UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Alfred State 3
  
Alfred State          
W-L: ( 7- 3) PR = 75.5036

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 214 A St Vincent Presidents ( 5- 4, 73.0) 9- 4 228 A Canton SUNYAC ( 3- 7, 78.4) 7- 9 303 H Thiel Presidents ( 0- 7, 64.5) 16- 1 306 H Elmira Empire Eight ( 0- 7, 66.4) 17- 1 309 A Allegheny Presidents ( 2- 7, 73.4) 8- 7 314 A Cedar Crest UnitedEast ( 5- 6, 70.5) 10- 7 319 A Alfred Empire Eight ( 4- 4, 76.2) 6- 9 324 A Buffalo State SUNYAC ( 8- 3, 83.2) 1-14 326 H Keuka Empire Eight ( 2- 7, 70.2) 17- 5 407 H Hilbert AMCC ( 0- 7, 64.1) 21- 4 411 H La Roche AMCC ( 2- 3, 70.6) 418 A Mount Aloysius AMCC ( 3- 4, 69.2)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A St Vincent              9- 4       5     2    +      2.80
   228 A Canton                  7- 9      -2    -3           1.22
   303 H Thiel                  16- 1      15    11           0.00
   306 H Elmira                 17- 1      16     9           0.00
   309 A Allegheny               8- 7       1     2          -0.75
   314 A Cedar Crest            10- 7       3     5          -1.65
   319 A Alfred                  6- 9      -3    -1          -1.96
   324 A Buffalo State           1-14     -13    -8           0.00
   326 H Keuka                  17- 5      12     6           0.00
   407 H Hilbert                21- 4      17    12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 A St Vincent              9- 4       5     2    +      2.80

