Region = NY D  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Erin Lloyd            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7003174    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H Glens Falls            NY D  Sec 2   ( 2- 8, 67.6)    20- 3   
 411 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 99.9)     5-16   
 413 H South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 7, 74.0)    19- 4   
 417 H Burnt Hills-Ballston L NY C  Sec 2   (12- 7, 90.0)    10-11   
 423 H Albany Academy SG      NY C  Sec 2   (13- 5, 88.4)    10-11   
 427 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (14- 4, 99.9)    10-19   
 430 H South Glens Falls      NY C  Sec 2   ( 7- 7, 74.0)    24- 5   
 502 A Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   (12- 4, 83.1)    14- 4   
 504 A Johnstown              NY D  Sec 2   ( 8- 6, 74.0)    20- 5   
 505 H Ballston Spa           NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 7, 87.4)    13-17   
 514 H Scotia-Glenville       NY C  Sec 2   (12- 4, 83.1)    16- 6   
 518 H Greenwich, NY          NY D  Sec 2   ( 0- 9, 60.4)    22- 2   
 521 A Johnstown              NY D  Sec 2   ( 8- 6, 74.0)    24- 4   
 530 N Bronxville             NY D  Sec 1   (18- 5, 92.8)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Glens Falls            20- 3      17    21           0.00
   411 A Queensbury              5-16     -11   -11           0.00
   413 H South Glens Falls      19- 4      15    15           0.00
   417 H Burnt Hills-Ballston L 10-11      -1     0          -0.35
   423 H Albany Academy SG      10-11      -1     0          -1.88
   427 H Queensbury             10-19      -9   -10           1.00
   430 H South Glens Falls      24- 5      19    15           0.00
   502 A Scotia-Glenville       14- 4      10     4    ++     5.15
   504 A Johnstown              20- 5      15    13           0.00
   505 H Ballston Spa           13-17      -4     1    --    -5.91
   514 H Scotia-Glenville       16- 6      10     6    +      3.76
   518 H Greenwich, NY          22- 2      20    28           0.00
   521 A Johnstown              24- 4      20    13           0.00
   530 N Bronxville              4-13      -9    -4          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 H Ballston Spa           13-17      -4     1    --    -5.91
   530 N Bronxville              4-13      -9    -4    --         

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Scotia-Glenville       14- 4      10     4    ++     5.15
   514 H Scotia-Glenville       16- 6      10     6    +      3.76
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.61 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.16 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.3
/