Region = MA    C/W D1           
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Steve Dudeck          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.7226791    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 84.6)    20- 2   
 407 A South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-12, 72.2)    17- 1   
 411 A Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.2)    21- 3   
 413 H Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (20- 1, 99.9)     6-13   
 419 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 92.0)     9- 4   
 421 H Belchertown            MA    C/W D2  ( 0-15, 62.6)    18- 0   
 422 H Notre Dame, Hingham    MA    So D1   (17- 6, 98.0)     9- 7   
 427 H Minnechaug             MA    C/W D1  (16- 5, 90.2)    17- 2   
 429 H Guilderland            NY A  Sec 2   (16- 4, 98.2)    13- 6   
 501 H Loomis Chaffee School  NE            (14- 4, 98.3)    14-11   
 502 A Agawam                 MA    C/W D1  (14- 4, 92.0)    11- 6   
 503 H South Hadley           MA    C/W D1  ( 3-12, 72.2)    16- 2   
 509 A West Springfield, MA   MA    C/W D1  ( 4- 9, 75.6)    17- 0   
 510 A East Longmeadow        MA    C/W D1  ( 9- 7, 82.2)    17- 6   
 512 H Amherst-Pelham         MA    C/W D1  ( 5-12, 69.8)    19- 2   
 513 A New Canaan             CT    Class L (15- 6, 91.8)    15- 8   
 517 A Westwood, MA           MA    So D1   (18- 5, 97.7)    15-10   
 519 H Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (10- 7, 84.9)    16- 4   
 520 A Moses Brown School     RI    DI      (14- 3, 99.9)    14-11   
 522 A Northampton, MA        MA    C/W D1  (10- 7, 84.9)    16- 1   
 531 H Nashoba Regional       MA    C/W D1  ( 8- 9, 75.2)    21- 0   
 603 H Westfield HS, MA       MA    C/W D1  (13- 5, 84.6)    19- 5   
 607 H Algonquin              MA    C/W D1  (12- 9, 87.7)    14- 4   
 610 N Westborough            MA    C/W D1  (18- 1, 94.7)     9- 5   
 612 N Franklin, MA           MA    East D1 (22- 2, 97.5)    12- 6   
 617 N Needham                MA    So D1   (23- 3, 97.6)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Westfield HS, MA       20- 2      18    16           0.00
   407 A South Hadley           17- 1      16    26           0.00
   411 A Minnechaug             21- 3      18     8           1.00
   413 H Garden City             6-13      -7     0          n/a  
   419 A Agawam                  9- 4       5     7    -     -2.17
   421 H Belchertown            18- 0      18    38           0.00
   422 H Notre Dame, Hingham     9- 7       2     2          -0.61
   427 H Minnechaug             17- 2      15    10           0.00
   429 H Guilderland            13- 6       7     2          n/a  
   501 H Loomis Chaffee School  14-11       3     2          n/a  
   502 A Agawam                 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.17
   503 H South Hadley           16- 2      14    28           0.00
   509 A West Springfield, MA   17- 0      17    23           0.00
   510 A East Longmeadow        17- 6      11    17           0.00
   512 H Amherst-Pelham         19- 2      17    30           0.00
   513 A New Canaan             15- 8       7     7          n/a  
   517 A Westwood, MA           15-10       5     1    +      3.47
   519 H Northampton, MA        16- 4      12    15           0.00
   520 A Moses Brown School     14-11       3    -1          n/a  
   522 A Northampton, MA        16- 1      15    14           0.00
   531 H Nashoba Regional       21- 0      21    25           0.00
   603 H Westfield HS, MA       19- 5      14    16           0.00
   607 H Algonquin              14- 4      10    12           0.00
   610 N Westborough             9- 5       4     5          -1.20
   612 N Franklin, MA           12- 6       6     2    +      3.64
   617 N Needham                 5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.31

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Garden City             6-13      -7     0    ---        
   617 N Needham                 5- 8      -3     2    --    -5.31
   419 A Agawam                  9- 4       5     7    -     -2.17
   502 A Agawam                 11- 6       5     7    -     -2.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Guilderland            13- 6       7     2    ++         
   520 A Moses Brown School     14-11       3    -1    ++         
   517 A Westwood, MA           15-10       5     1    +      3.47
   612 N Franklin, MA           12- 6       6     2    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.45 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.71 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   23.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.170.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 24- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/