Alfred State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian   Adrian
Albertus Magnus Alfred State   Alfred State
Albion Alfred State   Alfred State
Albright Albright   Albright
Alfred Alfred Alfred  
Allegheny Alfred State Alfred State  
Alma Alfred State   Alfred State
Alvernia Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Alfred State   Alfred State
Arcadia Arcadia   Arcadia
Augsburg Alfred State   Alfred State
Augustana (IL) Alfred State   Alfred State
Aurora Aurora   Aurora
Averett Averett   Averett
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bard Alfred State   Alfred State
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Alfred State   Alfred State
Berry Berry   Berry
Bethany Alfred State insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Alfred State
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Alfred State   Alfred State
Bridgewater Bridgewater   Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State   Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State Buffalo State  
Cal Lutheran Cal Lutheran   Cal Lutheran
Calvin Calvin   Calvin
Canton Canton Canton  
Capital Capital   Capital
Carroll Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Carroll
Carthage Carthage   Carthage
Castleton Alfred State   Alfred State
Catholic Catholic   Catholic
Cedar Crest Alfred State Alfred State  
Centenary (NJ) Alfred State insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Alfred State
Centre Centre   Centre
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Chatham tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Chatham
Chicago Chicago   Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport   Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Clark   Clark
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer   Colby-Sawyer
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Alfred State   Alfred State
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Alfred State   Alfred State
Cortland Cortland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cortland
Curry Alfred State   Alfred State
Dean Alfred State   Alfred State
Delaware Valley Alfred State   Alfred State
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw   DePauw
DeSales DeSales   DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson   Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Alfred State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alfred State
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Alfred State   Alfred State
Edgewood Edgewood   Edgewood
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown   Elizabethtown
Elmhurst Alfred State   Alfred State
Elmira Alfred State Alfred State  
Elms Alfred State   Alfred State
Emerson Emerson   Emerson
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Farmingdale State   Farmingdale State
FDU-Florham Alfred State   Alfred State
Ferrum Ferrum   Ferrum
Fitchburg State Fitchburg State   Fitchburg State
Framingham State Framingham State   Framingham State
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin Alfred State   Alfred State
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall   Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia Fredonia   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Alfred State insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Alfred State
George Fox George Fox   George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg   Gettysburg
Gordon Alfred State   Alfred State
Goucher Goucher tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Goucher
Greensboro Alfred State   Alfred State
Grove City Grove City insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Grove City
Guilford Alfred State   Alfred State
Gwynedd Mercy Alfred State   Alfred State
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Hamline   Hamline
Hanover Alfred State   Alfred State
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Hartwick tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hartwick
Haverford Haverford   Haverford
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Alfred State Alfred State  
Hood Hood   Hood
Hope Hope   Hope
Huntingdon Alfred State   Alfred State
Husson Husson   Husson
Illinois Tech Alfred State   Alfred State
Illinois Wesleyan Alfred State   Alfred State
Immaculata Immaculata   Immaculata
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo   Kalamazoo
Kean Kean   Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon   Kenyon
Keuka Alfred State Alfred State  
Kings Alfred State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alfred State
La Roche Alfred State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alfred State
Lake Forest Lake Forest   Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell   Lasell
Lawrence Alfred State   Alfred State
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   Lebanon Valley
Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark   Lewis & Clark
Linfield Linfield   Linfield
Lycoming Lycoming tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lycoming
Lynchburg Lynchburg   Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Maine Maritime   Maine Maritime
Maine-Farmington Alfred State   Alfred State
Manhattanville Alfred State   Alfred State
Marian (WI) Alfred State   Alfred State
Marietta Marietta   Marietta
Maritime Alfred State   Alfred State
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount   Marymount
Marywood Marywood   Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Alfred State   Alfred State
Massachusetts-Boston Massachusetts-Boston   Massachusetts-Boston
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Massachusetts-Dartmouth   Massachusetts-Dartmouth
McDaniel McDaniel   McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith   Meredith
Messiah Messiah   Messiah
Methodist Methodist   Methodist
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia   Misericordia
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Alfred State   Alfred State
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian   Moravian
Morrisville Morrisville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Morrisville
Mount Aloysius Alfred State Alfred State   5- 0 vs 2- 2
Mount Holyoke Mount Holyoke   Mount Holyoke
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Mount St Mary (NY) Mount St Mary (NY)   Mount St Mary (NY)
Mount St Vincent Alfred State   Alfred State
Mount Union Mount Union   Mount Union
MSOE MSOE   MSOE
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   Muhlenberg
Muskingum Alfred State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alfred State
Nazareth Nazareth tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Nazareth
Neumann Neumann insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Neumann
New England College New England College   New England College
New Paltz New Paltz insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Alfred State   Alfred State
North Central (IL) Alfred State   Alfred State
Norwich Norwich   Norwich
Notre Dame (MD) Alfred State   Alfred State
Oberlin Oberlin   Oberlin
Occidental Occidental   Occidental
Oglethorpe Oglethorpe   Oglethorpe
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Alfred State   Alfred State
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego Oswego   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Pacific Pacific   Pacific
Pacific Lutheran Alfred State   Alfred State
Pfeiffer Pfeiffer   Pfeiffer
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Plattsburgh Plattsburgh tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Plattsburgh
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Potsdam tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Potsdam
Puget Sound Alfred State   Alfred State
Purchase Alfred State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alfred State
Ramapo Ramapo   Ramapo
Randolph Alfred State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alfred State
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   Randolph-Macon
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Alfred State   Alfred State
Rhode Island College Alfred State   Alfred State
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Rivier   Rivier
Roanoke Roanoke   Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan   Rowan
RPI RPI   RPI
Sage Alfred State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alfred State
Salem State Salem State   Salem State
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton   Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah   Shenandoah
Simmons Alfred State   Alfred State
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Southern Virginia   Southern Virginia
Southwestern Alfred State   Alfred State
Spalding Alfred State   Alfred State
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict   St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) St Joseph (CT)   St Joseph (CT)
St Josephs (LI) St Josephs (LI)   St Josephs (LI)
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   St Josephs College (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) St Marys (IN)   St Marys (IN)
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Alfred State Alfred State  
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson   Stevenson
Stockton Stockton   Stockton
Suffolk Suffolk   Suffolk
SUNY Poly Alfred State tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Alfred State
Susquehanna Susquehanna   Susquehanna
Swarthmore Swarthmore   Swarthmore
Sweet Briar Alfred State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alfred State
TCNJ TCNJ   TCNJ
Thiel Alfred State Alfred State  
Thomas Alfred State   Alfred State
Transylvania Transylvania   Transylvania
Trine Trine   Trine
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Alfred State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alfred State
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England   U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus   Ursinus
Utica Utica insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Vermont State-Lyndon   Vermont State-Lyndon
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan   Virginia Wesleyan
Warren Wilson Alfred State   Alfred State
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College   Washington College
Wellesley Wellesley   Wellesley
Wentworth Tech Wentworth Tech   Wentworth Tech
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State   Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Westminster (PA) tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Westminster (PA)
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   Wheaton (MA)
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Whittier Whittier   Whittier
Whitworth Whitworth   Whitworth
Widener Widener   Widener
Wilkes Wilkes tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wilkes
Willamette Willamette   Willamette
William Peace Alfred State   Alfred State
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Alfred State insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alfred State
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire   Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse   Wisconsin-La Crosse
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   Wisconsin-River Falls
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Wisconsin-Stevens Point   Wisconsin-Stevens Point
Wisconsin-Stout Wisconsin-Stout   Wisconsin-Stout
Wittenberg Wittenberg   Wittenberg
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worcester State Worcester State   Worcester State
York York   York

PowerWise = 72


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A St Vincent      ( 5- 4, 73.0)     9- 4      -26.91      12.29       0.31         1.05            13.24
   0 A Canton          ( 3- 7, 78.4)     7- 9      -21.49      17.71       0.31         1.05           -22.25
   0 H Thiel           ( 0- 7, 64.5)    16- 1      -35.40       3.79      -0.31         1.05             3.66
   0 H Elmira          ( 0- 7, 66.4)    17- 1      -33.54       5.66      -0.31         1.05             5.62
   0 A Allegheny       ( 2- 7, 73.4)     8- 7      -26.46      12.74       0.31         1.05            13.71
   0 A Cedar Crest     ( 5- 6, 70.5)    10- 7      -29.36       9.83       0.31         1.05            10.66
   0 A Alfred          ( 4- 4, 76.2)     6- 9      -23.67      15.52       0.31         1.05           -24.54
   0 A Buffalo State   ( 8- 3, 83.2)     1-14      -16.70      22.49       0.31         1.05           -17.22
   0 H Keuka           ( 2- 7, 70.2)    17- 5      -29.65       9.54      -0.31         1.05             9.70
   0 H Hilbert         ( 0- 7, 64.1)    21- 4      -35.81       3.38      -0.31         1.05             3.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        -4.20

winning pts = 59.8107 losing points = -64.0125

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------