Flagler 
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 95.8171
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 6-12, 94.0) 14- 9
207 A Florida Southern Sunshine (17- 2, 99.3) 8-10
215 H St Leo Sunshine (13- 6, 96.5) 9-10
222 A Lynn Sunshine (13- 4, 97.3) 8-12
301 H Palm Beach Atlantic Sunshine ( 6-10, 91.0) 21-10
305 H Embry-Riddle Sunshine (16- 3, 98.1) 12-17
310 H Mount Olive Carolinas (11- 7, 90.8) 17- 7
313 H Kutztown PSAC ( 9- 8, 94.5) 11-10
315 H Indianapolis GLVC (13- 6, 95.0) 14-10
327 A Anderson (SC) South Atlanti (10- 8, 90.7) 15-16
329 A Lander Gulf South (13- 4, 94.4) 9- 7
405 A Alabama-Huntsville Gulf South ( 7-11, 92.9) 16-13
412 H Montevallo Gulf South ( 4- 9, 85.0) 16- 5
418 H Lee Gulf South ( 4-12, 87.1) 20- 6
425 N Lee Gulf South ( 4-12, 87.1) 19- 8
427 N Lander Gulf South (13- 4, 94.4) 14-10
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Florida Tech 14- 9 5 1 + 3.77
207 A Florida Southern 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.02
215 H St Leo 9-10 -1 0 -0.87
222 A Lynn 8-12 -4 -2 -1.99
301 H Palm Beach Atlantic 21-10 11 5 0.00
305 H Embry-Riddle 12-17 -5 -2 - -3.30
310 H Mount Olive 17- 7 10 6 0.00
313 H Kutztown 11-10 1 2 -0.90
315 H Indianapolis 14-10 4 1 + 2.58
327 A Anderson (SC) 15-16 -1 5 -- -5.52
329 A Lander 9- 7 2 1 1.09
405 A Alabama-Huntsville 16-13 3 2 0.63
412 H Montevallo 16- 5 11 11 0.00
418 H Lee 20- 6 14 9 0.00
425 N Lee 19- 8 11 9 0.00
427 N Lander 14-10 4 1 + 2.54
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
327 A Anderson (SC) 15-16 -1 5 -- -5.52
305 H Embry-Riddle 12-17 -5 -2 - -3.30
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Florida Tech 14- 9 5 1 + 3.77
207 A Florida Southern 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.02
315 H Indianapolis 14-10 4 1 + 2.58
427 N Lander 14-10 4 1 + 2.54
|
Flagler Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
American International |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
 
|
Ashland |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Assumption |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Barton |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flagler |
Belmont Abbey |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Bentley |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Bloomsburg |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Bridgeport |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Caldwell |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Catawba |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Charleston |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Chestnut Hill |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Chowan |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Coker |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Colorado Mesa |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flagler |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Concordia-St Paul |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Converse |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
CSU-Pueblo |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
D'Youville |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Daemen |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Davenport |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Davis & Elkins |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
District of Columbia |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Dominican (CA) |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Dominican (NY) |
East Stroudsburg |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Flagler |
Edinboro |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
 
| |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Flagler |
Emory & Henry |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Felician |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Findlay |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
 
| |
Florida Tech |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Fort Lewis |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Franklin Pierce |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Frostburg State |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Gannon |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Georgian Court |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flagler |
Grand Valley State |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Holy Family |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Indiana (PA) |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Indianapolis |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Kutztown |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Lake Erie |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Lander |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Lee |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Lees-McRae |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Flagler |
Lewis |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Limestone |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) |
Flagler |
Lincoln Memorial |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flagler |
Lock Haven |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Lynn |
Lynn |
Lynn |
 
| |
Malone |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Mars Hill |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Flagler |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Maryville |
McKendree |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Mercy |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Millersville |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Missouri Western |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Molloy |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Montevallo |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Mount Olive |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
New Haven |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Flagler |
Newberry |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Flagler |
North Greenville |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Northern Michigan |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Northwood |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Pace |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Flagler |
Flagler |
 
| |
Post |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Quincy |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Regis (CO) |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Rockhurst |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Rollins |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 5- 5) ( 5- 5) |
Flagler |
Saginaw Valley State |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Seton Hill |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) |
Flagler |
Shepherd |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Shippensburg |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Shorter |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Southern New Hampshire |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Southern Wesleyan |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
St Anselm |
Flagler |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
St Leo |
St Leo |
St Leo |
 
| |
St Michaels |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   7- 1 vs 4- 4 |
|
Thomas Jefferson |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Thomas More |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Tiffin |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Tusculum |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Ursuline |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
UVA Wise |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Virginia State |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Walsh |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
West Chester |
West Chester |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
West Chester |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Westminster (UT) |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Wheeling |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
William Jewell |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Flagler |
Wilmington (DE) |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Wingate |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) |
Flagler |
Young Harris |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   6- 0 vs 2- 4 |
|
PowerWise = 101

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Florida Tech ( 6-12, 94.0) 14- 9 -5.87 25.31 0.55 1.01 26.13
0 A Florida Southe (17- 2, 99.3) 8-10 -0.62 30.56 0.55 1.01 -0.07
0 H St Leo (13- 6, 96.5) 9-10 -3.40 27.78 -0.55 1.01 -3.99
0 A Lynn (13- 4, 97.3) 8-12 -2.63 28.56 0.55 1.01 -2.09
0 H Palm Beach Atl ( 6-10, 91.0) 21-10 -8.94 22.24 -0.55 1.01 21.91
0 H Embry-Riddle (16- 3, 98.1) 12-17 -1.83 29.35 -0.55 1.01 -2.41
0 H Mount Olive (11- 7, 90.8) 17- 7 -9.10 22.08 -0.55 1.01 21.74
0 H Kutztown ( 9- 8, 94.5) 11-10 -5.42 25.76 -0.55 1.01 25.46
0 H Indianapolis (13- 6, 95.0) 14-10 -4.95 26.23 -0.55 1.01 25.94
0 A Anderson (SC) (10- 8, 90.7) 15-16 -9.15 22.03 0.55 1.01 -8.68
0 A Lander (13- 4, 94.4) 9- 7 -5.54 25.64 0.55 1.01 26.45
0 A Alabama-Huntsv ( 7-11, 92.9) 16-13 -7.01 24.17 0.55 1.01 24.97
0 H Montevallo ( 4- 9, 85.0) 16- 5 -14.89 16.29 -0.55 1.01 15.89
0 H Lee ( 4-12, 87.1) 20- 6 -12.85 18.33 -0.55 1.01 17.96
0 N Lee ( 4-12, 87.1) 19- 8 -12.85 18.33 -0.00 1.01 18.52
0 N Lander (13- 4, 94.4) 14-10 -5.54 25.64 -0.00 1.01 25.89
------
233.61
|
winning pts = 250.8590 losing points = -17.2476
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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