 61 163 0.00
26 Dartmouth Ivy 8 5 25 25 20 23 40 21 84 0.00
27 Delaware CAA 7 6 42 44 40 43 48 40 131 0.00
28 Denver Big East 7 7 22 23 36 28 23 35 86 0.00
29 Detroit NEC 5 6 69 73 43 58 69 42 169 0.00
30 Drexel CAA 7 7 49 47 51 49 36 47 132 0.00
31 Fairfield CAA 12 2 26 52 13 17 61 13 91 0.00
32 Hampton CAA 0 15 77 65 77 77 58 77 212 0.00
33 High Point Atlantic 10 7 9 41 30 45 29 21 48 98 0.00
34 Hobart Atlantic 10 5 9 53 36 52 46 25 54 125 0.00
35 Hofstra CAA 8 6 47 53 41 48 50 41 139 0.00
36 Holy Cross Patriot 4 11 56 35 66 62 31 66 159 0.00
37 Iona MAAC 2 13 73 66 75 72 55 75 202 0.00
38 Jacksonville ASUN 9 5 44 48 21 41 53 18 112 0.00
39 Johns Hopkins B1G 6 8 15 3 22 19 18 24 61 0.00
40 Lafayette Patriot 10 6 24 32 30 27 27 26 80 0.00
41 Le Moyne NEC 9 5 62 71 38 47 65 36 148 0.00
42 Lehigh Patriot 5 10 27 14 48 32 8 49 89 0.00
43 LIU NEC 9 4 55 75 26 45 70 28 143 0.00
44 Loyola Patriot 3 11 36 19 59 56 28 62 146 0.00
45 Manhattan MAAC 6 9 60 59 60 63 59 59 181 0.00
46 Marist MAAC 8 8 52 60 54 55 56 55 166 0.00
47 Marquette Big East 7 7 34 31 39 36 43 43 122 0.00
48 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 9 6 37 39 24 35 38 29 102 0.00
49 Mass-Lowell America East 4 9 66 68 64 68 76 63 207 0.00
50 Mercer ASUN 2 11 72 61 70 69 63 71 203 0.00
51 Mercyhurst NEC 2 11 75 76 71 74 68 69 211 0.00
52 Merrimack MAAC 3 10 68 62 68 71 75 68 214 0.00
53 Michigan B1G 7 7 17 17 15 16 13 16 45 0.00
54 Monmouth CAA 5 9 58 57 62 64 47 60 171 0.00
55 Mt St Marys MAAC 4 10 63 72 67 70 74 67 211 0.00
56 Navy Patriot 8 7 29 27 33 34 26 37 97 0.00
57 NJIT America East 1 11 74 50 73 75 72 73 220 0.00
58 Penn Ivy 4 10 23 9 49 33 14 50 97 0.00
59 Providence Big East 7 8 28 29 50 42 33 51 126 0.00
60 Queens ASUN 3 11 71 70 72 73 71 72 216 0.00
61 Quinnipiac MAAC 3 12 67 56 74 67 57 74 198 0.00
62 Robert Morris NEC 9 6 51 64 34 37 41 33 111 0.00
63 Rutgers B1G 7 9 20 15 31 20 9 31 60 0.00
64 Sacred Heart MAAC 12 3 43 67 16 30 62 14 106 0.00
65 Siena MAAC 11 5 32 55 32 25 30 30 85 0.00
66 St Bonnies Atlantic 10 6 10 65 58 63 61 60 64 185 0.00
67 St Johns Big East 4 11 59 43 69 65 52 70 187 0.00
68 St Josephs Atlantic 10 9 6 19 33 37 22 35 32 89 0.00
69 Stony Brook CAA 7 7 45 51 46 52 45 45 142 0.00
70 UMBC America East 7 4 48 46 27 39 67 25 131 0.00
71 Utah ASUN 6 9 35 40 55 51 39 52 142 0.00
72 Vermont America East 5 7 50 41 47 50 46 44 140 0.00
73 Villanova Big East 9 6 30 21 28 26 54 34 114 0.00
74 Virginia ACC 6 8 16 5 23 14 7 19 40 0.00
75 VMI NEC 10 4 57 77 29 57 77 27 161 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 1 13 76 74 76 76 64 76 216 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 5 8 21 6 35 18 11 38 67 0.00