girls probabilites for 84
2018 girls Virginia
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Dominion 17 2 4 30 4 8 1 3 12 3.00
2 St. Catherine's, 15 6 6 10 2 1 13 1 15 8.00
3 Langley 17 3 2 8 5 5 12 6 23 13.00
4 Salem, VA 19 2 13 68 10 9 3 11 23 0.10
5 Collegiate Schoo 11 10 7 4 8 2 25 5 32 7.00
6 Freedom, South R 19 4 11 40 13 13 11 8 32 0.10
7 Atlee 15 1 10 67 9 4 23 7 34 0.10
8 Deep Run 10 5 33 46 27 12 9 18 39 0.10
9 Riverside, VA 18 2 5 25 1 6 34 2 42 6.00
10 Potomac Falls 15 7 20 28 33 17 2 27 46 0.10
11 Albemarle 12 6 32 45 37 14 4 31 49 0.10
12 Hidden Valley 14 4 43 89 28 25 10 20 55 0.10
13 Patrick Henry, R 10 5 37 71 59 22 14 34 70 0.10
14 James Madison, V 16 4 3 7 6 7 57 9 73 10.00
15 Monticello, VA 14 5 29 79 44 28 22 26 76 0.10
16 South County, Lo 9 5 17 19 23 21 27 29 77 0.10
17 Highland School 14 1 15 85 14 15 50 13 78 0.10
18 West Potomac 15 4 21 48 16 24 38 17 79 0.10
19 W.T. Woodson 19 3 1 12 3 3 77 4 84 53.00
20 Norfolk Academy 13 8 16 26 15 10 59 16 85 0.10
21 Menchville Club 0 1 142 1 31 48 6 33 87 0.10
22 Trinity Episcopa 7 8 45 27 55 31 5 53 89 0.10
23 Colonial Forge 14 5 58 87 38 29 21 40 90 0.10
24 Cosby 15 3 40 123 21 27 49 15 91 0.10
25 York Club, VA 0 1 128 3 34 50 8 35 93 0.10
26 Bishop Sullivan 14 3 9 43 7 11 74 10 95 0.10
27 Warhill Club 0 2 96 2 43 49 7 49 105 0.10
28 Herndon 10 8 28 22 40 33 15 58 106 0.10
29 Woodgrove 10 6 19 18 25 16 60 30 106 0.10
30 Yorktown, VA 12 5 14 15 17 20 55 32 107 0.10
31 St. Anne's-Belfi 10 7 27 24 20 19 68 22 109 0.10
32 George Mason 12 3 8 39 12 18 90 14 122 0.10
33 Hanover, VA 9 8 77 61 88 30 20 73 123 0.10
34 Douglas Freeman 8 7 66 64 83 44 32 54 130 0.10
35 Kettle Run 10 6 35 49 49 36 44 51 131 0.10
36 Western Albemarl 8 6 47 60 81 35 31 65 131 0.10
37 Pope John Paul-G 3 9 80 41 51 43 33 56 132 0.10
38 Briar Woods 10 8 31 35 69 41 24 68 133 0.10
39 McLean, VA 9 9 26 13 63 34 16 84 134 0.10
40 Colgan 13 2 23 126 18 32 84 19 135 0.10
41 Foxcroft School 10 3 36 78 30 26 88 23 137 0.10
42 Rock Ridge 10 6 25 42 66 39 37 62 138 0.10
43 Oakton 9 6 22 29 32 40 53 46 139 0.10
44 Jefferson Forest 11 4 55 108 41 38 65 37 140 0.10
45 Battlefield 12 5 24 62 29 52 51 38 141 0.10
46 Centreville 12 6 18 32 35 37 69 39 145 0.10
47 Mountain View, V 14 7 56 107 74 47 28 71 146 0.10
48 West Springfield 8 7 48 38 68 42 29 75 146 0.10
49 Mills Godwin 9 7 68 80 82 53 41 55 149 0.10
50 Frank Cox Club 0 4 106 5 64 60 18 72 150 0.10
51 Tabb Club 0 2 99 11 45 74 36 48 158 0.10
52 Franklin County, 10 6 61 109 72 51 43 69 163 0.10
