Region = MD    IAAM A           
   Nickname = D Cavaliers            Coach  =   Don Restly/Tara Shea  

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8875122    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Stone Ridge CDS        DC    ISL AA  (12- 4, 96.8)    15- 3   
 316 H Mount de Sales, MD     MD    IAAM A  ( 6-11, 80.7)    14- 2   
 317 H Holy Child, MD         DC    ISL AA  ( 8- 7, 86.5)    16- 8   
 326 A Maryvale Prep          MD    IAAM A  ( 9- 8, 86.7)     6-14   
 328 H Roland Park Country    MD    IAAM A  (13- 9, 89.8)    10- 9   
 403 H Notre Dame Prep, MD    MD    IAAM A  (17- 4, 94.3)     5- 7   
 406 A Glenelg Country School MD    IAAM A  (12- 5, 91.8)     8-12   
 407 H Holton-Arms School     DC    ISL AA  (15- 6, 94.0)    11-10   
 411 A Severn School          MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 78.7)     5- 4   
 418 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 7, 90.9)    12-11  o
 420 H McDonogh School        MD    IAAM A  (21- 1, 99.9)     6-10   
 423 A Bryn Mawr SG           MD    IAAM A  (11- 6, 89.8)    12-11   
 425 A St. Mary's, MD         MD    IAAM A  (10- 8, 87.7)     7- 6   
 427 A Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 0-17, 73.5)    11- 7   
 430 H John Carroll, MD       MD    IAAM A  ( 9-10, 85.6)    14- 2   
 501 H Kent Island            MD    2A      (14- 5, 88.8)    15- 6   
 504 H Garrison Forest        MD    IAAM A  ( 0-17, 73.5)    18- 9   
 507 H St. Paul's SG, MD      MD    IAAM A  (13- 7, 90.9)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Stone Ridge CDS        15- 3      12    -4          n/a  
   316 H Mount de Sales, MD     14- 2      12    11           0.00
   317 H Holy Child, MD         16- 8       8     5          n/a  
   326 A Maryvale Prep           6-14      -8     2    ---  -10.37
   328 H Roland Park Country    10- 9       1     2          -1.07
   403 H Notre Dame Prep, MD     5- 7      -2    -2           0.38
   406 A Glenelg Country School  8-12      -4    -2          -1.37
   407 H Holton-Arms School     11-10       1    -1          n/a  
   411 A Severn School           5- 4       1    10    ---   -9.00
   418 H St. Paul's SG, MD      12-11  o    1     1          -0.06
   420 H McDonogh School         6-10      -4    -7    +      3.99
   423 A Bryn Mawr SG           12-11       1     0           1.64
   425 A St. Mary's, MD          7- 6       1     1          -0.45
   427 A Garrison Forest        11- 7       4    15    ---   -6.00
   430 H John Carroll, MD       14- 2      12     6    +      3.66
   501 H Kent Island            15- 6       9     2          n/a  
   504 H Garrison Forest        18- 9       9    18          -1.00
   507 H St. Paul's SG, MD       9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Maryvale Prep           6-14      -8     2    ---  -10.37
   411 A Severn School           5- 4       1    10    ---   -9.00
   427 A Garrison Forest        11- 7       4    15    ---   -6.00
   507 H St. Paul's SG, MD       9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Stone Ridge CDS        15- 3      12    -4    +++        
   501 H Kent Island            15- 6       9     2    +++        
   317 H Holy Child, MD         16- 8       8     5    +          
   407 H Holton-Arms School     11-10       1    -1    +          
   420 H McDonogh School         6-10      -4    -7    +      3.99
   430 H John Carroll, MD       14- 2      12     6    +      3.66
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.51 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.03 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/