List of Probabilities for MEN D1
MEN D1 Championship Probabilties
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
Tot = Sum of RPI, SOS and QWF rankings which determines selection standing
Champ % = Championship Probability based on power ratings
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Princeton Ivy 17 2 1 6 1 1 7 1 9 40.00
2 Notre Dame ACC 13 3 2 2 2 2 3 2 7 22.22
3 Duke ACC 11 5 4 10 7 6 8 6 20 7.78
4 Penn State B1G 10 6 3 3 9 9 4 8 21 6.67
5 Richmond Atlantic 10 14 2 5 24 5 4 12 5 21 6.67
6 Cornell Ivy 11 5 8 9 6 7 5 7 19 4.44
7 North Carolina ACC 13 5 6 5 3 3 6 3 12 3.33
8 Maryland B1G 7 6 12 4 16 14 11 15 40 2.22
9 Syracuse ACC 13 6 7 1 4 5 1 4 10 2.22
10 Georgetown Big East 11 5 11 15 11 11 13 11 35 1.11
11 Ohio State B1G 10 4 16 21 12 17 38 14 69 1.11
12 Rutgers B1G 8 7 27 17 26 26 22 28 76 1.11
13 Utah ASUN 9 5 20 42 27 35 56 29 120 1.11
14 Air Force ASUN 7 8 42 31 42 29 23 45 97 0.00
15 Albany America East 11 6 32 35 24 23 25 20 68 0.00
16 Army West Point Patriot 13 4 10 25 15 12 21 13 46 0.00
17 Bellarmine ASUN 5 11 56 45 59 51 30 63 144 0.00
18 Binghamton America East 2 11 66 58 73 73 65 73 211 0.00
19 Boston Universit Patriot 8 6 23 22 30 21 36 30 87 0.00
20 Brown Ivy 6 7 29 28 32 38 33 31 102 0.00
21 Bryant America East 7 6 55 59 43 59 74 42 175 0.00
22 Bucknell Patriot 8 7 38 46 44 45 49 44 138 0.00
23 Canisius MAAC 3 11 71 74 72 74 70 72 216 0.00
24 Cleveland State NEC 6 8 62 67 55 57 57 55 169 0.00
25 Colgate Patriot 6 9 36 18 45 36 28 43 107 0.00
26 Dartmouth Ivy 4 9 30 16 47 41 26 46 113 0.00
27 Delaware Atlantic 10 5 8 51 33 49 52 48 48 148 0.00
28 Denver Big East 6 8 22 19 36 34 31 37 102 0.00
29 Detroit Mercy NEC 3 10 67 63 66 69 60 67 196 0.00
30 Drexel CAA 9 6 35 48 34 37 47 34 118 0.00
31 Fairfield CAA 4 10 48 47 64 60 52 64 176 0.00
32 Hampton CAA 0 12 77 66 76 76 76 76 228 0.00
33 Harvard Ivy 9 5 14 11 13 15 18 12 45 0.00
34 High Point Atlantic 10 6 8 31 29 38 27 16 35 78 0.00
35 Hobart Atlantic 10 3 10 57 37 61 56 43 59 158 0.00
36 Hofstra CAA 4 10 54 53 65 61 44 65 170 0.00
37 Holy Cross (MA) Patriot 6 8 49 38 54 49 50 54 153 0.00
38 Iona MAAC 2 15 74 50 77 65 37 77 179 0.00
39 Jacksonville ASUN 11 6 17 39 20 25 27 23 75 0.00
40 Johns Hopkins B1G 10 6 15 7 8 10 10 10 30 0.00
41 Lafayette Patriot 5 9 46 41 57 58 54 57 169 0.00
42 Le Moyne NEC 4 11 72 72 71 70 67 71 208 0.00
43 Lehigh Patriot 8 8 24 27 37 30 20 38 88 0.00
44 LIU NEC 11 4 53 75 28 42 66 26 134 0.00
45 Loyola Patriot 10 6 26 20 21 18 29 24 71 0.00
46 Manhattan MAAC 4 10 70 68 68 66 68 68 202 0.00
47 Marist MAAC 12 5 44 55 22 22 17 21 60 0.00
48 Marquette Big East 6 7 41 34 40 48 53 40 141 0.00
49 Massachusetts Atlantic 10 10 6 33 36 25 28 34 25 87 0.00
50 Massachusetts-Lo America East 2 10 73 64 70 75 75 70 220 0.00
51 Mercer ASUN 6 8 58 43 46 47 39 52 138 0.00
52 Mercyhurst NEC 2 12 76 77 75 77 77 75 229 0.00
53 Merrimack MAAC 7 9 59 57 58 53 46 58 157 0.00
54 Michigan B1G 5 9 25 13 39 32 15 39 86 0.00
55 Monmouth CAA 6 7 52 62 50 55 63 49 167 0.00
56 Mount St Marys MAAC 3 10 68 69 69 68 69 69 206 0.00
57 Navy Patriot 7 7 28 30 35 31 35 36 102 0.00
58 NJIT America East 4 9 60 56 62 62 62 60 184 0.00
59 Penn Ivy 7 6 18 12 18 16 14 19 49 0.00
60 Providence Big East 8 9 37 32 51 44 41 50 135 0.00
61 Queens ASUN 4 9 69 70 60 71 72 61 204 0.00
62 Quinnipiac MAAC 5 10 64 65 67 63 58 66 187 0.00
63 Robert Morris NEC 14 4 43 60 17 24 32 17 73 0.00
64 Sacred Heart MAAC 11 4 45 71 29 40 64 27 131 0.00
65 Siena MAAC 12 5 47 61 31 39 51 32 122 0.00
66 St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 4 10 63 54 63 64 61 62 187 0.00
67 St Johns (NY) Big East 2 12 61 44 74 72 71 74 217 0.00
68 St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 7 6 21 23 23 20 19 22 61 0.00
69 Stony Brook CAA 10 6 40 52 33 33 24 33 90 0.00
70 Towson CAA 11 4 19 40 19 19 40 18 77 0.00
71 UMBC America East 6 7 50 51 52 50 55 51 156 0.00
72 Vermont America East 7 7 39 49 41 46 45 41 132 0.00
73 Villanova Big East 6 8 34 26 48 43 42 47 132 0.00
74 Virginia ACC 10 7 9 8 10 8 2 9 19 0.00
75 VMI NEC 7 7 65 73 53 54 59 53 166 0.00
76 Wagner NEC 5 8 75 76 56 67 73 56 196 0.00
77 Yale Ivy 9 6 13 14 14 13 9 16 38 0.00