Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Bushmen              Coach  =   Kevin Blackwell       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.6340027    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 322 H New Paltz              NY C  Sec 9   ( 0-13, 73.8)    11- 6   
 324 A Valley Central         NY B  Sec 9   (11- 6, 90.7)     3-12   
 326 A Saugerties             NY C  Sec 9   (11- 5, 89.6)     2-11   
 403 A F.D. Roosevelt, NY     NY B  Sec 9   ( 3-11, 77.9)     9- 5   
 405 H Warwick, NY            NY B  Sec 9   (14- 5, 94.6)     7-17   
 410 H Minisink Valley        NY B  Sec 9   (13- 4, 95.8)    10-15   
 418 H Middletown, NY         NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-11, 73.7)    14- 3   
 420 A Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (15- 2, 99.9)     3-19   
 423 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 8, 92.7)     3-19   
 430 A Newburgh Free Acad     NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-14, 74.0)    11- 7   
 501 A Middletown, NY         NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-11, 73.7)    10-11   
 503 H Kingston               NY A  Sec 9   (15- 2, 99.9)     1-19   
 509 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   ( 8- 8, 92.7)     5-16   
 511 H Newburgh Free Acad     NY A  Sec 9   ( 1-14, 74.0)     9- 4   
 514 A Washingtonville        NY B  Sec 9   ( 1-11, 73.9)     9- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 H New Paltz              11- 6       5     7    -     -2.48
   324 A Valley Central          3-12      -9   -10           1.00
   326 A Saugerties              2-11      -9    -9           0.51
   403 A F.D. Roosevelt, NY      9- 5       4     2           1.74
   405 H Warwick, NY             7-17     -10   -13           0.00
   410 H Minisink Valley        10-15      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   418 H Middletown, NY         14- 3      11     7    +      2.42
   420 A Kingston                3-19     -16   -19           0.00
   423 H Monroe-Woodbury         3-19     -16   -11           0.00
   430 A Newburgh Free Acad     11- 7       4     6    -     -2.12
   501 A Middletown, NY         10-11      -1     6    ---   -7.39
   503 H Kingston                1-19     -18   -18           0.00
   509 A Monroe-Woodbury         5-16     -11   -12           0.00
   511 H Newburgh Free Acad      9- 4       5     7    -     -2.32
   514 A Washingtonville         9- 8       1     6    --    -5.19

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Middletown, NY         10-11      -1     6    ---   -7.39
   514 A Washingtonville         9- 8       1     6    --    -5.19
   322 H New Paltz              11- 6       5     7    -     -2.48
   430 A Newburgh Free Acad     11- 7       4     6    -     -2.12
   511 H Newburgh Free Acad      9- 4       5     7    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Minisink Valley        10-15      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   418 H Middletown, NY         14- 3      11     7    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.72 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.74 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/