53 Robinson Seconda 11 11 30 6 39 23 92 61 176 0.10
54 Grafton Club, VA 0 4 116 9 70 71 30 78 179 0.10
55 Riverbend 11 6 70 113 76 54 48 77 179 0.10
56 Stone Bridge 7 9 44 33 91 58 35 91 184 0.10
57 Patriot 7 11 54 36 98 64 17 106 187 0.10
58 Loudoun County 7 8 49 37 77 57 47 85 189 0.10
59 Midlothian 9 6 69 125 73 56 63 70 189 0.10
60 Rockbridge Count 9 8 74 96 94 63 42 88 193 0.10
61 Covenant School 7 8 57 56 84 66 45 83 194 0.10
62 T.C. Williams 11 8 62 73 86 62 46 89 197 0.10
63 Washington-Lee 9 6 41 59 62 61 73 67 201 0.10
64 Grassfield Club 0 3 105 31 61 87 54 64 205 0.10
65 Loudoun Valley 4 11 63 23 107 67 26 113 206 0.10
66 Virginia Episcop 13 4 39 100 26 46 134 28 208 0.10
67 Jamestown Club 11 0 12 142 11 55 142 12 209 0.10
68 South Lakes 7 5 34 52 53 65 91 59 215 0.10
69 George Marshall 10 7 46 66 65 70 71 76 217 0.10
70 North Stafford 12 6 65 127 71 69 75 74 218 0.10
71 Patrick Henry, A 10 5 73 138 58 73 100 52 225 0.10
72 C.D. Hylton 11 5 83 137 56 75 93 60 228 0.10
73 Heritage, VA 1 13 93 14 124 85 19 126 230 0.10
74 James Monroe 9 4 59 111 54 68 112 50 230 0.10
75 Great Bridge Clu 0 2 133 53 47 107 81 43 231 0.10
76 James River 6 9 103 116 109 78 52 101 231 0.10
77 Maury Club 9 2 38 124 19 72 138 21 231 0.10
78 Cape Henry Colle 13 11 42 50 57 45 131 57 233 0.10
79 Kellam Club 0 2 104 54 48 108 82 44 234 0.10
80 Steward School 9 6 52 83 67 81 89 66 236 0.10
81 Thomas Edison, V 11 4 51 118 46 77 118 42 237 0.10
82 Princess Anne Cl 0 2 134 55 52 109 83 47 239 0.10
83 Cave Spring 6 8 98 114 99 82 70 92 244 0.10
84 Broad Run 2 12 89 21 123 83 39 123 245 0.10
85 Tuscarora, VA 6 8 64 44 90 76 79 90 245 0.10
86 Forest Park 8 7 50 77 60 59 127 63 249 0.10
87 Westfield, VA 5 10 53 34 103 80 56 115 251 0.10
88 Walsingham Acade 6 9 75 72 97 93 66 100 259 0.10
89 Brentsville Dist 11 7 60 105 78 86 95 80 261 0.10
90 Lake Braddock 2 13 85 20 126 88 40 134 262 0.10
91 Trinity Christia 3 7 107 63 87 79 102 86 267 0.10
92 First Colonial C 4 2 71 120 36 91 141 36 268 0.10
93 Chantilly 2 10 82 17 111 92 62 119 273 0.10
94 Lee-Davis 4 10 108 90 117 97 67 112 276 0.10
95 Norfolk Collegia 7 8 67 70 75 84 117 79 280 0.10
96 Eastern View 9 6 76 119 79 90 111 81 282 0.10
97 E.C. Glass 5 10 88 93 120 95 72 116 283 0.10
98 Woodbridge, VA 7 8 101 129 104 96 86 103 285 0.10
99 Hayfield 7 7 72 101 92 94 99 94 287 0.10
100 Monacan 6 7 114 130 93 89 105 95 289 0.10
101 Fredericksburg A 6 8 81 104 100 98 96 98 292 0.10
102 Stafford 4 11 111 99 130 105 64 125 294 0.10
