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Region = MA No D1 Nickname = A Chieftains Coach = Alan McCarthyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.3893890 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Central Catholic, MA MA No D1 (15- 5, 88.9) 9-10 405 H Marblehead MA No D1 (16- 5, 91.8) 11- 6 409 A North Andover MA No D1 (11-10, 86.4) 10-12 411 A Triton Regional, MA MA No D2 ( 5-13, 70.3) 12- 1 413 H Georgetown, MA MA No D2 (11-10, 75.6) 17- 6 417 H Lynnfield MA No D2 (12- 8, 81.5) 11- 3 424 A Pentucket Regional MA No D2 (11- 6, 83.7) 15- 4 426 H Newburyport MA No D2 (23- 1, 96.5) 6-12 430 A Beverly MA No D1 (12- 8, 83.1) 13- 9 502 A Manchester-Essex MA No D2 (17- 4, 90.0) 12-11 504 H Hamilton-Wenham MA No D2 ( 8- 9, 77.3) 17- 7 508 H North Reading MA No D2 ( 4-12, 68.9) 17- 3 510 A Newburyport MA No D2 (23- 1, 96.5) 9-13 514 H Ipswich MA No D2 (13- 6, 86.4) 13- 9 516 H Notre Dame, Hingham MA So D1 (22- 2, 99.9) 5-19 518 H Acton-Boxborough MA East D1 ( 2-16, 76.8) 9- 5 521 A Chelmsford MA No D1 (22- 3, 93.8) 11-17 524 H Andover, MA MA No D1 (14- 8, 88.5) 10- 7 605 H North Andover MA No D1 (11-10, 86.4) 8- 6 607 A Marblehead MA No D1 (16- 5, 91.8) 11-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Central Catholic, MA 9-10 -1 -1 0.21 405 H Marblehead 11- 6 5 -2 +++ 7.41 409 A North Andover 10-12 -2 1 - -3.29 411 A Triton Regional, MA 12- 1 11 17 0.00 413 H Georgetown, MA 17- 6 11 13 0.00 417 H Lynnfield 11- 3 8 7 0.09 424 A Pentucket Regional 15- 4 11 3 +++ 6.05 426 H Newburyport 6-12 -6 -7 1.05 430 A Beverly 13- 9 4 4 -0.57 502 A Manchester-Essex 12-11 1 -2 + 3.38 504 H Hamilton-Wenham 17- 7 10 12 0.00 508 H North Reading 17- 3 14 20 0.00 510 A Newburyport 9-13 -4 -8 ++ 4.81 514 H Ipswich 13- 9 4 2 1.03 516 H Notre Dame, Hingham 5-19 -14 -10 0.00 518 H Acton-Boxborough 9- 5 4 12 --- -6.00 521 A Chelmsford 11-17 -6 -6 0.19 524 H Andover, MA 10- 7 3 0 + 2.06 605 H North Andover 8- 6 2 3 -1.06 607 A Marblehead 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.17UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 518 H Acton-Boxborough 9- 5 4 12 --- -6.00 409 A North Andover 10-12 -2 1 - -3.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 H Marblehead 11- 6 5 -2 +++ 7.41 424 A Pentucket Regional 15- 4 11 3 +++ 6.05 510 A Newburyport 9-13 -4 -8 ++ 4.81 502 A Manchester-Essex 12-11 1 -2 + 3.38 524 H Andover, MA 10- 7 3 0 + 2.06 607 A Marblehead 11-12 -1 -4 + 3.17/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.54 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 69.22 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 19 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 114 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 37 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3