Region = MD    3A-2A            
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Beth Nave             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0455780    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Centennial, MD         MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 6, 84.3)    12-13   
 328 A Walkersville           MD    2A-1A   ( 9- 6, 76.1)    21- 5   
 403 H Urbana                 MD    4A-3A   ( 8- 4, 75.0)    20- 7   
 406 A Brunswick, MD          MD    2A-1A   ( 2-10, 62.0)    23- 4   
 408 A Mount de Sales, MD     MD    IAAM A  ( 3-15, 75.3)     9- 7   
 410 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    MD    3A-2A   ( 3-10, 58.5)    24- 1   
 412 A Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 80.5)    16- 5   
 424 H Frederick              MD    3A-2A   ( 6- 6, 73.1)    20- 6   
 426 A Linganore              MD    4A-3A   ( 2-11, 62.5)    23- 5   
 501 H Catoctin               MD    2A-1A   ( 0-10, 53.9)    12- 1   
 504 H Westminster, MD        MD    4A-3A   (14- 3, 91.8)    11-13   
 505 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 73.1)    17- 5   
 506 N Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 80.5)    22- 9   
 510 H South Hagerstown       MD    3A-2A   ( 0-10, 49.3)    26- 1   
 512 H Tuscarora, MD          MD    3A-2A   ( 7- 7, 73.1)    18- 8   
 515 H Middletown, MD         MD    3A-2A   (10- 6, 80.5)    18- 8   
 517 A Damascus               MD    3A-2A   (14- 3, 80.2)    14-10   
 520 N Glenelg HS             MD    3A-2A   (20- 0, 99.9)     2-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Centennial, MD         12-13      -1     1    -     -2.86
   328 A Walkersville           21- 5      16    10           0.00
   403 H Urbana                 20- 7      13    13           0.00
   406 A Brunswick, MD          23- 4      19    24           0.00
   408 A Mount de Sales, MD      9- 7       2    11          n/a  
   410 H Gov. Thomas Johnson    24- 1      23    29           0.00
   412 A Middletown, MD         16- 5      11     5    ++     4.30
   424 H Frederick              20- 6      14    15           0.00
   426 A Linganore              23- 5      18    23           0.00
   501 H Catoctin               12- 1      11    34           0.00
   504 H Westminster, MD        11-13      -2    -3           1.37
   505 H Tuscarora, MD          17- 5      12    15           0.00
   506 N Middletown, MD         22- 9      13     6    +      3.16
   510 H South Hagerstown       26- 1      25    39           0.00
   512 H Tuscarora, MD          18- 8      10    15           0.00
   515 H Middletown, MD         18- 8      10     7    +      2.03
   517 A Damascus               14-10       4     5          -1.97
   520 N Glenelg HS              2-24     -22   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Mount de Sales, MD      9- 7       2    11    ---        
   327 A Centennial, MD         12-13      -1     1    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 A Middletown, MD         16- 5      11     5    ++     4.30
   506 N Middletown, MD         22- 9      13     6    +      3.16
   515 H Middletown, MD         18- 8      10     7    +      2.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.30 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.37 Local SOS Rank.............    52
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    93
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    13
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -22.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/