UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Pacific Lutheran 3
  
Pacific Lutheran      
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 70.8587

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Southwestern WIAC ( 1-10, 72.3) 5- 8 307 H Puget Sound Northwest ( 3- 7, 72.2) 10-14 308 A Pacific Northwest ( 5- 5, 76.9) 0-17 314 H Linfield Northwest ( 5- 6, 77.7) 2-13 315 A Lewis & Clark Northwest ( 6- 4, 83.8) 0-22 323 H Lawrence NACC ( 1- 8, 68.1) 7- 5 325 H Kalamazoo MIAA ( 6- 6, 83.9) 3-21 403 A Linfield Northwest ( 5- 6, 77.7) 4-18 404 A Willamette Northwest ( 3- 7, 83.1) 1-20 408 A Puget Sound Northwest ( 3- 7, 72.2) 11- 7 411 H Lewis & Clark Northwest ( 6- 4, 83.8) 417 H Pacific Northwest ( 5- 5, 76.9) 418 H George Fox Northwest ( 7- 3, 86.9) 425 A Whitman Northwest ( 6- 6, 84.3) 426 A Whitworth Northwest ( 4- 7, 82.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Southwestern            5- 8      -3    -1          -1.91
   307 H Puget Sound            10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.98
   308 A Pacific                 0-17     -17    -6           0.00
   314 H Linfield                2-13     -11    -7           0.00
   315 A Lewis & Clark           0-22     -22   -13           0.00
   323 H Lawrence                7- 5       2     3          -1.06
   325 H Kalamazoo               3-21     -18   -13           0.00
   403 A Linfield                4-18     -14    -7           0.00
   404 A Willamette              1-20     -19   -13           0.00
   408 A Puget Sound            11- 7       4    -2    ++     5.64

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Puget Sound            10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Puget Sound            11- 7       4    -2    ++     5.64

