Region = MD    4A               
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Kaitlyn Fuller        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.4753876    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Northeast, MD          MD    3A      ( 6- 9, 75.8)    16- 2   
 326 H St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 87.7)    10-11   
 329 N Good Counsel           DC    WCAC    (14- 7, 93.1)     8-12   
 331 N Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (13- 9, 89.8)     9-10   
 404 H Chesapeake, AA         MD    3A      (11- 5, 83.9)    12- 6   
 410 A Marriotts Ridge        MD    2A      (13- 3, 96.8)     9-12   
 413 A Annapolis, MD          MD    4A      ( 7- 9, 77.9)    13- 5   
 414 A Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 78.7)    11- 9   
 417 H Centennial, MD         MD    3A      ( 4-10, 78.9)    15- 7   
 420 H Broadneck              MD    4A      ( 8- 8, 86.9)    13- 5   
 423 H Arundel                MD    4A      (10- 6, 86.2)    17- 3   
 427 H Southern, Anne Arundel MD    2A      (13- 4, 88.7)    13- 2   
 501 A South River            MD    4A      (18- 2, 95.1)     9- 8   
 504 H Old Mill               MD    4A      ( 8- 8, 77.3)    17- 2   
 507 N South River            MD    4A      (18- 2, 95.1)     5-11   
 511 H Old Mill               MD    4A      ( 8- 8, 77.3)    17- 3   
 514 H Arundel                MD    4A      (10- 6, 86.2)    11- 9   
 516 H South River            MD    4A      (18- 2, 95.1)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Northeast, MD          16- 2      14    15           0.00
   326 H St. Mary's, MD         10-11      -1     5          n/a  
   329 N Good Counsel            8-12      -4    -1          n/a  
   331 N Roland Park Country     9-10      -1     2          n/a  
   404 H Chesapeake, AA         12- 6       6     9    -     -3.29
   410 A Marriotts Ridge         9-12      -3    -5    +      2.83
   413 A Annapolis, MD          13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   414 A Severn School          11- 9       2    12          n/a  
   417 H Centennial, MD         15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00
   420 H Broadneck              13- 5       8     6           1.72
   423 H Arundel                17- 3      14     6    +      3.07
   427 H Southern, Anne Arundel 13- 2      11     4    ++     5.60
   501 A South River             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.07
   504 H Old Mill               17- 2      15    15           0.00
   507 N South River             5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.01
   511 H Old Mill               17- 3      14    15           0.00
   514 H Arundel                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.93
   516 H South River             6- 8      -2    -1          -0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H St. Mary's, MD         10-11      -1     5    ---        
   414 A Severn School          11- 9       2    12    ---        
   514 H Arundel                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.93
   329 N Good Counsel            8-12      -4    -1    -          
   331 N Roland Park Country     9-10      -1     2    -          
   404 H Chesapeake, AA         12- 6       6     9    -     -3.29
   413 A Annapolis, MD          13- 5       8    13    -     -2.00
   417 H Centennial, MD         15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00
   507 N South River             5-11      -6    -2    -     -3.01

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Southern, Anne Arundel 13- 2      11     4    ++     5.60
   501 A South River             9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.07
   410 A Marriotts Ridge         9-12      -3    -5    +      2.83
   423 H Arundel                17- 3      14     6    +      3.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.07 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.70 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.68 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/