Region = MA    East D1          
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Paul Morrison         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.0786514    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 A Marblehead             MA    No D1   (16- 5, 91.8)    15-11   
 410 A Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (10-11, 84.3)    15-10   
 412 A Weston, MA             MA    East D2 (11-10, 81.4)    17- 7   
 417 H Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (22- 2, 99.9)     6-15   
 423 H Wayland                MA    East D2 (21- 3, 94.5)    14-16   
 425 H Waltham                MA    East D1 ( 1-16, 69.9)    19-14   
 427 H Acton-Boxborough       MA    East D1 ( 2-16, 76.8)    19- 8   
 430 H Needham                MA    So D1   (14- 8, 92.8)     7- 9   
 501 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (14- 7, 91.8)    13-10   
 503 A Winchester             MA    No D1   (14- 5, 86.2)    13- 7   
 508 H Westford Academy       MA    No D1   (10-11, 84.3)    15-12   
 510 H Newton South           MA    East D1 (13- 6, 85.7)    15-16   
 517 A Wayland                MA    East D2 (21- 3, 94.5)    14-11   
 521 A North Andover          MA    No D1   (11-10, 86.4)    12- 8   
 522 A Acton-Boxborough       MA    East D1 ( 2-16, 76.8)    17- 6   
 523 H Austin Prep, MA        MA    No D2   (12- 8, 80.7)    15- 7   
 528 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    MA    East D1 (14- 7, 91.8)     9-12   
 529 A Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (11- 9, 87.6)    20-12   
 530 H Boston Latin School    MA    No D1   (17- 3, 86.3)     0- 1   
 606 H Hopkinton, MA          MA    East D2 (11- 9, 85.2)    14- 8   
 611 A Franklin, MA           MA    East D1 (14- 6, 91.6)    14-10   
 614 N Walpole                MA    East D1 (23- 1, 98.5)    11-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Marblehead             15-11       4    -1    ++     5.11
   410 A Westford Academy       15-10       5     6          -1.43
   412 A Weston, MA             17- 7      10     9           0.67
   417 H Notre Dame, Hingham     6-15      -9    -7          -1.58
   423 H Wayland                14-16      -2    -1          -0.02
   425 H Waltham                19-14       5    22    --    -5.00
   427 H Acton-Boxborough       19- 8      11    15           0.00
   430 H Needham                 7- 9      -2     0          -1.71
   501 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    13-10       3     0    +      2.34
   503 A Winchester             13- 7       6     4           1.53
   508 H Westford Academy       15-12       3     8    --    -5.20
   510 H Newton South           15-16      -1     6    ---   -7.81
   517 A Wayland                14-11       3    -3    +++    6.75
   521 A North Andover          12- 8       4     4          -0.35
   522 A Acton-Boxborough       17- 6      11    13           0.00
   523 H Austin Prep, MA        15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00
   528 A Lincoln-Sudbury, MA     9-12      -3    -1          -1.89
   529 A Algonquin              20-12       8     3    ++     4.92
   606 H Hopkinton, MA          14- 8       6     7          -1.25
   611 A Franklin, MA           14-10       4     0    ++     4.85
   614 N Walpole                11-15      -4    -6    +      2.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 H Newton South           15-16      -1     6    ---   -7.81
   425 H Waltham                19-14       5    22    --    -5.00
   508 H Westford Academy       15-12       3     8    --    -5.20
   523 H Austin Prep, MA        15- 7       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   517 A Wayland                14-11       3    -3    +++    6.75
   409 A Marblehead             15-11       4    -1    ++     5.11
   529 A Algonquin              20-12       8     3    ++     4.92
   611 A Franklin, MA           14-10       4     0    ++     4.85
   501 H Lincoln-Sudbury, MA    13-10       3     0    +      2.34
   614 N Walpole                11-15      -4    -6    +      2.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.60 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.93 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/