Virginia State 
W-L: ( 1- 7) PR = 82.7816
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
204 H Barton Carolinas ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2-18
212 H Davis & Elkins GMAC ( 1- 8, 80.5) 14- 6
228 H Tusculum SAC ( 6- 3, 90.7) 9-15
307 H Assumption NE10 ( 7- 3, 96.0) 5-21
311 H Chowan Carolinas ( 5- 6, 87.0) 9-16
314 H St Thomas Aquinas ECC ( 2- 7, 86.9) 2-21
321 A Lander PBC ( 5- 7, 90.9) 1-24
328 A Montevallo PBC ( 5- 7, 92.4) 2-22
401 H Flagler PBC ( 8- 4, 95.5)
404 H District of Columbia ECC ( 1- 6, 79.8)
411 H Mount Olive Carolinas ( 4- 5, 89.5)
419 H Alabama-Huntsville PBC ( 3-10, 89.9)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
204 H Barton 2-18 -16 -7 0.00
212 H Davis & Elkins 14- 6 8 3 + 2.40
228 H Tusculum 9-15 -6 -8 0.00
307 H Assumption 5-21 -16 -13 0.00
311 H Chowan 9-16 -7 -4 -1.18
314 H St Thomas Aquinas 2-21 -19 -4 -1.25
321 A Lander 1-24 -23 -8 0.00
328 A Montevallo 2-22 -20 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
212 H Davis & Elkins 14- 6 8 3 + 2.40
|
Virginia State Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adams State |
Adams State |
|
 
| Adams State |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Adelphi |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
 
| Alabama-Huntsville |
| American International |
Virginia State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Virginia State |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
Anderson (SC)   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Assumption |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Barton |
Barton |
Barton |
 
| |
| Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
Belmont Abbey   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Bentley |
Bentley |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Bentley |
| Bridgeport |
Bridgeport |
|
 
| Bridgeport |
| Caldwell |
Virginia State |
|
 
| Virginia State |
| Catawba |
Catawba |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Catawba |
| Chestnut Hill |
Chestnut Hill |
|
 
| Chestnut Hill |
| Chowan |
Chowan |
Chowan |
 
| |
| Coker |
Coker |
|
Coker   2- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
| Concordia-Irvine |
Concordia-Irvine |
|
 
| Concordia-Irvine |
| D'Youville |
D'Youville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
D'Youville |
| Davenport |
Davenport |
|
 
| Davenport |
| Davis & Elkins |
Virginia State |
Virginia State |
 
| |
| District of Columbia |
Virginia State |
|
 
| Virginia State |
| Dominican (CA) |
Virginia State |
|
 
| Virginia State |
| Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
 
| Dominican (NY) |
| Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
Embry-Riddle   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Emmanuel (GA) |
|
tied - ( 0- 5) ( 0- 5) |
Emmanuel (GA) |
| Emory & Henry |
Virginia State |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Virginia State |
| Felician |
Virginia State |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Virginia State |
| Flagler |
Flagler |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Flagler |
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
 
| Florida Southern |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
| Franklin Pierce |
Franklin Pierce |
|
 
| Franklin Pierce |
| Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Frostburg State |
| Georgian Court |
Georgian Court |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Georgian Court |
| Holy Family |
Holy Family |
|
 
| Holy Family |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Indianapolis |
| Lake Erie |
Lake Erie |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lake Erie |
| Lander |
Lander |
Lander |
 
| |
| Lees-McRae |
Lees-McRae |
|
Lees-McRae   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
| Lewis |
Lewis |
|
 
| Lewis |
| Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Lincoln Memorial |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Lincoln Memorial |
| Lynn |
Lynn |
|
 
| Lynn |
| Malone |
Malone |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Malone |
| Mars Hill |
Mars Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Mars Hill |
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Maryville |
| Mercy |
Mercy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Mercy |
| Molloy |
Molloy |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Molloy |
| Montevallo |
Montevallo |
Montevallo |
 
| |
| Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Mount Olive |
| Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
| North Greenville |
North Greenville |
|
North Greenville   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Northwood |
Northwood |
|
 
| Northwood |
| Pace |
Pace |
|
Pace   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
Palm Beach Atlantic   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Post |
Post |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Post |
| Quincy |
Quincy |
|
 
| Quincy |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Roberts Wesleyan |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
| Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
 
| Rockhurst |
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
 
| Rollins |
| Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Seton Hill |
| Shorter |
Virginia State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Virginia State |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Southern New Hampshire |
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Anselm |
| St Leo |
St Leo |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Leo |
| St Michaels |
St Michaels |
|
 
| St Michaels |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
St Thomas Aquinas |
St Thomas Aquinas |
 
| |
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Tampa |
| Thomas More |
Thomas More |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Thomas More |
| Tiffin |
Tiffin |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Tiffin |
| Tusculum |
Tusculum |
Tusculum |
 
| |
| Walsh |
Walsh |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Walsh |
| Westminster (UT) |
Westminster (UT) |
|
 
| Westminster (UT) |
| Wheeling |
Wheeling |
|
 
| Wheeling |
| William Jewell |
William Jewell |
|
 
| William Jewell |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wilmington (DE) |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Young Harris |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Young Harris |
PowerWise = 8

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 9.19
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Barton ( 4- 7, 90.3) 2-18 -9.65 12.90 -0.36 1.15 -11.50
0 H Davis & Elkins ( 1- 8, 80.5) 14- 6 -19.36 3.19 -0.36 1.15 3.25
0 H Tusculum ( 6- 3, 90.7) 9-15 -9.20 13.35 -0.36 1.15 -10.99
0 H Assumption ( 7- 3, 96.0) 5-21 -3.90 18.65 -0.36 1.15 -4.90
0 H Chowan ( 5- 6, 87.0) 9-16 -12.94 9.61 -0.36 1.15 -15.28
0 H St Thomas Aqui ( 2- 7, 86.9) 2-21 -13.01 9.54 -0.36 1.15 -15.36
0 A Lander ( 5- 7, 90.9) 1-24 -9.00 13.55 0.36 1.15 -9.92
0 A Montevallo ( 5- 7, 92.4) 2-22 -7.52 15.03 0.36 1.15 -8.23
------
-72.92
|
winning pts = 3.2533 losing points = -76.1746
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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