girls probabilites for 31
 
 

2017 girls MD-Public

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Glenelg HS 20 0 1 13 1 1 6 1 8 52.00 2 Fallston 15 4 11 23 4 4 1 9 14 0.10 3 Severna Park 17 3 5 15 3 2 12 5 19 2.00 4 Westminster, MD 14 3 6 8 6 5 15 8 28 3.00 5 Marriotts Ridge 13 4 2 6 2 3 28 4 35 26.00 6 C. M. Wright 10 7 10 12 20 10 7 19 36 0.10 7 Huntingtown 15 2 18 50 12 7 13 16 36 0.10 8 Southern, Anne A 12 4 17 33 17 23 5 14 42 1.00 9 Manchester Valle 13 3 3 14 7 8 36 6 50 6.00 10 Queen Anne's Cou 15 3 9 28 11 11 30 10 51 1.00 11 Howard 7 6 16 4 22 16 4 34 54 0.10 12 Dulaney 10 5 12 17 15 27 11 17 55 0.10 13 Sherwood, MD 12 5 38 70 36 22 3 31 56 0.10 14 Bel Air 15 4 8 24 8 6 49 3 58 1.00 15 Centennial, MD 6 6 23 1 25 12 17 29 58 0.10 16 Oakdale 15 3 14 52 13 21 27 13 61 0.10 17 South River 10 6 13 16 19 17 23 27 67 0.10 18 Century, MD 16 3 4 26 5 9 58 2 69 7.00 19 Leonardtown 16 1 7 45 9 15 48 7 70 0.10 20 Mt. Hebron 9 6 15 11 16 20 25 25 70 1.00 21 Damascus 14 3 33 71 18 18 43 12 73 0.10 22 Whitman, MD 12 3 36 87 21 13 50 15 78 0.10 23 Liberty, MD 4 7 30 3 35 26 14 40 80 0.10 24 Winston Churchil 12 5 37 65 58 19 33 33 85 0.10 25 South Carroll 10 7 29 36 43 35 2 51 88 0.10 26 Patterson Mill 9 4 26 39 33 31 38 20 89 0.10 27 Calvert 10 4 25 49 32 25 52 18 95 0.10 28 Hereford 7 6 19 7 41 32 19 45 96 0.10 29 Middletown, MD 10 6 32 51 51 41 8 56 105 0.10 30 Urbana 8 4 49 73 49 38 26 41 105 0.10 31 Broadneck 4 9 35 2 48 29 10 68 107 0.10 32 Northern, Calver 7 5 46 59 47 33 39 38 110 0.10 33 City College 8 0 31 127 10 14 94 11 119 0.10 34 Quince Orchard 8 4 68 95 39 36 47 36 119 0.10 35 Catonsville 7 6 21 10 14 28 69 28 125 0.10 36 Harford Tech 9 6 43 64 54 61 20 44 125 0.10 37 Winters Mill 6 5 24 9 37 39 37 49 125 0.10 38 Stephen Decatur, 12 5 22 18 31 24 74 32 130 0.10 39 Walter Johnson 2 5 74 44 81 30 54 47 131 0.10 40 Chesapeake, Pasa 9 9 27 25 46 34 45 53 132 0.10 41 Wootton 5 7 65 74 106 43 21 75 139 0.10 42 Francis Scott Ke 0 7 100 5 65 54 9 78 141 0.10 43 Towson HS 2 6 47 19 74 48 22 74 144 0.10 44 North Harford 6 9 42 32 77 44 16 86 146 0.10 45 Bethesda-Chevy C 5 5 61 94 63 49 55 43 147 0.10 46 North Point 8 5 58 86 60 60 32 57 149 0.10 47 Kenwood 4 2 89 124 38 42 71 39 152 0.10 48 Springbrook 3 5 103 79 94 46 40 67 153 0.10 49 Poolesville 5 4 60 93 68 40 63 52 155 0.10 50 Kent Island 12 4 20 40 29 37 88 35 160 0.10 51 Arundel 8 8 34 30 75 47 41 76 164 0.10 52 Reservoir 7 8 40 21 62 55 42 72 169 0.10 53 River Hill 6 7 44 38 73 63 24 87 174 0.10 54 Lansdowne 4 1 82 137 30 45 107 30 182 0.10 55 Walkersville 9 6 45 54 90 58 31 95 184 0.10 56 Owings Mills 2 3 115 129 56 78 46 63 187 0.10 57 La Plata 7 5 62 66 66 50 77 61 188 0.10 58 Richard Montgome 3 4 83 97 79 68 61 60 189 0.10 59 Western, Baltimo 7 3 71 115 44 53 93 48 194 0.10 60 Milford Mill 5 1 96 141 27 57 116 24 197 0.10 61 Boonsboro 10 3 39 110 23 52 126 21 199 0.10 62 Eleanor Roosevel 0 1 139 123 34 115 57 37 209 0.10 63 Old Mill 5 6 48 35 80 65 56 90 211 0.10 64 Parkville 3 3 101 131 53 73 80 59 212 0.10 65 Polytechnic, Bal 3 4 93 88 61 56 90 66 212 0.10 66 Patapsco 4 4 90 112 72 71 73 71 215 0.10 67 Blake, MD 2 5 105 90 95 76 59 81 216 0.10 68 Chopticon 5 5 72 67 76 62 86 69 217 0.10 69 Easton, MD 8 7 28 27 64 51 91 77 219 0.10 70 Overlea 3 4 121 134 78 72 67 80 219 0.10 71 New Town 2 3 111 135 55 80 85 62 227 0.10 72 Carver A-T, Balt 6 5 94 126 82 67 81 84 232 0.10 73 Parkside 5 8 53 22 99 66 64 102 232 0.10 74 Digital Harbor 0 4 134 113 85 128 18 88 234 0.10 75 Perryville 6 7 73 69 93 91 51 92 234 