Region = MA    C/W D2           
   Nickname = A Mustangs             Coach  =   Lauren J. Smith       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   66.1718216    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 A Pope Francis HS        MA    C/W D2  ( 2-10, 57.2)     8- 8   
 410 H Chicopee               MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 9, 62.9)     4- 8   
 412 A Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  (18- 5, 71.6)    11-16   
 419 A Granby, MA             MA    C/W D2  ( 2-14, 60.0)     8-16   
 421 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)     6-17   
 423 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 64.7)     4-17   
 426 H Shepherd Hill          MA    C/W D1  (11-10, 72.0)     5-18   
 503 A St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    C/W D2  ( 0-18, 49.7)    16- 4   
 509 H Springfield Central    MA    C/W D2  ( 0-13, 50.9)    21- 5   
 511 A Chicopee               MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 9, 62.9)     6-11   
 514 H Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  (18- 5, 71.6)    14-15   
 516 H Pope Francis HS        MA    C/W D2  ( 2-10, 57.2)    20-18   
 521 A Springfield Central    MA    C/W D2  ( 0-13, 50.9)    17- 3   
 522 A Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 8, 66.9)    11-18   
 523 H St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    C/W D2  ( 0-18, 49.7)    15- 5   
 524 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 8, 66.9)     9-16   
 525 A Shepherd Hill          MA    C/W D1  (11-10, 72.0)     0-19   
 530 H Wahconah Regional      MA    C/W D2  (10-11, 69.8)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Pope Francis HS         8- 8       0     1          -1.61
   410 H Chicopee                4- 8      -4    -2          -1.64
   412 A Chicopee Comp          11-16      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   419 A Granby, MA              8-16      -8    -1    ---   -6.72
   421 H Northampton, MA         6-17     -11   -12           0.00
   423 A South Hadley            4-17     -13    -5    --    -4.02
   426 H Shepherd Hill           5-18     -13   -11           0.00
   503 A St. Mary's, Westfield  16- 4      12     9           0.99
   509 H Springfield Central    21- 5      16     9           0.36
   511 A Chicopee                6-11      -5    -4          -0.87
   514 H Chicopee Comp          14-15      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   516 H Pope Francis HS        20-18       2     3          -1.38
   521 A Springfield Central    17- 3      14     7    +      2.13
   522 A Belchertown            11-18      -7    -8           1.17
   523 H St. Mary's, Westfield  15- 5      10    10           0.00
   524 H Belchertown             9-16      -7    -6          -0.60
   525 A Shepherd Hill           0-19     -19   -13           0.00
   530 H Wahconah Regional       5-13      -8    -9           1.28

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A Granby, MA              8-16      -8    -1    ---   -6.72
   423 A South Hadley            4-17     -13    -5    --    -4.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Chicopee Comp          14-15      -1   -11    +++    9.00
   412 A Chicopee Comp          11-16      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   521 A Springfield Central    17- 3      14     7    +      2.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 59.65 Local Power Rank...........   191
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.26 Local SOS Rank.............   205
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............   185
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   126
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   169
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -11.3
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