Region = VT    DI               
   Nickname = T Colonels             Coach  =   Michael Lonergan      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.1177673    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Kearsarge Regional     NH    DIII    (10- 7, 84.8)    14-13   
 412 A Woodstock Union        VT    DII     ( 3-12, 80.7)    16- 9   
 414 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 8, 66.9)    15- 3   
 418 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    11-10   
 430 A Burr & Burton Academy  VT    DI      ( 9-10, 92.1)    11-13   
 503 A Wahconah Regional      MA    C/W D2  (10-11, 69.8)    17-15   
 504 A Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  (11- 8, 72.1)    16-11   
 510 H Mt. Anthony Union      VT    DI      (12- 5, 94.9)    12-11   
 511 A Hartford               VT    DII     (13- 4, 89.4)    16- 5   
 515 H Woodstock Union        VT    DII     ( 3-12, 80.7)    13- 2   
 517 H Burr & Burton Academy  VT    DI      ( 9-10, 92.1)    16-10   
 518 H Rutland                VT    DI      ( 8- 9, 90.3)    11-12   
 519 H Keene                  NH    DI      ( 5-11, 77.4)    18- 8   
 521 H Champlain Valley Union VT    DI      (16- 3, 99.9)    11-13   
 523 A Mt. Anthony Union      VT    DI      (12- 5, 94.9)    13- 5   
 526 A Rutland                VT    DI      ( 8- 9, 90.3)    17- 9   
 602 H Rutland                VT    DI      ( 8- 9, 90.3)     8- 7  o
 606 H Middlebury Union       VT    DI      (14- 3, 99.6)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Kearsarge Regional     14-13       1    11          n/a  
   412 A Woodstock Union        16- 9       7    15    -     -3.00
   414 H Belchertown            15- 3      12    31          n/a  
   418 A Northampton, MA        11-10       1    22          n/a  
   430 A Burr & Burton Academy  11-13      -2     4    ---   -6.16
   503 A Wahconah Regional      17-15       2    26          n/a  
   504 A Amherst-Pelham         16-11       5    24          n/a  
   510 H Mt. Anthony Union      12-11       1     3    -     -2.12
   511 A Hartford               16- 5      11     6    +      3.14
   515 H Woodstock Union        13- 2      11    17           0.00
   517 H Burr & Burton Academy  16-10       6     5           0.10
   518 H Rutland                11-12      -1     7    ---   -8.65
   519 H Keene                  18- 8      10    20          n/a  
   521 H Champlain Valley Union 11-13      -2    -1          -0.09
   523 A Mt. Anthony Union      13- 5       8     1    +++    6.62
   526 A Rutland                17- 9       8     5    +      2.09
   602 H Rutland                 8- 7  o    1     7    ---   -6.65
   606 H Middlebury Union        6- 7      -1    -1           0.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Kearsarge Regional     14-13       1    11    ---        
   418 A Northampton, MA        11-10       1    22    ---        
   430 A Burr & Burton Academy  11-13      -2     4    ---   -6.16
   503 A Wahconah Regional      17-15       2    26    ---        
   518 H Rutland                11-12      -1     7    ---   -8.65
   602 H Rutland                 8- 7  o    1     7    ---   -6.65
   504 A Amherst-Pelham         16-11       5    24    --         
   412 A Woodstock Union        16- 9       7    15    -     -3.00
   510 H Mt. Anthony Union      12-11       1     3    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   523 A Mt. Anthony Union      13- 5       8     1    +++    6.62
   511 A Hartford               16- 5      11     6    +      3.14
   526 A Rutland                17- 9       8     5    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.11 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.37 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    9.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/