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Region = VA 5A North Nickname = A Falcons Coach = Robyn Freedman-SchnappGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.9297943 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 313 A Heritage, VA VA 4A North ( 1-13, 68.8) 21- 6 323 H Loudoun Valley VA 4A North ( 4-11, 77.2) 15- 9 402 H Loudoun County VA 4A North ( 7- 8, 80.3) 19-18 403 A Dominion VA 4A North (17- 2, 96.2) 5-19 406 A Riverside, VA VA 4A North (18- 2, 96.1) 5-18 411 A Westfield, VA VA 6A North ( 5-10, 79.3) 21-19 413 A Stone Bridge VA 5A North ( 7- 9, 81.4) 12-15 420 A Broad Run VA 5A North ( 2-12, 69.8) 14- 6 426 H Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 8-19 501 H John Champe VA 5A North ( 5- 9, 73.5) 20- 9 502 A Brentsville District VA 4A North (11- 7, 77.5) 26- 9 504 H Potomac Falls VA 5A North (15- 7, 87.0) 14-17 508 A Tuscarora, VA VA 5A North ( 6- 8, 77.0) 14- 8 511 H Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 16-17 515 A Rock Ridge VA 5A North (10- 6, 85.9) 12-11 517 N Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 10-12 522 A Thomas Edison, VA VA 5A North (11- 4, 79.7) 13-10 524 A Freedom, South Riding VA 5A North (19- 4, 90.9) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 A Heritage, VA 21- 6 15 14 0.00 323 H Loudoun Valley 15- 9 6 7 -1.88 402 H Loudoun County 19-18 1 4 - -3.75 403 A Dominion 5-19 -14 -13 0.00 406 A Riverside, VA 5-18 -13 -12 0.00 411 A Westfield, VA 21-19 2 3 -1.77 413 A Stone Bridge 12-15 -3 1 -- -4.68 420 A Broad Run 14- 6 8 13 - -2.00 426 H Freedom, South Riding 8-19 -11 -5 -- -4.11 501 H John Champe 20- 9 11 11 0.00 502 A Brentsville District 26- 9 17 5 ++ 4.43 504 H Potomac Falls 14-17 -3 -1 -1.02 508 A Tuscarora, VA 14- 8 6 6 -0.13 511 H Rock Ridge 16-17 -1 0 -0.20 515 A Rock Ridge 12-11 1 -2 + 3.74 517 N Freedom, South Riding 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.86 522 A Thomas Edison, VA 13-10 3 3 -0.44 524 A Freedom, South Riding 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A Stone Bridge 12-15 -3 1 -- -4.68 426 H Freedom, South Riding 8-19 -11 -5 -- -4.11 402 H Loudoun County 19-18 1 4 - -3.75 420 A Broad Run 14- 6 8 13 - -2.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 502 A Brentsville District 26- 9 17 5 ++ 4.43 517 N Freedom, South Riding 10-12 -2 -6 ++ 4.86 524 A Freedom, South Riding 9-11 -2 -7 ++ 5.83 515 A Rock Ridge 12-11 1 -2 + 3.74/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 84.09 Local Power Rank........... 31 Local SOS Rating......... 63.28 Local SOS Rank............. 35 Local RPI Rating......... 0.56 Local RPI Rank............. 41 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 15 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 69 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -13.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -13.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3