UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Virginia State 2
  
Virginia State        
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 74.8441

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 219 H Tiffin Great Midwest ( 5- 5, 78.8) 6-19 301 A UVA Wise South Atlanti (12- 2, 86.7) 6-16 307 H Chestnut Hill CACC ( 4- 5, 76.8) 12-13 311 H District of Columbia East Coast ( 0- 8, 70.6) 18- 3 316 A Montevallo Gulf South ( 3-10, 83.9) 4-20 318 A Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South ( 8- 7, 89.7) 4-20 321 H Flagler Gulf South (15- 0, 99.9) 3-25 324 A West Virginia Wesleyan Mountain East ( 0- 5, 69.8) 13- 3 329 H Lee Gulf South ( 5-10, 82.4) 9-17 408 A Catawba South Atlanti ( 4- 8, 81.2) 7-13 418 A Lander Gulf South ( 6- 7, 88.4)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Tiffin                  6-19     -13    -4          -1.43
   301 A UVA Wise                6-16     -10   -12           0.00
   307 H Chestnut Hill          12-13      -1    -2           0.54
   311 H District of Columbia   18- 3      15     5           0.33
   316 A Montevallo              4-20     -16    -9           0.00
   318 A Alabama-Huntsville      4-20     -16   -15           0.00
   321 H Flagler                 3-25     -22   -25           0.00
   324 A West Virginia Wesleyan 13- 3      10     5           0.33
   329 H Lee                     9-17      -8    -7           0.00
   408 A Catawba                 7-13      -6    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Virginia State Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi   Adelphi
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville  
American International Virginia State   Virginia State
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC) insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ashland
Assumption Assumption   Assumption
Barton Barton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Barton
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley   Bentley
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg   Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Bridgeport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bridgeport
Caldwell Caldwell tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Caldwell
Catawba Catawba Catawba  
Charleston Charleston tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Charleston
Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill Chestnut Hill  
Chowan Chowan   Chowan
Coker Coker tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Coker
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Concordia-St Paul   Concordia-St Paul
Converse Converse insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Converse
CSU-Pueblo CSU-Pueblo   CSU-Pueblo
D'Youville D'Youville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) D'Youville
Daemen Daemen insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Daemen
Davenport Davenport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Davenport
Davis & Elkins Davis & Elkins insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Davis & Elkins
District of Columbia Virginia State Virginia State  
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Virginia State tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Virginia State
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Emmanuel (GA) Emmanuel (GA) insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Emmanuel (GA)
Emory & Henry Virginia State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia State
Felician Virginia State   Virginia State
Findlay Findlay   Findlay
Flagler Flagler Flagler  
Florida Southern Florida Southern insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Fort Lewis   Fort Lewis
Franklin Pierce Franklin Pierce   Franklin Pierce
Frostburg State Frostburg State tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Frostburg State
Gannon Gannon   Gannon
Georgian Court Georgian Court   Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   Grand Valley State
Holy Family Holy Family tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Family
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown   Kutztown
Lake Erie Virginia State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia State
Lander Lander Lander   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Lee Lee Lee  
Lees-McRae Virginia State   Virginia State
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lewis Lewis insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lewis
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Lincoln Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Lincoln Memorial
Lock Haven Lock Haven insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn Lynn   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Malone Malone   Malone
Mars Hill Virginia State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia State
Maryville Maryville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Maryville
McKendree McKendree   McKendree
Mercy Mercy   Mercy
Millersville Millersville   Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Molloy tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Molloy
Montevallo Montevallo Montevallo  
Mount Olive Mount Olive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mount Olive
New Haven New Haven   New Haven
Newberry Newberry insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Newberry
North Greenville North Greenville tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Greenville
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Northwood   Northwood
Pace Pace   Pace
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Post Virginia State   Virginia State
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO)   Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Roberts Wesleyan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Roberts Wesleyan
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Saginaw Valley State   Saginaw Valley State
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Shepherd   Shepherd
Shippensburg Shippensburg   Shippensburg
Shorter Shorter tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Shorter
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock   Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut   Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire   Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Virginia State tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Virginia State
St Anselm St Anselm   St Anselm
St Leo St Leo St Leo   3- 1 vs 0- 4
St Michaels St Michaels tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) St Michaels
St Thomas Aquinas Virginia State   Virginia State
Tampa Tampa   Tampa
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Thomas More tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Thomas More
Tiffin Tiffin Tiffin  
Tusculum Tusculum insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Tusculum
Ursuline Virginia State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia State
UVA Wise UVA Wise UVA Wise  
Walsh Walsh   Walsh
West Chester West Chester   West Chester
West Virginia Wesleyan Virginia State Virginia State  
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Wheeling insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Wheeling
William Jewell William Jewell   William Jewell
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris Young Harris   2- 3 vs 0- 5

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Tiffin          ( 5- 5, 78.8)     6-19      -21.08      12.11      -0.41         1.10           -23.72
   0 A UVA Wise        (12- 2, 86.7)     6-16      -13.16      20.03       0.41         1.10           -14.08
   0 H Chestnut Hill   ( 4- 5, 76.8)    12-13      -23.11      10.08      -0.41         1.10           -25.95
   0 H District of Co  ( 0- 8, 70.6)    18- 3      -29.32       3.87      -0.41         1.10             3.82
   0 A Montevallo      ( 3-10, 83.9)     4-20      -16.02      17.17       0.41         1.10           -17.23
   0 A Alabama-Huntsv  ( 8- 7, 89.7)     4-20      -10.16      23.03       0.41         1.10           -10.76
   0 H Flagler         (15- 0, 99.9)     3-25       -0.00      33.19      -0.41         1.10            -0.45
   0 A West Virginia   ( 0- 5, 69.8)    13- 3      -30.13       3.06       0.41         1.10             3.83
   0 H Lee             ( 5-10, 82.4)     9-17      -17.48      15.71      -0.41         1.10           -19.74
   0 A Catawba         ( 4- 8, 81.2)     7-13      -18.72      14.47       0.41         1.10           -20.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -124.49

winning pts = 7.6473 losing points = -132.1341

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------