103 William Byrd 6 9 110 131 114 100 87 107 294 0.10
104 Oakcrest School, 0 3 122 76 50 116 140 45 301 0.10
105 Blacksburg 3 12 132 115 136 114 58 133 305 0.10
106 Park View 5 9 115 75 89 111 98 96 305 0.10
107 St. Gertrude 3 12 84 51 125 103 78 124 305 0.10
108 John Champe 5 9 79 57 112 99 103 105 307 0.10
109 Powhatan 7 8 100 135 102 106 106 99 311 0.10
110 Fauquier 5 8 78 95 106 102 110 104 316 0.10
111 Fuqua School 4 5 109 121 80 101 133 82 316 0.10
112 Massaponax 2 14 117 86 145 113 61 146 320 0.10
113 Fairfax 3 9 91 47 105 110 101 111 322 0.10
114 Glen Allen 5 7 97 133 96 112 123 93 328 0.10
115 Middleburg Acade 2 3 113 146 42 143 145 41 329 0.10
116 Nansemond-Suffol 2 12 102 58 129 121 80 129 330 0.10
117 Potomac HS, VA 6 9 119 140 115 115 108 114 337 0.10
118 Wakefield HS, VA 6 11 87 81 108 104 126 109 339 0.10
119 Brooke Point 2 14 118 110 143 123 76 144 343 0.10
120 Liberty-Bealeton 3 9 90 97 118 118 113 118 349 0.10
121 North Cross Club 2 7 125 117 101 120 128 102 350 0.10
122 Thomas Jefferson 3 8 94 94 110 119 125 108 352 0.10
123 Charlottesville 2 14 124 98 144 126 85 142 353 0.10
124 Osbourn Park 2 13 112 65 140 125 94 140 359 0.10
125 Culpeper County 2 13 120 82 141 122 97 141 360 0.10
126 Fluvanna County 1 11 136 92 132 131 107 131 369 0.10
127 Manchester, VA 4 10 121 143 121 124 124 122 370 0.10
128 Christiansburg 2 10 137 132 122 129 121 121 371 0.10
129 Clover Hill 3 12 130 134 137 127 109 137 373 0.10
130 Falls Church 3 9 92 91 116 128 129 117 374 0.10
131 Matoaca 0 5 146 145 85 145 143 87 375 0.10
132 Thomas Dale 5 11 126 144 127 132 116 127 375 0.10
133 Wakefield School 1 8 129 102 113 134 135 110 379 0.10
134 Osbourn HS 3 14 131 122 142 135 104 143 382 0.10
135 Annandale 3 12 95 69 131 117 136 130 383 0.10
136 Chatham Hall 0 8 139 106 95 144 144 97 385 0.10
137 J.E.B. Stuart 2 9 123 103 119 130 137 120 387 0.10
138 Stonewall Jackso 1 11 138 112 134 133 119 136 388 0.10
139 Gar-Field 2 12 140 141 138 136 115 138 389 0.10
140 Christchurch Sch 0 14 135 74 146 139 114 145 398 0.10
141 Lee, Springfield 0 12 141 88 139 137 122 139 398 0.10
142 Mt. Vernon 1 11 127 84 133 138 130 135 403 0.10
143 Hermitage 0 11 143 128 135 140 132 132 404 0.10
144 William Fleming 0 10 144 136 128 141 139 128 408 0.10
145 Freedom, Woodbri 0 14 145 139 147 142 120 147 409 0.10
146 John Handley 0 2 86 16 22 146 146 24 0 0.10
147 St. Margaret's, 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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