Region = MA    No D1            
   Nickname = A Chieftains           Coach  =   Alan McCarthy         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3893890    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 A Central Catholic, MA   MA    No D1   (15- 5, 88.9)     9-10   
 405 H Marblehead             MA    No D1   (16- 5, 91.8)    11- 6   
 409 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (11-10, 86.4)    10-12   
 411 A Triton Regional, MA    MA    No D2   ( 5-13, 70.3)    12- 1   
 413 H Georgetown, MA         MA    No D2   (11-10, 75.6)    17- 6   
 417 H Lynnfield              MA    No D2   (12- 8, 81.5)    11- 3   
 424 A Pentucket Regional     MA    No D2   (11- 6, 83.7)    15- 4   
 426 H Newburyport            MA    No D2   (23- 1, 96.5)     6-12   
 430 A Beverly                MA    No D1   (12- 8, 83.1)    13- 9   
 502 A Manchester-Essex       MA    No D2   (17- 4, 90.0)    12-11   
 504 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA    No D2   ( 8- 9, 77.3)    17- 7   
 508 H North Reading          MA    No D2   ( 4-12, 68.9)    17- 3   
 510 A Newburyport            MA    No D2   (23- 1, 96.5)     9-13   
 514 H Ipswich                MA    No D2   (13- 6, 86.4)    13- 9   
 516 H Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (22- 2, 99.9)     5-19   
 518 H Acton-Boxborough       MA    East D1 ( 2-16, 76.8)     9- 5   
 521 A Chelmsford             MA    No D1   (22- 3, 93.8)    11-17   
 524 H Andover, MA            MA    No D1   (14- 8, 88.5)    10- 7   
 605 H North Andover          MA    No D1   (11-10, 86.4)     8- 6   
 607 A Marblehead             MA    No D1   (16- 5, 91.8)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Central Catholic, MA    9-10      -1    -1           0.21
   405 H Marblehead             11- 6       5    -2    +++    7.41
   409 A North Andover          10-12      -2     1    -     -3.29
   411 A Triton Regional, MA    12- 1      11    17           0.00
   413 H Georgetown, MA         17- 6      11    13           0.00
   417 H Lynnfield              11- 3       8     7           0.09
   424 A Pentucket Regional     15- 4      11     3    +++    6.05
   426 H Newburyport             6-12      -6    -7           1.05
   430 A Beverly                13- 9       4     4          -0.57
   502 A Manchester-Essex       12-11       1    -2    +      3.38
   504 H Hamilton-Wenham        17- 7      10    12           0.00
   508 H North Reading          17- 3      14    20           0.00
   510 A Newburyport             9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.81
   514 H Ipswich                13- 9       4     2           1.03
   516 H Notre Dame, Hingham     5-19     -14   -10           0.00
   518 H Acton-Boxborough        9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   521 A Chelmsford             11-17      -6    -6           0.19
   524 H Andover, MA            10- 7       3     0    +      2.06
   605 H North Andover           8- 6       2     3          -1.06
   607 A Marblehead             11-12      -1    -4    +      3.17

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Acton-Boxborough        9- 5       4    12    ---   -6.00
   409 A North Andover          10-12      -2     1    -     -3.29

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Marblehead             11- 6       5    -2    +++    7.41
   424 A Pentucket Regional     15- 4      11     3    +++    6.05
   510 A Newburyport             9-13      -4    -8    ++     4.81
   502 A Manchester-Essex       12-11       1    -2    +      3.38
   524 H Andover, MA            10- 7       3     0    +      2.06
   607 A Marblehead             11-12      -1    -4    +      3.17
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.54 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.22 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   114
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    37
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/