girls probabilites for 12
2018 girls Connecticut
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Branford 19 3 6 17 7 5 4 5 14 0.10
2 Cheshire HS 17 4 7 15 8 6 3 6 15 0.10
3 Daniel Hand 19 4 5 13 5 3 13 3 19 1.00
4 New Fairfield 20 3 9 25 10 7 7 8 22 1.00
5 Pomperaug 17 4 12 23 11 10 6 9 25 0.10
6 Wilton 15 6 3 3 3 4 19 4 27 13.00
7 Fairfield Ludlow 12 7 10 8 12 16 2 12 30 1.00
8 Greenwich HS, CT 16 4 4 7 4 8 15 7 30 8.00
9 Fairfield Warde 12 7 11 6 9 12 5 15 32 0.10
10 East Catholic 17 3 21 56 13 13 12 11 36 0.10
11 North Branford 15 3 14 50 15 11 11 14 36 0.10
12 Staples 8 9 13 5 19 21 1 20 42 0.10
13 Darien 19 3 1 1 1 1 42 1 44 54.00
14 Joel Barlow 14 7 19 22 17 20 8 18 46 0.10
15 Guilford, CT 14 8 23 27 24 19 9 19 47 0.10
16 Ridgefield 14 7 8 4 6 9 29 10 48 2.00
17 Canton, CT 16 3 15 63 16 15 23 13 51 0.10
18 East Lyme 12 8 22 28 35 14 10 29 53 0.10
19 Newtown 12 7 16 21 20 23 17 23 63 0.10
20 Conard 10 7 17 20 25 22 21 21 64 0.10
21 Old Lyme 9 6 30 33 31 24 14 26 64 0.10
22 Glastonbury 9 8 18 9 14 17 37 17 71 0.10
23 Old Saybrook 12 6 26 48 29 25 27 27 79 0.10
24 Masuk 12 7 28 32 28 26 25 30 81 0.10
25 New Canaan 17 5 2 2 2 2 79 2 83 20.00
26 Brien McMahon 10 8 24 16 22 28 22 35 85 0.10
27 Mercy, CT 10 8 36 37 42 31 24 38 93 0.10
28 North Haven 11 7 38 44 30 32 34 32 98 0.10
29 Trumbull 7 10 29 14 40 37 16 45 98 0.10
30 Fitch 10 6 39 57 38 27 40 36 103 0.10
31 Granby Memorial, 13 5 35 67 23 33 50 22 105 0.10
32 Jonathan Law 12 5 31 59 26 35 51 24 110 0.10
33 Lauralton Hall 5 10 43 19 49 42 26 47 115 0.10
34 Stonington 14 5 27 45 33 18 69 28 115 0.10
35 Valley Regional 8 7 34 53 44 40 35 43 118 0.10
36 Weston, CT 9 9 37 24 41 39 39 41 119 0.10
37 Amity 6 10 57 35 52 45 32 46 123 0.10
38 Hall, West Hartf 10 7 32 43 37 38 47 40 125 0.10
39 Bacon Academy 12 6 40 64 39 34 58 34 126 0.10
40 Norwalk 3 13 51 12 57 53 20 64 137 0.10
41 St. Joseph, CT 10 8 20 11 21 30 76 31 137 0.10
42 Stratford, CT 9 10 53 42 48 51 36 50 137 0.10
43 Woodstock Academ 13 5 33 72 34 29 75 33 137 0.10
44 Somers, CT 7 10 61 58 64 50 33 55 138 0.10
45 Tolland 14 3 25 83 18 36 88 16 140 0.10
46 Stamford 3 13 63 10 60 58 18 65 141 0.10
47 Brookfield, CT 6 11 44 31 55 54 31 57 142 0.10
48 Shelton 8 10 52 52 50 52 41 49 142 0.10
49 Waterford, CT 6 11 56 54 73 47 30 70 147 0.10
50 Norwich Free Aca 10 7 45 68 45 41 65 44 150 0.10
51 Farmington, CT 6 10 47 36 56 49 44 58 151 0.10
52 Lewis Mills 11 4 59 89 27 43 83 25 151 0.10
53 Sheehan 10 7 49 66 43 46 66 42 154 0.10
54 Simsbury 7 9 42 30 46 44 59 51 154 0.10
55 Watertown, CT 8 9 72 85 61 60 43 53 156 0.10
56 South Windsor 8 9 41 41 47 48 61 48 157 0.10
57 Northwest Cathol 6 10 60 61 68 56 46 67 169 0.10
58 Bethel, CT 7 10 48 46 54 62 52 56 170 0.10
59 Morgan School 4 11 66 29 67 61 38 71 170 0.10
60 New Milford 6 10 55 38 62 59 54 59 172 0.10
61 Housatonic Regio 10 5 70 91 36 55 84 39 178 0.10
62 St. Paul Catholi 11 5 64 90 32 57 85 37 179 0.10
63 Suffield HS 4 11 73 60 72 67 45 72 184 0.10
64 Ellington 3 10 82 55 70 69 53 63 185 0.10
65 Bunnell 5 11 58 40 65 66 55 68 189 0.10
66 Ledyard 5 11 69 65 79 68 48 73 189 0.10
67 Berlin 6 10 67 71 69 63 62 66 191 0.10
68 Haddam-Killingwo 0 16 86 34 92 79 28 91 198 0.10
69 Sacred Heart Aca 8 9 50 69 58 65 73 60 198 0.10
70 Southington 6 9 46 49 59 64 78 61 203 0.10
71 Newington 6 10 75 62 66 71 72 62 205 0.10
72 Avon, CT 4 12 62 47 82 70 56 81 207 0.10
73 Griswold 6 10 74 81 71 72 68 69 209 0.10
74 Danbury 2 14 65 18 76 76 49 85 210 0.10
75 Westhill, CT 4 12 54 26 63 73 63 75 211 0.10
76 RHAM 4 12 79 74 85 74 64 82 220 0.10
77 Rocky Hill HS 4 11 78 75 80 75 71 74 220 0.10
78 Immaculate Heart 2 13 71 39 83 78 60 83 221 0.10
79 Notre Dame-Fairf 2 13 84 51 84 81 57 84 222 0.10
80 St. Bernard, CT 5 8 80 84 53 82 91 52 225 0.10
81 Windsor, CT 4 11 77 77 74 77 74 77 228 0.10
82 Foran 5 11 68 76 77 80 80 78 238 0.10
83 Wheeler, CT 1 8 91 82 51 92 92 54 238 0.10
84 Lyman Hall 3 13 81 73 86 84 70 87 241 0.10
85 Wolcott 2 13 90 87 88 87 67 88 242 0.10
86 Montville, CT 3 13 85 78 87 83 77 86 246 0.10
87 Bristol Co-Op, C 5 11 87 86 75 85 89 76 250 0.10
88 Holy Cross, CT 3 11 89 92 81 88 86 80 254 0.10
89 Hamden 5 11 76 79 78 86 90 79 255 0.10
90 West Haven 2 14 83 70 90 89 81 90 260 0.10
91 Rockville, CT 2 14 88 80 89 90 82 89 261 0.10
92 Amistad Academy 0 14 92 88 91 91 87 92 270 0.10
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