Pacific Lutheran Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Adrian
Albertus Magnus Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Albion Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Albright Albright   Albright
Alfred Alfred   Alfred
Alfred State Alfred State   Alfred State
Allegheny Allegheny   Allegheny
Alma Alma tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alma
Alvernia Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augsburg Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Augustana (IL) Augustana (IL)   Augustana (IL)
Aurora Aurora insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Aurora
Averett Averett   Averett
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Baldwin Wallace
Bard Bard   Bard
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Pacific Lutheran insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Pacific Lutheran
Berry Berry   Berry
Bethany Bethany   Bethany
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State   Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State   Buffalo State
Cal Lutheran Cal Lutheran insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cal Lutheran
Calvin Calvin   Calvin
Canton Canton   Canton
Capital Capital   Capital
Carroll Carroll   Carroll
Carthage Carthage   Carthage
Castleton Castleton   Castleton
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Centenary (NJ) Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Centre Centre insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Centre
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Chatham   Chatham
Chicago Chicago   Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Clark   Clark
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer   Colby-Sawyer
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Concordia-Wisconsin insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Concordia-Wisconsin
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Cornell College tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cornell College
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Curry   Curry
Dean Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Delaware Valley Delaware Valley   Delaware Valley
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw   DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Eastern   Eastern
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Eastern Mennonite   Eastern Mennonite
Edgewood Edgewood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Edgewood
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Elmhurst tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Elmhurst
Elmira Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Elms Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Emerson Emerson   Emerson
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham FDU-Florham   FDU-Florham
Ferrum Ferrum   Ferrum
Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Framingham State Framingham State   Framingham State
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin Pacific Lutheran tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pacific Lutheran
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia   Fredonia
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
George Fox George Fox insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Goucher Goucher   Goucher
Greensboro Greensboro tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Greensboro
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Guilford   Guilford
Gwynedd Mercy Gwynedd Mercy   Gwynedd Mercy
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Hamline   Hamline
Hanover Pacific Lutheran tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Pacific Lutheran
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick   Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hope
Huntingdon Huntingdon   Huntingdon
Husson Husson   Husson
Illinois Tech Illinois Tech   Illinois Tech
Illinois Wesleyan Illinois Wesleyan   Illinois Wesleyan
Immaculata Immaculata   Immaculata
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo Kalamazoo  
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Kenyon
Keuka Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Kings Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
La Roche Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Lake Forest Lake Forest tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell   Lasell
Lawrence Pacific Lutheran Pacific Lutheran  
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark  
Linfield Linfield Linfield  
Lycoming Lycoming   Lycoming
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Maine Maritime   Maine Maritime
Maine-Farmington Maine-Farmington   Maine-Farmington
Manhattanville Manhattanville   Manhattanville
Marian (WI) Marian (WI)   Marian (WI)
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Maritime Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood   Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Massachusetts-Boston
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Massachusetts-Dartmouth   Massachusetts-Dartmouth
McDaniel McDaniel   McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith   Meredith
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist   Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Morrisville   Morrisville
Mount Aloysius Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Mount Holyoke Mount Holyoke   Mount Holyoke
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Mount St Mary (NY) Mount St Mary (NY)   Mount St Mary (NY)
Mount St Vincent Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Mount Union Mount Union   Mount Union
MSOE MSOE   MSOE
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Muskingum   Muskingum
Nazareth Nazareth   Nazareth
Neumann Neumann   Neumann
New England College New England College   New England College
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
North Central (IL) North Central (IL)   North Central (IL)
Norwich Norwich   Norwich
Notre Dame (MD) Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Oberlin Oberlin Oberlin   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Occidental Occidental Occidental   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Oglethorpe Oglethorpe   Oglethorpe
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Pacific Pacific Pacific  
Pfeiffer Pfeiffer   Pfeiffer
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Plattsburgh Plattsburgh   Plattsburgh
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Potsdam Potsdam   Potsdam
Puget Sound Puget Sound insuffient: ( 1- 6)( 2- 5) Puget Sound
Purchase Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Ramapo Ramapo   Ramapo
Randolph Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands Redlands   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Regis (MA) Regis (MA)   Regis (MA)
Rhode Island College Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Rivier   Rivier
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Sage   Sage
Salem State Salem State   Salem State
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Simmons   Simmons
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Southern Virginia   Southern Virginia
Southwestern Southwestern Southwestern  
Spalding Spalding   Spalding
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict   St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) St Joseph (CT)   St Joseph (CT)
St Josephs (LI) St Josephs (LI)   St Josephs (LI)
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   St Josephs College (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) St Marys (IN)   St Marys (IN)
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent St Vincent   St Vincent
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
Suffolk Suffolk insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Suffolk
SUNY Poly SUNY Poly   SUNY Poly
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
TCNJ TCNJ   TCNJ
Thiel Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Thomas Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Trine   Trine
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England   U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Vermont State-Lyndon   Vermont State-Lyndon
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Warren Wilson Warren Wilson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Warren Wilson
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
Wentworth Tech Wentworth Tech insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wentworth Tech
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State   Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Westminster (PA)   Westminster (PA)
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   Wheaton (MA)
Whitman Whitman Whitman   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Whittier Whittier   Whittier
Whitworth Whitworth Whitworth   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Wilkes   Wilkes
Willamette Willamette Willamette  
William Peace Pacific Lutheran   Pacific Lutheran
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Wilson   Wilson
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire   Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse   Wisconsin-La Crosse
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   Wisconsin-River Falls
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Wisconsin-Stevens Point   Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Wisconsin-Stout Wisconsin-Stout   Wisconsin-Stout
Wittenberg Wittenberg   Wittenberg
Wooster Wooster Wooster   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Worcester State Worcester State   Worcester State
York York   York

PowerWise = 36


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Southwestern    ( 1-10, 72.3)     5- 8      -27.64      11.55      -0.31         1.05           -29.37
   0 H Puget Sound     ( 3- 7, 72.2)    10-14      -27.71      11.48      -0.31         1.05           -29.45
   0 A Pacific         ( 5- 5, 76.9)     0-17      -23.04      16.15       0.31         1.05           -23.88
   0 H Linfield        ( 5- 6, 77.7)     2-13      -22.17      17.02      -0.31         1.05           -23.63
   0 A Lewis & Clark   ( 6- 4, 83.8)     0-22      -16.14      23.06       0.31         1.05           -16.63
   0 H Lawrence        ( 1- 8, 68.1)     7- 5      -31.78       7.41      -0.31         1.05             7.46
   0 H Kalamazoo       ( 6- 6, 83.9)     3-21      -16.02      23.17      -0.31         1.05           -17.16
   0 A Linfield        ( 5- 6, 77.7)     4-18      -22.17      17.02       0.31         1.05           -22.97
   0 A Willamette      ( 3- 7, 83.1)     1-20      -16.76      22.44       0.31         1.05           -17.28
   0 A Puget Sound     ( 3- 7, 72.2)    11- 7      -27.71      11.48       0.31         1.05            12.39
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -160.51

winning pts = 19.8525 losing points = -180.3675

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------