Region = MA    C/W D2           
   Nickname = A Orioles              Coach  =   Jeff Bowers           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.0915680    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 329 H Chicopee               MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 9, 62.9)    12- 7   
 409 H Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  (18- 5, 71.6)    10-12   
 412 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  (11- 8, 72.1)     8-10   
 414 A Brattleboro Union      VT    DI      (14- 4, 97.1)     3-15   
 424 H Pope Francis HS        MA    C/W D2  ( 2-10, 57.2)    13- 6   
 430 A Chicopee               MA    C/W D2  ( 9- 9, 62.9)     5- 7   
 501 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 64.7)    16-12   
 508 H St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    C/W D2  ( 0-18, 49.7)    18- 1   
 509 H Lee, MA                MA    C/W D2  ( 5-11, 60.4)    14-13   
 510 A Chicopee Comp          MA    C/W D2  (18- 5, 71.6)     6-11   
 514 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D2  ( 6-13, 64.7)    10-13   
 516 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  ( 8-12, 73.4)    13-20   
 518 A Pope Francis HS        MA    C/W D2  ( 2-10, 57.2)    17- 9   
 522 H Monson                 MA    C/W D2  ( 5-12, 59.6)    18-11   
 524 A Monson                 MA    C/W D2  ( 5-12, 59.6)    16- 9   
 531 A St. Mary's, Westfield  MA    C/W D2  ( 0-18, 49.7)    18- 5   
 605 N Notre Dame, Worcester  MA    C/W D2  (12- 8, 71.5)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Chicopee               12- 7       5     4           0.08
   409 H Chicopee Comp          10-12      -2    -3           1.78
   412 H Amherst-Pelham          8-10      -2    -4    +      2.32
   414 A Brattleboro Union       3-15     -12   -31          n/a  
   424 H Pope Francis HS        13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00
   430 A Chicopee                5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.16
   501 A South Hadley           16-12       4     1    +      2.69
   508 H St. Mary's, Westfield  18- 1      17    18           0.00
   509 H Lee, MA                14-13       1     7    ---   -6.45
   510 A Chicopee Comp           6-11      -5    -5           0.55
   514 H South Hadley           10-13      -3     3    ---   -6.08
   516 A Northampton, MA        13-20      -7    -7           0.32
   518 A Pope Francis HS        17- 9       8     8          -0.90
   522 H Monson                 18-11       7     8          -1.17
   524 A Monson                 16- 9       7     6           0.60
   531 A St. Mary's, Westfield  18- 5      13    16           0.00
   605 N Notre Dame, Worcester   7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Lee, MA                14-13       1     7    ---   -6.45
   514 H South Hadley           10-13      -3     3    ---   -6.08
   430 A Chicopee                5- 7      -2     3    --    -5.16
   605 N Notre Dame, Worcester   7-17     -10    -4    --    -5.39
   424 H Pope Francis HS        13- 6       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Amherst-Pelham          8-10      -2    -4    +      2.32
   501 A South Hadley           16-12       4     1    +      2.69
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.93 Local Power Rank...........   160
 Local SOS Rating......... 35.95 Local SOS Rank.............   193
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   141
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    88
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
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