0.10 76 North Caroline 9 5 41 47 52 59 113 65 237 0.10 77 Dunbar 3 3 104 121 50 74 110 54 238 0.10 78 Montgomery Blair 10 7 92 125 88 85 72 83 240 0.10 79 Northwest, MD 4 4 88 103 71 64 119 58 241 0.10 80 Frederick 6 6 56 76 97 69 76 100 245 0.10 81 North Hagerstown 4 9 85 75 122 92 34 124 250 0.10 82 Atholton 2 8 77 20 111 75 62 114 251 0.10 83 Sparrows Point 4 4 55 68 57 79 99 73 251 0.10 84 Loch Raven 3 4 50 46 67 70 105 79 254 0.10 85 Tuscarora, MD 7 7 57 85 89 82 78 94 254 0.10 86 McDonough 6 5 66 99 70 90 101 64 255 0.10 87 Patuxent 3 7 86 61 117 87 60 108 255 0.10 88 Annapolis, MD 4 9 51 31 119 86 53 123 262 0.10 89 Magruder 6 4 87 117 59 84 123 55 262 0.10 90 Pikesville 2 2 67 100 42 89 127 46 262 0.10 91 Great Mills 4 9 80 84 131 100 35 129 264 0.10 92 Smithsburg 6 4 78 107 45 93 124 50 267 0.10 93 Linganore 2 11 95 55 142 107 29 142 278 0.10 94 Perry Hall 2 7 52 29 92 83 84 111 278 0.10 95 Western STES 4 6 108 133 107 94 83 106 283 0.10 96 Aberdeen 7 3 79 132 40 103 139 42 284 0.10 97 Gaithersburg 5 8 99 118 127 96 68 121 285 0.10 98 Northeast, MD 6 9 54 43 123 88 70 128 286 0.10 99 Rockville, MD 2 6 114 92 115 77 106 103 286 0.10 100 Havre De Grace 4 6 84 62 102 81 131 82 294 0.10 101 Gov. Thomas John 3 10 110 81 141 110 44 141 295 0.10 102 Lackey 1 7 116 60 120 101 79 116 296 0.10 103 Brunswick, MD 2 10 98 48 136 95 66 138 299 0.10 104 Dundalk 1 6 138 119 116 109 75 115 299 0.10 105 Mergenthaler 0 5 140 111 105 130 65 105 300 0.10 106 Paint Branch 2 5 117 109 98 105 104 91 300 0.10 107 North County 8 6 59 82 84 99 109 93 301 0.10 108 Kent County 5 8 64 56 109 97 98 110 305 0.10 109 Woodlawn 0 3 141 138 69 133 102 70 305 0.10 110 Edgewood, MD 6 6 76 105 87 104 112 96 312 0.10 111 Watkins Mill 1 5 118 108 103 113 103 98 314 0.10 112 Franklin, MD 2 7 70 34 100 102 97 118 317 0.10 113 Clarksburg 3 9 112 114 133 106 82 133 321 0.10 114 Hammond 6 6 75 96 101 98 129 101 328 0.10 115 Cambridge-S Dorc 3 9 81 37 128 112 89 131 332 0.10 116 Wilde Lake 7 7 69 89 110 108 115 113 336 0.10 117 Long Reach 1 7 107 77 126 120 95 125 340 0.10 118 Eastern Technica 0 6 113 57 112 132 92 117 341 0.10 119 South Hagerstown 0 10 135 63 139 117 87 140 344 0.10 120 Joppatowne 1 5 130 101 83 123 137 85 345 0.10 121 St. Charles, MD 1 8 109 80 132 116 100 130 346 0.10 122 Edmondson-Westsi 3 6 119 116 108 119 122 107 348 0.10 123 North East, Ceci 0 4 131 104 86 139 121 89 349 0.10 124 Chesapeake, Balt 2 5 129 139 96 121 132 99 352 0.10 125 Seneca Valley, M 2 7 126 122 124 122 111 122 355 0.10 126 Catoctin 0 10 125 58 138 114 108 139 361 0.10 127 Oakland Mills 0 7 123 53 121 127 118 120 365 0.10 128 J.M. Bennett 4 9 63 42 125 111 128 127 366 0.10 129 Thomas Stone 0 6 128 91 118 131 117 119 367 0.10 130 Wheaton, MD 4 8 120 128 129 124 120 126 370 0.10 131 Rising Sun 2 6 102 102 114 125 134 112 371 0.10 132 Northwood, MD 3 5 122 140 91 135 140 97 372 0.10 133 Glen Burnie 1 12 106 83 143 134 96 143 373 0.10 134 Meade 2 8 97 72 130 118 125 132 375 0.10 135 Elkton 0 5 124 98 104 138 135 104 377 0.10 136 Kennedy, MD 2 6 132 136 113 136 133 109 378 0.10 137 Wicomico (Wi-Hi) 0 11 127 41 135 129 114 136 379 0.10 138 Westlake, MD 0 9 137 78 134 126 130 135 391 0.10 139 Bohemia Manor 1 9 133 106 137 137 136 137 410 0.10 140 Einstein 0 9 136 130 140 140 138 134 412 0.10 141 Bowie, MD 0 1 91 120 24 141 141 22 0 0.10 142 Charles H. Flowe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 143 Patterson 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10
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